9-27-08

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

7:45p Teddy Covers Alabama +7.0 / 3 units
3:30p Teddy Covers Houston +11.0 / 3 units
8:00p Teddy Covers Illinois +16.0 / 4 units
12:00p Teddy Covers Maryland +11.0 / 3 units
3:30p Teddy Covers Tennessee +7.0 / 3 units
3:30p Teddy Covers UL Lafayette +20.5 / 3 units
10:00p Teddy Covers Washington -3.0 / 6 units

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

Dave M@linsky

GAME: Army @ Texas A&M Sep 27, 2008 12:30PM

4* ARMY over TEXAS A&M

Games in this pointspread range have to be broken down differently from others, because of the obvious talent mismatch. These ATS outcomes are decided more based on the intensity of the teams, and it should not come as a surprise that we have landed here, because the service academy teams have been good to our pockets for a couple of decades when we could isolate the right spots. These are disciplined athletes that are going to play hard for the full 60 minutes regardless of how the scoreboard reads, which is exactly what you want in an underdog in this price range, while at the same team the superior team is also more inclined to back off early, and not embarrass a service academy. With Army this week we get even more.

The Black Knights are 5-0 ATS as underdogs in the state of Texas the past six seasons, and we have put many of those results into our portfolio. There is a prime reason for those showings – they annually get more players from this state than anywhere else, and this season is no different, with 27 Texans on the roster, including five starters. These trips mean something special to these athletes, and this one even more so because of Hurricane Ike. A lot of those Army players are from areas that were impacted, and we will let coach Stan Brock take it from there -

“It will be a big deal because this is the first time that these guys have seen their families since the hurricane went through there. Hopefully, some of the freshmen can step up in practice and make the road trip. We have six freshmen that we are hoping can travel so they can go home and see their family.”

The energy that those freshmen brought to the practices this week is something that will be infectious for the entire team, and veteran starting guard Brandon Cox, a Texan, echoes the sentiments - “Going home, seeing a bunch of family, having everyone come to the game, it’s going to be fun, going to be exciting. I’ve been to Kyle Field two or three times with my grandfather, he’s an alum there. I’ve been to a couple of games and the atmosphere is unbelievable.”

The key on the field is that the Black Knights also help to tactically get the game home as well. Brock has gone to an all-out option package on offense, looking to slow the game tempo down whenever possible. That has led to some stodgy offensive snap counts through the first three games, keyed by an Army offensive ratio of 161 running plays vs. only 39 passes. That will not change here – they will stay with the ground attack regardless of the game situation, and that will severely reduce the opportunities that the favored Aggies will have to get near this pointspread. Making it even more difficult is that A&M simply is not very good, particularly in the area of rush defense, which matters so much this week.

Texas A&M has already lost outright to Arkansas State on this field, and was not competitive in last week’s 41-23 loss to Miami, a game that was nowhere near what the scoreboard showed. The Aggies scored on the first snap from scrimmage, a 62-yard touchdown pass from Jerrod Johnson to Mike Goodson, and then were bullied by an embarrassing 41-3 fashion until the Hurricanes backed off late in the game. Note that in the only A&M win it was a +3 turnover advantage at New Mexico that did the trick (the Lobos led 370-236 in total offense), and that this defense is allowing 210 yards per game overland, at an alarming 5.7 yards per carry. That weakness enables Army to get some first downs and keep the clock ticking, which turns this pointspread into Mt. Everest. And even should the Aggies get a few big plays to get near the number, Mike Sherman is not the kind of coach to pile it on here, particularly with the Big 12 opener at Oklahoma State immediately on deck. He would be more than satisfied to get a win by far less than this spread, and to get his starters out of the game as early as possible.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

glenn mcgrew
tv game of month penn st
mismatch game of month south carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

ATS Canadian Lock FB
3 units British Columbia -12.5 v. Hamilton

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

Guaranteed Pick: Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence 63-0 ATS No.1 CFB Games Of The Week: Check this out - all THREE of Marc's No.1 College Football Favorite, Underdog and Revenge Game of the Week winners are supported with amazing winning angles inside the games that together are an incredible 63-0! Get them all right now and enjoy the weekend with Marc - you'll be glad you did!

Game: Tennessee Volunteers at Auburn Sep 27 2008 3:30PM
Prediction: Tennessee Volunteers
Reason: Play On: Tennessee Note: Tennessee, our No. 1 College Football Underdog Game of the Week, is 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS in games off a loss of more than 7 points under Phil Fulmer, including 9-0 ATS as a dog or favorite of less than 6 points. On the flip side, Auburn head coach Tommy Tuberville is 1-13 ATS at home against an opponent off a loss of 17 or more points, including 0-11 if the foe owns a win percentage of .250 or more. Grab the points with the Vols in this upset maker.

Game: Wisconsin at Michigan Sep 27 2008 3:30PM
Prediction: Michigan
Reason: Play On: Michigan Note: Michigan, our No. 1 College Football Revenge Game of the Week, plays host to Wisconsin with revenge on their minds from a 16-point loss as 3-point road favorites last year. Aside from having NEVER been favored against the Wolverines in the 'Big House' in Ann Arbor, the Badgers are 1-16 SU on this field since 1965. To top it off, Michigan is 25-1 SU in its last 26 conference openers, with the one loss by 3 points - making them 26-0 to this number. Toss is Rich Rodriguez' 7-0 SU mark at home in games with rest and suddenly this game has all the making of a Live Home Dog win.

Game: Colorado St. at California Sep 27 2008 6:00PM
Prediction: California
Reason: Play On: California Note: California, our No. 1 College Football Favorite Game of the Week, returns home their stunning loss at Maryland two weeks ago as 14-point favorites to host Colorado State who enters off a SU home underdog win last week. With that we note that home teams in Game Four playing with a week of rest against a non-conference opponent off a win are 19-2 ATS, including 17-0 ATS if the host is off a win or loss of less than 20 and the visitor did not toss a shutout in its win. Lay the lumber with the Bears in this blowout.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

*** EZWINNERS NCAA FOOTBALL ***



5 STAR: (109) WESTERN MICHIGAN (-4) over Temple
(Risking $550 to win $500)
1PM Central Time


5 STAR: (145) ALABAMA (+7)(-$120) over Georgia
(Risking $600 to win $500)
6:45PM Central Time

2 STAR: (181) SAN JOSE STATE (+3) over Hawaii
(Risking $220 to win $200)
11:05PM Central Time

(Buy the 1/2 point)


3 STAR: (174) PENN STATE (-15.5) over Illinois
(Risking $330 to win $300)
7:10PM Central Time

[Guest]

Re: 9-27-08

Bob Balfe

Tennessee +7 over Auburn
This is the most bet on game of the day. The public money is all over Auburn and I can understand why after watching Tennessee lose to UCLA and get crushed by Florida. Tennessee played good defense in the Florida game, but shot themselves in the foot with turnovers. Its not that easy to take an Auburn team today. The public is betting against Tennessee and not on Auburn. This is one of those games where Tennessee rebounds and proves they still are a good program.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

Mike Handzelek

Rare Triple-Play GOM With BIG-Time 7-Team Teaser

San Jose State vs. Hawaii
Pick:San Jose State +3

Play San Jose. The Spartans will return the favor for Hawaii's come from 2 TD behind victory in OT last year. You see the 3rd all-time winningest coach in Hawaii FB history is **** Tomey (77'-86'). Unfortunately, he's on the San Jose sidelines. The problem in this game is the Warriors being so green. They retuen 4 starters each on both sides of the ball under 1st year Coach Greg McMackin. They looked drastically over-matched 2 weeks ago @ Oregon State. I don't like the fact that the Rainbows are a -9 in turnovers their first 2 lined games this season. It seems there is no continuity on offense under the new system & QB Tyler Graunke will be trying to play with a hand injury backed up by a JUCO transfer. On the other side, Tomey is getting good play overall out of Cal transfer QB Kyle Reed, who was 23 for 26 vs. Stanford last week. The kicker here is the defenses. San Jose is @ #47 & Hawaii @ #80. The Spartans are 8-3 their L11 lined games. I don't see any Warrior advantages besides home field & history. That's not going to be enough with revenge on the Spartans' minds. $600 to win & a Triple-Play on San Jose St. My 7-Team Big Time Parlay $1500 to win $442 Southern Cal -4000, Florida -2100, Cal -4000, South Carolina -2100, Texas A&M -4000, Kentucky -1600, Texas -3200.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

cokin--
big shot...............penn st
total.......................nwestern under, bgreen under
window........................cal
under the hat..................ohio st, okla st

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

feist--
total..................mia-fla under
personal best............w.mich, washington
platinum........................tenn over
inner circle..................marshall

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

Northcoast 2* College Totals Note: NOT the official Late Phone Play (3* and up) Totals plays...
2* North Carolina/Miami, FL UNDER 43
2* Kent State/Ball State UNDER 60 1/2

Northcoast 2* Small College Plays Note :NOT the official Late Phone Play (3* and up) Small College Plays...

2* Northern Illinois
2* Memphis
2* Toledo
2* Bowling Green

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

Bob Balfe

College Football
Iowa -8 over Northwestern
Northwestern will have Sutton in the lineup, but he is not 100%. Sutton is the heart and soul of that team that is not as good as their 4-0 record. Iowa lost a tough game last week to Pitt and will be looking to bounce back at home. Northwestern QB Bacher also have a few sprained fingers and will be playing through pain. Look for Iowa to stop the run and win at home.

Houston +10.5 over East Carolina
The public wants so bad for ECU to be a Cinderella team, but they are nothing more than an average team that played two fading programs the first week of the season. This ECU team almost lost to Tulane and they did lose to NC State last week. Houston has a great offense and I don't know if ECU can match their point total. Houston looked flat in the first half of last weeks game, but played a great second half and almost won. This team is finally getting back to normal after Hurricane Ike. Look for the Houston offense to click today. Take Houston.

Tennessee +7 over Auburn
This is the most bet on game of the day. The public money is all over Auburn and I can understand why after watching Tennessee lose to UCLA and get crushed by Florida. Tennessee played good defense in the Florida game, but shot themselves in the foot with turnovers. Its not that easy to take an Auburn team today. The public is betting against Tennessee and not on Auburn. This is one of those games where Tennessee rebounds and proves they still are a good program.

Major League Baseball
Brewers -150 over Cubs
Sheets/Lilly

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

ASA 6* Washington

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

Northcoast Totals
3'* Under Nwestern
3* Under W Kentucky
3* Over Ark St
3* Under C Flor

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-08

Kelso Sturgeon has a 50 unit play on Northern Illinois.