11-4-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98806

    #16
    Re: 11-4-09

    Randall the Handle


    Washington +1.27 over NEW JERSEY (REG) Pinnacle

    The fact that Alex Ovechkin is out is one of the main reasons for this choice. When a player of his caliber goes down the rest of the team digs down deep for the first game for sure and perhaps a few games after that. These guys have a ton of pride and they want to show everyone they can win without its superstar. Besides, it’s not like the Caps aren’t deep. They’re a top-seeded playoff team with or without OV and tonight you’ll see them play their hearts out. The Devils have struggled miserably at home with just one win in five games. They’re also struggling offensively and in fact, has scored two goals or less in eight of the first 12 games. Don’t get me wrong, the Devils are playing great and they’re one of the hotter teams in the league right now. However, the Caps will treat this one like a playoff game because all they’ve been hearing for three days is questions about how they’re going to get along without AO. We’ll see. Play: Washington +1.27 (Risking 2 units).



    FLORIDA -½ +1.30 over Carolina (REG) Pinnacle

    The Hurricanes are in a bigger panic than the public at a flu-vaccine clinic. Here’s a team that has dropped nine in a row and while the team tries to figure it out, someone should tell them it’s not rocket science. I said it all of last year and this year that the Canes are just a bad hockey team with not a lot of talent. The defense stinks, the offense is filled with a bunch of castoffs and aging vets and until they show us something different, why not kick a team when they’re down. Not only are the Canes losing, they’re getting buried. Its last three losses have been by scores of 5-1, 6-1, and 5-2. They also have a 7-2 loss and a 6-2 loss earlier in the year. Meanwhile, the Panthers are coming on with two straight wins over two good teams, Dallas and St. Louis. Both of those were on the road and now they’ll play at home and they’ll play with some momentum. The Panthers remain perhaps the most undervalued team in the business. The kicker here is that these two met once already and that game was the Panthers first back upon its return from overseas to start the year. Florida lost 7-2 and there’s no way they’ve forgotten about it. Well, the tide has turned and it’s not in the Hurricanes favor. Play: Florida -½ +1.30 (Risking 2 units).



    COLUMBUS +1.05 over San Jose (REG) Pinnacle

    The Sharkies are warming up big time after a shaky start but I’m not convinced they’re as good as advertised. The first line of Thornton, Heatley and Clowe is as good as it gets but after that they take a big drop off and the defense leaves plenty to be desired as well. The Sharks are a team that can be pressured to cough it up in its own end and Ken Hitchcock and the Jackets should be able to exploit that. The Jackets roll out four good lines and two outstanding lines. The first two lines of Nash, Vermette and Huselius and Umberger, Brassard and Voracek just keep getting better and just keep racking up points. R.J. Umberger might be the most underrated player in the game. Anyway, these Blue Jackets are a team on the rise and they’re not rebuilding anymore. The Jackets are built and they’re damn good. They’re not going to be a pooch in its own building much this year but when they are and the circumstances are not unfavorable, I’m on them with no questions asked and absolutely make no exception here. Play: Columbus +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98806

      #17
      Re: 11-4-09

      Matt Farrgo

      9* Washington Wizards -3
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      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98806

        #18
        Re: 11-4-09

        Bob Balfe

        Knicks -5.5 over Pacers

        Phillies/Yankees Over 9.5
        Martinez/Pettitte
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98806

          #19
          Re: 11-4-09

          Bill Marzano

          Phillies at Yankees
          Pick: Over 9

          I really like the total in this game and I think it will go Over the 9 posted runs...I wouldn't be surprised to see the Yankees score this many runs themselves...I think they are going to rough up Pedro and get the pen early...I also wouldn't be surprised to see the Phils get 3-4 runs with Utley and Worth swinging the sticks, plus the addition of the DH...lets go Over the total here
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98806

            #20
            Re: 11-4-09

            seabass

            MLB
            30* ov
            50* Phillies
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98806

              #21
              Re: 11-4-09

              Dave M@linsky

              Philadelphia Phillies (Martinez)+175 over NEW YORK YANKEES (Pettitte)

              3* #961 PHILADELPHIA ***First Half (1st FIVE innings)*** over NY YANKEES

              A bad line here, a very bad one. We do not need to say much more than that in reality, but in a game in which the Yankees have two clear advantages: the home field for certain, and the possibility of Mariano Rivera being far better than any Phillie reliever for the final outs, which we can take out of play. We will call Pedro Martinez over Andy Pettitte as a clear advantage at this price point, and make that our play. We peg Pettitte as clearly vulnerable. Despite the fact that the Yankees won Game #3 behind him on Saturday night he was nothing special, allowing four runs in six innings, including home runs from Jayson Weth and Carlos Ruiz, and logging 104 pitches, 45 of which missed the strike zone. That was his high pitch count since back in August, and that particularly matters on an evening in which he will work on three days rest for the first time since 2006. As patient as the Phillie lineup is, a quick second look makes them even tougher for Pettitte if he can not get near his A stuff. And even Pettitte is not sure that he can bring that. His response to struggling in Game #3? "Mechanically I felt a little bit off, just a click off, my release point didn't feel great. It was just a battle to get the ball in and out and move it around like I wanted to. I wasn't hitting my off-speed stuff for strikes like I like to do.? And what impact will the short turnaround have? "For CC it's a little bit easier because he's throwing so much harder and his stuff is so much better. But physically for me, it obviously is a little, just seeing how my body is going to feel on that short rest because I'm just not sure at my age or whatever ? I don't know how I'll feel. I know I felt terrible [in Game 3] and I was on six days' rest. I just, you know, am going to go as hard as I can for as long as I can." Not exactly a self-vote of confidence. Meanwhile Martinez is not going to be bothered by the pressure of this setting, and in 10 ?First Half? innings in the playoffs he has only allowed one run, that solo blast by Mark Teixeira in the fourth inning here last Thursday night. He comes in much fresher than Pettitte, and after finding the strike zone with 67.3 percent of his pitches in the first go-round, with more strikeouts than hits allowed, there is more than enough price being offered to earn out trust. So why only the First Five Innings? It is really quite simple, neither Ryan Madson nor Brad Lidge inspire confidence from us to get the final outs vs. this lineup in this ballpark, while having consecutive days off sets Rivera up to work two full innings again tonight, which negates the weaknesses that the Yankee set-up men bring. But with most key precincts having the First Half and Full Game lines so closely aligned, we get the benefit of that weak Phillie bullpen actually working for us in terms of the bargain we get to back Martinez.
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98806

                #22
                Re: 11-4-09

                Mike Lineback: 2 picks 4* Pho-Orl:

                Premium Selections

                [503] 4* Phoenix Suns +8.5 -110 | 7:00p ET

                [503-504] 4* Phoenix/Orlando Magic UNDER 218.5 -110 | 7:00p ET
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98806

                  #23
                  Re: 11-4-09

                  st bernadine sports advisors
                  john keelan(abats computer simulator) 1* phillies +180(no write ups)

                  lillefty(matt Dennehy) -
                  1* Indiana/New York under 224
                  The odds makers have finally caught up with the new york over train. Similar to last year, the Knicks started out fast with all these overs but the odds makers went too far with this one IMO. Troy Murphy is likely out in this one. Indiana is already thin in the depth dept with Dunleavy, foster, Hansborough out. With a thin roster you need to slow things down somewhat to keep from getting worn out. Knicks are on 4th game in 6 nights and with 2 OT games in there the legs could be nice and weary come the 2nd half. I can see both teams hitting 100-105 but 225 is a high total.
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98806

                    #24
                    Re: 11-4-09

                    C-Star Sports

                    5000 Units Boston Minus the points over Minnesota
                    1000 Units Yankees over Philadelphia
                    50 Units Dallas/New Orleans over the total
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98806

                      #25
                      Re: 11-4-09

                      ATS bases lock club 11/4

                      4 units OVER
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98806

                        #26
                        Re: 11-4-09

                        Vr

                        nba
                        2* no -4

                        mlb
                        2* phi/nyy u9.5
                        5* phi +1.5 -110
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98806

                          #27
                          Re: 11-4-09

                          VR has Under 9.5 on the total
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98806

                            #28
                            Re: 11-4-09

                            Teddy Covers

                            Hawks Big Ticket
                            Mavs

                            Phillies/Yankees over
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