11-6-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
11/6/09- Friday NCAA

7* WAC T.O.M.

BOISE ST / LA TECH OVER 50

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Sammy Jankus Reverse Barometer

I rate my plays 3, 4 and 5 stars. Always play the OTHER SIDE of my game writeups.

Atlanta at Charlotte 7:05 PM ET
4* (502) CHARLOTTE (+2)

Okay, today’s math class is now in session. In this corner we have the 4-1 Atlanta Hawks, whose only loss was to the defending NBA champ LA Lakers and whose four wins have come by an average of 9 PPG (lowest margin of victory 6 points). And in this corner we have… jeez, it’s the Bobcats, which means they aren’t much better than an expansion team. And I just have to lay a mere TWO POINTS to get the Hawks here? Consider it done! I LOVE Atlanta in this mismatch – so your play (and I feel bad doing this to you) is on CHARLOTTE.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

st bernadine sports advisors
look to keep a good week going. Enjoy ladies and gents!!

john keelan(abats computer simulator)
1* houston -6

Lillefty(Matt Denenhy)
1* toronto/new orleans over 205
Toronto is lighting up the scoreboard right now on both the offensive and defensive ends. Their last 3 games have gone way over the total. The defensive side of the ball appears to be of no concern right now for the Raptors. New Orleans is playing more uptempo ball right now themselves, Chris Paul is playing like a man posessed. He is trying to make up for the lack of help by his teammates all by himself. They are standing around watching and unfortunately this has translated to lethargy on the defensive end also. Paul put up 39 last time out and vs the combo of Calderon and Rozan another 35+ pts isn't out of the question. Both teams should get into the 100's tonight which will probably send this game flying over the total at 215-220.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Marc Lawrence

Friday, November 6

Boise St over LA TECH by 14

The Broncos are actually looking up at WAC-leading Nevada but it’s the BCS
Standings that matter most right now in Boise. Papa Smurf (Chris) Petersen
still has his horses thinking about crashing another BCS party with their
unblemished record but his week’s computer crunching has seen BSU slide all
the way down to #7 in the Big Boy rankings. A word of caution here: Boise is
playing its fifth game on the road in seven weeks and OUR computers tell us
that 8-0 or better road favorites are just 42-65-3 ATS against .300 or greater
opposition. Louisiana Tech, 3-1 ATS in the last four series games, is 4-1 ATS as
double-digit home dog and 6-3 ATS on weekdays. Like playing with fi re? The
Techsters supply the spark.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -8.5

I had Chicago last night, but for a number of different reasons I believe Cleveland will "bounce back" and that the value in this game is on the Cavaliers:

Just like Michael Jordan, Lebron loves playing in New York and this will be his only trip to Madison Square Garden this season.

“He’ll be glowing. He’ll be ready,” said New York guard Larry Hughes, a former Cleveland teammate who keeps in touch with James. “He may not say he’s ready, but he’ll be ready to perform.”

James can become a free agent on July 1 and the Knicks have cleared enough cap space to offer him a maximum salary contract. He’s never said he wants to leave Cleveland, but he’s never ruled out coming to New York, either, so his future will be hotly debated until then - especially tonight!

On the other side of the court: In their last game, the Knicks' offense sputtered in the second half and managed just 15 points in the final 15 minutes of the game, including six straight empty possessions late in the fourth quarter as they lost 101-89 vs. the Pacers.

G Nate Robinson remains out with a sprained right ankle and C Eddy Curry remains on a team-ordered conditioning stint following a calf injury in training camp.

New York is already a poor 1-3 ATS this season when playing the roll of underdog.

Bottom line: Cleveland has been alternating good and poor efforts and I expect that trend to continue this evening; when you couple that with the rest of the above factors, the sharp money in this matchup is on the CAVALIERS! *8*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Marc Lawrence

PHOENIX SUNS +10

The Suns meet the Celtics in Beantown Friday night knowing they are 16-3 SU and 15-4 ATS in games off a loss of 20 or more points. Meanwhile, Boston is 4-9 SU and ATS in this series when Phoenix is off a loss, including 1-5 SU and ATS when the Celtics are off a win. Grab the points in this upset maker here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Phoenix.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Lenny Del Genio

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS -12

We played against the Nets, who are making a case to be the NBA's worst team, Wednesday night and they no-showed as expected, losing by 29 at home to Denver. We suppose you can't really blame them as F Battie, F Yi, and PG Harris were all out. Even with those players, this was projected to be a last place team. Now you can add F Chris Douglas-Roberts (ill) to the list of the walking wounded, meaning that the new Russian billionare that bought the team may be calling Derrick Coleman and Kerry Kittles any time now (kidding). Philadelphia is off an atrocious loss to Boston, 105-74, so look for them to tee off against a division foe on the other side of the ledger. What better time to reverse a trend that has seen New Jersey cover 17 of the previous 22 meetings here in the City of Brotherly Love? The Nets are just 2-12 ATS as double-digit dogs the previous three seasons. Philadelphia is our 15* Division Game of the Week.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Dwayne Bryant

WASHINGTON WIZARDS +1.5

I love this situation. Washington is in off a four-point home loss as two-point chalk against Miami. They shot just 37.8% in that game. The night before, the Wizards lost at Cleveland in what has been a very intense rivalry in recent years. Washington shot under 40% from the field for the second straight game after hitting 50.6% in its first three contests. It was to be expected that Washington would struggle with Miami the night after that emotional battle with arch-rival Cleveland. Washington had yesterday off to regroup and I expect a return to form in a highly motivated effort tonight. Indiana is off a 12-point upset road win at New York. They covered the spread by 16.5 points in what was their first win of the season. The Wizards will be the hungrier team tonight and they own edges in almost every statistical category, including offensive FG%, defensive FG%, 3-point % (HUGE edge here), and rebound margin. I'll take the Wizards as my Eastern Conference Game of the Week.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Hentai Sports

Game : Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat (NBA) 07:35pm EST

Prediction : Denver Nuggets -1

Analysis : The Nuggets qualify in a solid system tonight that plays on road teams who scored 120 or more points as a road favorite of -5 or more, with 1 or more days rest between -3 to +3. These road teams are 7-1 since 1995 winning by a comfortable margin. Denver is 11-4 straight up and ats on the road in this range. Miami is 0-4 vs the Nuggets of late and will get beat here tonight. On Friday we have another big system card up. On Saturday I have the 2009 College football Game of the Year from 4 different systems,including one that is 24-1 since 1980.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Evan Altemus

DENVER NUGGETS -1

Denver is not getting enough from the betting public this season. The Nuggets are one of the best teams in the league, yet people have not realized this. As a result, I feel there is good value in this game. Miami doesn’t have an overwhelming home court advantage either, and there should be plenty of empty seats to start this game. Denver has shown the ability to play well on the road, including two straight wins and covers on their recent road trip. The Nuggets are well rested and should have enough motivation to stay undefeated this year.

3 UNIT SELECTION DENVER.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* Cavs/Knicks E SP N G AM E OF T HE W EE K on New York +8.5(-105 spbook)

The Cavs are clearly overrated to start the season, sitting at 3-3 thus far. They have been favored in every game. This is an inflated line Friday night as Cleveland travels to face the Knicks. New York is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Cavs are 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. The Knicks are 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. The last 2 meetings were decided by 5 points, with Cleveland coming out ahead both times. We feel the Knicks say enough is enough here tonight and likely pull off the upset. The Cavs just played last night, while New York has had a day to rest so they will be the fresher team which is also an advantage. Take the Knicks and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Denver Nuggets +1(-106 at 5dimes)

Denver is making a statement in the early going that they are here to stay after reaching the Western Conference Semis last season. The Nuggets are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS this season, and they aren't going to lose to a middle-of-the-pack Eastern Conference team in Miami tonight. The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Nuggets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Denver is 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Miami. Take Denver and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Atlanta Hawks -2(-105 at 5dimes)

The Hawks are a team from the East that is going to make some noise before season's end. They have a complete team that can do it all, with great guard play behind Bibby and Johnson and excellent post play in Horford and Smith. The Hawks have opened the season 4-1 with big road wins over the Blazers and Kings already. Their only loss was to the defending champion Lakers in a hard-fought 8-point road loss. Charlotte doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with the Hawks in this one. Atlanta averages 108.0 points/game while Charlotte puts up just 79.8 points/game this year. Take Atlanta and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

GoodFella

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -3

We got a nice winner going against the Spurs last night, as the Jazz were VERY motivated for a win, and we got a MAXIMUM effort out of them just like I thought we would, and they cruised to a easy win. I expect the exact same kind of MAXIMUM effort out of the Blazers tonight, as Portland REALLY NEEDS this HOME WIN tonight. Portland has already lost TWO home games & they have had three days off to prepare for the Spurs, who are playing in a back 2 back spot tonight, and they have not faired very well in this spot the last couple years. The Rose Garden will be VERY LOUD and pumped for this game on ESPN tonight & I look for a HUGE game out of Roy and company tonight, as they should control the glass vs a smaller Spurs team, and I fully expect Portland's BEST effort of the season in this spot tonight! Take the Blazers.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
3* on New Jersey Nets +12.5(-115 at sia)

The 76ers should not be favored by double-digits against any team in the league. Yes, the Nets have played poorly to start the season, but they are not 12 points worse than Philadelphia tonight. Philly is giving up 109.5 points/game through 4 games this year. Those aren't the kind of numbers that justify Philly being a 12-point favorite Friday. New Jersey is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the 76ers. The underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Take the Nets and the points