11-6-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
3* on Washington Wizards +1.5(-105 at spbook)

Off back-to-back heartbreaking losses, we look for Washington to bounce back tonight in Indiana as they take on the 1-3 Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are battling some serious injuries right now and they are far from full strength. Jeff Foster and Mike Dunleavy are out tonight, and Troy Murphy is doubtful with a back injury. The Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Wizards are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons. Washington is the more talented team here tonight, especially with the injuries the Pacers are facing. Take the Wizards and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Wunderdog

Game: Vancouver at Dallas (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Dallas -150 (moneyline)

Dallas has just three true losses in their first 15 games and sit at 6-3-6 for the season. Vancouver is not playing on the road as they did a year ago, coming into this one at just 3-5. That road mark is something the Stars have made quick work of as they have been 74-32-7 when they face a team with a road record of .400 or worse over their last 113! Dallas has never been a place for the Canucks to get healthy either as they are just 4-9 in their last 13 visits in Big D. This has also been a favorite-laden series with the favorite claiming the cash in each of their last four. There are a lot of indicators pointing to a Dallas win here, and a long term trend of nearly 70% is much better than the price offered here. Dallas gets the call.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Sebastian / Seabass

NCAAF: 20* under boise 51 (small)

Steam: Charlotte Bob cats

NBA: 50* Minnesota
50* Portland

NHL: 50* Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Dave M@linsky 11/6

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CHARLOTTE BOBCATS(+2) over Atlanta Hawks
4* #502 CHARLOTTE over ATLANTA

The NBA schedule maker threw an early haymaker at the Atlanta Hawks, and we believe this is the spot in which they go woozy on the ropes and have to take a standing eight count. The Hawks had to take a rare early-season Western swing this week, and it was not set up well on either end. After a home win over Washington on Friday night there was little down time before facing the Lakers in L.A. on Sunday, the start of a ?3 in 4? cycle. But instead of the usual extra day off when traveling from West to East, and also the usual assignment of a home game on the return, they are instead forced to play on the road again, something that is most rare in this league. It means tired legs and a difficult time putting a game plan together, and there is also the distraction of a home showdown vs. Denver tomorrow night. That makes this a true danger zone for Mike Woodson and his team, and it is exacerbated by being in against an opponent that can be a trap in this setting, especially with Larry Brown having three full days to put a game plan together. As always, anything about Charlotte starts with Brown. Although the pieces on the court are not dynamic the Bobcats are playing superb fundamental basketball ? despite road games at Boston and Cleveland representing half of their schedule so far, they show up #2 on our best defensive charts through the first week of play; #2 in rebounding; and they have attempted 116 free throws, while only allowing their opponents to get to the line 69 times. And most of this has been working short-handed. Brown finally got Raja Bell back on the court in Monday?s win over New Jersey, and with Flip Murray ready to go tonight it means all hands on deck for the first time. That brings an energy that the Hawks will find difficult to match, and tactic preparation that will lead to major frustrations for the visitors.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

GoodFella

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -3

We got a nice winner going against the Spurs last night, as the Jazz were VERY motivated for a win, and we got a MAXIMUM effort out of them just like I thought we would, and they cruised to a easy win. I expect the exact same kind of MAXIMUM effort out of the Blazers tonight, as Portland REALLY NEEDS this HOME WIN tonight. Portland has already lost TWO home games & they have had three days off to prepare for the Spurs, who are playing in a back 2 back spot tonight, and they have not faired very well in this spot the last couple years. The Rose Garden will be VERY LOUD and pumped for this game on ESPN tonight & I look for a HUGE game out of Roy and company tonight, as they should control the glass vs a smaller Spurs team, and I fully expect Portland's BEST effort of the season in this spot tonight! Take the Blazers.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Randall the Handle 11/6

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Toronto +1.09 over CAROLINA (REG) 5dimes
The Canes are eventually going to win a game but it’s not likely to happen here. You see, without Eric Staal the Hurricanes chances of winning decrease dramatically because he’s their best player and it’s not close. His loss is worse to the Canes than OV’s is to Washington. The Canes lose a great player while the Leafs got one back last game in Phil Kessel. The Leafs record looks pathetic on paper and it is but Toronto deserves a whole lot better than what they’ve earned thus far. They’re playing hard, they’re usually outplaying the opposition by a decent margin and they’re finally starting to get a little consistency in net. Despite just one win on the year, the Leafs have picked up points in five straight games and four of those were on the road. So, for those of you that think the Leafs are bottom feeders and will remain there, think again, as they’re on the verge of something good and their hard work, determination and very underrated talent is going to start paying dividends. The Leafs recently went into Buffalo, Dallas, Anaheim and Vancouver and out-played and outskated all four of those teams and this is without question its easiest assignment of the year. Any tag against the Canes is worthy of a wager and this one is no exception. Play: Toronto +1.09 (Risking 2 units).

BUFFALO -½ +1.14 over Philadelphia Pinnacle
The Flyers are coming off two routs over Carolina and Tampa Bay in which they cruised to 6-1 and 6-2 victories. That’s nice, it really is but the Flyers are overvalued because frankly, they’re very beatable. In fact, in that 6-1 win over Carolina they ran into a shaky goaltender but were outshot 40-28. They Bolts pulled a complete no-show the next game and Mike Smith was brutal as well. Thing is, the Flyers are not going to run into bad goaltending when they take a huge step up in class in facing Ryan Miller and the Sabres. Buffalo is 9-2-1-0 and it’s no fluke. They’re tough as shoe leather and its defense is amongst the best in the business in terms of creating offense and preventing it. When the defense gets beat Miller will almost always bail them out and in order to beat the Sabres in Buffalo you pretty much have to be near flawless. Philly is just 5-5 over its last 10 games and have lost to every good team they’ve played over that stretch and you can add the Sabres to that group when this one is in the books. Play: Buffalo -½ +1.14 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Wunderdog

Game: Vancouver at Dallas (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Dallas -150 (moneyline)

Dallas has just three true losses in their first 15 games and sit at 6-3-6 for the season. Vancouver is not playing on the road as they did a year ago, coming into this one at just 3-5. That road mark is something the Stars have made quick work of as they have been 74-32-7 when they face a team with a road record of .400 or worse over their last 113! Dallas has never been a place for the Canucks to get healthy either as they are just 4-9 in their last 13 visits in Big D. This has also been a favorite-laden series with the favorite claiming the cash in each of their last four. There are a lot of indicators pointing to a Dallas win here, and a long term trend of nearly 70% is much better than the price offered here. Dallas gets the call.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

a.t.s. 4 unit la tech

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Lenny Del Genio's 15* Division Game of the Week is on Philadelphia - 12 hosting New Jersey.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Chris Jordan Saturday's winner ...
1,000? UNLV REBELS - I plan on having your complete breakdown on this Game of the Year winner by 8 p.m. eastern on Friday night. It will likely be earlier, so be sure to check back at the site throughout the day.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Ron Raymond

5* Hawks/Bobcats Over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Tony George

MINNESOTA T'WOLVES -2.5

Like the T Wolves here, especially in the frontcourt where they have contested the rim all season, and have only been out rebounded 1 time all year. Not sold on the Bucks young lineup and although Jennings is going to be special, not sure the consistent scoring across the board for Minny can be ignored. Bucks have lost both road games to date. Minny battle tested and came within 2 points of beating mighty Boston in here.

Play 1 Unit on Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Northcoast Powersweep
marq - under 51

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Ron Raymond

Hawks/Bobcats OVER 178.5

My number has this total landing on 188.20. (5*) Take the Over.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-6-09

Greg Shaker

Grizzlies/Lakers OVER 208

Know that the Lakers have demonstrated good D here at home for the last few years but with a couple of tough games on the road they are likely to enjoy this one against a lessor foe. Memphis is going to push the action because that is what they do and with young legs in and out of the lineup they are likely to do this for 60 minutes. Gasol's absense is going to help. This team can't even spell DEFENSE though and Kobe might have his biggest nite of the year. I have a 215 handicapped game here.