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Karl Garrett
40 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA EAGLES....10 DIMERS - GREEN BAY PACKERS, & HOUSTON TEXANS 40 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Dallas has won and covered their last pair of games since coming out of their bye week. I am sure lots of folks are once again buying into the Dallas name, but let's be real, beating a banged up Atlanta team, and rolling a Seattle team that stinks - both wins at home by the way - ain't exactly the same as going into division-rival Philly's den under the lights, and winning against the Eagles.
Dallas has not played well at all on the road, as it took them nearly 3 full quarters to get rolling at Tampa Bay before disposing of the winless Bucs. Then they lost outright at Denver, and had to use overtime to win at lowly Kansas City.
I don't trust this Cowboys team on the road at all.
Philly is capable of lighting things up with their talent on offense, just ask the Giants all about that, and Philadelphia is currently on a 2-0 run both straight up, and against the spread, and the Birds are 4-1 both SU & ATS their last 5 games overall.
Series numbers show Philadelphia having covered the last 3, and 5 of the last 6. Included is a 44-6 anihilation at the Linc last season.
Until Dallas actually shows some balls on the road, they are a go-against!
10 DIMER - GREEN BAY PACKERS
Sometimes a play like this play is as obvious as they come, and I am not going to outsmart myself here, as I see no chance the Buccaneers cover this number against Green Bay.
The Packers will be out for blood after losing at home to Brett Favre and the Vikings, and it is unlikely that Josh Freeman who is getting his 1st NFl start is going to dissect a Dom Capers defense.
Green Bay has put the screws to the Rams, Lions, and Browns already, so why won't they do the same to the winless Bucs?
Tampa has now lost 10 straight, and they have failed 6 straight on their home turf against the spread.
Green Bay is on a 17-7 road spread run, and they have covered both tries this season as a road favorite.
No chance for the Bucs to pull the upset here, and no chance they even stay close with the points.
High Roller: Cardinals.
Has Jay Cutler been the savior for the Bears? The 4-3 Bears are 20th in total offense as Cutler has 11 TDs, 11 picks. The wideouts are weak (and young) and the offensive line is terrible. The Bears certainly took a beating during last week's 30-6 win over the Cleveland Browns, particularly Cutler. RB Matt Forte has looked more like a tackling dummy this season. Twenty-one teams have allowed more sacks than Chicago (11) and the 30 quarterback hits ranks 15th. They reshuffled their rotation last week with Josh Beekman starting at left guard over Frank Omiyale, yet the results weren't promising. An ugly win did nothing to ease concerns brought on by back-to-back losses, including a 45-10 thumping at Cincinnati the previous week. There were problems in the red zone, where Chicago converted just two of seven trips inside the 20 into touchdowns, and problems keeping the quarterback on his feet. The Bears allowed four sacks against a Browns team that ranked dead last defensively entering the game. They face an Arizona defense that is improved against the run and likes to blitz. And this Cardinals (4-3 SU/ATS) offense is explosive behind QB Kurt Warner, WR Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and WR Steve Breaston, ranking 8th in the NFL in passing. They will do well against a Chicago secondary that has only 5 interceptions all season. The Bears have converted only 33.3 percent of their third-down opportunities on offense. The defense is without star LB Brian Urlacher, who will miss the rest of the season after undergoing surgery to repair his dislocated right wrist. The Bears had only 8 takeaways until getting 5 in Sundayâ??s 30-6 rout of the hapless Browns. The visitors have a big edge match-up wise and will carve up this secondary. Play the Cardinals!
I'm laying the points with New England on Sunday. The Patriots, along with the rest of the NFL-world were introduced to Miami's "Wildcat" offense on September 21, 2008. The Pats were a 12-point home favorite and were caught off guard, losing 38-13 in one of the ugliest losses of the Belichick-era. New England also didn't have Tom Brady in uniform...he was knocked out for the season in week-one. The Patriots had no problem at all the second time against the "Wildcat," thumping Miami 48-28 two months later as a two-point favorite. This time, the Patriots are off a bye-week, while the Dolphins were in a "heater" last Sunday against the Jets. Don't expect to see a new, "cute" offense from the Fins catching the Pats by surprise. Instead, we're likely going to see a huge game from Brady and his receiving corps. After all, Randy Moss and Wes Welker are going to be defended by a pair of rookie-corners. Belichick and the Pats with a week off to prepare for rookie corners? Are you kidding me? Miami's defense ranks just 19th overall this season with a pass defense that ranks 24th, allowing over 240-yards passing per game. The Dolphins have allowed 98-points in their last three games, almost 33 ppg. And Brady has been on fire over the last five games, including a 68% completion rate. This will be Miami's fourth straight emotionally-charged, and physical match over the last five weeks. I just don't think they're up to the task. Offensively, the Dolphins are challenged. Chad Henne really struggled on the road in last week's win over the Jets. Miami scored 30-points in a five-point win, but that was the most misleading score of the season. After all, the Dolphins were out-gained, 378-104. Yes, they had just 104-yards of offense. Henne completed just 12 of 21 passes for 112-yards, and he was sacked five times. This week, they'll face the league's sixth-ranked defense overall, and fifth-ranked pass defense. Belichick is as good as it gets planning out of a bye week and you can bet he'll have several man and zone "looks" to make Henne adjust on the fly. There are huge matchup advantages for the Patriots all over the field. They also owns a few "tech" advantages. Miami enters Sunday just 4-15 ATS off an upset win over a divisional opponent. They're also 1-9 ATS off a game where they averaged 3.5 yards per play or less. This team doesn't rebound well following a poor offensive performance. Look for New England to come out focused and determined off the bye week. I'm laying the points with New England, my Blockbuster Blowout GOY. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Cincinnati +3 over Baltimore
The Ravens have proven they can play offense this season, but in the process have lost a bit on defense. Cincinnati appears to be more balanced in this matchup and I expect big things from Benson running the rock today. The Bengals have a good size advantage and should get a big win at home. Take the Bengals.
Green Bay/Tampa Under 43.5
This game will showcase four really good cover cornerbacks. Green Bay will be without their starting center which will slow up the timing and rhythm on offense. The Bucs wide receivers are a little banged up and with a young QB its going to be hard to score touchdowns. Look for Tampa to play better today, but a lot of things would have to go right for this game to be high scoring. Take the Under.
Carolina +13 over Saints
Upset Alert!! The Panthers are coming off a big win and will need to win if they want any shot at a wildcard. New Orleans is really good, but half of their success is because of bad teams on their schedule and their defense scoring in every game this season. The Saints have some defensive line issues and will be going against a good Panthers Defense who plays New Orleans two times a year and knows Brees better than any other team in the league. It is hard to go undefeated and the pressure mounts more and more each week. The money line would be a huge play as it is +500. We have been on a roll and I think it is worth a shot! Take the Panthers and if you are feeling really lucky take the moneyline!
Philadelphia/Dallas Over 50
The Eagles have gone half the season without their patched up defense really being tested much. Today that all changes. Dallas has a huge size advantage on offense and will be going against a beat-up Eagles D-Line. Look for the Cowboys to run the ball at will which will set up Romo and the passing game. On offense the Eagles are young, but have tremendous playmakers. You cannot teach speed which Philly has a lot of. The Eagles will get Westbrook back tonight and there is going to be a lot of scoring. Take the Over.
st bernadines sports advisors -
randy and john aren't up yet so here is all there is for now
lillefty - 7-1 NFL run
1* carolina/new orleans over 51.5
New orleans is 13-3 to the over at home with Payton/Brees combo. Saints just continue to impress as the are averaging 38PPG this year. Comparisons to the 2007 Patriots are being made and rightfully so. The over has been highly profitable in saints games naturally going 5-2. What keys this one is we need Carolina to stay in the game here and I think they will do that. The Panthers have won 5 in a row in New Orleans, so they always play well there. Last week the Panthers may have found something as they stuffed the Cardinals in a game no one gave them a chance of winning in Arizona. They put up 34 points in that game and If they can get to 20 here which I think they will, this game should go over.
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