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Re: 11-11-09
Fantasysportsgametime
NHL
50* Play LA Kings (-190) over Carolina
50* Play Chicago (-160) over Colorado
Fantasysportsgametime
NHL
50* Play LA Kings (-190) over Carolina
50* Play Chicago (-160) over Colorado
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Re: 11-11-09
Black Widow
6* Widow Wise guy NBA Wednesday Night BLOOD BATH on Toronto Raptors -5(-110 at bodog)
The Raptors are having no problem scoring points this season, putting up 109.4 points/game. The Bulls, on the other hand, have been a mess offensively. Chicago is scoring just 88.6 points/game this year and they do not have what it takes to keep up with Toronto on the road Wednesday. Bulls' players will be tired after a hard-fought 89-90 home loss to the Denver Nuggets last night. The Bulls are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central division opponents. The Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The Raptors are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings with Chicago. Toronto has won the last 3 in this series, scoring 109, 134 and 114 points in the process. Take Toronto and lay the points.
4* on Dallas Mavericks -1(-115 at bodog)
Tony Parker and Tim Duncan are both doubtful to play for San Antonio Wednesday. Whenever you take away a team's 2 best players, it's really a no-brainer to side with the other team, especially Dallas who have opened the season 5-2 and appear to be a force in the West again this season. Dallas is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with San Antonio. So the Mavs already have the Spurs' number, and when you take away Parker and Duncan tonight there's no reason that Dallas shouldn't continue their dominance of San Antonio in this series. Take Dallas and lay the points.Comment
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Re: 11-11-09
Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Wed, 11/11/09 - 7:05 PM •~
dime bet 704 TOR -5.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 703 CHI
Analysis: NBA - 703 Chicago Bulls @ 704 Toronto Raptors
So far in the season it has been unbelievable how “our” teams have suffered letdowns in the second half of the games ruining some solid plays. The Wizards were leading by 73-71 with 5 minutes to go just to lose by 14 points or the Kings and the Thunder combined to score 160 points after the third quarter just to score 39 points in the final quarter. We have to move and expect more “regular performances” through the games.
For this game we have two teams who are in opposite sides. The Raptors are known for their offense and the Bulls for their defense. The Raptors as I've already said before are a scoring machine, as all their 5 players on the court can create their own shot. So far in the season they scored always above the century mark in points and with a good ball movement I expect them to create good opportunities to score tonight against the Bulls. The problem is their unbelievable bad perimeter defense and they are also a bad rebounding team. For some reason they allowed 129 and 131 points in their last two games and we must take in account that the Mavs shot 10-20 behind the arc and the Spurs 14-28! Tonight against the Bulls, I don’t expect them to suddenly have a suffocating defense on the court, but the good news is that the Bulls are struggling right now on the offensive end especially in the long range.
They are dead last in the league in 3pts % with just 25.27 % - by the way the Raptors are the third best with 42.86 % and so, the Raptors can focus more in protecting the paint. I know that the Bulls are a good defensive team and their numbers say~ so, however they had a tough game last night at home against the Nuggets and head coach Vinny Del Negro didn’t rotate properly his roster. Joakim Noah played 42:30 minutes; Derrick Rose 39:02; Luol Deng 39:33 and Derrick Rose 39:02 minutes. Being a good defensive team is a team concept, but it’s hard to defend at their best when they're tired and that’s what is happening with the Bulls for tonight’s game. The Raptors are fired up for this game after such huge losses on the road and they will face a good Bulls team, but who is in a awfully bad spot. I’m taking the Raptors in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 704 Toronto Raptors (-5,5)
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Andre Gomes | NBA Total Wed, 11/11/09 - 7:35 PM •~
dime bet 705 ATL / 706 NYK Over 207.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: This is a play that I’ve already decided while watching the Jazz/Knicks. Yes, it’s hard to watch the Knicks playing these days, but I saw good signs of them especially in the second half. The reason is simply: Mike D’Antoni decided to bench their PG Chris Duhon and with the rookie Tony Douglas on the court, the Knicks finally played decent basketball. The best way to describe these two players is to look to their stats: Duhon played 28 minutes and scored 8 points for 2-7 from the field performance and his +/- team points numbers were a dismal -15 points. Meanwhile, Douglas saw 23 minutes of action, scored 21 points, while shooting 9-14 FG and with a +5 points impact for the team. Duhon did not play in the fourth quarter and not surprisingly the Knicks scored 33+29 points versus just 31 points in the entire first half!! For tonight's game, I expect Duhon to be the starter, but if he starts struggling again, D’Antoni won’t surely wait very long to insert Douglas in the court.
Meanwhile, the Hawks are a special team regarding the way they play. I've already have said that they can compete in each way. They can defeat the Blazers by 97-91 in a slow half court game or they can defeat the Nuggets by 125-100 in a wild open game. It is their opponents who dictates the pace and with the Knicks being their opponents for tonight, I expect the game to be a fast tempo game. The Hawks are ranked 4th in fast break points averaging 15.7 points per game and they will have a lot of opportunities tonight.
My fair line for this game is 210/212 points and we have a lower line for this contest due to the low outcomes involving the Kni~cks, but like I said, I expect them be more assertive tonight, while the Hawks will keep the pace. Take the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705/706 Over 207,5
©2009 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Wed, 11/11/09 - 8:05 PM •~
dime bet 713 DEN -3.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 714 MIL
Analysis: I believe that the Denver Nuggets are underrated for this game due to the perception that this is a powe~rful letdown spot for them. I know that this is the final game of a brutal road trip and last night they faced the Bulls in a tight ballgame and so, they may accuse some fatigue, but unlike the Bulls for example, we are dealing with a deep roster and a complete team. Note that the only player who topped the 40-minutes mark was Nene with exactly 40 minutes and for example Billups played “just” 33 minutes or Carmelo “just” 36 minutes. Also JR Smith returned yesterday and the Nuggets have a nice bench with Lawson, JR Smith, Chris Andersen and Anthony Carter, so we can expect them to be competitive tonight.
Meanwhile, the Bucks are an overrated team in my opinion for this contest. They are 3-2 right now and they're coming from back to back wins against the Wolves and the Knicks. According to my rankings, they are the best defensive team of the league right now, as they've always allowed less than 99 points in their games. In fact in their last 4 games they've allowed 87, 72, 83 and 85 points, however in my opinion this is just a situational spot because they are yet to face a potent offensive team like the Nuggets are. Of all their opponents so far in the season, the best rated offensive team are the Sixers, who are just 11th on my offensive rankings. Coincidently or not, it was the Sixers who scored 99 points against the Bucks. All the other teams are ranked 20th or worst in my offensive ratings, so the Bucks defensive unit despite being a decent unit, they are not the best defensive team of the league and tonight the Nuggets will show that.
At the same time, the Bucks offense has been awful, as they are the third worst offense of the league and they've only reached the century mark in points once. I understand that their defense kept them on the games, but while facing the Nuggets, you can’t expect them to hold the Nuggets offense to the 70 or 80 points and so you have to score and this team without Michael Redd isn’t a good offensive team. Rookie Brandon Jennings and Andrew Bogut can make some good performances, but while facing a team like the Nuggets, the challenge is too much for them right now. Take the Nuggets in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713 Denver Nuggets (-3,5)
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Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Wed, 11/11/09 - 8:05 PM •~
dime bet 717 CLE 1.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 718 ORL
Analysis: This is a special game for the Cavaliers, as only the Orlando Magic stopped them last season from reaching the NBA Finals and so this is a huge sentimental and revenge game for the Cavs.
Besides that, the Cavs have also a pretty favorable spot for today, as they had 4 days off to rest and to prepare this game, while the Magic will play a back to back tonight, as they played last night on the road against the Bobcats in a tough game.
If you remember, the Cavs had tremendous problems last season in matching up the Magic because Orlando was playing with Hedo Turkoglu and Rashard Lewis at the SF and PF positions and these players spread the floor and gave the Magic a huge edge on the perimeter, because the Cavs couldn't concentrate their focus in defending Howard and at the same time defend the perimeter, as Varejao simply couldn’t defend Lewis. Luckily for the Cavs, Lewis is still suspended for tonight’s contest and his natural replacement Ryan Anderson is injured and out for this ga~me and so, Brandon Bass will play tonight at the PF position. Despite being a good player, Bass isn’t a good perimeter player and so the Magic will be using a more typical lineup tonight and this will help the Cavs’ defensive unit. For the Magic, Vince Carter is hobbling with an ankle injury and he is not playing at his best and suddenly we have a Magic team who is far from being playing at their best.
Meanwhile, the Cavs have been inconsistent as well, but they have the emotional edge on their side and a better physical spot. As I expect a better matchup for the Cavs tonight due to the Magic absences, I believe that the Cavs have a great shot to finally beat the Magic in Orlando and I don’t think that they will miss this chance tonight. Take Cleveland in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 717 Cleveland Cavaliers (+1)
©2009 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Wed, 11/11/09 - 10:35 PM •~
dime bet 723 NOH 6.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 724 PHO
Analysis: This is a pure anti public play, as I will go against the red hot Suns team in this contest. First of all, this isn’t a good spot for them, as they were involved in a long road trip in the East by playing 6 games in just 9 days and then they had only one day off to rest and to prepare this home game against the Hornets.
Despite the poor record of 3-5, the Hornets are a dangerous team and they have been a terrible matchup for the Suns lately and this won’t change tonight. As good as Steve Nash has been playing right now, the Hornets have Chris Paul and CP3's quickness and explosiveness was a tough matchup for Nash in the past and this won’t surely change tonight because CP3 has been putting some impressive numbers as well this season.
The Hornets struggled this season in the battle for the rebounds, as they are the 6th worst rebounding team in the league and they were constantly outrebounded by their opponents who had too many second opportunities. The good news for them is that the Suns are a poor rebounding team as well. In fact they are the 8th worst team in this department and so, the Hornets won’t suffer of such handicap tonight. New Orleans are coming from a easy win by 112-84 in their last game and Byron Scott inserted Peja Stojakovic in the starting lineup and Peja didn’t disappoint, as he shot 5-11 from the field. This is important for them becau~se while facing the Suns, you get many open wild shots and with a confident Peja on the court, the Hornets have their own weapons to outscore the Suns.
This game will likely turn into a ballgame decided only down the stretch and despite the Suns have the momentum on their side, I think both teams have the same chances to win this game, as the Hornets due to the stellar play of Chris Paul down the stretch can always give the win to his team. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Hornets win outright this game and I’m taking them tonight.
Pick: 1 unit on 723 New Orleans Hornets ML @ +340
Pick: 2 units on 723 New Orleans Hornets (+6,5)
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Andre Gomes | NBA Total Wed, 11/11/09 - 10:35 PM •~
dime bet 725 OKL / 726 LAC Over 185.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: These two teams are coming fro~m disappointing performances and they look to bounce back tonight. I was surprised to see such low totals line in here and we have some room to work with the Over, as my fair line is 189/192 points.
Last night the Thunder lost in Sacramento by 98-101 and we got a push in our over play, however note that the Thunder played awfully bad basketball, as they shot only 39.7 % from the field. Russell Westbrook was a disaster by shooting 3-13 FG; Sefolosha 1-7 FG and Kevin Durant only 9-23 from the field. Still, the Thunder were able to score 98 points due to their aggressiveness and the high pace of the game. The Clippers play in a fast pace as well and so we will see a relatively entertaining game tonight and I naturally expect Durant and Westbrook to have better numbers tonight.
Meanwhile, the Clippers are coming from a huge 84-112 loss against the Hornets and they struggled in both ends of the floor. They shot only 43% from the field; 27.8 % from 3pts and just 55% from the charity stripe. Baron Davis shot 3-10 FG and even Chris Kaman who is having a stellar season shot just 6-12 from the field. Like the Thunder, I expect the Clippers to offer a better performance tonight and be more aggressive on the floor. With both teams in a bounce back mode, according to my pace prediction my fair line is 190 points and we have enough edge to pull the trigger with the Over. Take the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 725/726 Over 185,5Comment
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Re: 11-11-09
Tom Freese
10* "NO BRAINER" PLAY
Matchup: Hawks at Knicks
Time: 7:35pm ET
Pick: HAWKS -5.5 (-110)
Analysis: Atlanta is 18-7-1 ATS their last 26 games as favorites and they are 6-1-1 ATS their last 8 games overall. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS their 5 games as favorites of 5.0 to 10.5 and they are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. New York is 2-6 ATS their last 8 games as underdogs and they are 1-4 ATS off an ATS win. The Knicks are 0-6 ATS their last 6 games vs. Eastern Conference teams and they are 1-5 ATS on Wednesday.
10* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON ATLANTA
Record:10-14
Net Units: +17.90
ROI: 13.17%Comment
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Re: 11-11-09
Craig Davis Wednesday's Lineup
50 Dime --- NUGGETS
Was so glad to see the Nuggets struggle with the Bulls in Chicago last night, and if not for a micro-second worth of time, the Nuggets would find themselves in the middle of a three-game losing streak. Lucky for them the NBA has instant replay, and they walk out of Chicago with a 90-89 win. Another sloppy performance offensively for Denver, but you absolutely know this can't continue. We all know what the Nuggets are capable of doing on offense, and it's only going to be a matter of time before they bust out for one of those 110+ point performances. Well, I believe that night is tonight.
Other than maybe the center position, the Nuggets are clearly better at every other position on the floor and should win this thing by at least 10 points tonight, if not more. Yes, I'm aware that the Bucks are 3-2 overall and 2-0 at home at the Bradley Center, but a closer look at their competition finds rather soft opponents, for the most part. Three of the five teams Milwaukee has played so far are under .500 and two of them are 1-7 (Minnesota and New York) for a combined opponents' record of 12-25. Denver, on the other hand, has played 8 games already and the combined record of their opponents is 23-25... and although it's not great, it's a lot better than 12-25... especially if you consider their last three opponents have a combined record of 15-6.
The last time these two hooked up in Milwaukee was February 22 of 2009. Milwaukee won that game 120-117, but this was their lineup back then... Charlie Villanueva, Richard Jefferson, Ramon Sessions, Joe Alexander and Francisco Elson. Those five alone poured in 94 of the Bucks' 120 points that night. Tonight's lineup will look nothing like that. Villanueva is in Detroit. Jefferson is in San Antonio. Alexander is hurt and won't play. Sessions is in Minnesota and Elson is currently on the inactive list. So the lineup Denver sees tonight will be completely different, and a LOT less experienced than last year's. Let's take a look.
First off we have C Andrew Bogut. He's the only proven player on this squad... a player who can score and eat up space in the middle, grabbing boards and blocking shots. He's a true difference maker and cannot be taken lightly by this Nuggets squad. After that, however, is where it gets dicey for HC Scott Skiles and his Milwaukee Bucks. Here were your five starters from Milwaukee's last two games... and please try not to laugh. Charlie Bell, Brandon Jennings, Carlos Delfino, Hakim Warrick, and Andrew Bogut. So, other than Bogut, how many of those names do you even recognize? Seriously, this starting lineup pales in comparison to Denver's... and it's not even close.
Denver will trot out their usual suspects... Carmelo Anthony, Chauncey Billups, Nene Hilario, Kenyon Martin, J.R. Smith... not to mention reserves Anthony Carter, Aaron Afflalo, Ty Lawson, Renaldo Balkman. Folks, this team is freaking loaded, and this is just the type of matchup Denver has been needing since coming on this road trip. After games with Chicago, Miami and Atlanta, it's going to be very nice for them to visit a team like Milwaukee... a team that is clearly rebuilding. It's going to take nothing short of a miracle for Milwaukee to keep this game within 10 points tonight... they just don't have the horses to keep up.
And for those of you telling me that Denver is going to come in "tired", having played five straight games away from home... give me a break. Who cares? It's not like this is April. This is November... these guys are fresh. Shoot, they could probably handle it just fine even if it was April, but just knowing this is the start of the season makes me know that this argument doesn't hold any water. Denver's bench is deep and they're starting to get everyone back from injury and suspension. This could be the best lineup they've thrown at a team all season --- poor Milwaukee. I really do feel sorry for them today.
Despite being held under 100 points in two of their last three games, the Nuggets still average 107 PPG as compared to Milwaukee's 90 points per game. Denver also shoots better from the field and better from the line, not to mention the fact they don't turn the ball over as much as Milwaukee does. Denver is one of the best in the NBA in converting turnovers into points, and if this games goes how I think it will, Denver could end up with around 30-35 points off Milwaukee turnovers.
Denver has covered 13 times in the last 17 games with Milwaukee and has covered 17 of the last 24 overall, dating back to last year. Coming off of a few ugly performances, you know they want to end this road trip in style... with a concnving win. They should have no problem doing. Forget the football tonight... the money is to be made on the hardwood tonight, a I'm the only capper you should trust. Top play of the month in the NBA on the Denver Nuggets.Comment
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Re: 11-11-09
Lenny Del Genio
Utah vs. Boston
While laying double-digits in the NBA is never much fun, it is warranted in this matchup. Utah is just 8-18 ATS on the road when playing teams with a winning record the last two seasons and is likely to be without PG and team leader, Deron Williams, who sat out this morning's shoot around according to the Salt Lake Tribune. The Jazz are averaging five less points per game on the road compared to their season average, losing to Denver and Houston by an average of 10 PPG. Boston, who is an older team, is in a great spot having not played since Saturday. They are 30-20 ATS last their last 50 games when playing with three or more days rest. The Celtics opened the season with three straight covers, winning those games by an average of over 20 PPG. Since that time, they have failed to cash four of five. However, they are playing great defense, allowing just 84.4 PPG, a league best. Utah allows over 102 PPG on the road and Boston's average margin of victory is over 16 PPG at home this season.
Boston is our 15* Non-Conference Game of the Week.Comment
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Re: 11-11-09
Hi Zac, just wondering if you're able to get Vegas Runners picks?
Thank youComment
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