11-12-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W ido w W is eg uy B ears/49 ers Th ursd ay Ni gh t S LAUG HT ER on C hic ago B ea rs +3(+112 at 5dimes)

We'll take the points here Thursday as the Bears travel to San Francisco to take on a 49ers' team that has lost 4 straight games. Chicago is sitting at 4-4 and still has a shot to finish the season strong and catch a wild card spot, while San Francisco at 3-5 doesn't have a whole lot to play for as they enter the second half of the season. What seemed to be one of the best defenses in the league to start the season, the 49ers' stop unit has been absolutely torched in their last 4 games. With starting CB's Nate Clements and Walt Harris out due to injury, teams have been able to move the ball through the air at will on this 49ers' secondary. They allowed 329 passing yards to Matt Ryan in a 10-45 home loss, 246 passing yards to Matt Schaub in a road loss, and 349 yards to Peyton Manning in another road loss. Tennessee beat them in a variety of different ways last week in a 27-34 home loss. A big reason they scored 34 points was due to 4 turnovers by this 49ers' offense, including 3 interceptions from Alex Smith. San Francisco is in shambles right now at the QB position. Smith makes more plays, but he also makes more mistakes. They have committed 11 turnovers in their last 4 games. Chicago has an opportunistic defense that has forced 2 or more turnovers in 5 of their last 7 games. Both teams are pretty evenly matched defensively, but the edge has to go to the Bears on offense. Chicago has a new-found passing game under Jay Cutler, as they throw for 242 passing yards/game. Cutler should have a field day against this 49ers' defense that allows 241 passing yards/game on the season, and whose pass defense has really been awful of late. Cutler will make more plays than Smith against a beat-up 49ers' secondary, and that will be the difference in this game. The Bears are a PERFECT 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Chicago gets a much-needed win Thursday to get back in the playoff hunt. Take the Bears and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* W ise gu y US F/R utg ers E SP N B ig E ast B rawl on R utg ers -2(-110 at bodog)

These are two very evenly matched teams as Rutgers and South Florida both own identical 6-2 records. The advantage has to go to the home squad in the Scarlet Knights Thursday as they pick up that signature win they've been craving. Knowing that Rutgers dominated USF 46-19 on the road last season also gives plenty of reason to like the Scarlet Knights Thursday. USF hasn't changed much from last year, except now they are playing without starting QB Matt Grothe. This Rutgers' defense is one of the best in the Big East, and they are very opportunistic. The Scarlet Knights have forced 2 or more turnovers in 6 straight games. During this 6-game stretch, they have forced a total of 21 turnovers for an average of 3.5 turnovers/game. South Florida has committed 2 or more turnovers in 4 of their last 5 games, being very sloppy with the ball. They have only forced 3 turnovers in their last 3 games. In a game between two evenly matched teams, turnovers normally decide the outcome. With the evidence provided, Rutgers will likely force USF and freshman QB BJ Daniels into more mistakes and that will be the difference in this game. Tom Savage has been very efficient for Rutgers, throwing 8 touchdowns to just 1 interception this season. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. This hasn't been a very pleasant stage for South Florida to say the least. USF is 4-11 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. The Scarlet Knights are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Take Rutgers and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

ATS
teaser
chicago bears and the over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
(All Basketball Plays are 1/3 of your average football wager)
Cavs -2 over Heat

BobBalfe.com now of Facebook! Click here

College Football
Ball State +17.5 over Northern Illinois
It would be a challenge to find one person who bet on Ball State tonight. Northern Illinois is getting close to 90% of the money. This Ball State team has players on it from last year when they were ranked #12 in the nation coming into the season. Ball State is at 1-8 on the year and I don’t want to state that they are a good 1-8 team because 1-8 is horrible, but they have been in a lot of close games and I think they deserve a little bit more respect with this number considering they have owned NUI in the past few meetings. Northern Illinois has some QB issues which should be too much of a concern however its hard to get on an offense roll when players don’t know who will start and when a QB doesn’t get all his reps in practice. I am not calling an upset, but I do think Ball State plays it closer than the line is set. Take Ball State.

Rutgers -2 over South Florida
Rutgers has win the past few meetings when South Florida had Matt Grothe at QB now today they have a backup freshman who can run the ball well, but they will be missing their top receiver this season. Rutgers is good at stopping the run and if they can contain B.J Daniels they should win this game. Rutgers has struggled on offense a bit this season, but I like what they have done the last two weeks on the road. Look for the Rutgers defense to force Daniels into mistake situations. Take Rutgers.

NFL Football
Bears +3 over 49ers
Alex Smith was a former #1 pick in the NFL and is getting his second shot to prove he is a winner. So far to date he has not proven that. He has been better, but you first have to get the feeling of being a winner before you can be favorites in a game. Look for Jay Cutler to have a field day against a bad 49ers pass defense that will be even worst with Nate Clements sidelined for this game. The 49ers have offensive weapons, but without their starting Left Tackle and a QB who has proved nothing the edge clearly goes to the Bears. Look for TE Greg Olsen to have a big day. Take the Bears.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS....10 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 30 DIMER - RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS

I just feel like this is such a "trap line", as I don't have any faith at all in this South Florida team on the road.

The Bulls are one of the most undisciplined teams I have seen this season. They like racking up the penalties, and they also have a tendency to turn the ball over just when you least expect it.

That is a bad combination against anybody, but when you are playing a conference rival you turned it over 6 times against last season at home in a 49-16 loss as the 8-point chalk, it is a deadly combo.

Rutgers has been rolling, coming up with road wins and covers at Army, and Connecticut their last 2 games.

The Knights are also 6-1 straight up their last 7 games, and have won the last 3 series meetings, covering the last pair. Freshman QB Savage has gotten better each week, and while his counterpart QB Daniels is electric at time, he is prone to the big mistake that will kill this Bulls team tonight.

With this being the only home game for Rutgers until their season-finale on December 5th, I will side with the host to take it.

10 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

At the start of the season this Thursday night game looked like a winner, but with both teams on a downswing, it doesn't exactly smack of "must see" tv!

Still, I love the chance to make some loot on the home team, as Chicago is struggling in so many areas - offensive line, defensive line, injured players, QB throwing his usual array of interceptions - not to mention a 1-3 mark this year away from home that I just cannot take the Bears plus the points.

I know San Francisco has lost 4 straight, but there is an upside to the Niners in my mind, as I am sure former Bears player Mike Singletary is chomping at the bit to go against his former team, and the Niners do have a healthy Frank Gore along with rookie Michael Crabtree getting more experience under his belt. That doesn't even include TE Vernon Davis having a Pro Bowl type of season to date!

The time is right for the 49ers to snap their 4-game skid, as San Fran is a TD better than Chicago tonight.

Take the Niners minus the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

Trace Adams

Kudos to South Florida for the upset win over West Virginia at home back on October 30th, and while red-shirt freshman QB Daniels looked dynamite in that win over the Mountaineers, that win did come at HOME. I don't think on a blustery night in North Jersey he will have the same kind of success that he had a few Friday's ago.



Rutgers has been getting better under true-frosh Savage to direct the Scarlet Knights into the end-zone on a more frequent basis than his counterpart, especially when you consider the fact the Bulls usually shoot themselves in the foot with turnovers, and penalties - SoFla simply untrustworthy!



Last year Rutgers went into Tampa and rolled to a 49-16 win as the 8-point dog thanks in part to 6 turnovers by the Bulls. That made it 3 straight series wins for the Knights, and covers in the last pair.



Rutgers lone loss in their last 7 games comes at home to Pittsburgh under the Friday night lights on 10/16. I expect the Scarlet Knights to be ready to contain Daniels in this one, as they have had an extra-week to game plan the youngster, and I fully expect the team from New Jersey to hand the Bulls their 3rd loss in 4 games.



Take Rutgers in this near-pick contest.



1500? - Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Trace Adams

[rhg111]

Re: 11-12-09

ATS
teaser
chicago bears and the over

is this the lock service?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

ATS
teaser
chicago bears and the over

is this the lock service?

yes

[Ocean808]

Re: 11-12-09

Hi Zac, It's me again bugging you for VRs picks.

Thanks in advance.

[rhg111]

Re: 11-12-09

[quote=IWS Zak]

ATS
teaser
chicago bears and the over

is this the lock service?

yes[/quote:25ju910k]

thank you sir--they've been on a roll.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
NCAA Football
2 (**) Miami-Ohio Under 57.5
NFL Football
2 (**) San Francisco -3

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
Todays Selections
NBA Basketball
2 (**) Phoenix +7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

SOUTH FLORIDA -1.5

For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on visitors: The Scarlet Knights forced six turnovers in a 49-16 win in Tampa last season—the Bulls’ widest margin of defeat since joining the Big East and their third straight loss overall; suffice to say, I expect South Florida to play with "revenge" on its mind this evening.

Last time out the Bulls opened up the playbook for QB B.J. Daniels against West Virginia and the result was his third 100-yard rushing game of the season and also passed for three TD's.

South Florida possesses a couple of the best pass-rushing duo's in the leauge in DEs George Selvie and Jason Pierre-Paul and I expect them to keep Rutgers QB Tom Savage on his toes all evening.

Remember, the Bulls are 7-2 SU their last nine and dating back to last season 8-4 SU their last 12 on the road.

On the other side of the field: With four games left in the regular season, the Scarlet Knights are officially out of the Big East title race.

Savage has grown into his starting roll, but is still very raw; this time last year he was a high-school senior.

The Scarlet Knights have struggled to generate a consistent ground attack, particularly in short-yardage spots around the goal line.

Keep in mind that Rutgers is 0-4 ATS at home this season.

Bottom line: “Rutgers was definitely a game that we marked on our calendars after how they beat us last year,” Daniels said. “We are doing the things that we need to do to get ready and we just have to execute come game time.”

Look for SOUTH FLORIDA to play with a concerted effort on both sides of the ball tonight as they look to erase their three game losing streak to the Scarlet Knights and improve to 3-2 ATS its last five as an underdog as Rutgers falls to 1-4 ATS as a favorite!

*9* SOUTH FLORIDA.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

Tony George

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -3

The Bear defense is deplorable right now and even Alex Smith at QB can pick apart this secondary. Da Bears are allowing 4.9 yards per carry, and that is what San Fran is rushing for per carry! Expect to see San Fran pound the rock and move the chains, and open up the middle seas mfr passing lanes to expose. San Fran at home as well, long road trip for the Bears, who are off a very bad game where they were shredded on defense. The Bears lost their last road game by 35 points.

Play 1 Unit on San Fran. thanks and good luck..Tony G.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

Marc Lawrence

MIAMI-OHIO +3.5

When the RedHawks host the Falcons in MAC play Thursday night at Fred C. Yager Stadium they will do so knowing they are 8-1 SU and ATS in this series, including 4-0 SU and ATS as a dog. From our powerful database we find that college football home dogs playing off one loss exact as a road dog of more than 14 points in which they covered the spread are 11-4-1 ATS (7-0-1 ATS last eight) if they won their previous game SU as a home dog, including 5-0 ATS from Game Ten out. With Bowling Green off an 'inside-out-win' in which they were outstatted by 50 yards, and Miami off an inside-out-loss' in which they won the stats by 111 yards, we'll grab the points here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Miami Ohio.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-09

Rocketman

DALLAS STARS +165

Dallas always seems to step it up a notch against teams with a winning record. Dallas is 25-18 SU and ATS at San Jose since 1996 including 6-4 SU and ATS at San Jose last 3 years. Dallas won the last meeting in San Jose 4-1 back in March of this year. Sharks are 7-23 in their last 30 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Sharks are 1-7 in their last 8 Thursday games. Stars are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in San Jose. Road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. We'll play Dallas for 4 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.