11-13-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Kyle Bales

11-5 (68%) this week.


NBA:


Portland Trailblazers at New Orleans Hornets


Write-up:

After a slow start Hornets Coach Byron Scott was fired and replaced
with general manager Jeff Bower who will make his head coaching debut
tonight. Things will not be easy in Bowers first game as these two
teams are going in opposite directions. The Blazers shot superbly
(.553 from the field, .400 from three-point range, .867 at the line)
against Minnesota Wednesday night and won the rebound battle 41-29 and
had 30 assists. Greg Oden played superb scoring 18 and grabbing 11
rebounds in 26 minutes. The biggest news that in the first time in his
NBA career he committed no fouls! The Hornets have not played well at
home this season with narrow victories against the Kings and the
Mavericks (in overtime) and got blown out by the Raptors in their last
home game. Portland is 4-0 since coach Nate McMillan switched the
starting lineup, using point guards Steve Blake and Andre Miller in
the backcourt, moving Brandon Roy to small forward with LaMarcus
Aldridge at power forward and Greg Oden at center. This lineup will
wreak havoc on this Hornet team tonight.

Prediction:

New Orleans - 89

Portland Trailblazers - 99


Play On:

15* Portland Trailblazers -1.5






Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets

Do you think the Nuggets have been looking forward to this one? Losing
to the Lakers 4-2 in last spring's Western Conference finals, it is
still fresh on their minds. "Just keeping that in the back of my
mind," said Carmelo Anthony, "I kept harping that we lost and we were
two games away from getting where we wanted to be. I know I used that
as motivation this summer to get better, to work harder." Nuggets
forward Kenyon Martin has said on several occasions since last spring
he believes Denver had the better team last summer and still does. The
Nuggets lost two games in the final seconds when they threw away
inbound passes. "We thought if we played a little bit better, we
could've gotten to the Finals," said Nuggets coach George Karl. "If we
had gotten to the Finals, we think we could've been fortunate in
catching a team like Orlando that we felt we could've competed
against." Karl was right about the Magic as the Lakers coasted to
another championship winning 4-1. The Nuggets can be as optimistic as
they want but they still have to lace up their sneakers and prove it.
Denver is coming home off a long six game road trip as we caught this
tired team last game winning a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks +3.5,
an outright winner. Denver is a good team, but you just can't give
this great Laker team points.

Prediction:

Los Angeles Lakers - 109

Denver Nuggets - 97


Play On:

10* Los Angeles Lakers +3
NOTE: Game is on ESPN





CFB:


#23 West Virginia Mountaineers at #5 Cincinnati Bearcats


After a big 47-45 game last week against UConn, Cincinnati QB Zach
Collaros earned Big East Offensive Player of the Week honors after
breaking a Big East Conference record with 555 yards of total offense.
Collaros was 29-of-37 for 480 yards and a touchdown as well as rushing
for 75 yards and two more scores. The Bearcats spread-no-huddle
offense ranks third nationally with 482.6 yards per game. This does
not boast well for the Mountaineers secondary having already been lit
up by Uconn and Auburn for at least over 300 years in the air this
year. After Tony Pike went down on Oct 15th, Collaros added a new
dimension to Cincinnati’s offense by running for 132 yards and two
touchdowns on 10 carries in the 34-17 win. In three starts since then,
Collaros has gone 66 for 82 for 1,028 yards and eight touchdowns
without an interception. On Monday Cincinnati coach Brian Kelly named
a now healthy Pike as the starter for tonight's game but changed his
mind on Tuesday naming Collaros the starter. Pike will get some snaps
tonight and Kelly states that Pike will likely start Nov 27th against
Illinois. I see this as being even more incentive for Collaros to come
out firing and having a huge game to get the ball coach thinking
again. Last week things got scary for West Virginia as star running
back Noel Devine (Ranked #13 nationally) injured his ankle.
Quarterback Jarrett Brown also suffered a similar injury but coach
Bill Stewart said he’s optimistic both players will play this week.
“They both should be ready,” Stewart said. “Jarrett should be ready
quicker than Noel; I don’t know if Noel will play or not. He should if
treatments go well.” Cincinnati allowed 201 yards rushing last week.
If that happens tonight against West Virginia, it could be a big blow
to the Bearcats national title hopes. After a rare 45 point defensive
letdown last week look for the UC defense to really step it up
tonight. I have no doubt in my mind that Cincinnati will throw over
400 yards passing tonight. Need anymore incentive? The Bearcats look
for their first 10-0 start in school history tonight.


Prediction:

West Virginia - 10

Cincinnati - 37


Play On:

10* Cincinnati Bearcats -8.5 (play up to -10)
We have won 7 straight CFB Games Monitored!

NOTE: One of the advantages of being a client is the ability to get
these games early and get the best line.






CBB:


Cleveland St. Vikings at St. Bonaventure Bonnies

I look for the public to be all over Cleveland St. tonight after last
season’s first-round NCAA Tournament upset of Wake Forest. That will
be a feat this season after losing All-Conference players Cedric
Jackson and J’Nathan Bullock and two other important seniors. The
Bonnies however return four starters from last year’s 15-15 squad that
recorded their first .500 season in six years and a berth in the
Atlantic 10 Championship for the first time since the league expanded
to 14 teams in 2005. This team of then freshmen and newcomers will
enter this season more experienced, more confident and hungry to
improve the A-10. “There was negativity when I first took over but I
think the students, community and alumni are behind us again and, as
you know, Bonaventure basketball is extremely important up here.”
Coach Mark Schmidt sais on the improving perception of the program. I
expect a good home crowd tonight as the Bonnies win this game
outright.


Prediction:

N/A


Play On:

5* St. Bonaventure Bonnies +1
NOTE: I could see this game going to +2 or higher by gametime.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Black Widow

6* Widow Wise guy WVU/Cincinnati ESPN 2 "Total" BLOWOUT on WVU/Cincinnati OVER 53.5(-105 at 5dimes)

With two explosive offenses Friday, the final score of this game should fly well OVER the posted total with no problem. Cincinnati just played in a shootout with Connecticut, edging out the Huskies 47-45 to remain unbeaten. We do not foresee 90 combined points in this one, but it's not out of the question to say the least. The Bearcats are scoring 40.0 points/game overall and 46.5 points/game at home. They'll take care of most of this total on their own. WVU scores 28.3 points/game on the season which is respectable, and defensively they have been poor on the road in allowing 28.0 points/game. Both teams have put up at least 23 points each in their last 2 meetings. We see that trend continuing tonight. The OVER is 7-0 in Mountaineers last 7 games as an underdog. The reason they are an underdog tonight is because Cincinnati cannot be tamed offensively. The OVER is 17-6 in Mountaineers last 23 games in November. The OVER is 5-1 in Bearcats last 6 games in November. Look for both offenses to be on top of their games tonight now that we are in the stretch run of the season. Take the OVER 53.5 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Wunderdog Horse Selections

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #1 at 12:40 PM Eastern

Top pick: #1 (CHAPEL AFFAIR) - Filly by "Chapel Royal" takes a big drop this afternoon for a top outfit (Ken McPeek). Connections have been trying to find the level where she can pick-up her maiden win, and this looks like it. Stalker can win this with a clean break from the tricky rail post at this flat mile.

2nd pick: #8 (Pata Fresca) - One of two entered here by trainer Helen Pitts and they'll race as separate interests. She's finished on the board in all three of her outings including a pair at this eight-furlong trip. Pace here looks a bit quick for the claiming level and that helps this filly's style out.

3rd pick: #3 (Ask Don't Tell) - The second of the Pitt's trained fillies appears to be the main-speed. If allowed to clear off early she could prove very tough to catch, as speed has done well here at this distance early in the meet.

4th pick: #6 (How Regal) - Competitive in many of her 15 starts, it's obvious that at this stage that she's not going to improve much, so what you see is what you get. Has enough ability and experience in a weak field to get a piece of this.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

charlie
ncaaf & nba. west vs @ cincy over 55, temple @ akron over 44' & nba. sacramento+4. (500* 3 TEAM TRIPLE PLAY)
ncaaf. west va+9' (30*)
ncaaf. temple-4' (20*)
nba. nets+15' (20*)
nba. knicks-1 (10*)
nba. hawks+8 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Mr. East 11/13

MREAST NCAAF FRIDAY UNDER THE RADAR SPECIAL

#115 W. VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS @ #116 CINCINNATI BEARCATS 8:00PM EST

PLAY ON #115 W. VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS @ #116 CINCINNATI BEARCATS OVER 54 -110 FOR 4 UNITS

This is obviously a big game for both teams as Cincinnati is trying to stay unbeaten, and see if they can make a move toward a Championship Game if someone stumbles, and West Virginia with just 1 conference loss can draw even with the Bearcats with a win. The one thing that stands out to me in this game, is neither defense has been able to stop a good offense. The numbers look good defensively for both teams, but when you look where the numbers came from it opens eyes. W. Virginia played Liberty, who isn't even a FBS team, and 5 other teams ranked 74th or lower on offense. The only 3 games they played vs a legitimate offense was Uconn #36, S, Florida #58, and Auburn #11. Those teams averaged 31.7ppg against W. Virginia, and also 441 yards a game. What is even more glaring is the Mountaineers were defenseless against the pass, where they allowed over 9 yards an attempt on average in the 3 games. Well guess what? Cincinnati is averaging 9.5 yards per attempt and will be up and down the field really fast in this one. Cincinnati is similar, as they played a non FBS team, as well as 4 others ranked 74th or worse offensively. Their 3 games against at least a decent offense showed 416 yards per game, 27.7ppg, so the Mountaianeers will move the ball on them as well. I see this one more in the 60+ range, and I'm playing this one over the total.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Denver Money's NHL Friday 11/13

We once again finished with a great night going 5-1 missing only on our 1* with Rangers. We still picked up +6.95 units and made it 9-1 our last 10 games for +12.95 units. Let's see if we can't keep it going today with 3 more games. I am still waiting for a line to come out so please check back later for the 3rd game. Best of luck if you fade or follow:

Season Record is now: 53-39 +33.72

1* Anahiem Ducks +100

2* Buffalo Sabres -130

2* LA Kings / Atlanta OVER 6 -130

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Unlocked Sports 11/13

NHL 4* Calgary/Buffalo UNDER 5.5 -125

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

RAS .
Purdue -20'
UC Davis +1
Loy-Mary +10
ID +12
Pepper +4
N. Ill +14'
Weber +4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

A.REDD

20-Dime West Virginia

20-Dime Hawks

20-Dime Akron

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Craig Davis Friday's Lineup
30 Dime --- TEMPLE (Buy the 1/2 point)

15 Dime --- WARRIORS

10 Dime --- ROCKETS

TEMPLE OWLS (be sure to buy the 1/2 point whether your number is -4 1/2, -4, -3 1/2 or -3 as these are all key numbers in college football) --- This game is going to come down to one thing and one thing only... Temple's running game. Freshman RB Bernard Pierce is one of the best RBs in college football that no one's talking about, and I'm here to tell you this guy is the real deal. Pierce already has 1211 yards rushing, not to mention his 14 TDs. He has surpassed 175 yards on the ground in each of his last three games to go along with 8 rushing TDs... so it appears he's getting stronger as the season goes on. Pierce is a unique runner who can not only run effectively outside the tackles but he's also not afraid to get his hands dirty and bust a few right up the middle. Pierce is running like a senior at just 19 years old and is honestly the sole reason this team is 7-2, including seven straight wins.

As for Akron... well, they're awful. In every facet of the word "awful", they're awful. They don't run it well (just 3.2 yards per carry), they don't throw it well (having already used three QBs this year) and don't really play very good defense. It's not surprising the Zips are just 2-7 on the year... and one of those wins was against lowly Morgan State. They're only other win, coming last week, was in conference against Kent State --- but if you look at their record you can see that win should have been expected. Kent State's record is a bit misleading as they are seriously on about the same level as Akron, despite their 4-2 conference record.

The number that stood out to me was the horrendous run defense that Akron rolls out there each week. The Zips surrender the exact same number of yards on the ground per game as the Owls average on offense. So I think it's safe to say Temple, with Pierce, will clearly have their way with this Akron defense. They'll control the tempo, chew up the clock, and likely win the battle of field position. This might not be as exciting as West Virginia/Cincy in terms of entertainment value, but it's the best bet on the board... you can be sure of that. Like I said, Temple has won 7 straight games after dropping their first two of the season, having covered ALL FOUR of their roadies in 2009. The Owls have covered 7 of their last 9 lined games overall while Akron is just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games. The Owls are also 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 conference games, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 when coming in off an ATS loss, and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 when allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Temple wins and covers rather easily tonight.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS --- Just curious... who are the NY Knicks to be laying points to anyone right now? Okay, I realize the Warriors really don't appear to be all that much better right now, but I've seen both of these teams play and I'm telling you, the Knicks might be one of the worst two or three teams in basketball. They don't defend, they don't shoot well, they don't rebound... really the only thing they can hang their hat on is their free throw shooting (over 80% per game). And when it comes right down to it, we have two perceived, high-powered offenses doing battle... and one of them shoots the 3 exceptionally well --- the other one doesn't. Golden State hits nearly 41% of their shots from behind the arc while New York is hitting at a 29% clip. Like I said, when neither team plays defense and one of them clearly shoots better from the field and from the three-point arc, you have to side with the better shooting team, don't you? Yes, I understand that the Warriors likely can't keep up this 41% shooting from downtown all season, but right now they are hot from out there and until that stops, it's hard not to back them when they're getting points... especially when facing a team that doesn't play a lick of defense. Take the points and enjoy the win.

HOUSTON ROCKETS --- Like I mentioned already a few times this year... the Sacramento Kings are a bad basketball team, but the fact that they've already won four games gives us tremendous line value in this one. But honestly, who have the Kings beaten this year? OKC, Memphis, Golden State and Utah. Admittedly, the Utah win was a bit surprising, but it's not like the Jazz are playing good basketball right now either. Houston is clearly the superior team, even without Yao Ming, Tracy McGrady and Ron Artest, and should make quick work against a less-experienced Kings starting five. Sacto will also be without their best player, G Kevin Martin, who is still dealing with broken bones in his shooting wrist. Don't get me wrong... Sacramento has clearly surprised me to this point in the season and they are fun to watch because they like to push the tempo, but they just don't have that one, go to player, with Martin on the bench, that can be counted on when the game is on the line. My thought here is... Houston is deeper, a little more experienced, and better defenders... and in the end they will use that defense to clamp down on the Kings in the fourth quarter en route to a fairly easy 10-point win on the road.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Bob Valentino
Friday's 25 Dime winner ... 25 DIME: West Virginia-Cincinnati OVER THE TOTAL

NOTE: This is a play on tonight's game going OVER the posted total. This is not a pointspread -- or side -- release. Again, we're playing West Virginia-Cincinnati OVER the total.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS....10 DIMER - DENVER NUGGETS 20 DIMER - WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS

The longer a team remains unbeaten, the bigger the bullseye on their back becomes, and the bigger the number they are asked to cover.

That is the case tonight with the Bearcats, as this line is a few points too high.

I am taking the Mountaineers plus the points as I fully expect another close game in this series. The last 2 meetings have seen the visitor win outright, as West Virginia won by 5 at Cincinnati in 2007, while Cincy won by 3 last season in Morgantown.

Both Jarrett Brown, and Noel Devine are listed as probable for the Mountaineers, while Tony Pike is now listed as probable for Cincinnati, and that is where red-flag number one arises for Brian Kelly's team!

Zach Collaros has been brilliant filling in for the injured Pike, so what do you do as far as getting Pike into the game?

What about the fact that this is still a young Bearcats team that nearly choked the outright last week versus Connecticut?

And finally, what about the fact that Brian Kelly's name is now being talked about for the Notre Dame head coaching gig?

Distractions, distractions.

Pressure, pressure.

The Mountaineers can make a big jump with the win tonight, but I will settle for the cover.

Take the points!

10 DIMER - DENVER NUGGETS

When last these 2 teams met, the Lakers eliminated the Nuggets in 6 games and went on to capture the NBA Championship.

Denver has been itching to get some payback, and tonight looks like the night, as the Lakers were in action last night at home in a romp of Phoenix, and now must go into the thin air and battle Denver for a 48-minute session.

Denver had the night off after a grueling 6 game road trek, and they are a positive 9-3 against the spread their last 12 at home.

LA is 0-1 ATS when playing in back-to-back situations, make that 0-2 after tonight.

Take the Nuggs.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Billy coleman
4* mississippi cbb

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Wunderdog

I rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units). Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Anaheim at Columbus (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Anaheim -110 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Columbus Blue Jackets must regroup from their most humiliating loss - a 9-1 setback at the hands of the Detroit Red Wings. The bigger issue that was emphasized in that one was the shoddy goaltending and lack of defense. After a 5-1 start, the Jackets have allowed an amazing 51 goals in their last 11 games, nearly five per contest. That will make the task at hand difficult against a Duck's team that has found the net 28 times in the last eight games, or averaging 3.5 per. The Blue Jackets have not rebounded well off a big loss as they are now 1-7 off a loss by three goals or more. Anaheim gets this one.
Game: New York Islanders at Carolina (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 5.5 -120 (risk 3 to win 2.5)

The Carolina Hurricanes stand at a surprising 2-12-3 to start the season - their worst start in franchise history including their days as the Hartford Whalers. One quick-to-see reason is the fact that they have allowed a minimum of three goals in each of their last 10 games. That is simply something you don't see in this era of the NHL. When you add into the equation that the NY Islanders have allowed three or more goals in 13 of 18, we have the makings of a shootout here. This is especially true when considering that on the road, those Islanders’ stats of 3+ becomes eight out of nine games. History may be ready to repeat itself tonight as these two clubs have produced an OVER in each of the last six meetings. OVER gets the call in this one.
Game: Los Angeles at Atlanta (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Los Angeles -110 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Atlanta Thrashers have spent a lot of time on the road. They haven't been home enough to gain any semblance of a home ice advantage. They have won just twice here all season, and have won here just once in their last five and it took a shootout to accomplish that. The goaltending has been suspect allowing four goals or more in six of their last nine games, making it hard to win. Los Angeles has been winning on the road to the tune of a 6-4-1 mark, and has been a perfect 4-0 against teams that are .400 or less at home. The Thrashers’ next problem is playing on consecutive nights where they have been a poor 10-26 in their last 36 on the back end. I'll go with the Kings in this one.
Game: Calgary at Buffalo (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Buffalo -130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.1)

Calgary and Buffalo have opened as two of the top teams in the NHL this season. The Flames have won four straight and getting great goaltending, but the offense has really been nonexistent with just 12 goals in the last six games. The Sabres have tallied 25 in their last seven at home, and should be able to crack the net enough in this one to get the win. The Flames have flamed out as a dog, where they are just 7-20 in their last 27 as a dog of +110 to +150. They have also struggled against top teams on the road, where they are 18-44 against a home team with a .600 winning percentage or higher on home ice. The Sabres are 9-2 after allowing two or fewer goals last time out. The Sabres take this one.