11-13-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

B l a c k W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* W ise guy Lakers/Nuggets E SP N Late-Night B AIL OUT on L.A. Lakers +4(-105 at 5dimes)

The Lakers are showing their best value of the season Friday. Yes, they played last night against Phoenix, but that game was such a blowout that L.A. was able to rest their starters for most of the 4th quarter. They'll still be fresh as they head into Denver tonight, and they'll take care of business against a team they have owned. The Lakers are 14-3 SU & 12-5 ATS in 17 meetings with Denver over the last 3 seasons. You will rarely find the Lakers as an underdog, but when you do you should certainly take notice. L.A. is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the Lakers and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on H oust on R ock ets -4.5(-110 at betus)

This is a mismatch Friday as the Rockets continue playing superb basketball to start the 2009 season. Sacramento is without their two best scorers due to injury, with Kevin Martin and Francisco Garcia each watching this one from the bench. The Rockets' only losses this season have come against the Lakers, Blazers and Mavericks, three teams that are arguably the best teams in the West. Sacramento is far from that, though they have played well of late. After 3 straight wins, the Kings are certainly being overvalued here tonight. Houston is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with Sacramento, winning by at least 11 points in all 3 games. Take Houston and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Ut ah Ja zz +2(-101 at 5dimes)

After Utah's slow start to this season, the Jazz are now showing excellent value. They would usually be a road favorite here against the 76ers, but their slow start has them going under the radar and the odds makers have adjusted this line accordingly. The 76ers have faced only 1 team from the Western Conference, and that resulted in a home loss to the Phoenix Suns. There's no question the West is more stacked from top to bottom, and Utah remains one of the better teams in the West despite their start. Utah is 19-5 SU & 15-8 ATS in their last 24 meetings with Philly. They have won all 4 meetings over the last 3 seasons, including two wins in Philly. The 76ers are 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 3 seasons. Take Utah and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Ron Raymond

Anaheim vs Columbus
Play: Columbus -115

Garon expected to get the nod this evening vs. the Ducks and this could be the change of pace needed for the Blue Jackets after that 9-1 beating by the Red Wings. Plus, I did some research with my ATS NHL Database and when a home favorite lost by 8 goals or more in their last game; they are 9-4 SU in the next game since 1996. Take the Blue Jackets.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Northcoast

1* over Cincy/WV game
Opinion on Akron

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Underground Sports Connection

100* Under 209 Raptors/Clippers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
NCAA Football
2 (**) Cincinnati Over 55.5

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
Todays Selections
NBA Basketball
2 (**) Minnesota Under 198
2 (**) Sacramento +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Kelso:

50 units Cincinatti -9.5
5 units Temple -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

pointwise phones
2* west virginia

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Al demarco


mac goy temple


cinn bearcats

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Fri, 11/13/09 - 7:35 PM •~

dime bet 706 NYK -1.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 705 GSW
Analysis:
This is a game between two poor teams – they are in my opinion two of the five worst teams in the league, but regarding this opinion the Warriors can still be worse than the Knicks due to their unbelieva~ble bad team chemistry and environment involving the team.

If you remember I took the Over with the Knicks in their last game saying that the rookie Toney Douglas would spark the team and make them more competitive and assertive in the offensive end. Well, Douglas didn’t disappoint me because he was a starter and in 35:44 minutes of action, he scored 23 points by shooting 10-19 from the field. The Knicks couldn’t remain competitive in the second half against the Hawks, but facing the Hawks is not the same thing, as facing the Warriors. I also said that PG Chris Duhon is struggling right now and once again he showed that he is in a poor form by going scoreless – 0-6 FG in 25minutes. Mike D’Antoni has already said that Duhon will be the starter tonight, but luckily for the Knicks, Nate Robinson is probable for this contest and although I’m not a particular fan of him, he will surely be more efficient than Duhon and the Knicks will have more options in the backcourt.

Speaking of the Warriors is speaking of a total disastrous team. Stephen Jackson declared in the off season that he wants to be traded and his commitment to the team is non existent. In the Warriors' last game against the Pacers, Jackson was benched by Don Nelson during the game and he played only 18 minutes. A Yahoo Sports story says that two Golden State players told them on Monday that the team’s play – and overall morale – won’t truly improve until Jackson is gone. To make things even worse, yesterday Warriors coach Don Nelson and Monta Ellis had a public spat after the practice, an episode that acts as a microcosm of the dysfunctional team. Already, Randolph is questioning his playing time and Ellis and rookie Stephen Curry are struggling to find much cohesion, so we are talking about a team who is in total collapse.

The Knicks usually struggle against physical and powerful frontcourts due to their size, but tonight this won't surely happen. Warriors' big men Andris Biedrins and Ronny Turiaf are out and the Warriors have only Mikkie Moore and Anthony Randolph for the frontcourt and these players aren’t exactly two dominating players – far from that! The Knicks may be a poor team, but they still try to compete unlike the Warriors, the problem is being to finish off the games against more talented teams. This is not the case of tonight’s game and while facing a poor team who is struggling in every possible department, I see some value on the Knicks to bounce back and snap their 5-game losing streak. Take the Knicks tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 706 New York Knicks (-1)



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Andre Gomes | NBA Total Fri, 11/13/09 - 8:05 PM •~

dime bet 707 POR / 708 NOH Under 190.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: All the Hornets/Blazers games are almost destined to be low scoring affairs because of the pace that both teams play on the court. These two teams play in a slow pace using half court sets for their defense and offense and it will be needed an extraordinary efficient night from the offenses to reach such a high line of 190 points.

For example, last season these two teams faced each other four different times and in the most prolific night for the Hornets in this matchup, they shot 51.3 % from the field, 8-17 3pts and scored…only 92 points! On the other side, the Blazers shot in one game 53.6% from the field, but scored “only” 101 points. With these numbers in any other game the teams would reach the 110 points, but not in this matchup.

The Hornets fired now former he~ad coach Byron Scott after their disastrous night in Phoenix, in which they allowed the Suns to score 124 points including a whopping 75 points mark at the halftime. It was their worst defensive performance of the season (and there are many in just 9 games) and with a new head coach, I expect them to be more aggressive tonight. This is just a mental question when a new head coach is inserted and I’m playing with this fact for tonight’s contest.

Meanwhile, the Blazers are peaking right now by winning their last 4 games, however I expect them to have a common competitive letdown tonight, as in their last 3 games they faced three awful teams: Minnesota twice and Memphis. They easily won these three games and so they aren’t involved in a competitive game in about a week and this isn't usually good for any team. A common factor for them lately is their defensive consistency. They are in a streak of 6 consecutive games without allowing their opponents to reach the century mark in points and their average is a remarkable 84.66 points per game allowed, so I expect them to keep doing their good job on the defensive end tonight.

I tracked all four games between these two teams last season and by expecting a similar pace tonight my fair line for this contest is 182/184 points and that’s why I’m taking the Under in this game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 190 @ 1.91 on Bookmaker

©2009 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Fri, 11/13/09 - 7:05 PM •~

dime bet 701 UTA / 702 PHI Under 197.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
For this game we have two teams who aren’t playing particularly well as of late and the matchup between these two teams favors a low scoring game.

The Sixers are with a 4-4 record right now, but they are far from being a consistent team. In fact, if we look to their wins, we saw that they defeated Milwaukee in the Bucks' first game of the season, they beat the Knicks and the Nets twice, so they are yet to have a convincing big win. Part of such struggles are related to their offense. Despite adding Jason Kapono to the roster in the off season, the Sixers are still an awful team in the perimeter, as they are connecting just 29.92 % behind the arc – good for the 6th worst mark in the league. The bread and the butter of this team is in the paint, but unfortunately for them, Elton Brand is in miserable form right now. In 8 games, he is averaging just 9.5 points per game, while shooting a poor mark for a PF of 41.2% from the field. Also Thaddeus Young is not having a good season so far by shooting just 42.3 % FG and the Sixers have some players in subpar form and when they face a team who can close the rim, they simply can’t score. That’s why they scored only 74 points against the Celtics, 81 against the Pistons and even in their last game, they scored only 82 points against the Nets.

Meanwhile, the Jazz are coming for this game in a bad mood. They were spanked in Boston last Wednesday and their defense once again hobbled by allowing the Celtics to shot 53.2% from the field and allowed 30 assists – however note that we simply can’t compare the Sixers offense to the Celtics offense. The Jazz have a terrible perimeter defense and luckily for them I've already said that the 76ers are a bad perimeter offensive team. However the same thing can be said about the Jazz, as they are connecting only 30.85% from the 3pts line and like the Sixers, they need to score inside the post to be competitive, so we will have two similar teams facing each other and scoring will be hard for both tea~ms. For the Jazz, Deron Williams is out for this contest and Utah will be playing without their best perimeter player who is averaging 9.9 assists per game, so I don’t expect them to have a good ball movement by them tonight.

With both teams struggling on the offensive side, I expect this game to be a ugly contest with a lot of turnovers and blocks because we are dealing with two one-dimensional offensive teams. My fair line for this game is 192 points and I see enough edge on the Under to pull the trigger in this game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Under 197



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Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Fri, 11/13/09 - 8:05 PM •~

dime bet 712 BOS -9.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 711 ATL
Analysis: In my opinion this game will set the difference between the men and the boys: the Celtics and the Hawks. I've already said that the Celtics are the best NBA team early on the season and when they are in a favorable spot, they look invincible not only by winning their games, but by literally spanking their opponents.

The Celtics had a busy and tough start of the season by playing 8 games in just 12 days and they looked somehow tired in the final stretch of games. Not coincidently, they ended 0-3 ATS in those games and finally they had the chance to rest 3 days before facing the Jazz at home. The score of that game says it all, as the Celtics blown out the Jazz by 105-86. They shot 53.2 % from the field and had 7 players with double digits points – that's what we can call a complete team. We are talking about the best defense of the league and at the same time the 5th most efficient offense in the league, so the Celtics have the full package to perform a blowout game tonight.

For tonight’s contest, they had one day off to rest and as they are playing again at home, this is a perfect spot for them. Plus due to the first round series against the Hawks two seasons ago, the Celtics will be highly motivated tonight, as this is supposed to be a “rivalry” and the Celtics loves to make statement games.

Meanwhile, the Hawks are 6-2 in the season and hold a terrific 7-1 ATS record. Despite this good record, I’m still not convinced by them, as they failed to be competitive in tough spots. I’m not judging their games against inferior teams, as they did their job in winning, although they needed to perform late rallies in some games. Now taking a brief lo~ok in their games against top teams, what can we see? They lost by 110-118 in LA against the Lakers and even though they lost by just 8 points, I remember that the score after three quarters was 98-76 to LA and only a 34-20 fourth quarter run hid such bad performance. Then, they defeated the Blazers on the road in a impressive win, however the Blazers were in bad spot of playing 5 games in 8 days and with Greg Oden in foul trouble (5 personal fouls in just 15 minutes), the Hawks outrebounded the Blazers by 46-36. Finally they spanked the Nuggets at home by 125-100, but I remember that the Nuggets were playing back to back games in the middle of a road trip and without the services of Kenyon Martin. With a thin frontcourt, the Nuggets didn’t have a chance to compete. This won’t surely happen tonight with the Celtics, as they have a dominant frontcourt with Garnett, Perkins and Wallace.

While the Celtics already showing that they can beat a top team in any circumstance by defeating the Cavaliers, Hornets or Utah, this is the first real test for the Hawks in a tough spot for them and I don’t think that they can go toe for toe with the Celtics. I expect Boston to be dominant tonight and win this game by double digits points. Take Boston in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 712 Boston Celtics (-9)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Randall the Handle 11/13

Randall the Handle

NY Islanders +1.07 over CAROLINA (REG) Pinnacle
Win, lose or draw, this “betting against the Canes” train keeps rolling and there’s no reason to get off until they show us something different. Carolina has now dropped a remarkable 13 games in a row and once again they’re sure not going to get any sympathy from this perennial bottom feeder. The Islanders are finally onto something good after years of futility. At the very worse, they’ll come out enthusiastically like they always do and play hard for 60 minutes. The Islanders have dropped three of four after a four-game winning streak, however, the losses came against the red-hot Sabres and Devils followed by an OT loss in Washington. Now the Islanders will take a huge, huge step down in class from that quartet and its chances of winning are greater than the Islanders chances. Any take-back against this frustrated and beaten down host has to be considered a good one. Play: NY Islanders +1.07 (Risking 2 units).

Toronto +1.97 over CHICAGO (REG) Pinnacle
The Blackhawks remain one of the most overvalued teams in the league due to its great start this season after they put the hockey world on notice last year. They were a big favorite over the Av’s last game and although they won 3-2 in OT they were not the better team. The Av’s led 2-1 late and after Chicago tied it, Colorado hit three posts in the final minutes of the game. The Blackhawks have also played one of the easiest schedules in the league thus far. Meanwhile, the Leafs have played extremely well on the road and extremely well over the past 10 games or so. They’ve picked up points in all but one of its last eight and they’re most definitely a tough team to beat. Chicago’s biggest weakness is its goaltending and when you’re a huge favorite with shaky goaltending you’re also a huge risk at such a big price. It’s for that reason, among others, (the Blackhawks have the Sharks on deck) that the Maple Leafs are a solid pooch in a game they most definitely have a chance to win.

BUFFALO -½ +1.34 over Calgary Pinnacle
If nothing else, one has to trust that the Flames could very easily overlook this one in anticipation of a game tomorrow night on hockey’s biggest stage. Playing in prime time on Hockey Night in Canada in Montreal or Toronto is equivalent to NFL teams playing on Monday Night Football. It’s also worth noting that the Flames and Sabres have met just four times over the past seven years, thus, the motivation level for the Flames could be low in anticipation of tomorrow night’s match-up. In addition, the Sabres are just so tough to beat, especially at home, where they have six wins in eight games. The Flames are tough; make no mistake about that, not to mention an outstanding road record as well. However, this one is a good situational play in the Sabres favor and it says here the Flames will be ripe to get beat. Play: Buffalo -½ +1.34 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Play West Virginia (+9.5) over Cincinnati

West Virginia has won 11 of the last 12 games after having won two of the last three games and they have also won 20 of the last 25 games when playing after the 1st month of the season. West Virginia has won 6 of the last 7 games when playing in weeks 10 through 13 and they have also won 16 of the last 18 games coming off a loss against the spread.


100* Play Akron (+4) over Temple

Temple has lost 8 of the last 9 games coming off a Thursday game and they have also lost 6 of the last 7 road games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points. Temple has lost 22 of the last 30 games coming off an OVER the total and they have also lost 21 of the last 23 games after allowing 325 passing yards or more in their last game.


NBA Basketball

100* Play Philadelphia (+1) over Utah

Utah has lost 18 of the last 24 road games against the spread coming off an OVER the total and they have also lost 11 of the last 13 road games against the spread after failing to cover the spread in three of the last four games.


50* Play Orlando (-16) over New Jersey

New Jersey has lost 8 consecutive games this season and they are only averaging 86 points a game on offense in all games this year.


NCAA Basketball

100* Play Pacific (-4) over Pepperdine

Pacific has won 9 of the last 12 games as a road favorite and they have also won 2 consecutive games when playing on a Friday Night.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

Payne Sports

10 Units: Akron +5.5

You may ask why would you want to make a play as big as that on a 2-7 team against a 7-2 team, but my friend I am here to tell you I feel like I know this Temple team really well as I have bet on or against them a few times this year and am perfect with them. Pierce is a load of a man for Temple, but that is all they have and those legs are tiring carrying 30+ times a game. Akron comes off a big home win against a decent Kent teamwhere they put up over 400 yards and look to continue their decent homeplay. The key to this game will be Nicely against the Temple secondary, where if Akron O line will hold up, I like Nicely to pick apart this awful secondary of Temple. On the other side, Akron can put 8 to 9 in the box, and make Temple beat them through the air, which I feel they cant. Therefore, I see a possible low scoring game, with Akron pulling out the big home win here against a Temple team that has played over its head all year.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-09

VR

3* Clippers
3* Nuggets