11-14-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

IC Football
________________________________________

4 Unit Play. #186. Take Mississippi State +12.5 over Alabama (Saturday @ 7pm est). I'm a Tide fan through and through. But, there are a couple of things that work against my Tide here. For starters, we could have easily lost to Tennessee at home and that game was telling in many ways. Also, this team did manage to win and cover against LSU but that was mainly due to a terrible call by the ump regarding the interception, the fact that Jordan Jefferson got hurt and this team was actually down by 5 going into the fourth quarter giving up 7.5 points. Mississippi State is the same team that lost to Florida by 11 points and certainly, this team can ball up here against a Tide team who I don't believe is as good as Florida. This is an evening game as well which works to Mississippi State and the crowd's hand and their respective crowd will be rocking. After all, the Bulldogs feel that they could have played even better against Florida and certainly they will look to step it up against Bama' for their fifth win of the season. The Bulldogs have covered their last four conference games and are 6-0 ATS when they face a team with a winning road record at home.



4 Unit Play. #162. Take Pittsburgh -7 over Notre Dame (Saturday @ 8pm est). Here is the bottom line as per this game. I think Notre Dame is overrated. I think that Pittsburgh is underrated. This team gets so much hype for someone that has not played much away from home. I understand Notre Dame has revenge from last year when Pitt beat them by a field goal on the road, but nevertheless, many people don't even know that Pitt is a top ten team this year. They are the pride of the Big East along with Cincy at this point in the year. Whenever Notre Dame has played someone of decent competition at home - they have lost. They lost to Navy at home recently and also lost to USC. Now, this team has to go on the road and play someone of decent caliber. I believe Pitt might just lay the wood on this squad today as they beat Syracuse by 27, South Florida by 27 and Navy by 13 at home. I believe they have the goods here to beat the Irish by double-digits as they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite by this margin and the Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against the Big East and 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall.
4 Unit Play. #156. Take Washington State +17.5 over UCLA (Saturday @ 5pm est). Yes, I know Washington State is horrendous. But, UCLA should not be laying this many points to anyone. The line has slowly been coming down as well despite the public being on UCLA. UCLA does not have a high powered offense for starters that can necessarily exceed this spread fast. But, also, this is one of the few conference games that Washington State might have a shot to win. So, naturally, this team will play above its means a bit for this contest. Remember, this team lost to Arizona State by just 13 at home and easily covered the 20.5 spread. This team also defeated SMU Outright at home as a four point underdog. I just believe Washington State realizes that it is now or never for them to win a conference game this year and they will step up as certainly if they can hang within two possessions of Arizona State at home, they can have the goods to hang within the 17.5 against the Bruins as well. The Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last six conference games overall and the Cougars are 7-3 ATS as an Underdog of 10.5 or more.



Good luck,
IC

[mike d]

Re: 11-14-09

GOLD SHEET SUPER POWER PLAY Kansas St (pk) over Missouri
Only 3rd super power play of year

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

Greg Roberts game of the year is on Oregon -17

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

Teddy Covers
11/14/09 CFB Kentucky -3 (137)
11/14/09 CFB Tennessee +6 (145)
11/14/09 CFB Iowa State -5 (154)
11/14/09 CFB 20* Big Ticket: Notre Dame +7 (161)
11/14/09 CFB Arizona +3 (165)
11/14/09 CFB UNLV +17 (179)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

Maddux
#164 - NCAA - 4 units on USC -10.5
#176 - NCAA - 3 units on Nevada -7
#186 - NCAA - 3 units on Mississippi State +12
#190 - NCAA - 3 units on North Carolina +3.5
#192 - NCAA - 3 units on Oklahoma State -4
#196 - NCAA - 5 units on Georgia -4
#198 - NCAA - 3 units on Central Florida +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

pointwise phones
4* oregon, arizona

3* notre dame, hawaii, penn st, wisconsin, kansas st, ohio st

2* west virginia, stanford, louisiana tech, mississippi st, northwestern, oklahoma

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

Power sweep



4* BYU 48-10
3* Nebraska 24-10
3* Marshall 28-21
2* Penn St. 45-10
2* Miami 27-17

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

Purelock

NCAA-F | Nov 14 '09 (12:00p)

Central Florida +5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

ATS Weekly Blitz:
3* Pitt 38-24
3* Stanford plus points
2* Va Tech 30-14
2* Tennessee outright 28-24
2* Illinois 34-21
2* Boston College 28-14

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

Wunderdog Sports
Houston U vs. Central Florida (NCAAF) - Nov 14, 2009 12:00 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: -4.5/100 Houston U Pick Title: Houston U vs. Central Florida

This is a big challenge for Central Florida as they have an offense that ranked dead last of all teams last year. They have moved up this season, but not by much as they rank 109 out of 120 teams. While the defense remains the stability of this team, they are going to see more offensive firepower here than they have seen all season. Houston had the best offense in football last year and sits atop again this season at 42 points per game. The Cougars' offense is for real as they have played against three BCS Conference schools and averaged 35 points against them! Against anyone else, the offense has been even better at 45.6 ppg. These teams didn't meet a year ago, but as a marker of UCF against an elite offense, the Knights were torched for 49 vs. Tulsa last year with their No. 43 ranked defense. This year their defense has dropped to No. 56. I find it difficult to believe that they can keep this Houston team away from 40, and the Knights have reached the 30 mark just three times in the last two years. I'm going with Houston in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

ASA picks (4-0 LY, 0-4 2 weeks ago)
3* Norte D Over
3* MS St
4* TCU

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

Marc Lawrence |
Revenge GOY
CFB Side Sat, 11/14/09 - 8:00 PM

triple-dime bet 161 Notre Dame 7.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 162 Pittsburgh
Analysis: Play On: Notre Dame (Game 161)
Note: After last week's upset loss to Navy, this becomes a huge game for the Irish, who have won six of the last seven SU on this field. In the 19-game history of this series, the Panthers have only been favored three times and lost all three games outright. Pitt has also not fared well as home favorites of less than 8 points, posting a 2-6 ATS log. head coach Dave Wannstedt has been outclassed as a home favorite versus .666 or greater opposition, checking in with an awful 1-6 ATS log. The Irish, led by probable 1st -team All-Americans Jimmy Claussen and Golden Tate, continue to dominate the stats category (16-3 L19, including 5-1 last six. ) The Dame, looking to avenge a four-overtime home loss to the Panthers last year, is 11-1 ATS as RD’s of 8 or less points. From our powerful database we note the following: road dogs of 21 or less points off a SU loss to a military school in which they lost to the spread by more than seven or more points who allow 29.5 or less PPG on the season are 12-0 ATS since 1980 when facing a .700 or greater opponent. In addition, home favorites of four or more points riding a 3-0 SU and ATS win streak who won the previous two games at home that allow more than 17 PPG on the season are 0-11 ATS since 1980 if the last win was by less than 30 points and their opponent lost its last game by 24 or less points. Look for the Irish to get their revenge and back on the win track here today in a game in which an upset would be no surprise. We recommend a 4-unit play on Notre Dame.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

NORTHCOAST LINE

EARLY BIRD- HAWAII
4* texas
econ#2 kansas st
mtn west san diego st
big 12 okla st
dog gow utep

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-14-09

BRYAN LEONARD'S SEC MONEY MAKER


185/186 Alabama at Mississippi State

Is it possible the Tide peak too early? It's starting to look that way after three straight unimpressive victories. They beat South Carolina 20-6, Tennessee 12-10 and LSU 24-15 all at home in Tuscaloosa. While the defense has been terrific all season long the offense is showing plenty of weakness. Alabama hasn't surpassed 24 points since October 3rd at Kentucky. They seemed to get every call last week against the Tigers and the week before that they survived the upset a number of times against the Volunteers. This is an overrated team right now that simply should not be a favorite of this magnitude.

We really like backing quality first year coaches off a bye week. The extra week of preparation is extremely valuable. Last week Dan Mullen and his boys sat on the sideline while Alabama slugged it out with the physical LSU Tigers. Now we catch a rested squad that has cashed three straight games looking to pull off the shocker. Keep in mind they easily covered the spread just three weeks ago hosting top ranked Florida. The Bulldogs have cashed 13 of 18 in this series and have won outright twice in the last three meetings. That includes a 17-12 upset victory the last time Alabama invaded Starkville.

Alabama clinched the division title last week with the LSU victory. Coming off that physical game we simply can't see the Tide winning this one by a margin. The well rested up and coming dog takes the cash here as Alabama struggles for the outright win once again.

PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE