11-17-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

ice picks

Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames (-190, 5.5)

Has the clock struck 12 for the Avalanche? The third worst team in the NHL just a year ago jumped out to a shocking 10-1-2 mark. But the Avs have come back down to earth. They’ve lost five of their last seven and have given up 15 goals over the last three games.

The slump was underlined in Saturday’s 8-2 loss to the Vancouver Canucks. Goalie Craig Anderson, who had been carrying the club before the losing streak, let in a couple early goals and was eventually pulled.

“It was one of those nights where I knew we were going to score a couple of goals by the end of the night, but I have to make sure I don’t let them score at the start of the game,” Anderson told the Denver Post. “That’s kind of been our Achilles’ heel right now.”

The Flames busted out of their offensive funk Saturday against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Look for Calgary to get to Anderson early and force the Avs to play catch up.

Pick: Over

Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators (-155, 6)

After a promising start to the season, the Ottawa Senators are struggling, earning a 3-4-3 record in their last 10 games.

The latest setback was a 2-1 shootout loss at home against the New York Rangers on Saturday night. The Senators outshot the Rangers 36-28, but couldn’t capitalize on a 4-on-3 overtime power play.

“We’re playing pretty good here. I wouldn’t change the way we are going,” Senators captain Daniel Alfredsson told the Ottawa Sun. “We’re just not finding ways to win. We’re putting ourselves in great positions, but not coming through. We need to get a little confidence and get on a roll.”

Ottawa has a golden opportunity to get that elusive win on Tuesday night against the Maple Leafs. Toronto didn’t look half-bad for a couple of weeks, but has dropped three straight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Randall the Handle 11/17

Toronto +1.43 over OTTAWA (REG) Pinnacle
It all comes down to goaltending for the Maple Leafs because when they get some they’re very difficult to beat. It doesn’t even have to be great goaltending, just adequate because on most night you’ll find the Leafs outplaying their opponent. On Saturday against the Flames, the Leafs outshot the Flames by a whopping 40-22 but still lost and that’s pretty much been the story of their season. Anyway, it’ll be Vesa Toskala in net tonight and he’s looked a lot sharper recently and he’s playing and moving in the net with a lot more confidence. The Sens are in a bit of a funk too but it’s not from a lack of effort. They, too, are difficult to beat with its main problem being a lack of goal scorers. The Sens play a disciplined style and they can frustrate anyone. However, without Anton Volchenkov on defense the Sens have not been as good, as he’s proven to be one of their most important players. This game is really a toss-up and it all comes down to the tag. If the Leafs were a -1.50 favorite the play would be Ottawa. The Sens should not be this high a price over the Leafs. Play: Toronto +1.43 (Risking 2 units).

NASHVILLE +1.19 over San Jose (REG) Pinnacle
Very quietly the Preds are moving up the standings and in fact, have now won six of its last eight games. Nashville is coming off a 2-0 win over the Habs but that is this year’s most misleading close game. Had it not been for Carey Price the score would have been 7-0 or worse. The whole game was played in the Canadiens end and at one point the Preds were outshooting the Habs 42-10. The final shot count read 55-20. In four of the Preds last six games they’ve allowed one goal or less and they’ve allowed less than 30 shots on net in four straight games. These Predators are playing as good defensively as anyone and overall they’re playing as well as anyone too. They recently were at the Shark Tank and held a 3-2 lead with about eight minutes to go before a couple of late goals by San Jose ruined their night. The Sharkies are good but they’re not invincible and they’re rather fortunate to get any points in its last two games in St. Louis and Chicago. They had a combined 40 shots on net in those two games (17 against the Blues and 23 in Chicago) but picked up three out of a possible four points. The Preds are so tough and so hungry and with the crowds getting larger and louder it can only inspire them more. Play: Nashville +1.19 (Risking 2 units).

Colorado +1.82 over CALGARY (REG) Pinnacle
The best part about this game is that the Av’s are coming off an 8-2 smack down by the Canucks at the Pepsi Center. That thumping cannot be sitting well with them and they’re good enough to bounce back in a big way. Also, they catch the Flames returning home from that three game trip to Montreal, Buffalo and Toronto. The Flames have picked up points in six straight games by winning five and losing one in OT. Three of the six went into OT and all six (with the exception of the Leafs game in which they were badly outplayed) were right down to the wire. Five of the six games were on the road with one home game mixed in meaning that this is the seventh straight game the Flames have had to catch a plane to its next destination. The close games, the travel, the three OT games all take its toll and with a 12-4-1-1 record, Calgary is most definitely not in desperation or panic mode whatsoever. We could catch Calgary in a vulnerable spot here and after that ugly 8-2 loss Colorado will come out and play their hearts out. Great spot and a very sweet tag on a team that also has 12 wins. Play: Colorado +1.82 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Jim Feist's Inner Circle Home Court Crusher - Tuesday!

NBA (709) PHOENIX SUNS VS (710) HOUSTON ROCKETS
Take: (710) HOUSTON ROCKETS

Houston is on a 6-3 SU, 7-2 ATS run, overachieving because of unselfish play for coach Rick Adelman. Rockets forward Shane Battier nearly doubled his previous season high with 23 points against the Kings on Friday, extending his streak to 21 regular-season games with at least one 3-pointer. With Trevor Ariza scoring 28 and Luis Scola 20, the Rockets had three scoring at least 20 points in a game for the first time this season. They never had three players scoring at least 20 points last season. They followed that with a win at the Lakers, 101-91, as a big dog. Houston is 3-1 SU/ATS at home. After a sizzling start, the Suns are 0-2 ATS the last two games, overvalued by oddsmakers. Houston is playing good defense, allowing 45% shooting by opponents, while the finesse Suns are again playing no defense, allowing 48% shooting -- 5th worst in the league. Of the 12 games Phoenix has played, this will be their 8th road game, and that includes a long East Coast trip they've already had. An excellent situational spot for the home team. Play the Rockets!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

RAS UC Riverside +11.5 1.5 units Jacksonville St +5.5 1unit

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Wunderdog
Game: Washington at New York Rangers (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 6 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The New York Rangers have played six of their last eight games to the UNDER and the leading reason has been a struggling offense. The Rangers’ offense which was clicking at just shy of four goals per game through their first 12 games, has gotten out of sync and has produced just 15 in their last eight - less than two per contest. The visiting Capitals have tightened things up after losing a game by three goals or more by playing four of the last five to the UNDER following that situation. They have also played to a 6-2 UNDER mark after failing to score more than two in their last game. The Rangers are playing low vs. the Southeast at 25-11-1 in their last 37 and five of the last seven in this series have failed to reach the total as well. I'll play this one to stay UNDER the total.
Game: Toronto at Ottawa (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total UNDER 6 -110 (risk 5 to win 4.6)

The Maple Leafs showed some offensive promise as they tallied seven goals in their first two games of the year, but have since tailed off markedly as they have failed to top the two-goal mark in 11 of their last 16. The Senators have taken a dip offensively themselves as after a spurt of seven out of eight games netting three pucks or more, they have failed to top the two mark in five of their last seven. Ottawa is staying low against the weak teams as they are now 17-8 to the UNDER vs. a team with a winning percentage of .400 or worse. Toronto has served up four straight UNDERS after being drubbed by three goals or more. In the last nine between these two clubs played in Ottawa has seen the UNDER prevail 6-2-1. Struggling offenses, high total, and head-to-head history spells UNDER in this one.
Game: San Jose at Nashville (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Nashville +110 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4.4)

While the Sharks continue to bleed opponents dry at the Shark Tank, they have proven somewhat vulnerable on the road at times. Their season has been carried by a six-game streak where they did not suffer a loss, but otherwise they have been a break-even team. The Predators gave them a scare on the road at The Tank, where they coughed up a 3-2 lead with under seven minutes left to fall 4-3, and that should propel them here to play this game with confidence and revenge - often a deadly combo. The Sharks have had little bite vs. an opponent that scored two or less in their last game as they are just 8-24 in their last 32 facing that situation. The Predators have cashed their last four after scoring two or less in their last game. Nashville gets revenge here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Chris Jordan Tuesday's winner ...
200? SANTA BARBARA GAUCHOS - Coach Bob Williams is going to enjoy the most depth and best balance he's seen in the dozen years he's been at the helm. Not only does he get plenty of experience back, but starting point guard Justin Joyner will be back on the floor after spending much of last season sidelined with a dinged-up wrist. He'll be joined by Loyola-Marymount-transfer Orlando Johnson, a 6-foot-5 scorer who is rumored to become the team's go-to guy. The kid can also hit the boards and will be an all-around threat who could end up becoming an all-conference stud.

The Gauchose are a serious threat to Long Beach State in the Big West Conference with this roster, and will outclass scrappy Weber State tonight.

The Wildcats are supposed to be the pride of the Big Sky Conference this season, but they come in off a loss to WAC-favorite Utah State, 66-60. That game was at home, so I don't see how Weber State plans on going on the road to challenge a fired-up Gauchos team that opened its season with an 85-57 blowout win over Cal State-Los Angeles. Not exactly a powerhouse foe, but neither will Weber State be ... lay it.

100? CANISIUS GOLDEN GRIFFINS - Five starters are back, there is some experienced depth and there are some heralded recruits to make note of. Sounds like there's plenty of reason the oddsmakers have made the Griffins a road favorite in this non-conference clash. Remember the name Frank Turner - he's an electrifying senior guard who just might end up being the MAAC's most exciting player by the end of the season. Loyola does bring back a slew of players, but it'll be without its top two scorers from last year. And even though the core is back, this is a team that ranked near the bottom half of pretty much every offensive category there is. It didn't fare too well defensively either, so the cohesiveness of Canisius will get me the money here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Karl Garrett 20 DIMER - PHOENIX SUNS.....10 DIMER - BOWLING GREEN FALCONS 20 DIMER - PHOENIX SUNS

Love what I am seeing from the Suns early on, as I would not have guessed they would be 9-2 after their first 11 games. That being said, I will roll strong with Nash and company as they pay a visit on the Rockets.

Houston has adjusted well without Yao in the middle, as they are 3-1 at home this year, and 4-0 against the spread, but they won't increase on those marks tonight.

Phoenix is on a 16-5 spread run in the series, and the road team has been the play in 22 of the last 32 series meetings.

Stoudemire does not appear to be bothered at all by his eye injury, and how about Grant Hill playing free-and-easy for the first time in a while?

Just gotta love the Suns right now...I know I do for 20 Dimes of action!

10 DIMER - BOWLING GREEN FALCONS

Early in the season, you get your "name" schools laying some big wood, and that happens to be the case tonight with Xavier, as the X-Men are laying a bushelful of points tonight to a decent Bowling Green team.

Xavier came out of the gate strong blasting Youngstown State, but that only gives us a little added line value tonight.

Remember, this is a Musketeers team that lost 3 big pieces of the squad from last year, and they do have a brand new coach.

With Xavier still in a major learning curve of Coach Mack's new system ,and new ways, expect the Falcons to make a run that keeps them inside of the number tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Tom Stryker's 18-6 ATS CBB Non-Conference Crusher
#732 ILLINOIS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Killersports Daily NBA 11/17

3-STAR DENVER -8.5 over Toronto – Denver is coming off a big win against the Lakers on Friday night and have had plenty of time to refocus and harness the positives from that win.In the Raptors last game, they lost Phoenix 101-100 on Sunday. They led after three quarters in that game. The Raptors are 0-15 ATS (-8.7 ppg) since December 21, 2007 with at most one day of rest off a loss in which they led at the end of the third quarter and allowed less than 131 points. (team=Raptors and rest<2 and p:L and 0<=date and pooints<131)
The Raptors point guard, Jose Calderon, was not overly involved
in the scoring, going 3-of-7 from the field for eight points. The Raptors are 0-10 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since March 04, 2008 on the road after a loss on the road in which Jose Calderon took fewer than 10 shots.In that win Friday for the Nuggets, they actually score less than expected but held the Lakers to just 79 points . The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS (7.8 ppg) since February 02, 2008 at home after a win in which their DPS was negative.Denver was led by Carmelo Anthony with 25 poitns and Chauncey Billups was held to just 1-of-8 shooting for six points. The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS (7.7 ppg) since May 03, 2009 after a win at home in which Billups was not the Nuggets’ high scorer.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: DENVER 114, Toronto 100

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Dominic Fazzini Tuesday's play 15 Dime -- Pacers (minus points vs. NETS)

PACERS

Indiana inserted Dahntay Jones into the starting lineup four games ago, and that move has paid off in a big way.

Since the move was made the Pacers are 4-0, and Jones has averaged 18 points per game, including 25 in Indiana's 113-104 victory at Boston on Saturday.

With Jones in the starting lineup, Indiana has become a much better defensive team, and now the Pacers get to face a New Jersey team that is second-to-last in the NBA in scoring, with just 84.5 points per game.

The Nets have been even worse over their last five games, averaging 80 points per game, and they have been hit heavily by injuries this season. Six New Jersey players are expected to miss tonight's game, including starters Devin Harris an Yi Jianlian.

New Jersey dropped to 0-10 this season with its last-second 81-80 loss at Miami on Saturday night as Dwyane Wade hit a 3-pointer with 0.1 seconds left.

Second-year center Roy Hibbert has really given the Pacers a solid inside presence, averaging 11.7 points, nine rebounds and 2.43 blocks, and Danny Granger has turned into one of the league's top scorers, averaging 24.9 points per game. Indiana leads the NBA in blocked shots with 8.57 per game, and is third in rebounding with 45.3 per game.

The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. They should have no problem gaining a road win over the Nets tonight. Take Indiana in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

John Ryan Sports
Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Golden State Warriors @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Tuesday November 17, 2009 7:05 pm
Pick: 2 units ATS: Cleveland Cavaliers -14.5 (-110)


Ryan is rolling along quite well in the NBA coming off a 7* Titan victory on the Bobcats Monday. He sports a 16-9 ATS mark for 64% ATS victories on the season. Join him for another 7* Titan play reinforced by an incredible system producing 85% victories since 1996. Win Big again tonight.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland as they host the Warriors set to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 75% probability that Cleveland will win this game by 15 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 30-9 ATS for 77% victories since 1996.
Play on home favorites of 10 or more points after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half facing an opponent after a loss by 6 points or less. Cleveland has a huge rebounding edge in this game. The AiS shows an 88% probability that Cleveland will have 10 or more rebounds in this game. Note that Cleveland is a solid 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Cavs in a blowout.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

redd

10-Dime Suns

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Doc's NBA

3-Unit Play #701 Take Golden State +14 ½ Over Cleveland (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

5-Unit Play – Totals Game of the Week - #713 Take Chicago/Sacramento UNDER 198 (10 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-17-09

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -15

We're going with a public favorite here, but for a number of different reasons I believe the Cavaliers will look to bury the under manned Warriors:

The Warriors just dealt their second leading scorer in Stephen Jackson and are also without a number of its starters; Kelenna Azubuike suffered a patella tendon injury in the first quarter of their 129-125 loss to the Bucks (a game where rookine Brandon Jennings poured in a double-nickle [55]) and could be done for the season.

Centers Andris Biedrins (right groin and abdominal inflammation) and Ronny Turiaf (sprained knee) are out, as is power forward Brandan Wright (shoulder), leaving Golden State with Mikki Moore and Anthony Randolph as its only healthy big bodies.

Too add insult to injury; Golden State always struggles on the road at the Quicken Loans arena; 3-13 ATS its last 16 in Cleveland.

On the other side of the court: Shaq is most likely sitting in this one; James was held to 21 points after averaging 34.3 in the previous three games, but he scored seven in the final 28.8 seconds as the Cavaliers beat the Jazz 107-103 for their fourth straight win on Saturday.

After an atypical rough start, the Cavaliers have rebounded and I believe they'll continue to build momentum; not only is Cleveland 4-2 ATS its last six overall, but its also 7-1 SU its last eight.

Bottom line: Too many factors working against the Warriors today and after Lebron and the starters put this one out of reach, look for Cleveland's bench to make a strong showing down the stretch as they'll all be expecting some game time today; look for CLEVELAND to move to 4-1 ATS its last five vs. good offensive teams that average 99 plus points per contest and for the Warriors to fall to 2-3 ATS this year as an underdog.

*7* CAVALIERS.