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Re: 11-19-09
rich onboch
10* miami fish
rich onboch
10* miami fish
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Re: 11-19-09
Bryan Leonard's Thursday Hardcourt Crusher
711/712 Rice at Arizona
The Rice Owls are a young team with their top three players in regards to minutes all being underclassmen. Those three account for 33.3 points per game. There is just one senior on the roster and this should be a tough environment for their first true road game. They just played Sacramento State, South Alabama and Houston Baptist at home. Only the Jaguars of South Alabama have a quality team and the Owls were outshot and outrebounded in that game despite a 2 point home victory.
Arizona dominated Northern Arizona in their lone game on the schedule winning by 17 points. Like Rice they are a young club with just one senior on the roster. That said the talent level is of much higher quality and the young studs are playing at home. The Wildcats had eight players produce 8 points or more in the opener and that depth will be a key here.
Arizona had just one senior last year and they won 21 games with an RPI ranking of 62. So experience isn't a worry with the Wildcats.
PLAY ARIZONAComment
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Re: 11-19-09
vegas-runner | NFL Total Sun, 11/22/09 - 1:00 PM ¶ƒ
triple-dime bet 419 SEA / 420 MIN Under 46.5 Bodog
Analysis:
*** NFL "TRUE STEAM" 3* GAME OF THE WEEK *** ("11-3" the L3 Weeks..."69% ATS" Overall)
This is a classic example of the Outfits seeing so much Value in a Bet, that they didn't even see the need to allow the "Betting Public" to force the bookmakers, to adjust the line...and ultimately get an even better Total to go Under, than what they bet it at...
Bottom Line, there is no doubt in any bookmakers mind...of what side the Betting Public will be on...for the Total of this Match-Up...And if they are 100% sure that they will receive a lot of action on the Over as we approach, and on game-day...you can rest assured that the Wiseguys were aware of this as well...But yet they still went ahead and took this position, which guarantees us that it's a "TRUE STEAM" Bet...
More importantly, after speaking to some of those "runners" who actually move "Steam"...They all agreed that fortunately, the books receive so much more Public Money, than they do Wiseguy Money, on the NFL...that their respective Outfits were able to take a significant position on this wager...
This Total Opened at "47"...which is actually one of a handful of "Key Totals", due to the fact that there are plenty of combinations of Final Scores, that equal 47...And the books do not like coming off these Key Totals, anymore than they do the "Key Spreads"...So you can be sure that when they do, there is plenty of "Steam" behind it...
And that is the case for this game...Where the books went ahead and opened it up at 47, and were immediately forced to adjust down to 46...
Fortunately for us, the "TRUE STEAM" Bet that I believe offers up the most betting Value, based on my own Ratings/Lines...is in the NFL...Because as I stated above, the public money far outweighs the Wiseguy money...and therefore, as the public begins unloading on the Over...we will still have no problem finding a great line...
Let's go ahead and bet the UNDER 46.5 in this Match-Up...as our very 1st NFL "TRUE STEAM" BET OF THE WEEK...VRComment
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Re: 11-19-09
Adam Meyer, This is the year that the Bobby Higgins recruiting will pay off. The crop of kids he recruited 3 years ago are now juniors and seniors. Look for Kansas State to be a really good team this year. Take the Wildcats and lay the points.
PLAY: Kansas State / -14.5 / 5 Units
The Cowboys have hit another gear after the Texas loss, and they are 14-5 ATS as a favorite the last 3 years. Colorado allows more than 32 ppg on the road, while only scoring a little above 18 ppg on offense. OSU has a scoring difference of +13 at home and are 4-1 ATS against conference opponents. Oklahoma will move the ball with relative ease against the Buffaloes and handle their putrid offense. OSU covers in a rout tonight.
PLAY: Oklahoma State / -17 / 5 UnitsThese two teams have slim playoff chances riding on this game. They both rely heavily on the run and do not want to put the responsibility of winning the game on their QBs (Jake Delhomme and Chad Henne), the Dolphins running game will be affected by the absence of Pro Bowl RB Ronnie Brown, who is lost for the year. Henne's inexperience and the absence of Brown will heavily affect the Dolphins, and Carolina will easily cover this game.
PLAY: Carolina Panthers / -3 / 4 Units
Ever since Evgeni Malkin has returned from that injury the Pens’ offense seems rejuvenated. His appearance on the ice opens things up for other players like veteran Bill Guerin who has scored goals in the last two games. Even though they’re at home Ottawa has played spotty hockey lately and just hung on to beat a bad Toronto club the other night. The “plus” line right now on the Pens is most favorable.
PLAY: Pittsburgh Penguins / +105 / 3 UnitsComment
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