11-20-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Doc Sports

FootBall Week of November 19th (NEED POINTS) 4 Unit Play. #14 Take Utah State +23 ½ over Boise State (Friday 9:30 pm ESPN 2) The Broncos show no mercy for anyone, but one has to believe this is a flat spot as they play Nevada next. Throw in the fact that the Aggies will be playing their last home game of the season, and they have performed well at home. They took Nevada to the wire and lost, 25-32, and they did beat Louisiana Tech, 23-21. They have not been really blown out all season and look for them to hang around in this affair as well. Boise State 37, Utah State 21.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Maddux

#305 - NCAA - 3 units on Utah State +23.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Ras Det-1..IUPI-2.5..GaST-.5..Van+5..GaTech-5.5..all one unit

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Young Gun Sports 3* NBA Toronto -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Wunderdog

Game: Charlotte at Milwaukee (8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Milwaukee -3 (-110)

The Milwaukee Bucks suffered the loss of Michael Redd once again, but this time they have an answer in rookie Brandon Jennings. Jennings has been quite the surprise as he has already dropped 55 points and is averaging 24.8 per game. The Bobcats made an upgrade to a struggling offense by acquiring Stepon Jackson, but this team although highly competitive at home, is 0-6 on the road and overall, has now dropped six straight as well. The Bobcats play solid defense, but the offense is a disaster as they average just 83.4 points per game. Put that offense on the road and they are scoring under 80, which may be the lowest of any NBA team ever in the shot-clock era. The Bucks are delivering after a 10-point win at 6-0 ATS and the Cats have dropped four of the last five in this series. Milwaukee gets the call here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Randall the Handle

Florida +2.34 over DETROIT

After going into Buffalo and slamming the Sabres and Ryan Miller, one has to trust that the Panthers are feeling pretty good. This team is not intimidated by anyone or any place and they work their butts off every shift of every game. The Sabres may have taken them a lightly and they paid the price. What I do know is that Florida has won six of its last nine. They’re healthier than they’ve been all year and they’re scoring goals. In fact, the Panthers have scored 14 times over its last three games including six in Buffalo. The Red Wings had won three in a row before a 3-1 loss to at home to the Stars. They very seldom see Florida and that can only work in our favor, as the Panthers will be a lot more jacked up playing at the Joe than the Red Wings will be playing Florida at home. Furthermore, Detroit will play in Montreal tomorrow on Hockey Night in Canada and there’s a great possibility that game is more on their minds than this one. Anyway, the tag here on the Panthers is way too high and has to be considered one of the biggest overlays of the season thus far. Play: Florida +2.32 (Risking 2 units).


NY Islanders +1.20 over MINNESOTA

The Wild are a frustrated hockey team that is pressing way too much and that’s beginning to carry the burden of losing on its back. This is a team that struggles miserably to score goals and therefore they’re not a trustworthy favorite. Meanwhile, the Islanders just keep rolling. They have just two regulation losses over its last 13 games. Those two losses were in Buffalo and New Jersey, the latter by a score of 2-1. The Islanders are playing great hockey, they’re loose and they’re having fun. This is a young team on a roll and they can’t wait to get back on the ice. Play: NY Islanders +1.20 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Stephen Nover
Friday night ...
15 Dime EASTERN MICHIGAN
5 Dime UNDER EMU/Toledo
5 Dime GRIZZLIES

NOTE: Just when you think you can back the Carolina Panthers they lay an egg at home on national television against a mediocre Dolphins team. I lost on the Panthers Thursday night on a 15-dime play.

I did win my two other Thursday plays, cashing on the Dolphins-Panthers under as a five-dime selection and winning on my free pick of the Lakers to cover against the Bulls at home. This pushes my won-lost record during the past four days to 9-2.

For Friday I'm involved in the Eastern Michigan-Toledo game, both side and total. There's an NBA play I also like, too. I'm 6-1 on my last seven NBA selections.

As a complementary play, I like Boise State to cover against Utah State. The Broncos have too much offense AND defense for the Aggies, who won't get much crowd support for this matchup.

15 Dime EASTERN MICHIGAN - This game kind of reminds me of Sunday's upcoming NFL matchup between the Browns and Lions. It's bad versus bad and when that's the case you usually want to side with the underdog. That's my thinking in this game.

Eastern Michigan is motivated not to finish winless. I'm not sure Toledo has any motivation following last week's disheartening loss to Central Michigan. The Rockets were thoroughly battered, 56-28. It was their third consecutive defeat. The week before Toledo lost to previously unbeaten Miami of Ohio.

The Rockets quit at the end of last season and they very well could quit again. I don't trust their makeup.

My entire handicap to the 'dog is based on fading Toledo. The Rockets have a terrible defense and a revolving door at quarterback. They have no business laying this many points in a conference matchup. The Rockets have failed to cover the past six times they've been favorites of more than 10 1/2 points.

Toledo has allowed an average of 38.6 points in its five home games. The Rockets can't stop the run or pass. They rank 105th in total defense.

In the past five games, the Rockets have used five different players behind center. Senior Aaron Opelt, the regular starter, re-injured his right shoulder during last Wednesday's loss to Central Michigan. He may see some time, but he won't start. Freshman Austin Dantin is expected to start.

5 Dime UNDER EMU/Toledo - Yes we have two terrible defenses matching up. But these offenses are nothing to brag about, especially in the case of Eastern Michigan.

The Eagles rank 117th in points scored per game (15.5) and in total offense (275 yards).

Eastern Michigan has received terrible quarterback play and its best runner, Dwayne Priest, averages a pedestrian four yards per carry. Still, look for Eastern Michigan to stay on the ground in an effort to keep Toledo's offense off the field.

Toledo's defense is capable of making big plays. The Rockets have forced 16 turnovers and recorded 18 quarterback sacks. They just can't stop anybody in the red zone where they've allowed opponents to cash in on 90 percent of their opportunities. I just don't think Eastern Michigan is going to be in the red zone enough to justify this high of a total.

Toledo has a much better offense than Eastern Michigan. But this offense is in somewhat disarray because of the quarterback situation. It appears freshman Austin Dantin is going to get the start instead of senior Aaron Opelt, who is nursing a shoulder injury.

5 Dime GRIZZLIES - Memphis has won two in a row beating the Timberwolves and Clippers at home by a combined 25 points.

The Grizzlies rank second in rebounding. The 76ers rank 22nd in rebounding and are without Marreese Speights.

But the major part of this handicap is fading the 76ers believing they are overrated based on this line.

Only once in their last six games have the 76ers broken the 90-point barrier. They are averaging 86.5 points in their last four games.

In their last nine games, the 76ers' wins have come against the Knicks in overtime, the Nets by three at home, the Nets by three on the road and by two at home against the Bobcats. The combined record of the Knicks, Nets and Bobcats is 5-29.

I'm not a fan of Grizzlies' point guard Mike Conley. But I'm also not sold on the 76ers' new point guard Lou Williams. The 76ers have averaged 17 1/2 turnovers in their last two games. They are playing sloppy, missing Speights' inside scoring and have problems incorporating Elton Brand into their system.

Philadelphia is 1-7 against the spread in its last eight games. The 76ers have failed to cover in their last five home games.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Docs NBA 11/20

4-Unit Play #503 Take Memphis/Philadelphia OVER 194 (7 p.m. EST, Friday)
Memphis is one of the worst defensive teams in the league in all major categories. They are No. 27 in the league for points allowed, giving up 107+ per night, and No. 28 for defensive shooting percentage, allowing opponents to hit 50% of their shots. Their offense has been pretty efficient, however, and they are No. 9 for offensive FG%, hitting 47% of their own shots. The most glaring stat to us, however, is the number of points the Grizzlies give up on the road. They allow 117 PPG in road games this season and they have given up 104 PPG or more in EVERY road game and all but one opponent has put up 113 or more on them in road contests this season. We think Philly knows the key to winning this game is attacking the basket. Philly has played a lot of defensive teams thus far and their offensive numbers have struggled as a result and that is why we are getting a nice number here tonight.

4-Unit Play #512 Take Oklahoma City -3 ½ Over Washington (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
Love this slim line for what we think is a much better team in Oklahoma City. Washington has stunk on the road and they have gone 0-3 in road games since an opening night win against a Dallas team that was shaking off the offseason rust. All their road losses have come by double digits. This team’s stock is high right now since they beat Cleveland their last time out but before that they lost six straight and failed to cover in any of those games. OKC is once again a team that is underrated by the oddsmakers and general betting public. We are not a big fan of them laying a lot of points but this is a very manageable line and we think that they pull away in the fourth quarter for an easy win.

3-Unit Play #509 Take Orlando/Boston UNDER 192 (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
Four straight meetings have gone under the posted total and we think that is the direction this one goes in tonight. Orlando is a jekyl and hyde type of team that can engage in a defensive battle or run and gun at fast tempo. Even though Boston is No. 2 in the NBA for points allowed they are the best defensive team in the NBA and we feel they are going to set a defensive tone in this one and we see this game as a hard-fought defensive battle. Boston, on offense, is No. 1 for field goal percentage, hitting more than 50% of their shots, but they are only No. 17 in scoring with 99 PPG. That is the sign of a great under team as it is one that forces opponents to play their game. That’s why the under is 11-5 in Boston’s last 16 overall.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

ferringo 11/20

3-Unit Play. Take #527 Troy (+16) over Florida (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


3-Unit Play. Take #576 Boston College (-7.5) over St. Joseph’s (6 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #588 Ohio State (-2.5) over California (5 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #561 Mississippi (-1) over Kansas State (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


2-Unit Play. Take #566 UNC-Wilmington (+13) over Miami (3 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


2-Unit Play. Take #541 San Jose State (+22) over Washington (11 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #599 Louisiana Tech (+1.5) over Miami, OH (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


1-Unit Play. Take #539 Vanderbilt (+4) over St. Mary’s (11:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


1-Unit Play. Take #591 Eastern Michigan (-4.5) over Citadel (6:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


1-Unit Play. Take #530 Cornell (-3) over Seton Hall (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


1-Unit Play. FIRST HALF: Take #578 Purdue (-10.5) over South Dakota State (8:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


1-Unit Play. Take #567 LaSalle (-1.5) over Davidson (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


1-Unit Play. Take #589 Syracuse (Pk) over North Carolina (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 20)


2-Unit Play. Take #539 Vanderbilt (+9) over St. Mary’s (11:30 p.m.) AND Take #566 UNC-Wilmington (+18) over Miami (3 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #541 San Jose State (+27) over Washington (11 p.m.) AND Take #527 Troy (+21.5) over Florida (7 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: #572 Northern Iowa (-3) over DePaul (1 p.m.) AND #585 Alcorn State (+25) over Albany (7:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #557 Dayton (+10) over Villanova (3 p.m.) and #570 South Florida (+10.5) over South Carolina (9:30 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Trace Adams

500* - Eastern Michigan Eagles I realize that the Eagles are a winless 0-10 this season, and I also realize that they have been manhandled a-plenty this season, but I will back them tonight to cover this number at Toledo.

My feeling is Toledo will NOT get on top of this impost!

The Rockets have lost 3 in a row both straight up, and against the spread, and senior QB Aaron Opelt is doubtful with a shoulder injury, and you saw what happened last night when Oklahoma State had to use their backup QB's against Colorado as the heavy chalk!

Toledo has failed their last 3 this season when laying the wood, and this wood is more like a cord of wood tonight for the Rockets to cover.

The Eagles have tonight, and next week at Akron now standing between them and a winless season. Expect the best effort the Eagles can muster in order to avoid the season collar.

Take the points.



500? - Eastern Michigan Eagles


Interesting number tonight, as on the surface the Aggies sure look like a "live dog", as the Aggies do bring in an 11-2-1 spread mark their last 14 on line, and a 7-0-1 spread mark their last 8 tries in the underdog role!

The problem is, Boise State is not likely to let up here, as the # 6 Broncos know they are probably on the outside looking in as far as the BCS talks are concerned. Here is a chance for the Broncs to put a licking on a "decent" opponent to impress the pollsters, and I don't think they will fail.

Boise State is 8-3-1 against the spread their last 12 times laying 20-points or more, and they just covered a 32-point impost last week against Idaho.

Yes, this impost does leave plenty of back door room for the host, but Boise is a perfect 7-0 straight up since 1999 versus the Agggies, and 6-0-1 against the spread in those 7 meetings.

Boise delivers the KO punch tonight in Logan.

1000? - Boise State Broncos

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

BlacK Widow

6* Widow Wise guy CFB F riday Night "Total" BLOW OUT on EMU/Toledo OVER 64(-110 at betus)

This is a big total, but it won't be a problem for EMU and Toledo to reach the OVER when this one is all said and done. EMU gives up 38.4 points/game for the season, including a ridiculous 48.2 points/game on the road. Toledo gives up 39.3 points/game this season, but they are putting up 31.0 points/game at home. Look for Toledo to put up nearly 50 points in this one and EMU to top 25 points in what is an inevitable shootout. The last meeting in Toledo saw 80 combined points with a 52-28 Toledo victory. Toledo is 24-8 OVER (+15.2 Units) in home games since 1992. The Rockets are 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) in home games after playing their last game on the road since 1992. Take the OVER 64 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Teddy Covers

Toledo -16

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

Kelso:
5 units Utah State +23
4 units Bowling Green -10.5
3 units Eastern Michigan +16.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-09

ATS Lock

4unit utah st