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Re: 11-21-09
Ras..Boise st+3.5..So miss+3..Virg comm+4.5..Northeastern-1.. all one unit
Ras..Boise st+3.5..So miss+3..Virg comm+4.5..Northeastern-1.. all one unit
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Re: 11-21-09
Smooth44...has Underdog GOY on Syracuse (see write ups below)
HUGE CARD TODAY FOLKS – LET’S GITTER DONE!!
ALL TOP-RATED
CFB
12:00PM EST
315 OhioState
316 Michigan
TOP PLAY: MICHIGAN +12
TOP PLAY: MICHIGAN MONEYLINE +360
Coach Rodriguez was brought to UM with one thing in mind – BEAT OHIO STATE – and he has yet to do it!! Look for Rodriguez and his team to play some inspired ball knowing that a win today secures a “winning” season and a possible trip to a minor game. UM offense very balanced and will be effective today, however, it’s the defense that must make a few big plays to give their team a chance – my money says they do it!! Look for OSU to be feeling a little “too good” after their B2B wins over Penn State and Iowa which clinched the Big 10 title and trip to the Rose Bowl and for complacency to possibly set in knowing they have dominated this rivalry recently. Make no mistake about it OSU is the better team but today it is Michigan that is the more motivated team!! It is worth noting that OSU is just 1-4 ATS L5 road games versus a team with a losing home record.
PREDICTION: MICHIGAN 24 OHIO STATE 23
2:30PM EST
349 Connecticut
350 Notre Dame
TOP PLAY: UCONN +6
TOP PLAY: UCONN MONEYLINE +210
Is there a more frustrated team than UConn?? All 5 of their losses have been by 4 or fewer points and against one of the toughest schedules in the nation. UConn, at 4-5, is still fighting to become bowl eligible and a win today would be huge for them!! The Irish passing attack has been the back bone of this team all season but today they will find it difficult against a very good UConn pass defense. We all know UConn will run and they will be very effective against this Irish team that has struggled all season to stop it giving up an average of 4.6 yards per carry. Take UConn knowing they are 5-0 ATS L5 on the road while Notre Dame 1-7 ATS L8 as a fave!!
PREDICTION: UCONN 27 NOTRE DAME 23
3:30PM EST
327 Rutgers
328 Syracuse
TOP PLAY: SYRACUSE +10 -120
TOP PLAY: SYRACUSE MONEYLINE +335
***UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR***
Last year Rutgers pounded the Cuse by 18 as a 14 point home fave and now this year an 8-2 RU opens as a 7.5 point road fave against the 3-7 Orange?? Seem fishy?? The public doesn’t think so BUT I DO!! Folks, despite their 8-2 mark I still maintain that RU is over-rated!! Their offense just hung 31 on South Florida which is only the 2nd time all year they scored 30 or more; the first time was against a horrible Maryland team!! The public loves to love Rutgers because in recent years they have been a covering machine but look for all of that to end today!! The Cuse is one of the best in the nation at stopping the run and RU relies heavily on the ground game to set up their passing attack. They will struggle today!! The Cuse may only be 3-7 but they have played a VERY tough schedule and have been competitive in every game!! Meanwhile, RU sits at 8-2 but worth noting that their schedule has been laughable, ranking a pathetic 113th in the nation!! So let’s not get too excited about Rutgers folks because this one has UPSET written all over it!! I went against RU last time out against USF and got waxed but it’s not happening today!! This is a bigger game for the Cuse than many of you may know for the reason that the Cuse recruits a lot out of players out of Jersey – in order to continue to attract that talent they MUST win today!! It is important to note that Rutgers is just 9-22 ATS L31 after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers. It is also important to note that Syracuse allowed just 34 rushing yards on 35 carries against Louisville and the Orange are an incredible 15-3 ATS L18 at home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards. Look for Rutgers to come crashing back to Earth today!! I loved the Cuse at the opening of 7.5 and I would like to take this opportunity to thank Mr. Joe Public for driving the number higher!! For more on this topic please visit www.fadingthepublic.com
PREDICTION: THE CUSE 24 RUTGERS 16
3:30PM EST
353 Penn State
354 Michigan State
TOP PLAY: MICHIGANSTATE +3
TOP PLAY: MICHIGAN STATE MONEYLINE +130
Huge home revenge angle in effect today for MSU and I will not ignore it especially knowing they are still playing for a Bowl berth!! PSU is just 2-5-1 ATS L8 as a fave of 3 points or less and 1-4 ATS L5 after an ATS loss. Meanwhile, MSU is an incredible 15-2-1 ATS in their home finales L18 years!! Look for MSU to play inspired ball and get revenge for last year’s blowout loss!! The home side is 7-3 ATS L10 meetings!!
PREDICTION: MICHIGANSTATE 24 PENNSTATE 20
3:30PM EST
363 UAB
364 East Carolina
TOP PLAY: OVER 56
PREDICTION: COMBINED TOTAL OF 62-66
3:30PM EST
321 Wisconsin
322 NorthWestern
TOP PLAY: WISCONSIN -7
YES, I actually do play faves when it’s warranted!! Northwestern is always a great home play as a dog but this line is just begging you to take them in my opinion especially knowing they are coming off impressive B2B road wins over Iowa and Illinois!! On paper the NW defense appears solid including the fact that they have only given up 138 yards per game on the ground. But folks, don’t be mislead by this number!! The reality is the Cats have not seen a run offense like this all season and their run defense will be exposed big time!! Look for the Badgers to jump out early and for NW to fail in their efforts to play from behind!!
PREDICTION: WISCONSIN 38 NORTHWESTERN 17
3:30PM EST
359 LSU
360 Mississippi
TOP PLAY: LSU +5 -120
TOP PLAY: LSU MONEYLINE +175
You are going to give me points for LSU and Coach Miles knowing they are a revenge spot?? You better believe I will bite especially knowing that Ole Miss is coming off their biggest offensive output in SEC playing racking up 42 points marking the first time they put up more than 30 in a conference game and only the 2nd time they put up more than 23!! I know LSU struggled last week with La Tech but that creates our line value here when you combine it with Ole Miss’ emotional blowout win over an over-rated Tennessee squad!! Look for Ole Miss to fall flat on their faces today!! And it helps knowing that LSU is an impressive 11-5-1 ATS L17 as a road dog of 3.5 to 10 points and that the dog has covered 8 of the L9 meetings!!
PREDICTION: LSU 27 OLE MISS 17
4:30PM EST
381 SMU
382 Marshall
TOP PLAY: SMU +3
TOP PLAY: SMU MONEYLINE +140
SMU is playing for a conference championship while Marshall a bowl berth so there is a lot on the line today. However, I will back SMU as their offense is rolling right now and I don’t see that stopping today!! Marshall’s offense has been inconsistent and untimely mistakes have cost them games. Look for SMU to take advantage of mistakes and to ultimately wear down the Marshall defense resulting in a huge road win for the Mustangs.
PREDICTION: SMU 31 MARSHALL 19
7:30PM EST
357 California
358 Stanford
TOP PLAY: CALIFORNIA +7
TOP PLAY: CALIFORNIA MONEYLINE +260
We all know this is one of the oldest and biggest rivalries in college football and I will gladly side with the road team today!! Stanford is coming off huge B2B wins over Oregon and USC and when you combine this with the cardinal success at home we get tremendous line value today. However, with those wins Stanford has quickly moved to the unfamiliar role of playing hunted instead of the hunter and kids at this level typically fail in unfamiliar roles!! Stanford relies heavily on the run to set up their passing attack and that won’t be easy today against one of the stingiest run defenses in the nation!! It is worth noting that Cal is an incredible 13-5-1 ATS L19 as a road dog.
PREDICTION: CAL 31 STANFORD 27
7:45PM EST
365 KansasState
366 Nebraska
TOP PLAY: KANSASSTATE +17
TOP PLAY: KANSAS STATE MONEYLINE +560
Okay as tough as it has been for Vegas this season it is nice to know they still have a sense of humor!! Nebraska a 17 point fave?! Get real!! K-State is 6-1 ATS L7 games after giving up more than 280 passing yards. K-State also 7-3 ATS L10 as a road dog!! After B2B wins against Oklahoma and Kansas look for a classic Nebraska letdown and for them to fall flat on their faces!! I am taking the moneyline based on principal alone!!
PREDICTION: KANSASSTATE 27 NEBRASKA 20
8:00PM EST
379 Oregon
380 Arizona U
TOP PLAY: ARIZONA +6
TOP PLAY: ARIZONA MONEYLINE +200
I can give you 100 trends/angles that suggest Oregon wins and covers today!! However, we will find out exactly WHY they play the games!! Arizona is coming off a disappointing road loss to Cal but perhaps they got caught looking ahead to this game, a game that not only has huge conference championship implications but also a huge revenge game for Arizona!! Arizona has surprised many this season and is playing with a chip on their shoulders. We all know Oregon struggles on the road and I don’t see today being any different especially knowing the Ducks are just 1-4 ATS L5 as a road fave of 3.5 to 10 points!! And remember, they were just in this spot 2 weeks ago at Stanford and they got blasted!! Meanwhile, Arizona is an impressive 11-3 ATS L14 at home overall including 4-0 ATS L4 as a home dog, and interestingly enough ALL 4 games were against RANKED opponents!! Additionally, the Cats are also 6-1 ATS L7 home games when playing a team with a winning record on the road and 6-2 ATS L8 off a SU loss!! Lastly, it is worth noting the home team is an impressive 4-1 ATS L5 meetings!! Look for it to be electric in Arizona tonight and for the Cats to take a huge step towards their first Rose Bowl berth in history!!
PREDICTION: ARIZONA 27 OREGON 21Comment
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Re: 11-21-09
Dave Cokin - Pure Gold: Dave Cokin's College Game of the Year!
(355) ARIZONA STATE (+4.5, ov41.0)
(356) UCLA (-4.5, un41.0)
Saturday, Nov 21 2009, 01:00 PM PST
Take " (356) UCLA "
Great spot for the Bruins.They match up well against Arizona State, and I actually give the Bruins the edges on both sides of the ball. UCLA desperately wants to get to a bowl, and they will achieve that goal with a win here. The Bruins have positive momentum off back to back wins, while ASU is going in the other direction. UCLA is even the healthier team at this juncture. The Bruins aren't likely to blow too many teams out, but I would not be all that shocked to see it happen here. But at the very least, I fully expect UCLA to control these proceedings, and I'm very confidently backing them at a very reasonable number. It's UCLA for my 30th Annual College Football Game of the Year!Comment
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Re: 11-21-09
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, November 21, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: FOUR WORDS...GAME OF THE YEAR!!! That is what I have for you today! This play is so STRONG it can only be rated as my COLLEGE FOOTBALL LATE STEAM PLAY OF THE YEAR! and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and you will pay only after you WIN! We are currently on a 70-23 run with all selections and we are 35-16 in College and Pro Football this year! WE ARE SMOKEN HOT!! GET THIS WINNER! 11/20/2009
COLLEGE FOOTBALL LATE STEAM PLAY OF THE YEAR
338 Missouri -14 2:00 ESTComment
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Re: 11-21-09
Bob Balfe
SYRACUSE +9
Ladies and Gentlemen the entire world is on Syracuse today and let me be the first to tell you that it cannot be that easy for Rutgers backers. Why would Vegas make this line so low? Rutgers has played well in the past few weeks, but the Cuse run defense will step up to the challenge today and on turf this will be a tough matchup for Rutgers. Rutgers has played some teams that had a lot of problems in the past few weeks and today a hungry Syracuse team will give them all they can handle. Look for the young Rutgers team to struggle today. Take the points.Comment
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Re: 11-21-09
Spartan
TEXAS -27.5
I will not typically bite off this much chalk but I have been closely observing the messy situation going on in Lawrence with head coach Mark Mangino and it is a quagmire. Space does not allow me to describe the scene right now with the Kansas football program. Athletic Director Lew Perkins held a locker room meeting with the kids and Mangino was asked not to even be present. Now there obviously is always that fear that a team will rally around one another and go out and with one for the gipper, problem is half the team cannot stand the gipper in this case. I just don't like the way this thing is setting up for Kansas. It is going to be a packed house in Austin for senior night and I expect the Longhorns, who are already stalking a national title shot, will be bringing their A game. I really do not expect this game to be very competitive much into the second quarter. Colt McCoy also is well within reach of that elusive Heisman Trophy. He will likely hook up with his favorite target Jordan Shipley a couple of times minimum just to add to the occasion. A lot of points to be laying but I honestly feel the Horns will hook'em badly, probably a terminal wound to the career of Mangino, who is already on shaky pins. Take Texas.Comment
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