11-21-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Doctor Bob

5 Best Bets for week 12 and 3 Strong Opinions.

Rotation #338 Missouri (-14) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -17.
Rotation #358 Stanford (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #369 Baylor (+6 1/2) 2-Stars at +4 or more, 3-Stars at +7.
Rotation #381 SMU (+4) 3-Stars at +3 1/2 or more, 2-Stars at +3.
Rotation #392 Central Florida (-21) 2-Star Best Bet at -21 or less.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #326 South Florida(-11 1/2) Strong Opinion at -12 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -10.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #342 Georgia (-8) Strong Opinion at -10 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -7.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #348 Arkansas (-11) Strong Opinion at -12 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -10.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Wayne Allen Root

Billionaires Club...the Game Of The Year

Mich St.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Larry Ness' 10* LEGEND Play (13-4 s/'05)

REASON FOR PICK: Texas A&M took a streak of 20 consecutive non-losing seasons into Franchione's first year at College Station (2003). In his five years at this proud program, Coach Fran's best season was a 9-4 finish in 2006 (lost Holiday Bowl 45-10 to Cal to end that year!) and he had two losing years. The man he replaced, RC Slocum went 123-47-2 over seasons, with ZERO losing seasons! Mike Sherman, who spent six years as Green Bay's head coach going 57-39 with four playoff trips, took over last year with A&M finishing at 4-8. The current team is 5-5 and with Texas coming to town on Thanksgiving, the Aggies better get that important sixth win of the season Saturday vs Baylor. As for the Bears, expectations going into "Year 2" of the Art Briles era were high, with Robert Griffin at QB (15-3 ratio last season). However, Griffin was lost for the season with a knee injury in the team's third game (home to Northwestern St), with Griffin having completed 65.2 percent of his passes with a 4-0 ratio. Baylor would improve to 3-1 with a win at Kent State on October 3 but new starting QB Nick Florence doesn't have anywhere near the versatility that Griffin possessed. Baylor is 2-5 under Florence (4-6 on the season), who has completed 61.3 percent of his passes in the eight games he has played (seven starts) but has thrown just has six TDs against seven INTs on the year. He had 427 yards and three TDs in the team's 40-32 upset (Baylor was a two-TD underdog) at Missouri on November 7 but turned around and threw three iNTs in last Saturday's 47-14 loss at Texas. Baylor entered this season as the Big 12's worst team, sporting a 13-91 conference mark (.125) since 1996. Baylor's Big 12 woes are well documented. The team ended a 29-game conference losing streak in 2002 and after losing its first 37 conference road games, finally won 23-13 at Iowa St in 2005. Let's fast forward to the current season and we find that Baylor has gone 3-52 (.055) all-time in Big 12 road games. While one of those wins came just recently at Missouri, the Bears have run for 44.3 YPG (2.0 YPC) in their three big 12 road games this year, while the defense has allowed 29.7 PPG. Baylor has played at A&M every odd-year since the league's inception (1996), visiting College Station six times (this will be the 7th) while losing each game by an average score of 37.0-to-11.0 PPG! As mentioned earlier, the Aggies NEED this win to become bowl eligible and A&M is surely not expecting to upset Texas on Thanksgiving night. So how have the Aggies played at home this year? They are 4-1 SU, losing only 36-31 to Oklahoma State. The Aggies have displayed a powerhouse rushing attack in College Station this year, averaging 221.6 YPG (4.8 YPC) while scoring 40.2 PPG. In the team's four wins, those averages go up to 249.8 YPG and 42.5 PPG. QB Jerrod Johnson has been among the nation's leaders all season in total offense (currently ranks 6th at 299.7 YPG) and for the year the junior has completed 58.3 percent of his pasees with 22 TDs and just five INTs. Note that in A&M's five home games, Johnson has thrown for an average of 293.6 YPG with 15 TD passes and not a SINGLE interception. LEGEND Play on Texas A&M (10*)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

BRANDON LANG

Saturday's Selections ... 25 DIME - RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS - This game today is about 2 teams heading in opposite directions and heading there fast.

Let me first talk about Rutgers, and just how good Greg Schiano has this team playing right now.

They come off a complete and utter domination of South Florida at home 31-0 in a game the Scarlet Knights defense that forced 4 turnovers, held them to 159 yards total offense including just 30 yards on the ground.

Now this Rutgers defense steps way down in class to take on a Syracuse team that has not only the 95th ranked rush offense in the country but the 110th ranked overall.

In other words folks, there are only 9 teams in all of division 1A with a worse offense than Syracuse.

Allow me to put this into it's proper prospective for you.

When you can't run the football and you are forced to throw, and the defense knows you are gonna throw, turnovers are going to happen and they are going to happen in bunches.

Of their 4 road games this year, Rutgers has beaten Maryland 34-13 forcing 5 turnovers, beat Army 27-10 forcing 3 turnovers, beat Uconn 28-24 forcing 4 turnovers.

This does not bode well for a Syracuse team that has turned it over 25 times facing a Rutgers team that is 2nd in the nation at forcing turnovers getting 29 of them.

Only Ohio has forced more and it's just one more at 30.

The Orangemen are seeing the wrong team at the wrong time. Nothing more and nothing less, and just like Maryland and Army before them, they will lose this game by 17 points or more.

Unlike Syracuse, which can't get out of it's own way, Rutgers has suffered 2 losses this year and they just happen to be against the two teams battling for the Big East championship in Pitt and Cincinnati.

If a former point guard from Duke, or his back up a redshirt freshman play well enough against this Rutgers defense to keep this game within single digits, then I will take my hat off to them, take my loss like a man and move on.

For my money, I say they can't. End of story.

10 DIME - STANFORD CARDINAL - There is no stopping Stanford right now.

And it sure isn't going to be Cal coming anywhere close to shutting them down with their 71st overall defense in college football.

The last 2 weeks have shown me that Stanford is playing at a level unmatched in the history of their school, and I am talking about the days of John Elway included.

You start putting up over 50 back-to- back weeks on the likes of Oregon with the 22nd best defense, and USC on the road with their 48th best defense, trust me when I tell you things have really clicked.

Let me take this one step further.

At home Stanford has won by margins of 25 over San Jose State, 20 over Washington, 8 over Ucla, 19 over Arizona St, and 9 over Oregon.

What is even more impressive is against the 15th overall defense in the country in Arizona State they scored 33, against the 22nd best defense in the country in Oregon they put up 51, and against the 49th best in USC they put up 55.

If you think it has anything to do with being at home, let me point out they went on the road versus the 18th best defense in Arizona and put up 38 and at Oregon State against the 58th best defense they put up 28.

Cal comes in with the 71st overall defense in the country. Somebody please say, "Watch out below!!!!!!!"

Of all the defenses in the Pac-10 Stanford has faced this year, Cal has the worst. Juggle that around in your head for a minute...you have time.

One last point. At the end of the USC game last week Stanford scored to make it 53-21 and Jim Harbaugh went for 2 to stuff it in Pete Carroll's face due to the fact in recruiting circles Carroll has been telling players being recruited by both USC and Stanford, "Why do you want to go there, we beat them everytime."

Well, ask Jim Harbaugh what you think of him now.

If Harbaugh did that to USC, what do you think he is going to do to his arch-rival Cal in a game that for one of the few times has the superior team.

You do the math. Stanford beats USC and Oregon by a combined score of 106-63. Cal lost to those two schools by a combined score of 72-6, and they have to face Stanford without star tailback Jahvid Best.

Are you ready for the river card? The ace on the river? The flush on the river? The full house on the river?

Stanford is going for their 12th straight home cover which is the best mark in the entire country, and I see nothing that leads me to believe they won't win this game by double digits as well.

5 DIME - ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS - So let me get this straight.

I have the 102nd ranked run defense in the entire country who in their 5 home games this year allowed almost 1,000 yards rushing to shut down Army's option attack?

A defense that in their last 2 home games versus the 30th, and 38th ranked rushing attacks in UL Monroe, and Western Kentucky they allowed 281 and 172 yards respectively.

Now they take on a rush offense ranked 16 spots better at Army at 14th in the country.

The bottom line is a 2-8 team shouldn't be favored over a service academy any time anywhere.

I mean, Army knocked off an SEC school earlier this year in Vandy for crying out loud so that right there shows you what this team is capable of.

Furthermore, this could be a home game for Army as 18 kids on their roster are from the state of Texas and you don't think there is some magic going on here.

Army has covered 8 in a row in the Lonestar State. I'm talking about 8 in a row.

I have no problem grabbing any kind of points in a game I feel Army can win outright. Simple as that.

FREE SELECTION - KENTUCKY WILDCATS

[wayneschultz]

Re: 11-21-09

roots full card yet

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Root:
Billionaire Club GOY: Michigan State +3
10 * Ole Miss
7* Arizona
4* California

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

WAYNE ROOT
2009 Football Upset Club
Saturday, November 21, 2009

4*California (+7½) over Stanford
7:30 PM -- Stanford Stadium




7*Arizona (+5) over Oregon
8:00 PM -- Arizona Stadium

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

root card


free play
UCONN

favorite of week
TENNESSEE

primetime tv game of week
IOWA

vegas legend
BOSTON COLLEGE

millionaire
CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA VS. STANFORD: Known as the "BIG GAME". This game takes on a new meaning when the word RIVALRY is spoken. WAR loves to take the dog in most rivalry games and this is no exception. Led by the running of Gerhart and freshman quarterback Andrew Luck, coach Jim Harbaugh’s 14th-ranked Cardinal (7-3, 6-2 Pac-10) are playing for a chance at the conference title when they host California (7-3, 4-3).This is the first time since 1991 that both teams enter the rivalry game with at least seven wins.“You want both opponents to be very high-skilled, highly ranked, you want it to be THE Big Game and I think we’re going to get that this year". The Golden Bears have dominated their rivals this decade, winning six of seven since Tedford took over in 2002. The one loss still haunts the Bears, who lost six of their final seven regular-season games in 2007, including the rivalry game to Stanford in Harbaugh’s first season. “Losing in ’06 to USC was pretty bad, but losing the Axe in ’07 was the worst feeling I ever had in my life,” Tedford said. “It tears you apart and tears the community apart.” One of the biggest problems facing the Cardinal this week seemed unfathomable just a couple years ago: overconfidence. WAR agrees wholeheartedly. Stanford put itself in this position by scoring 106 points in the wins over the Ducks and Trojans. First came a 51-42 victory over then-No. 7 Oregon that put the Cardinal into the Top 25 for the first time in eight years.They followed that by scoring the most points ever against USC in a 55-21 victory over the then-No. 11 Trojans. WAR says there a 2 things you shouldn't wake: A sleeping bear and a Golden Bear

billionaire goy
MICHIGAN STATE


PENN ST VS. MICHIGAN ST. Michigan State is bowl eligible for the third straight season under third-year coach Mark Dantonio—just the third such streak in school history. Does Michigan St need motivation? Some think so. This streak still could have an unhappy ending, depending on how several games go Saturday. The Spartans are not guaranteed a bowl game unless they upset Penn State on senior day at Spartan Stadium. (they go if Ohio St beat Mich). “It’s never a guarantee...says WAR. The Spartans will say goodbye to 19 seniors before Saturday’s game against Penn State. The notables include DE Trevor Anderson, LT Rocco Cironi, C Joel Nitchman, RG Brendon Moss, WR Blair White, PK Brett Swenson, S Danny Fortener and LB Brandon Denson. I believe that would be quite a milestone for this group in terms of I’m not sure how many senior groups have won seven games for three straight years.” according to their coach. Michigan State is looking to duplicate what it did two years ago. The Spartans were 5-5 in Dantonio’s first season, facing a trip to Purdue and a home game with Penn State. They scored upset wins in both, earning a trip the Champs Sports Bowl in Orlando, Fla. Mark Dantonio said he is using that as an example to motivate his team.
Offensive Coordinator Don Treadwell put together an aggressive game plan against Purdue, throwing deep often and weaving in reverses and wildcat formations. WAR thinks more of the same would be a good idea against Penn State's defense. the Spartans usually play Penn State well at home. MSU is 8-4 in the series at Spartan Stadium. WAR says another key to this game is that the Spartans are uncommonly healthy for this time of year.

no limit
ARIZONA

OREGON VS. ARIZONA: There is no ambiguity to it. If Arizona wins it final three games, it will go to its first Rose Bowl ever. There will be nothing easy about the final three games, however, and the Wildcats will have to do deal with being directly in the spotlight’s glare. Potential distractions before this week’s home game against Oregon include extra interviews and the excitement over the first-ever appearance of ESPN’s popular GameDay program in Tucson. “I think its fantastic for the team, I think its fantastic for the city, and I think its fantastic for the fans,” said coach. This will be the final home game for 23 Arizona seniors, including a dozen regular starters. Eight of the seniors are four-year lettermen. “These guys have really been a big part of what we wanted to do,” said coach Mike Stoops. “These guys took a risk in coming in and shared the same vision.” WAR says it's all about HEART. Sucking it up and giving 100%. He likes that in these Wildcats.
Arizona hasn’t often been in position to have a chance at the Rose Bowl at this point in the calendar, so this is the most important home game the Wildcats have ever played this late in the season. With a loss, the dream of a Pac-10 title is gone. Win, and Arizona is effectively alone in first. And that scenario is just fine with the King of Vegas Gambling. That's the challenge WAR has daily in his life and sees no reason why that should bother the Arizona Wildcats. At least they know for what stakes they are playing

perfect play
MISSISSIPPI

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

PPP early 5*

Marshall

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Ppp

3%-cent fla- rutgers-la tech-mississippi-cali-kentuk
4% sfla-tenn
5% Marshall

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

BEN BURNS

Connecticut vs. Notre Dame (NCAAF) - 2:30 PM EST Notre Dame Premium Pick
Click to View Additional Details
Play Title **EARLY** Burns 10* Non-Conf. BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR
Play Selected Point Spread: -6/-108
I'm laying the points with NOTRE DAME. The Huskies are coming off a bye last week. Prior to that, in addition to having tragically lost a teammate, they'd been through an exhausting stretch of games. One could argue that they bye came at the perfect time. However, after having lost a close one to Cincinnati and three straight "heart-breakers" overall, I feel that the extra week may only serve to give them more time to hang their heads and think about "what could have been." This is a team which had been riding on emotion for some time and sometimes after having the 'ride come to an end,' it can be a bit difficult to get back the same intensity. The Huskies also know that they've still got a pair of Big East home games left on tap, including a winnable game vs. Syracuse, which may take a little bit of the urgency out of winning this one. Notre Dame, on the other hand, should absolutely be playing with a sense of 'urgency.' This is the final home game for the Irish and their finale comes on the road vs. a good Stanford team. Off back to back losses, they know that if they don't win here that they could easily be looking at losing four straight to end the regular season. That would almost certainly spell the end of the Charlie Weis era. Regardless of whether or not this does prove to be Weis' last home game as coach of the Irish, I fully expect him to have his team extremely motivated. Last year, the Irish were upset in their home finale. Favored by nearly three touchdowns vs Syracuse, they were winning by 13 points in the fourth quarter. However, they let the Orange come all the way back and suffered an improbable 24-23 loss. Weis has described that as one of the worst feelings of his coaching career and he absolutely does NOT want to go through the same thing again, particularly if this really is his final game here. He doesn't want to go out like here and he doesn't want his seniors to lose their final game here. He described last year by saying: "...those seniors walked out of here for the last time with a loss. It was a gut-wrenching feeling that stayed with you for some time." Even with that result, note that the Irish are still 7-2 their last nine home finales. I 2007, they won 28-7 as a -6.5 point favorite. In 2006, they won 41-9 as a -29 point favorite. While the Huskies do have a formidable ground attack, the Irish have a significant advantage in the passing game. Notre Dame's Jimmy Clausen has completed 67.4 percent of his passes for 3,053 yards and 21 touchdowns against four interceptions. Conversely, UConn's Zach Fraser has completed only 51.2 percent of his passes for 815 yards with four touchdowns against seven interceptions. Facing a UConn defense that gave up 711 yards in its last time, including 480 through the air, I expect Clausen, Tate and co. to have a big game. The Huskies have been keeping it close all season but this time, I don't expect them to be able to keep up. *10 Personal Favorite (Top Non-Conf. Favorite)



Kentucky vs. Georgia (NCAAF) - 7:45 PM EST Georgia Premium Pick
Click to View Additional Details
Play Title **7-1 RUN** Burns' #1 Nov. SEC GAME OF THE MONTH!!
Play Selected Point Spread: -9.5/-107
I'm laying the points with GEORGIA. With the Wildcats off back to back victories, this line has remained in the high single-digits. I feel that provides us with solid value on the home favorite, one which I feel has superior talent, matchup advantages and plenty of motivation. With identical 6-4 records, this is a very big game for both teams. The Bulldogs are playing their home finale though, which should provide even further inspiration. Kentucky's strength on offense is its running game. However, that plays right into the strength of the Georgia defense. The Bulldogs are very tough against the run (held Auburn to 115 rushing yards on 38 carries last weekend, limiting the talented Ben Tate to a season low 67) while being somewhat vulnerable against the pass. The Wildcats don't have the QB to take advantage of that weakness though. Indeed, true freshman Morgan Newton has just 402 passing yards in five games and Kentucky's passing offense ranks 112th nationally at just 147.7 yards per game. While I'm assuming that he'll play, it should be noted that Kentucky's dynamic weapon Randall Cobb isn't 100% and is currently questionable. Even if Cobb is 100%, I expect the Wildcats to have some trouble moving the ball. The Bulldogs have owned this series. They're 11-1 the last 12 games in the series and 49-11-2 all-time. The Wildcats haven't beaten them here in Athens since the 1970s. They won by 11, as -7 point favorites, the last meeting here. That brings them to 3-0 ATS the last three meetings here and 5-2 ATS in seven series meetings here since 1995. The Bulldogs won ALL seven of those games by a minimum of nine points and I expect another double-digit victory here. *8 Top Nov SEC Fav.



Oregon vs. Arizona U (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST Arizona U Premium Pick
Click to View Additional Details
Play Title *HUGE TV WINNER* Burns MAIN EVENT (PERFECT 6-0 L6)
Play Selected Point Spread: 6/-106
I'm taking the points with ARIZONA. Both these teams have been pretty good to me again this season. I won with the Ducks on Opening Night of the season (38 point winner on the 'under') and have gone 5-2 when playing their games overall. While I did win with the Ducks when they beat both Utah and Cal, most recently, I successfully played against them when they were upset by Stanford on 11/7. I haven't been involved with nearly as many Arizona games. In fact, I only bet on one game that the Wildcats played in all season. That was on 10/17, when they knocked off Stanford. I feel that this will be an excellent spot to again back the Wildcats. Most are aware that this is a huge game for the Ducks. Indeed, if they can win here and follow it up by winning the 'Civil War' (vs. OSU on 12/3) then they'll capture the Pac-10 crown and advance to the Rose Bowl. The Wildcats have flown under the radar a bit more though and many may not realize that they are also in control of their own destiny. If they can win this game and also win their final two games (at ASU and at USC) then they'll be the team which wins the Pac-10 and plays in the Rose Bowl. Granted, even if they do win this one, winning back to back road games won't be easy. Still, the fact remains that this game is arguably every bit as important to Arizona, as it is to Oregon. Some may be surprised to find the Wildcats in this position. They shouldn't be. The Wildcats pounded the likes of UCLA, California and Arizona State last season, nearly defeating USC. They followed that up with a double-digit win over BYU in the Las Vegas Bowl, finishing at 8-5. That record could easily have been better as all five losses came by 10 points or less. This year's team returned 13 starters but lost just 13 lettermen, the second fewest in the Pac-10. Conversely, Oregon lost 20 lettermen and returned only nine starters. With the Ducks favored by a handful of points in the road, one would expect them to have a significant advantage on at least one side of the ball. However, that's not really the case. Oregon does have slightly better overall numbers in terms of points scored and allowed. However, the Wildcats have gained more yards and allowed less. Additionally, a closer look reveals that Arizona's home numbers are actually quite a lot better than Oregon's stats on the road. Arizona is 5-0 at home, going 3-1 ATS in lined games. Oregon is 2-2 on the road, both SU and ATS. Looking at the last few seasons and we find the Ducks at 8-7 ATS in their 15 road games. During the same stretch, the Wildcats have gone 12-4 ATS in their home lined games, 14-4 at home overall. This season, the Ducks are averaging 29.2 points and 360.2 yards of offense on the road. The Wildcats are averaging 34.2 points per game at home and 497.4 yards of offense. On the other side of the ball, the Wildcats are allowing 16.2 points and 277.6 yards per game at home. Conversely, the Ducks are allowing 24.7 points and 368 yards on the road. With last year's game being played at Eugene, the Ducks jumped out to a huge lead against the Wildcats. However, Arizona stormed all the way back and pulled within three points, before eventually losing by 10. Looking at the time of possession and we find that the Wildcats had a whopping 41:46 to 18:14 advantage, in terms of time of possession. Again, that was at Oregon. The previous year, when the teams met here at Arizona, despite being listed as heavy underdogs, the Wildcats won 34-24. The Ducks were #2 in the country at the time and that loss killed their BCS dreams. The Ducks looked pretty good in beating Arizona State last week. That was at home though. Their most recent road game was the outright loss vs. Stanford. Including that result, they're just 3-10-2 ATS the last 15 times that they were listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. In addition to their perfect home record, the Wildcats, who lost at Cal last week, are 6-3 SU/ATS the last nine times that they were coming off a loss vs. a conference opponent. Playing their home finale, with much at stake, I expect them to bounce back with a massive effort. *9 Pac 10 Main Event




Chicago Bulls vs. Denver Nuggets (NBA) - 9:05 PM EST Chicago Bulls Premium Pick
Click to View Additional Details
Play Title **PERFECT 5-0 L5 NBA** Burns' BEST BET ATS BLOWOUT
Play Selected Point Spread: 8/-107
I'm taking the points with CHICAGO. These teams played a very close game against each other earlier this month at Chicago. The Nuggets took a 1-point lead with 0.6 seconds left on the clock only to see the Bulls seemingly hit the game-winner at the buzzer. However, a very lengthy review ruled that the shot was no good, leaving Denver as the winner. Knowing what a tough loss that was, I successfully played against the Bulls the next night - they lost by double-digits at Toronto. The Bulls have won two of three since that loss though and they should be highly motivated for some payback. Its true that the Bulls aren't usually as good on the road. Its also true that the Nuggets are tough here at Denver. However, the schedule is working in the Bulls favor here. They had yesterday off. The Nuggets come off a loss vs. the Clippers, at LA. That loss took quite a lot of energy too, as the Nuggets were down by double-digits at halftime and had to fight hard to get back into the game. Note that the Nuggets are 0-2 SU/ATS the past two weeks when playing the second of back to back games. They lost by six vs. the Bucks and by 25 vs. the Hawks. Looking back further and we find them at just 8-12 the last 20 times that they played the second of back to back games. The Bulls are 13-8-1 ATS the last 22 times that they were listed as road underdogs in the +6.5 to +9 range. I expect them to deliver a highly motivated effort and look for this one to also come down to the wire. 7* Best Bet

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Sprietzer


CFB CHAMPIONSHIP CLUB GAME OF THE MONTH!
on Clemson

CFB ROAD WARRIOR **GAME OF THE YEAR!** (100% Winners

on Rutgers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Geez, these GOY's got killed today.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Larry Ness' 20* PERFECT STORM-CFB (7-3, 70% in CFB '09)
My 20* PERFECT STORM is on Ariozna at 8:00 ET. USC has won the last seven Pac 10 titles but the Trojans have all been but eliminated in 2009. The Ducks are the league's only remaining team with one loss in conference play and they would secure a spot in Pasadena by beating the Wildcats (an Oregon win officially eliminates USC) and then in-state rival Oregon State on December 3. The Wildcats are 4-2 in Pac 10 play, joining Oregon St and Stanford with two league losses. However, like Oregon, the Wildcats control their own destiny as they would capture the Pac 10 crown by beating Oregon here at home and then finishing the season with wins at ASU and USC (hardly an easy chore!). It's been quite a three-week run for Oregon. The Ducks piled up 613 total yards (391 rushing) while handing USC its worst loss (47-20) since 1997 back on Oct 31. The 47 points were the most the Trojans had allowed since 1996. The following Saturday, Toby Gerhart rushed for a school-record 223 yards and three scores, helping Stanford stop Oregon's seven-game win streak (Oregon allowed 505 total yards). Oregon then beat Arizona State 44-21 this past Saturday, holding the Sun Devils to 212 total yards. RB James has stepped in after Blount was suspended after the Boise St game (Blount was reinstated LW but did not play) and leads an Oregon rushing attack which averaged 237.0 YPG (5.5 YPC). James has run for 1,193 yards (7.0 YPC / 11 TDs) while QB Masoli has added 558 yards (6.3 YPC / 9 TDs). Masoli got off to a horrible start this year, completing 45.3% without a TD pass and two INTs after three games. He's since completed 64.7% of his passes (11 TDs and just one INT) in playing six of Oregon's last seven games (missed UCLA game with an injury). The Oregon defense has been solid, holding opponents to 312.3 YPG (22nd) and 20.9 PPG (27th). Arizona would have to make quite a "closing run" to beat Oregon, ASU and USC but Saturday, the Wildcats only need to beat the Ducks. Sophomore QB Foles has completed 69.7% with 13 TDs and six INTs. The running game has no star but averages an impressive 187.1 YPG and 5.2 YPC for great balance. Mike Stoops owns a solid defense as Arizona is allowing 307.4 YPG (18th) and 22.2 PPG (44th). Arizona had averaged 37.6 PPG in its first five Pac-10 games before struggling against Cal last week in a 24-16 loss. The Wildcats totaled season lows in points and rushing yards (73) as starting RB Nic Grigsby was sidelined with a shoulder problem. QB Nick Foles attempted 41 passes but threw for just 201 yards. However, Grigsby (leading rusher with 535 yards) is listed as probable this week and let's look at how well Arizona has played at home. The Wildcats are 5-0 in 2009, averaging a whopping 39.3 PPG in three conference home games (also held Central Michigan which is 9-2 and averaging 33.3 PPG in 2009 to just six points here in Tucson). Going back to LY, the Wildcats are 10-2 SU at home losing only to then-No. 5 USC 17-10 and Oregon State, 7-2 LY in the Pac10, 19-17 (both last year). All the pressure is on Oregon which has been one whirlwind of a four-game stretch. The Ducks are seeking to clinch their first Rose Bowl bid since 1995 and a win won't come easy. In fact, I don't think a win will come at all. PERFECT STORM 20* Arizona.