11-22-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

Mike Lineback

[408] 4* Detroit Lions -3 -115 (@ bookmaker) | 1:00p ET

[411] 4* Pittsburgh Steelers -9.5 -120 (1 pt buy @ the greek) | 1:00p ET

[501] 4* Orlando Magic -3 -110 | 12:30p ET

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

A.REDD

75 dime Seahawks
5 dime giants
5 dime jets
5 dime lions

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

GOY's YESTERDAY WENT 6-12

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

Teddy Covers
NFL Seattle +11
NFL Washington +11
NFL Philadelphia -3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

ATS LOCK CLUB
6 Units on Indianapolis (-1) Baltimore, 1:00pmET
5 Units on New Orleans (-10.5) over Tampa Bay, 1:00pmET
5 Units on New England (-10.5) over NY Jets, 4:15pmET
4 Units on Minnesota (-10.5) over Seattle, 1:00pmET

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

Kelso:
200 Units Patriots
15 units Colts
5 units Giants
4 units Redskins
3 units Jaguars

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

Players NFL Sunday 10* on Baltimore on Nov 22nd
Scott Rickenbach’s NFL 10* (Top Play) Baltimore Ravens (+) vs Indianapolis @ 1 ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!

The Colts are the only undefeated team in the AFC and yet they opened up as an underdog here. Sure enough, the money has been flowing in on Indianapolis and this line has been driven up as high as the Colts -2.5 as of game day morning. This is why we’ve waited so long to post this big play but it’s one we’ve had our eyes on ever since the Colts very fortunate win over New England last week. The Patriots, especially with coach Bill Belichick’s poor late-game decision, basically handed the Colts the game on a silver platter. Note that Indy was dominated by New England for much of that game. Hence, the corresponding line value this week as all most bettors see is a Colts team that remains undefeated. Indianapolis was down by 17 points to New England both in the 2nd and 4th quarters of yesterday’s game. Then, even with less than three minutes to go in the game, the Pats still led by 13 points before the collapse and the gift! The Patriots gained 477 yards in the game and they held the ball for 60% of the game. The Colts have had time of possession problems in many key games this season – remember Monday night at Miami? The point is that this also wears a team down and now Indy has to face a very physical Ravens defense.

Yes we are aware of the injury to Terrell Suggs of the Ravens but note that the Colts have numerous injuries on defense and, even if some of their injured players are able to go here, they are not 100% and Baltimore’s physical style – even on offense – will punish the Colts. Yes, Indy has had great success on the road this season but the Ravens are 3-1 ATS at home and they also are coming off of an easy, dominating win over the Browns on Monday. Even though the Colts had an extra day of rest, compared to Baltimore coming off of a short week, there is no doubt that it took a lot more for Indianapolis to get their win over the Patriots compared to the Ravens shutout win over the Browns in Cleveland. Grab the motivated home dog here and, trust us, the books had the Ravens installed as the favorite over an undefeated team for a reason! We’ll grab the points just in case but the Ravens physical style absolutely should lead to an outright win as the Colts defense continues to get worn down. The Colts gave up nearly 500 yards last week to the Pats and nearly 400 yards to the Texans the prior week. After three straight home games for Indy – with their defense being stretched out in the last two – they are in trouble as they take to the road for just the second time since October 11th! Play Baltimore plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

Vegas-runner

SEA / 420 MIN Under 46.5 bodog

Analysis:

*** NFL "TRUE STEAM" 3* GAME OF THE WEEK *** ("11-3" the L3 Weeks..."69% ATS" Overall)



This is a classic example of the Outfits seeing so much Value in a Bet, that they didn't even see the need to allow the "Betting Public" to force the Bookmakers, to adjust the line...and ultimately get an even better Total to go Under, than what they bet it at...

Bottom Line, there is no doubt in any Bookmakers mind...of what side the Betting Public will be on...for the Total of this Match-Up...And if they are 100% sure that they will receive a lot of action on the Over as we approach, and on game-day...you can rest assured that the Wiseguys were aware of this as well...But yet they still went ahead and took this position, which guarantees us that it's a "TRUE STEAM" Bet...

More importantly, after speaking to some of those "runners" who actually move "Steam"...They all agreed that fortunately, the books receive so much more Public Money, than they do Wiseguy Money, on the NFL...that their respective Outfits were able to take a significant position on this wager...

This Total Opened at "47"...which is actually one of a handful of "Key Totals", due to the fact that there are plenty of combinations of Final Scores, that equal 47...And the books do not like coming off these Key Totals, anymore than they do the "Key Spreads"...So you can be sure that when they do, there is plenty of "Steam" behind it...

And that is the case for this game...Where the books went ahead and opened it up at 47, and were immediately forced to adjust down to 46...

Fortunately for us, the "TRUE STEAM" Bet that I believe offers up the most betting Value, based on my own Ratings/Lines...is in the NFL...Because as I stated above, the public money far outweighs the Wiseguy money...and therefore, as the public begins unloading on the Over...we will still have no problem finding a great line...

Let's go ahead and bet the UNDER 46.5 in this Match-Up...as our very 1st NFL "TRUE STEAM" BET OF THE WEEK...VR

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

al demarco
2nd half of the season
blowout of the year
vikings

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

Northcoast

4* GOM NYG
3* NE
3* Minn

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

COACH RON MEYER

15* Redskins (+11)

10* Bucs (+10.5)

5* Jets (+10.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

northcoast line
button#3 colts
button#9 chargers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

john ryan 15* Chicago Bears

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

Young Gun Sports

4* Celtics
3* Over Pacers
3* Hornets

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-09

RAs..SanJose+1.5..IUPUI-3..One Unit