11-23-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

Ferringo

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 48.5 Tennessee at Houston (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 23)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #436 Houston (-4.5) over Tennessee (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 23)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

DOC'S SPORTS

4 Unit Play. #135 Take Tennessee +5 over Houston (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Tennessee 28, Houston 27.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

CKO

11 TENNESSEE over *Houston
Late Score Forecast:
TENNESSEE 31 - *Houston 23
(Monday, November 23)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

Wunderdog Horse Selections:

MEADOWLANDS Race #2 at 1:35 PM Eastern

Top pick: #2 (BATTERING RAM) - He was sprinted last out after a distance effort and he made up some late ground. Looks set for his best and can win this with a late run. Nice price is expected.

2nd pick: #3 (Cancanier) - He's the main speed and is sent around two-turns this afternoon after finishing second in three consecutive sprints. Speed is always dangerous on this surface. Dangerous rival.

3rd pick: #8 (Agaricus) - He moves back to the dirt after a strong effort against tougher on the turf. Needs to avoid a wide trip to have a shot at the win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

RAS..NC Central+18..Motana+14.5..Wisc-3..UC Santa Bar-6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

charlie

nfl & nba. titans @ texans over 48, titans+4' & sacramento @ memphis over 208' (500* 3 TEAM TRIPLE PLAY)
ncaab. ucla-14'(30*)
ncaab. cincinnati+4 (20*)
ncaab. iowa+15' (20*)
nba. portalnd-8' (10*)
nba. spurs-9 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

KELSO

10 units Titans +4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

A.REDD

25-Dime Texans

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

Stephen Nover
Monday's winners ...
15 DIME TITANS
10 DIME UNDER BUCKS/SPURS

NOTE: I had my sights set on an NFL trifecta sweep and a 60-dime profit on Sunday. But it wasn't to be. New England came in with a winner, but the Giants couldn't hold a late seven-point lead before winning by three in overtime and thus not covering and my over on the Eagles-Bears just fell short.

The Eagles-Bears not going over was frustrating because part of my handicap was based on multiple injuries in the Philadelphia secondary. Chicago had open receivers all night, but Jay Cutler continually misfired. He is a very overrated quarterback, much better for fantasy football teams than real ones.

I had my biggest college football play of the season on Saturday and that missed, too, with favored Rutgers losing outright to Syracuse. All the credit to the gusty Orangemen, who pulled the upset despite having a large number of injuries and being without suspended wide receiver Mike Williams.

This has been an extremely rough college season for many professional gamblers and sharp handicappers. I know a number of sharps and top syndicates were on Rutgers strong. The number did go up but money isn't made on line moves but on covering the spread. These gamblers and groups win each year. So do I.

My free picks for the weekend, New Mexico State on Saturday and the Seahawks on Sunday, also lost.

This week will be better. I have a decent-size play on the Monday night Titans-Texans game along with one of my stronger NBA plays. I'm turning to college basketball for a complimentary play, which can be found in the free-pick area.

15 Dime Titans - The national spotlight comes to Houston as the Texans are in the rare position of hosting a Monday night game. The Texans aren't used to being in the limelight with the pressure all on them. They have not responded well during the few occasions this has occurred during their eight-year history.

This very well may be Houston's finest team. But the Texans are catching Tennessee at the wrong time. The Titans are playing their best ball with three straight victories.

There are many reasons for this with the main ones being Chris Johnson has emerged as the best running back in football, a mature and more accurate Vince Young has provided a spark and the secondary has gotten healthier.

Johnson is averaging 165 yards a game and has scored six touchdowns during the past three games. The Texans couldn't stop Johnson in Week 2 when he ran for 197 yards and scored three touchdowns. Johnson actually has gotten better since then.

Young has always been a threat to run and now he's throwing better than he ever has. He'll be very motivated to perform well in his hometown and in the state of Texas where he starred for the University of Texas.

Matt Schaub burned the Titans for 357 yards and four touchdowns when Houston won 34-31 in Week 2. That was a tough loss for the Titans and accelerated their downward spiral. There also was a sideline fight with a number of players involved in the fray.

The Titans haven't forgot. They want this game. Titans veteran linebacker Keith Bulluck remembers how cocky the Texans left the field following that narrow victory.

"We are talking about a team that has never even sniffed the playoffs before, so I guess when they beat us or other teams in the (division) it's like a playoff game," he was quoted as saying. "It was only the second game of the season, but I thought it was for the AFC Championship.

"With that said they have a huge stage on Monday night. We both do. We are a 3-6 team with nothing to lose, and I know they have playoff aspirations. So we are really looking to coming down to Houston and destroying all playoff hopes and aspirations they have."

10 Dime Under Bucks/Spurs - Milwaukee usually gives San Antonio a tough time. The Bucks have covered eight of the past nine times versus the Spurs. They beat San Antonio in both meetings last year.

Now the Bucks are off to their fastest start since 2001-02. Expect a correction. Milwaukee is not nearly as good as it's 8-3 record shows. But since the Spurs traditionally struggle against Milwaukee and won't have injured Manu Ginobili, the best way to play this matchup is under the total.

The Spurs rank 14th in defense giving up 97.5 points. That's high for them. They usually are among the leaders in defense. Their defense is starting to reach their normal top-five status. In their last two games - both at home - the Spurs held Washington to 84 points and Utah to 90. The Wizards had all three of their stars, Gilbert Arenas, Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler, playing.

Andrew Bogut is out for Milwaukee. He was Milwaukee's only inside scoring threat. Sharpshooter Michael Redd isn't expected back yet either. That leaves a starting lineup of Charlie Bell, Brandon Jennings, Ersan Ilyasova, Carlos Delfino and Dan Gadzuric at center replacing Bogut. Do you think that lineup is capable of a good-scoring game on the road against the Spurs? I sure don't.

The Bucks have greatly improved their defense and intensity under Scott Skiles. The Bucks rank sixth defensively allowing 94.5 points per game. Only three times in their 11 games have the Bucks yielded triple-digits.

If you discount the Bucks' overtime loss to Dallas and matchup against Golden State, they are allowing an average of 87.5 points in their last eight games.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

BLACK WIDOW (Bill Young)

6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 AFC South GAME OF THE YEAR on Tennessee Titans +5

Tennessee is 3-0 under Vince Young, and clearly playing their best football of the season. Not only have they won 3 in a row, but they have really dominated in the process by beating the Jaguars by 17, the 49ers by 7 and the Bills by 24. No team can tame their running game right now, as the Titans have rushed for 193, 305, 152 and 168 yards in their last 4 games. So Tennessee is averaging 205 rushing yards/game over their last 4 contests. Vince Young is making plays, and not making mistakes. He has thrown just 1 interception during this 3-game winning streak, which is the only turnover they have committed. Meanwhile, the Titans' defense is getting healthy and have forced their last 3 opponents into 8 turnovers combined. This is a revenge game for the Titans, who watch Houston come into their building and escape with a 34-31 victory. The Titans rushed for 240 yards in the loss, and we fully expect them to top the 200-yard mark on the ground again this time around which will lead to an upset road victory as they return the favor. Matt Shaub threw for 357 yards in the first meeting for Houston, but he had the luxury of tight end Owen Daniels who caught 6 balls for 72 yards and a touchdown in that game. Now, Daniels is on the I-R, taking away one of his favorite targets. The Titans are now healthy in the secondary, and they weren't in the first meeting which is why Shaub went off on them. The Underdog is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings. The Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Tennessee is at their best in the role of the underdog, cashing 90% of the time in their last 10 games where they were a dog of 3.5 to 10 points. Take the Titans and the points

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

RANDALL THE HANDLE
Boston +1.00 over ST. LOUIS

The Bruins pretty much have a full, healthy team, as Marc Savard will come off the IR today and play in this one. The Bruins have a little momentum going with back-to-back road wins in Atlanta and Buffalo and they’re sure not taking a step up in class here. Savard could be a bit rusty but then again he’s one of the hardest working players in the league and just his presence alone gives the team a boost and instantly makes them a whole lot better. The Blue Notes have back-to-back wins also, however, it came against two teams, the Coyotes and Islanders that were both dead tired. In fact, when the Islanders came to St. Louis it was the their sixth consecutive road game and when the Coyotes visited it was their fifth game in seven days, its third in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs. Prior to those two very winnable games, the Blue Notes had lost six of seven and over those seven losses they scored six lousy goals. St. Louis is dead last in the NHL in power-play percentage, which now stands at 12.7%. It’s also worth noting that the Blues have been at home for an extended amount of time (14 days) and that’s never beneficial. The Bruins are in the more favorable spot, they’re hungrier, healthier, superior and so ready. Play: Boston +1.00 (Risking 2 units).


NASHVILLE –1.06 over Detroit

They have recent wins over Columbus, New Jersey and San Jose. They’ve won five in a row and six of its last seven games. They play as good or better defensively than anyone in the business and nobody spends less time in the box than these Predators. Nashville plays a strong, disciplined and aggressive style and they’re also getting tremendous goaltending. At home, the Preds have won seven of 10 games and right now they’re on a serious roll. Meanwhile, the Red Wings will play its third game in four days against this extremely tough team. Detroit is warm with four wins in its last six but over that stretch they’ve had a few soft games that includes wins over Anaheim and Montreal. The Red Wings last two road games came in Toronto, where they lost 5-1 and in Montreal where they needed OT to win 3-2. Now Detroit will take a huge step up in class minus Niklas Kronwall among others, thus, this has to be considered an underlay. Play: Nashville –1.06 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).


Milwaukee +9½ over SAN ANTONIO

Man, this line seems rather high when you consider that the Bucks are playing tremendous basketball with Brandon Jennings become front page news in every sports section in the land. The kid has been unstoppable and has led the Bucks to three straight wins, seven wins in its last eight games and an overall record of 8-3. The Spurs are just 5-6 with losses in three of its last four and its only won over that stretch coming against the Wizards. In three meeting last year between these two the Bucks won twice and lost the other by a single basket and this year the Bucks are so much better and confident and the Spurs are worse. Perhaps the general consensus is that the Bucks are just an aberration and they’ll come back down to earth at some point. Perhaps this is the sucker bet of the night. After all, if the Bulls are getting 8 in Portland how can one justify the Bucks getting 9½ in San Antonio minus Ginobili? In any case, if it is the sucket bet of the night shame on me. However, it’s also quite possible that the Spurs are just way overvalued in this one based on each teams past and I’ll gladly go with that. Play: Milwaukee +9½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

doc nba

3-Unit Play #703 Take Milwaukee +9 Over San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST, Monday)
The Bucks are one of the hottest teams in the NBA for bettors at 8-3 ATS this season. We think they are once again being underestimated by the oddsmakers in this big underdog role. The Bucks have covered an amazing 8 of the last 9 meetings in this series. The Spurs have lost three of their last four with their only win coming against Washington while the Bucks have won seven of eight with their only loss coming against the Mavericks in OT. This team is being overestimated tonight and we had the line at 7 ½ and we think there is nice value here on the underdog.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

ADAM MEYER 11/23

Titans +4 5 Units

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-09

ROBERT FERRINGO/HOOPS 11/23

3-Unit Play. Take #729 Colorado (+11) over Gonzaga (3 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. Take #758 Indiana State (-5.5) over Coastal Carolina (5:30 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. Take #751 Texas (-15) over Iowa (10 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #731 Cincinnati (+9) over Vanderbilt (5:30 p.m.) AND Take #727 Tennessee (+7) over Purdue (8:30 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #747 UT-San Antonio (-3) over UC-Irvine (8:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #765 Appalachian State (+19.5) over Louisville (7 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. FIRST HALF: Take #765 Appalachian State (+11) over Louisville (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #742 Duquesne (-22) over Binghamton (5 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #749 Wichita State (+11) over Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m.) AND #742 Duquesne (-17) over Binghamton (5 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #715 San Francisco (+12.5) over UC-Santa Barbara (10 p.m.) AND Take #751 Texas (-10) over Iowa (10 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #758 Indiana State (-0.5) over Coastal Carolina (5:30 p.m.) AND Take #729 Colorado (+15) over Gonzaga (3 p.m.)