11-26-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

teddy covers

cowboys -13.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Tim Trushel

20* Denver

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Wunderdog

Game: New York Giants at Denver (Thursday 11/26 8:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Denver +6.5 (-110)

Denver hit a low last week. After a 6-0 start, they have lost four in a row, the last game a 32-3 drubbing that allowed San Diego to take over the division lead - something that seemed unthinkable when they owned a 3.5 game lead just four weeks ago. They have been outscored 117-37 over their losing streak. Even during their winning streak, Denver didn't get much support from the oddsmakers or public. After four weeks of horrid football, no one wants to touch them. The oddsmakers had to open them as a big home dog, and the public has pushed the line even higher. I believe Denver is ready to make a stand. New York comes in here off a win, but is this team really deserving of a TD-road favorite role? Before last week's win, the Giants had lost four in a row. They haven't covered the spread in five straight games. And, even in the win their defense gave up 31 points. Over the past five games, this defense has allowed 164 points - 32.8 per game! That's just the kind of defense that Denver needs to face right now. Coming in off a very short week, it's not likely that New York was able to remedy what ails them defensively. So there's no reason to expect a major change this week. Antonio Pierce is still out and that only makes matters worse for the G-Men defense. On offense, the Giants will be without Ahmad Bradshaw. With Brandon Jacobs having a bad year, and coming off a leg injury, don't expect the Giants to run the ball particularly well, especially against a Denver defense that is ranked 7th in the league in points allowed. Give me the home team with the much better defense, getting a touchdown.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Kyle Bales
Have a Happy Thanksgiving and enjoy today's card on us!

15* Texas Longhorns -21

10* Oakland Raiders +13.5

10* Denver Broncos +7

5* Green Bay Packers -11

5* Butler Bulldogs +1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Doc Sports

“The Magnificent 7” Week of November 27th-28th, 2009

6 Unit Play. #69 Take Oklahoma State +9 ½ over Oklahoma (Saturday 12:30 pm FSN) Rivalry Game of the Year. Both teams could be playing without their quarterback for this game. However, QB Robinson will likely see action. He did dress last week but was held out since they were playing a weak opponent in Colorado. QB Bradford has been out for most of the season and the Sooners are just not explosive with him out of the line-up. 1st and Ten. The Cowboys have a lot more to play for in this game as a win here will likely mean a BCS bid. Coach Gundy and his seniors have never beaten Oklahoma but this is the first time they have better talent. The Cowboys are really playing defense this season and have not allowed a 100 yard rusher all year. They currently rank 6th in the nation in rush defense.

Being blown out last week against Texas Tech leads some to believe that the Sooners have packed it in for the 2009 season. I do not believe that is the case, but the Cowboys will give them all that they can handle. Ok State 24, Oklahoma 21.

5 Unit Play. #28 Take Colorado +10 over Nebraska (Friday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Underdog Play. One might consider this as a bowl game for Colorado since this could be the last game for Coach Hawkins. 1st and Ten. The Buffaloes played well against the Cowboys last Thursday on the road. This is the last home game of the season for the Buffaloes and expect their seniors to go all out.

Nebraska will be looking ahead to Texas next week for the championship game. They have won three straight games, but have been outgained in two of those victories. They will not be up for this game and Colorado wants this game badly. Coach Hawkins enjoys an upset in a low-scoring affair. Colorado 21, Nebraska 17.

4 Unit Play. #18 Take Ohio U +3 over Temple (Friday 11 am ESPN U) The winner of this game will represent the MAC East in Detroit next week and play Central Michigan. Temple has had an unbelievable season thus far and Coach Golden will likely be named the MAC Coach of the Year. The Owls have now played ten straight weeks and this will be a tough game, especially since they are a favorite on the road. Sensational RB Pierce will be out for Temple and that leaves a major void in their offense.

The Bobcats will be looking for revenge after losing 14-10 in 2008. A note on that game: Ohio was playing their third straight road game. 1st and Ten. A lot of seniors play for the Bobcats, especially on defense, and they will end the regular season on a high note. Ohio U 24, Temple 20.

4 Unit Play. #25 Take Nevada +14 over Boise State (Friday 10 pm ESPN 2) What a game this should be and it could go over the posted total by halftime. Boise State is playing as good as anyone in the country. However, they have more talent than most of the teams in the WAC. Their only real tests came early in the season against Oregon and Fresno State.

Nevada started the season 0-3 with their opening loss to Notre Dame carrying over into their next two games. Since then, Nevada has been on a tear, winning eight straight games. The last two meetings between these two teams have been close with the 2007 game going into 4 OTs, with Boise State winning, 69-67. Nevada has lost the last nine games to Boise State straight-up, but this year they have the talent to keep up with them. Getting double digits it too good to pass up and this will be tight throughout and go down to the wire. Boise State 42, Nevada 38.

4 Unit Play. #37 Take Illinois +20 ½ over Cincinnati (Friday 12 pm ABC) Top Big Ten Play. A rare non-conference game featuring BCS teams takes place Friday in Cincinnati. It has been a disappointing year for the Illini to say the least. They brought back a large nucleus and were expected to challenge for a Big Ten title. Despite this poor season, it appears Coach Zook will return next season.

As for the Bearcats, they will enter undefeated and what a great job Coach Kelly has done. Many believe that he is in line for the Notre Dame job. As bad as Illinois has looked at times, the talent is still there. Yet another team with a lot of seniors and a win here would salvage their season. This is a perfect spot to play against Cincinnati since they still have to beat Pittsburgh next week to clinch the Big East. Illinois will either get blown out or take it down to the wire. Pride will allow them to do the latter. Cincy 31, Illinois 21.

4 Unit Play. #80 Take Houston -29 ½ over Rice (Saturday 8 pm CSS) I realize that this is a lot of points to be laying in a cross-town rivalry game. However, this year’s Cougars completely out talent the Owls. Granted, Rice has played well the last two weeks. They did beat UTEP but were outgained by 150 yards.

Houston will be looking for revenge after losing, 56-42, in 2008. That loss kept Houston from winning the CUSA West. QB Keenum threw five touchdowns last week and looks for more of the same in this affair. Houston gets close to sixty and we collect in the process as well. Houston 56, Rice 20.

4 Unit Play. #95 Take Arizona -3 over Arizona State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Normally would not go with a team coming off a heartbreaking game that kept them from going to the Rose Bowl. But this is a state rival and the U of A will have no problem getting up for this game in Tempe. ASU lost to UCLA last week and that made sure that they will be home for the holidays. Speaking of staying home, the injury report for the Sun Devils cold fill up a roster. Parlay that with the fact that Arizona is still not solid at quarterback and it is hard not to like the Wildcats. Arizona still has a chance to go to the Holiday Bowl and look for them to easily put away their rivals. U of A 28, ASU 20.

5 Unit Play. #120 Take Tennessee -2 over Arizona (Sunday 4:15 pm Fox) Top NFL Play of the Week. The Titans have been a new team since Vince Young started calling plays under center and will enter this game having won four straight. The Cardinals have all but locked up the NFC West and will be making their second straight long road trip, having played at St. Louis last week. Arizona is 5-0 on the road this season but that is fools gold and most of that came against weak teams. They will face Minnesota next week and that game means much more to them than this one. The Titans continue to roll and we will collect big in the process as well. Tennessee 27, Arizona 20.

4 Unit Play. #104 Take Over 46 in Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (Sunday 1 pm Fox) Top Totals Play. We have used the over in the Falcons the last two weeks and collected and we fully expect to complete the trifecta on Sunday with another high-scoring game. The Falcons are still banged up at the running back position and thus will likely have to move the ball through the air. That sets up a perfect play with the over with numerous clock stoppages. The Falcons have been terrible on defense allowing 62 points in their last two games. Play the over and watch your money grow. ATL 34, Tampa Bay 17.

4 Unit Play. #128 Take New Orleans -3 over New England (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Patriots are getting too much respect and this writer is certainly not buying into them just yet. They face an undefeated Saints squad in the Big Easy, and are just a field goal dog? That is not right, since New Orleans is 8-0 straight-up and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. DC Williams has turned around the Saints defense 180 degrees and this unit can now hold their own. 1st and Ten. Throw in QB Brees and a high powered offense and you will hear from this team for quite some time. This line is way too low and we will collect big in the process as well. New Orleans 37, New England 30.

Strong Opinion Plays:
#24 Take Auburn +10 over Alabama
#50 Take Kentucky +3 over Tennessee

#10 Take Denver +7 over NY Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Al DeMarco

INTER-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR

Broncos

5 Dime Release

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Lenny Del Genio

3* Dallas
2* Dallas/Oakland Under
2* Denver

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Fairway Jay

GB OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G

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6* W ido w W iseg uy 2 0 0 9 NFL T hur sday G AM E OF THE Y EA R on D env er B ron cos +7(-105 at bodog)

The Denver Broncos should not be catching this many points at home on Thursday. Yes, they have lost 4 straight and have been blown out in the process, but now the value is clearly on Denver. This team is still 6-4 and right in the middle of the playoff race, and we feel this short week should help them get over their loss to the Chargers very quickly and to get back on the winning track. They host a New York Giants' team that has also struggled, going 1-4 in their last 5 games and needing a field goal in overtime to beat the Falcons at home last week. New York is getting way too much respect here from the odds makers, and we'll capitalize. The Giants have a very long list of injuries right now, and they are playing without their defensive leader in MLB Antonio Pierce. Without him, they gave up 31 points to the Falcons last week. They also have plenty of injuries in their defensive secondary, which will allow Kyle Orton and company to have a big day through the air. The Giants have given up 21 or more points in 5 straight games, and they are allowing an average of 32.8 points/game during this span. In their last 2 road games, the Giants lost 27-48 at New Orleans and 17-40 at Philadelphia. Once again, it's hard to imagine how they could possibly be a touchdown favorite on the road with the evidence presented. The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Denver is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Take Denver and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

ATS Lock Club

3 Texas under 63
4 GB -11.5
3 NYG -6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

A Redd

15 dimes
gb
dal
nyg

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Karl Garrett 30 DIMER - NY GIANTS.....10 DIMER - TEXAS A&M AGGIES 30 DIMER - NY GIANTS

The thought of Kyle Orton hobbling around with his gimpy ankle, or the thought of Chris Simms out there trying to get back into playing shape does not instill confidence in this Denver team that is sinking like a lead balloon.

Denver is now on an 0-4 straight up, and against the spread slide since starting the season at 6-0.

New York stopped their 4-game slide, but failed to cover as they blew a 14-point lead in the 4th quarter against the Falcons on Sunday. Still, Eli Manning threw for nearly 400 yards last week, and with the Broncos defense starting to stay on the field a little too long these days, have to believe the Giants who are 13-5 against the spread their last 18 as a road favorite are the play in this game minus the number.

10 DIMER - TEXAS A&M AGGIES

Texas best be on guard at College Station, as the undefeated Longhorns have dropped their last pair of decisions versus the spread at A&M, inlcuding an outright upset loss to the Aggies in 2007.

Texas A&M has gone 5-1 straight up at home this season, and 4-1-1 against the spread in their 6 home games this year.

The Aggies definitely have enough offense to stay inside of this roomy impost, and pride is a strong motivator when you are getting around 3 touchdowns on your home turf.

Take the Aggies plus the points

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

GoodFella | NFL Side Thu, 11/26/09 - 4:15 PM
double-dime bet 106 DAL -13.5 (-110) BetUS vs 105 OAK
Analysis:

I really like Dallas in this spot, and the fact that Oakland beat the Bengals last week REALLY makes me like this play even more. Dallas had to eek out a win AT HOME vs a not very good Washington team last week, and did not look good doing so. None of that bothers me one bit. We have a Dallas team who play*ed AT HOME last week, as Oakland has to travel on a short week & try and prepare for Dallas who almost always put forth a top-notch effort on Turkey Day. I really look for the Cowboys 8th ranked rushing attack to have major success vs this Oakland defense which ranks 30th in the NFL in run defense, allowing 158 YPG. Dallas will wear down Oakland in the 2nd half, and I look for some big plays off play action by Romo mixed in with the run game. Not a good spot for the Raiders here, and I look for the Cowboys to win by 20. Lay the points with the Cowboys fellas.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-26-09

Seabass

100* Steam – Detroit +11 (NFL)

50* Dallas (NFL)

100* NYG/DEN under (NFL)

200* Det/GB over (NFL)

200* Texas/Texas AM over (NCAAF)

50* Chi/Utah under (NBA)