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Re: 11-30-09
ATS LOCK CLUB
3 Units on New Orleans (-1.5) over New England, 8:35pmET
ATS LOCK CLUB
3 Units on New Orleans (-1.5) over New England, 8:35pmET
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Re: 11-30-09
DOC SPORTS NBA
3-Unit Play #501 Take Chicago/Milwaukee UNDER 195 (8 p.m. EST, Monday)
Milwaukee has gone over in nine of their last 10 but we think that this team will be a strong under pick tonight and in the near future and it seems like this number was definitely overadjusted. These teams already played once this season and both teams shot under 40% from the field and the total reached only 164. And this wasn’t just a case of one fluky low scoring quarter, these teams scored 38 in the first, 34 in the second, 44 in the third, and 48 in the fourth. Add their highest scoring quarter in all through the box score and they would not even reach this number for tonight. Bottom line is that these are two pretty good defensive clubs that haven’t played like it lately but we think that defense will be the tone here tonight as it was in the first game of the series.
3-Unit Play #502 Take Milwaukee -2 ½ Over Chicago (8 p.m. EST, Monday)
The Bucks stock is low now since they have lost four straight but they are coming off a tough road trip and had to face Orlando in their first game back home. In the first meeting Milwaukee controlled most of the game and then lost it in the end, but they even led by 18 once and that was in Chicago where the Bulls play a lot better. They are only 2-7 on the road while the Bucks are 6-2 at home and the Bulls have just looked really bad on the road lately and we are expecting that to continue tonight.Comment
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Re: 11-30-09
WUNDERDOG
NHL Pick 11/30
Game: Colorado at Tampa Bay (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -140 (moneyline)
The Colorado Avalanche went the final 16 games of last season without winning a game in regulation. What a surprise to see them off to a start that saw them losing just once in regulation over their first 13 games. There is an old saying that "water seeks its level,” and the Avalanche appear to be heading back in that direction. Their last 14 games show just three wins in regulation, and just one of those on the road. It might be tough to grab a win on the road vs. a Lightning team that has dropped just one all season in Tampa. Teams heading in opposite directions says the Lightning get this one.Comment
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Re: 11-30-09
MIKE LINEBACK
Final Report Monday 11/30
Passing on NBA.
Premium Selections
4* Teaser 7 pts -130 | [229] New England Patriots +10; [229-230] New England/New Orleans OVER 50 | 8:30p ET
Teaser lines currently available at the Greek. Have been flip-flopping on the side all week. Wanted to bet New Orleans with home field but have hard time betting against Brady & company on MNF, especially after blowing their last prime-time game vs. Indy. Strongly believe the winner of this game will be the one with the ball last. If not, and Pats behind, a back-door cover (+10) is a very high probability. Hence, feel very comfortable taking the points. Also, strongly believe both teams' will score a lot of points. However, 57 points is a very high total. Feel safer buying down total to 50, where a 28-23 type game gets the cover. Have hard time not seeing both teams' combining for 51 points. We'll take a shot with another teaser tonight.Comment
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Re: 11-30-09
JACK JONES
Golden State Warriors -2 at Bookmaker
The Warriors are showing excellent value as a small home favorite Monday against the 6-8 Indiana Pacers, who are allowing 103.8 points/game on the road this season. The Warriors are putting up 110.2 points/game at home this year where they have played solid basketball. Coming off a bad loss to the Lakers, I look for the Warriors to rebound. Golden State is 11-2 ATS in home games after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5 points, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog overall. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Golden State is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. Eastern Conference. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the favorite is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Take the Warriors.Comment
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Re: 11-30-09
Chris Jordan Monday's winners ...
200? OVER Patriots/Saints - New England's success has always been to establish the rushing game to set up the passing game for Tom Brady. We saw it become very effective two years ago when the Pats ran the gamut and looked to go unbeaten wire-to-wire.
With the Saints, who have four more rushing attempts (324) this season than passing attempts (320), they bring a deadly trio of Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell and Reggie Bush out of the backfield and are gaining 154 rushing yards per game. Makes you wonder how the Saints score all those points, right?
Alright so here's my theory ... since the Saints aren't necessarily that good at stopping the run, and the Patriots are looking to force the ball into Drew Brees' hands, I see a shootout ensuing.
I see both teams using balance to their advantage, and the score to be near our target point by halftime. You better believe both teams are going for knockout punches in the first half. There's no doubt the Saints want to do this on their own field, getting the deafening crowd involved as early as possible.
And the Patriots, well, remember a couple weeks back against Indianapolis? Same applies, as they want to jump right out to a big lead the same way they did against the Colts ... only this time I believe they hold the lead, which is where my 50? N.E. PATRIOTS play comes in.
I think there is a learning curve here, and after losing at Denver and Indy the same way - by relinquishing late leads, the Patriots have learned their lesson and won't be giving anything up this time around.
I like our chances with the road pup here, but I love my chances even more with the total soaring past the number.Comment
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