11-30-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[kreekor]

Re: 11-30-09

BRANDON LANG

Monday's Selection...
NOTE:
Implosion. Complete implosion.

I flat-out can't stand losing a game the way I lost the Jags game yesterday.

Some of the most horrific play calling I have ever seen, and good old David Garrard still hasn't devoloped an ounce of pocket presence to save his life.

I made my bed with the Jags on Sunday, and then I had to sleep in that uncomfortable bed thinking about the flat out ignorance of this Jacksonville team.

As frustrating a game to watch as I can remember and to see my free pick on the Vikings destroying the Bears at the same time didn't make it any easier.

What I learned from yesterday is this; as long as Jack Del Rio and David Garrard are part of the Jaguars, they will never be a top play for me.

No, I haven't lost my objectivity not at all. I just won't let Laurel and Hardy ever cost me big again.

Now I said that last year after their Sunday night game at home against the Steelers but I decided to give them one more shot.

They were the right side of that game no questions asked, but then the element of human error got involved and it was all over.

Still, 15-2-2 is 15-2-2 anyway you slice it and I am still confident nobody on the planet is this hot the last 4 weeks.

Today I close out winning week #3 of the last 4 with Monday night winner 3 of the last 4.

And make it 16-2-2 right along with it.

20 DIME - NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - Lost in the shuffle of the their near win at Indy is the fact the Patriots defense couldn't stop Indy giving up 35 points.

Yes, Tom Brady looked really good in that game, but let's also not lose sight of the fact New England was playing an opponent they were and are very familiar with.

Tonight they take on a completely different beast in the New Orleans Saints.

Now I was right on the money when I took the Patriots over Indy, and amazingly enough catching 2 points was just enough to get the ATS win.

Amazingly enough, this line much like the New England-Indy line, opened at -3 and has steadily come down.

In doing my radio shows prior to the New England-Indy game I kept saying the same thing over and over again.

You don't go against Tom Brady or Peyton Manning when they are catching points anywhere on the planet earth simply because they are not underdogs very often.

You also match up Belichick and Brady versus the NFC and you will see the fact they have gone 25-2 SU their last 27.

However, there are exceptions to every rule, not only in sports gambling, but in life and in this game tonight the exception is this:

No disrespect to Peyton Manning, but New England is facing perhaps the hottest QB in the NFL right now in Drew Brees with an offense that can not only throw it but they can run it to.

I also can't get by the fact this Saints team has won every single game they have played this year by 8 points or more.

They have found a way to win every single game by a touchdown or more.

Indy has had close games. Patriots have had close games, and even lost 3 games on the road to Denver, Jets and the aforementioned Indy.

With this line coming down, which tells me the world is betting the Patriots, I am going against the public money and backing the Saints at home.

The bottom line for me is this. The overall body of work by the Saints this year and the consistency of their offense and the margins of their wins over everyone tells me they are the right side.

Patriots didn't play all that well last week against the Jets and in fact it was a 20-10 game in the 3rd quarter when Sanchez threw another of his INT's to allow New England to pull away.

I will say it again, every single Saints win this year has been by a margin of more than a touchdown, and getting them in a near pick-em at home against a still young and learning defense is good enough for me.

Lastly, if you don't get pressure on Drew Brees, you are done and considering the fact the Patriots are 28th in the NFL at sacking the QB and the Saints are 3rd best in protecting Drew Brees, expect a great night from the Purdue grad.

It's going to be a great game but at the end of the day in my opinion, the right side of this game is the Saints at home.

FREE SELECTION - DALLAS MAVERICKS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-30-09

Big Al---Saints

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-30-09

Ben Burns--Saints

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-30-09

LARRY NESS
ne patriots - 25* MNF Game of the Year

[wayneschultz]

Re: 11-30-09

any root?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-30-09

Dr. Bob Hoops

Monday NBA Opinion
GOLDEN STATE (-2 1/2) over Indiana
Rotation #508 - 7:35 pm Pacific
The Warriors are coming off an embarrassing 97-130 home loss to the Lakers on Saturday night but Golden State is 54-34-1 ATS after a loss the last few years and my ratings favor the Warriors by 4 points in this game even after adjusting for Mike Dunleavy finally back playing for the Pacers (he has 13 points in 16 minutes in his debut). I'll lean with Golden State at -3 or less based on their good record after a loss in recent years.

Monday College Opinion
Florida International (+11) over BOWLING GREEN
Rotation #511 - 4 pm Pacific
Florida International is a bad team (1-7 straight up in games against Division 1 teams and 2-6 ATS), but Bowling Green has been even worse so far this season. In 3 games against Division 1 teams the Falcons have lost by an average of 24 points while going 0-3 ATS with 41% shooting and 51.4% shooting allowed. FIU is a bad defensive team too (53.2% FG allowed), but the Panthers' compensated offensive and defensive ratings are better than Bowling Green. Bowling Green's best game, their 7 point how loss on Saturday to Wisconsin Milwaukee, is only 2 points better than FIU's average game rating, so favoring Bowling Green by double-digits certainly appears to be too much. However, Bowling Green is most likely much better than they've shown so far this season and combining their pre-season rating with their season rating after 3 games would result in a line of 9 points. I'll resist making Florida International a Best Bet, but I'll lean with the Panthers plus the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-30-09

Root 4* NO SAINTS

[wayneschultz]

Re: 11-30-09

thanks!!!!

Great site and great work...much appreciated.