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Re: 12-1-09
Booooj – First NBA Play this Year
20 Portland (NBA) -6
Booooj – First NBA Play this Year
20 Portland (NBA) -6
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Re: 12-1-09
Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - CHARLOTTE BOBCATS....10 DIMER - WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS
20 DIMER - CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
You think Larry Brown needed to remind his team what happened the last time they faced the Celtics?
On Ocotber 28th, Charlotte went up to Beantown and were drilled 92-59 as the 10-point underdog. 59 measly points was all the Bobcats managed!!!!!
Revenge time tonight, as Charlotte is now playing their best roundball of the season, winning 4 in a row both straight up, and against the spread, and prior to their no-show on October 28th, the 'Cats had covered 3 in a row, and 6 of 7 against the Celtics.
Boston has won their last 4 games, but they are only 3-4 against the spread on the road this year, and 7-10 against the spread overall this season through 17 games played.
Charlotte is both 6-2 straight up, and against the spread this season at home, and with the taste of that opening night blowout loss still fresh in their mouths, look for the Bobcats to get some revenge.
10 DIMER - WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS
Purdue is in the Top-10 in the land right now, but laying double-digits tonight in this spotlight ACC-Big 10 clash is just a little too tall for the call.
The Demon Deacons are a solid unit, and are off to a 4-1 start. I think their loss to William and Mary, 78-68 was a situation of Wake losing their focus, and looking ahead to this "marquee" game.
The Boilers have failed 2 of their last 3 when laying double-digits, and I have a feeling this game will be a lot closer than the linesmakers expect.
Look for Wake Forest to get rid of their upset loss to William and Mary right quick, as they hunker down in West Lafayette, and compete hard for the full 40 minutes tonight.
Purdue keep their record clean, but fails to cover the number tonight.
Take Wake plus the points.Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
Bob Harvey
Charlotte Bobcats +4 (-110)
It was an embarrassing loss for Charlotte in Boston to open the season, falling to the Celtics 92-59. Look for the Bobcats to get even at home on Tuesday night.
The rapidly improving Charlotte Bobcats host the Boston Celtics tonight with both teams riding four-game winning streaks.
Larry Brown’s Cats have beaten all comers lately as they’ve improved to 7-9 on the year. They beat LeBron and the Cavs on Friday and followed that up with a victory over Agent 0 and the Wizards.
Charlotte has never made the playoffs; in fact the Bobcats have yet to have a winning season. But with the offense showing signs of life to Charlotte may be on to something this year.
The Bobcats are tickling the twine to the tune of 101.5 points per game during their streak roughly 18 points higher than their season average. Meanwhile Charlotte’s defense remains the best in the league allowing an NBA low 87.9 points per game and five points lower than that during the four-game run.
Charlotte will also have the revenge factor working tonight as it looks to make amends for a horrific season-opening, 92-59 loss to the Celtics. Charlotte finished with the fewest points in franchise history and Gerald Wallace with 10 points was the only player in double-figures.
Boston has been solid out of the gate this season posting a 13-4 record and opening up a 6 ½-game lead in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics offense has been red hot during their winning streak. They shot 52 percent against the defensive minded Heat on Sunday and have averaged 107 points and 51% shooting per game over their last four games.
It’s almost sacrilegious to suggest playing against the Celtics. Especially against a team they annihilated by 33 points in their first seven meetings. But Boston has struggled in Charlotte wehere it is 2-5 ATS the last seven North Carolina throw-downs.
In fact the Bobcats have a 12-3 ATS advantage over the Beantown Bad Boys in their last 15 series meetings in Charlotte. The Bobcats are also 6-2 SU at home and own the second-best ATS record in the league at 11-5.
There’s nothing like seeing the Celtics on the opposing bench to get a team fired up. Look for that scenario to unfold tonight. Boston may win but Charlotte gets the cover and I give Brown’s brigade a good shot at pulling off the mild upset.
The total is 177 and while normally I’d look at the 'under' with any game involving Charlotte, given the recent upswing in offense by both teams this could be the night to take the 'over.'Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
LT Profits
NBA
Celtics/Bobcats UNDER 91.5 -110 (First Half)
NCAAB
Providence +115 ML
Providence +0.5 -105 (First Half)
writeup:
Wake Forest +11
Purdue is 5-0 and ranked fourth in the country, while Wake Forest lost at home to William & Mary. Still, Wake has the athletes to run on the stout Purdue defense and keep this close.
The Purdue Boilermakers may be a perfect 5-0 and ranked fourth in the country, but the 4-1 Wake Forest Demon Deacons will be no pushovers in this Big Ten/ACC Challenge contest.
Yes, Wake Forest got upset at home by William & Mary on Saturday, but they were no doubt already looking ahead to this battle after a 4-0 start and they will be much more focused tonight. The Demon Deacons are averaging 78.4 points per game and hitting a very nice 47.7 percent from the field, and their fast-break style could give the normally stiff Purdue defense fits.
Yes, the Boilermakers have some excellent defensive numbers, but the only real opponent they have faced so far is Tennessee, and the Boilers barely escaped that game with a narrow 73-72 win, allowing a season high in points. Wake is just as athletic as Tennessee is, and if they can score around 70 points, then Purdue would have a difficult time covering this double-digit spread, considering that their offense is shooting a mediocre 44.7 percent from the floor.
While we are not necessarily calling for an outright upset here in West Lafayette, we would not be totally shocked if Wake Forest did just that. In any event, we do see them sticking within single-digits for the entire game.Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
Marc Lawrence
NEW YORK KNICKS +7
When the Knicks return to the Garden to host the Suns Tuesday night they will do so knowing they are 10-2 ATS in this series when Phoenix is off a SU and ATS win. They are also 16-9 ATS as home dogs off a double-digit home loss. With the Suns looking dead ahead to a showdown with Lebron James and the Cavs tomorrow night, and 0-6 ATS in games before Cleveland, we'll grab the points with the Knicks here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on New York.Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
Ron Raymond
Warriors/Nuggets UNDER 233
When ANY NBA Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - After a division game - Coming off a 2 game home stand - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite; The UNDER is 18-7-1 for the Home Fave (DEN) in this role.
Ron’s PVI Index has this game going UNDER with a 68% success rate.
Take the UNDER.Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
Dwayne Bryant
DENVER NUGGETS -14
Yes, it's a lot of points. But the game fits my criteria, so I'm laying it. Denver is coming off an embarrassing 6-point home loss to Minnesota, which had previously won one game all season. The Nuggets were outrebounded and allowed the T'wolves to shoot over 50% from the field. You KNOW the Nuggets will be out for blood tonight. They will definitely bring their A-game tonight on both ends of the floor. On the flip side, the Warriors are coming off blowout home win over Indiana last night. Now they make the trip to Denver for their second straight game and third in four nights. Denver was off yesterday and played that home game against Minny the day before that, so no travel or fatigue issues for the Nuggets. With Golden State off a big win and Denver off a horrible home loss, I expect the Nuggets to dominate this game and win by 20+. Lay the heavy lumber with Denver.Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
Rocketman
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS +3.5
Charlotte is 9-2 ATS last 3 years when the total is between 170 and 179 1/2 points. Charlotte is 18-5 ATS last 3 years after allowing 85 points or less. Charlotte is 22-8 ATS last 3 years after a win by 10 points or more. Charlotte is 6-2 SU at home this year. Charlotte is allowing only 87.9 points per game overall and 85 points per game at home this year. Charlotte is 6-2 ATS overall vs Boston the past 3 years. Celtics are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Celtics are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic. Bobcats are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bobcats are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU win. Bobcats are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games. Bobcats are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win. Celtics are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Charlotte. Celtics are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. We'll play Charlotte for 5 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
Andre Gomes
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -6
This is my strongest play of the season so far. However, note that you should keep following my Money Management rigorously, as only in that way we can achieve success in long term!**
This is my strongest play so far in the season, as we have the right number to pull the trigger for a Triple Dime Play. With the Public hammering the Heat on the road, a friendly line movement gave us a line of 6 points, I accept the challenge. Note that right now the line is around the number, 7 but you shouldn’t be afraid to take it because my fair line for this contest is -13/15 points for the Blazers.
Onto this game this is a perfect to ride the Blazers, as they are hungry and desperate to get back to the winning column after two ugly losses against the Grizzlies and the Jazz. Of course that losing against the Grizzlies was a huge surprise, while traveling to Utah in a back to back spot to face the Jazz is another story and I accept that loss as being “normal”. The common factor of both losses was the Blazers inability to stop the opponents’ frontcourt. Against the Grizzlies they allowed 54 points in the paint with Zack Randolph shooting 10-20 FG, Marc Gasol 6-8 and even rookie Thabeet torched them by connecting 4-7 from the field. In their last game against the Jazz, Carlos Boozer was a beast and completely dominated the Blazers by shooting 11-16 from the field, grabbing 12 rebounds and dishing 7 assists! Also Okur ended the game shooting 4-8 FG, Fesenko 3-6 FG and Millsap 3-5 FG. A quick look to the points in the paint rankings in this season, we can see that the Grizzlies are the best team averaging 50.7 ppg and the Jazz is ranked 6th with 47.7 points per game.
The pertinent question in here is: will the Heat pound the Blazers in the front like the Grizzlies and the Jazz are able to do? My answer: impossible! The Heat is averaging only 35.5 points in the paint per game – good for the 3rd worst mark in the league! They have an undersized PF in Michael Beasley and Jermaine O’Neal isn’t the dominant force that he used to be and so the Blazers won’t be crushed down. Instead, I expect them to dominate the glass with Oden and Przybilla, while LaMarcus Aldridge will explore his size advantage against the Heat.
I've already said that I don’t like the way Miami is playing right now. I wasn’t surprised to see them losing at home against the Wizards because I was with the Wizards on their last game. Their ball movement was terrible lately, as in their last 3 games they had only 12, 17 and 13 assists and in a half court game against the Blazers their stagnant offense will be in trouble. Even Dwayne Wade is struggling lately and the Heat is going for this road trip in a bad form. We must not also forget the terrible spot for Miami is in for this contest. They played Sunday at home against the Celtics and with only one day rest they had to cross the whole country to face the Blazers. Not coincidently, the Heat had the exact same spot last season when they faced the Blazers on the road: they had 2 home games and then they traveled to Portland with just one day to rest. The result: a 68-106 loss against at Portland!
In my opinion and the factors are working for the Blazers side and with a relatively short spread to cover, I’m taking the Blazers tonight to win big as my first Triple Dime Play of the season!
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 710 Portland Trail Blazers (-6)Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
GoodFella
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -6
I see GREAT VALUE with this ballgame. Portland is coming off TWO piss poor performances, including a BLOWOUT loss at Utah their last game-and prior to that game- Portland got spanked AT HOME by the lowly Grizzlies. I FULLY expect Portland to bounce back STRONG tonight & play a VERY focused and motivated win. I look for Brandon Roy to REALLY take charge tonight & lead this team to a top level performance AT HOME like they are so accustomed to doing. Bottomline for me here- I SEE GREAT value on this play-due to Portlands L/2 games & I look for Portland to cover the number in this spot. Lay the points with Portland tonight guys.Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
Spartan
TORONTO RAPTORS -6.5
Tonight marks the first of two games between these teams this week. The Wizards just got drilled by the Charlotte Hornets and can really go flat for stretched of time and seem without energy to compete hard on both ends of the floor. They do have Gilbert Arenas back but he has seemed a step off his game and is not shooting like we expect to see from him. In my view, the match up down in the post between Bosh and Jamison could easily be the key factor in deciding who prevails here tonight. One thing that may will overlook but could also be key is the play of Brendan Haywood, he has been known for whatever reason to come up huge in the past against the Raptors. When all is said and done I look for the Raptors to take off and leave this Wizards squad late and win this game by double figures. Take Toronto.Comment
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Re: 12-1-09
Lenny Del Genio
DENVER NUGGETS -13
Like so many other teams in the NBA (Utah comes to mind), the Nuggets feast on playing unrested opponents at home, particularly when they themselves were off the previous night. We bring up the Jazz because last night we saw the Grizzlies get bombed in this very spot playing in Salt Lake, losing by 27. Well, Golden State's best players all played 40+ minutes last night vs. Indiana (won 126-107) against a Pacers team that can take a lot out of you. Now the Warriors must fly cross-country, to the thin-air of Denver, and play a Nuggets squad looking to bounce back from a humiliating home loss to Minnesota on Sunday. Over the last three seasons, Golden State is a horrible 14-37 ATS when coming off a home win. They are on a 17-40 ATS run if they were a home favorite in their last game. The Nuggets 33-21 ATS as a home favorite and 11-2 ATS at the Pepsi Center hosting Pacific Division opponents. Denver is our #1 NBA Game of the Week.Comment
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