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Re: 12-6-09
Spartan
3* Tenn
2* Tampa, Chicago, Arizona and New England
Spartan
3* Tenn
2* Tampa, Chicago, Arizona and New England
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Re: 12-6-09
Bobby Maxwell Sunday's winner... 1,000-Unit NFL Max Bet Game of the Year - NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Here’s a trivia question for all my clients – When was the last time the Patriots lost back-to-back games? Waiting…..waiting….. Give up? How about early November 2006? That’s right, this franchise hasn’t lost back-to-back games in more than three years. And that includes a long stint with backup QB Matt Cassel at the helm last season.
And with all of New England’s success in Miami the last two years, what makes anyone think this game is going to be close? The Patriots have scored 97 points in their last two stops in South Beach, including a 49-28 romp in 2007 when Tom Brady threw for 354 yards and completed 21-of-25 passes. He had the knee surgery last season but still, Cassel led the Pats to a 48-28 win as one-point favorites and threw for 415 yards and three touchdowns with WRs Wes Welker and Randy Moss both going over the 120-yard mark receiving.
The vaunted Miami rushing game mustered all of 62 yards last season as New England jumped up early and forced the Dolphins to abandon the ground attack.
The Patriots have won four of the last five overall in this rivalry with the only loss coming in New England last year when the Dolphins introduced the “Wildcat” offense to the NFL.
And I know folks are talking about how bad the Patriots’ defense looked against New Orleans on Monday night, but the Dolphins don’t have any receivers with the ability of the Saints’ wideouts. And Chad Henne looked like a rookie last week in Buffalo, throwing three interceptions in the 31-14 loss as 3 ½-point road favorites.
New England is on ATS runs of 37-18-2 on the road, 18-7 as a road favorite and 21-5-2 after a straight-up loss – proving that they not only win but cover after getting beat. Miami is on ATS slides of 0-5 in Week 13, 14-37-1 at home and 1-4 as a home ‘dog.
Lay the small chalk and watch as the Patriots win this one by 17 points.Comment
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Re: 12-6-09
IC
4 Unit Play. #343. Take the Tennessee Titans +6.5 over the Indianapolis Colts (Sunday @ 1pm est). How can you not take the Titans? I have taken this team for several weeks during this hot streak the are on and and I am almost indebted to taking them again. Yes, the Colts are seeking perfection and they very well might win this game. But, if they are to lose a game en route to a perfect season, it very well might be this game. The Titans and Jeff Fisher are the only folks ever to start the season 0-6 and then win five straight games. This team got healthy at the right time, had the bye week at the right time and made the quarterback move at the right time. The Titans have revenge from a loss to this team earlier this year and split the season series with Indy last year if you remember winning at home 31-21. Indy has not been all that perfect as it relates to beind down several times the last few games going into the fourth quarter including to Houston, Baltimore, New England, Houston (at home) and even San Fran. Indy has won the last five games by a combined total of 18 points and have been behind in each of those five games heading into the fourth quarter if I am not mistaken. Let's ride the hot Titans here who have revenge, have won 5 in a row, need this game for the playoffs and are 5-0 ATS over their last five as well.
4 Unit Play. #338. Take the Kansas City Chiefs +5 over the Denver Broncos (Sunday @ 1pm est). This is a simple fade on the Broncos here off of their big win over the Giants on national television over Thanksgiving. Certainly the Broncos are at a new high right now, but considering that I think this team still has a lot of holes to patch up, I like the Chiefs here who are the same team who beat the Steelers this year. And, this team has three wins on the year and are getting better. The Chiefs have covered 5 of their last 7, come off a horrendous game at San Diego and for those reasons I believe they will bounce-back at home. Besides, this is a solid public fade on the card as well as well as the Chiefs are quite capable of winning this game outright. I do not trust the Broncos as a road favorite as they are 0-4 ATS over their last four games as a road favorite and the Chiefs are a solid 4-0 ATS following a straight up loss.
4 Unit Play. #355. Take the San Diego Chargers -13 over the Cleveland Browns (Sunday @ 4:05pm est). The Chargers love killing folks. When they have an opportunity to run up the score on someone, anyone, they do it. It is actually a bit of a surprise that I would lay this many points on a game as I rarely do it. But, with the Chargers defeating the Chiefs at home 43-14, Denver on the road 32-3 and KC on the road prior to that by 30 as they are on a six game winning streak, I'll take the Chargers here to make it seven in a row as they look to cover the spread. Give the Browns a lot of credit for playing well against Cincy and covering the spread in their last contest. But, if this team can lose 0-16 to Baltimore at home whose offense has struggled of late, and can lose to Green Bay 3-31 at home, then why not the Chargers by a margin similar to or greater than that. I thin the Chargers and Packers are similar prototypes and I like San Diego here to cover when all is said and done here.
4 Unit Play. #361. Take the Dallas Cowboys -2 over the New York Giants (Sunday @ 4:15pm est). Revenge can be so sweet here for Dallas. This team lost to the Giants in so many heartbreaking ways over the years, this could be another monkey off of Romo's back. He took a monkey off of him prior to this game earlier this year by defeating the Eagles on the road. Now, he looks to take advantage of a Giants team in disarray right now. The Giants are 6-5 and have never really recovered from the dismantling by the Saints on the road. The Eagles then used that game as a prototype to crush them the following game, Arizona, San Diego and Denver all followed suit. Its not that I trust the Cowboys on the road as much as the fact that I think it continues to be a decent time to fade the Giants here who struggle against teams who can pass the ball, i.e. Cardinals, Saints, Chargers and Eagles. Dallas lost to this team back on 9/20 and I suspect Romo and the Boys get their revenge here.
4 Unit Play. #340. Take the Pittsburgh Steelers -14.5 over the Oakland Raiders (Sunday @ 1pm est). I wish you could have seen Mike Tomlin during the press conference most recently in their post-game loss to the Steelers. He looked furious. He said that the Steelers in no certain terms were going to bring it. With Big Ben's toughness originally being questioned by Hines Ward (before Ward apologized), I like Big Ben to come out and prove something here to both some of his teammates and to the fans. The Steelers need a big win - a morale boost if you will. Let's face it. The defending Super Bowl Champs are not the ones favored to win it all this year even in their own conference nevertheless with teams like the Saints and Vikings hovering over the other side of the isle. Pittsburgh at the end of the day is 6-5 and they are in a dogfight to get into the playoffs. They need this win in the worst way. This team has lost back to back weeks on the road in OT and is the same team that beat the Vikings and Chargers at home by double-digits. This is a statement game for the Steelers imo and I wouldn't be surprised if Pitt wins this game in a big way.
Good luck,
ICComment
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Re: 12-6-09
Al DeMarco
Sunday's Play
15 Dime - Seattle Seahawks
Lost the guaranteed play on Cincinnati Saturday, and some will say it was the proverbial "tough beat" because the Bearcats failed to push or cover by one lowly point depending on your closing price. But, let's be honest here: Cincinnati never deserved to be in the game after falling behind by 21 early because its defense was defenseless when it came to stopping Pitt freshman running back Dion Lewis, who I thought was either going to collapse from exhaustion or run for 300 yards in the contest after his hot start. On the other hand, the final quarter of that game was one of the most exciting I've seen this season and was a helluva of a lot more enjoyable to watch than anything the Florida-Alabama snoozer offered.
To use a golf analogy, in college football this season I've been like a duffer who is consistently struggling with his shot off the tee. But, staying with the link-lingo, I've consistently scrambled back to par by making birdies or eagles with my NFL performances on Sunday and Monday. And that's why games are rated independently and why I'm in position to record my 8th straight winning football season with eight more weeks of action remaining.
Back to the matter at hand, today's selection on Seattle; the oddsmakers are just begging you to back San Francisco in this game.
Yes, the Niners won the first meeting in the season's second week, 23-10 at home as Frank Gore ran for 207 of his team's 256 yards. But this is a different San Francisco club playing today, one that is now a passing team with Alex Smith at quarterback instead of Shaun Hill.
Here's the most interesting thing I can tell you about the 49ers: they've been outgained in seven of the past eight games. Think about that for a second because there's only a couple of reasons behind that fact. Either the offense moves the ball but gets bogged down in the red zone and/or turns it over, or the defense is unable to get key stops. And that's why this team is nothing more than a .500 club that if you recall needed an incredible five interception performance by Jay Cutler to beat the lowly Bears a few weeks ago on a nationally-televised home game (in which I had San Fran).
Seattle is coming off a 27-17 win at St. Louis which capped a three-game road trip that began with stops in Arizona and Minnesota, two games in which Matt Hasselbeck gallantly played through despite an aching shoulder that affected his throwing motion. But today the Seattle signal-caller gets to face another lousy pass defense, one that is ranked 28th in the league with an average yield of 256 yards a game.
For the Seahawks, this is just their second home game in a six-week stretch. And Hasselbeck also takes the field today with some semblance of ground support. Justin Forsett, who has cracked the century mark in two of the past three games filling in for Julius Jones, is coming off a 22-carry, 130-yard, two-touchdown effort at St. Louis and is averaging 5.7 yards per carry. And Jones is expected to be back in action today as well.
I know the Niners are coming off a 20-3 home win against Jacksonville last Sunday, but when have the Jaguars played well on the road this season? And San Fran was outgained in that game as well by a 357-284 margin.
FYI - that was the same Jacksonville team the Seahawks whipped at home 41-0 back in the second week of October.
As I said at the outset, I believe the oddsmakers are just begging you to bet San Francisco today. The 49ers have been a tremendous play as an underdog during Mike Singletary's brief tenure, especially on the road, but they're not getting the big points in this one like they were two road games back when they caught 13 at Indy. And don't forget in their last road outing, when they were a six-point pup at Green Bay, they needed a furious fourth-quarterback comeback in garbage time to get the cover in a 30-24 loss in which they were thoroughly outplayed.
Seattle surprises today with a 28-24 win.Comment
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Re: 12-6-09
maximus ncaaf nfl get it here
Maximus
TAKE DETROIT TITANS -3 vs Cleveland State Vikings. This game is played at Calihan Hall on the campus of Detroit, and is scheduled to tip off at 1:05 PM EST.
EVALUATION: The Titans come in with a 5-2 SU & ATS record and have won all 3 games that have been played at Calihan Hall. Their 82.3 home scoring average is a pretty solid number, and they have only been letting up 70 points average on their home floor. Detroit has some major motivation in this game, since the Vikings beat them 3 times last year, 53-44 at Detroit, 49-66 at Cleveland St, and 43-56 in the conference tourney. The Vikings have had some really tough competition early with the likes of Kentucky, Virginia, and Wichita St, but we don’t see this as an advantage, since Detroit has played a couple of tough opponents themselves such as the defensive minded Depaul Blue Demons and the California Golden Bears. We like the 46% shooting percentage that Detroit has, and they average 6.1 more rebounds a game than the Vikings.
PROJECTION DETROIT 80 CLEVELAND ST 59 TAKE JAMES MADISON DUKES vs Georgia State Panthers. This game is played at JMU Center on James Madison’s campus and is scheduled to begin at 11am PST
EVALUATION: James Madison has a 4-2 SU record and is yet to lose on the home court of the JMU center, they have been averaging 68 points a game there and are only allowing 60 points avg. We like their 41.1% shooting percentage, but would like to see their Assist/Turnover Ratio get above the 1 mark, they are currently sitting at .9.
The Panthers are turning the ball over an average of 5.4 extra times than their assists, and they are only scoring 58 points a game average on the road. The Panthers have lost all 3 game on the road SU & ATS and we expect the same thing in this game with such a small spread.
PROJECTION JAMES MADISON 68 GEORGIA STATE 60
SOLIDS _____________________________Projection
WILLIAM & MARY +1 ½ vs VCU __________________WM & MARY 72-67
ST JOHNS +17 vs Duke _______________________________Duke 71-65
MONEYLINE
ST. BONAVENTURE +600 ____________________________St. Bonnie 73-66
HERE Then is the Late Card.
NCAA BB Late Selections after 4pm 12/05/09
LOCKS:
TAKE DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS +17 vs Vanderbilt Commodores. This is being played at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville, TN where the Commodores call home, and is scheduled to begin at 4pm EST.
EVALUATION: Both teams enter this game with a 5-1 SU mark, and have had a good start to the college basketball season. Vanderbilt has been having a good year so far, only dropping their opening round game in the **** Invitational to Cincinnati, they ended up as the consolation winner after beating Arizona 84-72. They came home with a tough fought win over a scrappy Missouri team, and now the Demons come a calling. Vandy likes an up tempo game averaging 80.7 points a game at home. Depaul on the other hand likes a slow and methodical game and only allows 54.8 points average per game which is 6th best in the NCAA DIV. 1 rankings. Depaul’s only loss has come to the hands of the Tennessee Volunteers where they dropped a tough fought battle as 19 ½ point dogs 53-57. This is going to be a war of wills, and we think Depaul’s will will win out, there 9.8 turnovers a game bodes well for a BLUE DEMONS cover.
PROJECTION: DEPAUL 57 VANDY 63
TAKE WASHINGTON ST COUGARS +9 vs Kansas St. Wildcats. This is being played in the Bramlage Coliseum on the campus of K-State and is scheduled to begin at 9pm EST.
EVALUATION: K-State and Wash-St. both come into this game with matching 6-1 straight up marks and each have been points up in bunches. Each team averages over 80 points a game, and each team averages opponents to a shade over 66 points a game. They both have played some pretty stiff competition with Wash St. playing in the Alaskan Shootout were awarded the championship, and K-State has played a stiff Dayton team, and a Top 25 Ole MISS team in which they dropped a 74-86 . We think the odds makers have not been giving the Cougars their just due, and until this changes, we think the Washinton St. Cougars have good value here.We think both teams are going to score in this game and score often, all stats in this game point to a very close game, and we would not be surprised to see the Cougars to pull the outright upset and win this game outright.
PROJECTION: WASHINGTON ST 75 KANSAS ST. 74
TAKE MURRAY ST RACERS -9 vs Morehead St Eagles. This is being played at the Regional Special Events Center on the campus of the Murray State, and is scheduled to begin at 8:30pm EST
EVALUATION: Murray State comes into this game with a 6-1 SU mark, and have been averaging over 81 points a game. They have been overpowering their weaker opponents, and besides a tough fought battle with Eastern Kentucky in which they won 62-60 they have been beating opponents by an average of 22.6 points a game. Morehead St is 2-3 SU on the season, and have lost to Kentucky, LA-Monroe, and Kent St., while beating sub par teams in Brescia and Tennesee Martin. We see the 83.3 points a game average of the Racers to hold up vs the Eagles weak 66.5 points a game on the road of the Eagles. Murray states 4 and 0 home record should move to 5-0 and we see them covering the spread here.
PROJECTION: MURRAY ST. 75 MOREHEAD ST. 61
SOLIDS:-----------------------------Projections:
Oregon +11 ½ vs Missouri ---------------------------------Missouri 72-70
Deleware +21 vs Old Dominion --------------------------Old Dominion 73-66
Charlotte +18.5 vs Louisville --------------------------------Louisville 77-67
Loyola- Chicago +10.5 vs Wisc-Milw --------------------Wisc-Milw 72-70
Jacksonville St -4.5 vs Tennessee Tech-----------------Jacksonville St 83-75
Eastern Illinois +7.5 vs Austin Peay ---------------------Austin Peay 75-74
MONEYLINE
FURMAN +155 ------------------------------------------------Furman 72-66
SACRAMENTO ST +235-----------------------------------------Sac St. 75-70Comment
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Re: 12-6-09
vr
56 CLE 13.5 (-110) Bodog vs 355 SDC Analysis: *** NFL 3* BOOKIE BET *** (Confirmed BIG SLICK BET by Bookie Bill)
Bodog is using +14...Others ma¥y go there since it's a late game...Only reason it hasn't is because the Wiseguys are grabbing all the +14s they can find...VR
. vegas-runner | NFL Side Sun, 12/06/09 - 1:00 PM ͈
triple-dime bet 344 IND -6.0 (-110) BetUS vs 343 TEN Analysis: ›*** NFL 3* GAME OF THE WEEK ***
vegas-runner | NFL Side Sun, 12/06/09 - 1:00 PM ͈
double-dime bet 350 WAS 9.0 (-110) Bodog vs 349 NOS Analysis: ** NFL 2* PERSONAL PLAyComment
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