12-9-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[kreekor]

Re: 12-9-09

root

KENTUCKY vs. U CONN IN A GREAT TV NO LIMIT WINNING GAME
Basketball NCAAB
Game Date/Time: December 9, 2009, 6:30 pm(PST) Matchup: Kentucky Wildcats @ Connecticut Huskies

Take: Connecticut Huskies

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-9-09

LANG

Wednesday's Selection...


15 DIME - NEW MEXICO LOBOS - Love this Lobos team.



I have to admitt, I really couldn't figure out why Steve Alford bolted his coaching spot in the Big Ten with Iowa to head down to New Mexico, but obviously he had his reasons.



He has slowly put together a very strong program and his recruiting class was rated top 20 by rivals.com.



They return 3 starters from last years 24-8 squad and a bench player from last year, Darington Hobson is their leading scorer this year at over 18 points a game.



They have won every game this year, covered every game this year with exception of a push last game out at home versus New Mexico State winning by 17, falling right on the number.



Let it be known they jumped out to a 23 point halftime lead and built the lead to as high as 26 before Alford called off the dogs.



This team is balanced getting contributions from everyone and Alford says he really likes this squad a lot.



In their 2 road games this year they beat Hawaii by 10, and New Mexico State by 12, and they have won every game this year by double digits with exception of an 8 point win at home over Cal laying 5 1/2.



Their margins of victory are 16, 10, 24, 29, 25, 12, and 17.



San Diego came out of the box swinging beating Stanford, and winning 4 of their first 5 covering all 4 lined games but they have fallen losing their last 4 SU and ATS.



What is even more alarming is the 37 point loss to Washington State on a neutral floor and 32 at Fresno without leading scorer Brandon Johnson, who was suspended for disciplinary reasons.



When your best player is getting suspended this early in the year the tone of your team changes and you add the fact of an early 4 game losing streak, all is not well in sunny San Diego.



I am backing the more consistent team, which has played great basketball all year long to manhandle the Toros and do what they have done in every game this year, win by 8 points or more.



FREE SELECTION - CONNECTICUT HUSKIES

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-9-09

Larry Ness | CBB Sides Wed, 12/09/09 - 9:30 PM Â~

triple-dime bet 738 UConn 0.0 (-110) betus vs 737 Kentucky
Analysis:
Kentucky's program has few equals in the annals of college basketball history while Jim Calhoun has carved out quite niche for himself and the Huskies since coming to Storrs (this marks his 24th season). Surprisingly, tonight's meeting of No. 4 Kentucky and No. 14 U Conn will be just the second-ever between these perennial powers. Connecticut beat Kentucky 87-83 in the second round of the 2006 NCAA tournament. While Kentucky basketball is as "old as time," there's a "new look" in Lexington this year as John Calipari left Memphis to take over the Wildcats. Jodie Meeks (23.7) decided to leave early for the NBA (anyone miss him?), so Kentucky is led by highly-touted 6-4 freshman guard John Wall (18.1-4.1-7.7) and 6-9 junior Patrick Patterson (16.6-10.1). Two other freshman, the 6-11 Cousins (14.8-8.1) and 6-1 guard Bledsoe (10.5-3.1 APG), are also off to terrific starts with a pair of 6-7 sophs, Dodson (9.6) and Miller (8.5-3.5), rounding out the major contributors. With an 8-0 record, the Wildcats are off to their best start since the 1992-93 team opened 11-0 but Calipari knows it hasn't come easy. In the team's second game of the season, the RedHawks of Miami-Ohio took an 18-point lead in the first half before the Wildcats came all the way back to take a late lead. Mia-O tied the game with six seconds left and while Calipari was wondering whether to take a time out, freshman Wall grabbed the inbounds pass, raced by his coach in a blur and hit a 15-foot jumper at the buzzer for a 72-70 win. In just the sixth game, of his what is sure to be his ONLY college season, Wall scored 23 points, including clutch shots in the final minute that sent the game to overtime against Stanford. Kentucky closed with an eight-point run for a 73-65 victory in the championship game of the Cancun Challenge at the Moon Palace Resort. Last Saturday against then-No. 10 North Carolina, the Wildcats went on a 28-2 first-half run, building a 15-point lead at the half. Wall would bounce back from a bout with dehydration and a queasy encounter with an IV drip to finish with 16 points, including the clinching free throws with 4.3 seconds left, as the Wildcats escaped with a 68-66 win (Kentu‚cky was outscored 38-25 in the final 20 minutes against the Tar Heels, committing 12 of its 21 turnovers in the second half). As for U Conn, Calhoun may have won a third national title last year, if Jerome Dyson had not gotten hurt. Dyson tore a ligament in his right knee last February and that cost U Conn a top-notch scorer as well as depriving them of its top perimeter defender. Dyson (20.1-5.6-5.1) is back at full strength this year and is joined in the backcourt by 6-1 sophomore Kemba Walker (15.4-5.6 APG). The 6-9 Stanley Robinson missed the team's first eight games last year and never really came around until scoring 28 points and grabbing 14 rebounds in U Conn's six-OT loss to Syracuse in the Big East tourney. He then averaged 14.8-8.4 in the NCAA tourney with U Conn advancing to the final Four. Note that the other four starters in U Conn's Final 4 loss to Michigan St (Adrien and Thabeet up front plus guards Price and Austrie), are all gone. However, U Conn is just fine. The backcourt is in great shape with Dyson and Walker plus joining RobinsoTn (15.4-7.1) up front are 6-9 senior Edwards (11.6-5.7) who is getting plenty of playing time TY (about 00 MPG after averaging around 12 MPG his first three years) and 6-9 freshman Oriakhi (6.0-9.9). The 7-1 Okwandu has yet to do much but 6-6 freshman swingman Coombs-McDaniel (4.0-2.1) is showing signs he'll contribute this year. This marks the third season of the SEC/Big East Invitational and the first year in which Kentucky and UConn are taking part. Madison Square Garden is a "home away from home" for the Huskies, who have won six Big East tournaments in "the Garden" since 1990. U Conn has a bitter taste in its mouth from its last trip to NYC, as in the championship game of the NIT

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-9-09

Ben Burns

ESPN ANNIHILATOR!

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (-3.5) over Detroit Pistons

Reason: I'm laying the points with PHILADELPHIA. The Pistons won when these teams faced each other at Detroit. Playing on their homecourt, I expect the 76ers to avenge that loss this evening. While they played them tough for a while, the 76ers couldn't keep up with Denver in their last game. They eventually lost 93-83. Prior to that, they'd quietly been on a 6-2 ATS run. Despite this season's struggles, note that they're a profitable 4-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss. They're a respectable 27-20 ATS in that situation the past few seasons. While the Pistons are off back to back victories, both of those games came at Detroit. On the road, they're just 2-8. That includes a 1-8 mark their last nine and an 0-5 mark their last five. Those five losses came by an average of 11 points, each of them coming by at least three. Looking back further and we find that the Pistons are just 4-16 SU and 7-12-1 ATS their last 20 road games. The 76ers have won three of their last five home meetings with the Pistons. The last time that the teams faced each other here, Philly won by five. Previous victories over the Pistons here came by seven and 20 points. In addition to playing with 'revenge,' the 76ers are desperate to snap their losing streak and they've got plenty to prove. That should be particularly true of Allen Iverson, as he'd love nothing more than to show up the Pistons, another of his former teams, on National TV. Look for them to rise to the occasion and snap their skid, covering the small number along the way. *7 annihilator

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-9-09

BIG AL's NBA ROADKILL BLOWOUT WINNER -- Wednesday
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Sacramento. The Spurs suffered their 3rd straight loss on Monday when they fell at Utah, 104-101. They had a good chance to win the game when, trailing by 1, Matt Bonner threw up a runner, but the ball went around the rim, and out, and after two free throws, Utah walked away with the 3-point win. That defeat came on the heels of two other close losses -- both at home -- to Denver and Boston. But off three consecutive defeats, we'll play on the Spurs here, as San Antonio is a solid 37-23 ATS since 1990 off 3+ losses, including 6-0 ATS when its foe is unrested (Sacramento played at New Orleans last night) and the Spurs are off an ATS loss. These two teams met earlier in the season here at the AT&T Center, and the Spurs came away with a 19-point win, as 16-point favorites. But now, on the heels of the Spurs' losing streak, a big adjustment is being made by the oddsmakers, and the Spurs find themselves only a 12-point home favorite at the time of this writing (a staggering 4 points less than in November). That's way too low, considering that San Antone has won six straight in this series, and 13 of 14 overall. And here, in the Alamo City, the Spurs have won 10 of 11 vs. Sacramento. This will be a blowout. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-9-09

**10** Burns CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH!

I'm laying the points with ARIZONA. The Bulldogs come in as the 'hotter' team. However, in my opinion, the Wildcats are still the much 'better' team. The fact that LA Tech enters tonight on a winning streak, while Arizona is on a losing streak, has worked in our favor in two ways. For starters, its helped to keep tonight's line relatively low, as it could easily be much higher. Additionally, it should provide the Wildcats with plenty of motivation.

Yes, LA Tech brings an impressive 7-1 record to the table. However, when compared to Arizona, the Bulldogs have played a very soft schedule. Give the Bulldogs credit for scoring a minor upset vs. TCU, as that was somewhat impressive. However, the only time that they really stepped up to face an opponent of this level (at New Mexico on 11/21) they were crushed by a score of 81-52.

Arizona, on the other hand, has faced Wisconsin, Colorado, Vanderbilt, UNLV and Oklahoma in its last five games. That's a major difference. In other words, while the Bulldogs will be stepping up in class, the Wildcats will be stepping down.

Despite their strong start, the Bulldogs are still just 1-2 ATS in their road lined games. Conversely, despite their slow start, the Wildcats are a profitable 3-1 ATS when listed as favorites. The only time that they didn't cover was vs. UNLV - and that was 2-point loss in overtime. Looking back further and we find the Wildcats at a highly profitable 13-4-1 (16-2 SU) the last 18 times that they were laying points.

New coach Sean Miller has plenty of talent on his team with numerous scoring options. I expect them to show off that talent tonight, putting it all together en route to a double-digit victory. *10 CBB Blowout GOM

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-9-09

Dr. Bob
Wednesday NBA Opinion
Sacramento (+12 1/2) over SAN ANTONIO
Rotation #715 - 5:35 pm Pacific
San Antonio is 9-9 straight up and the Kings are 8-7 straight up playing without the vastly overrated Kevin Martin, so favoring the Spurs by 12 1/2 points is excessive. Sacramento was 1-4 straight up and 2-3 ATS before Martin was injured and the absence of his ball-hogging, me first offense has created good chemistry for the young Kings. Sacramento was being out-scored by 9.4 points per 48 minutes in which Martin was on the floor, but they've out-scored their opponents by 1.8 points per 48 minutes with Martin on the bench, where he'll continue to be for at least another month. Using all of the Spurs games and the Kings games without martin would yield a line of Spurs by just 6 1/2 points using 4.6 points for the home court advantage (that's the advantage for a rested home team against an unrested visitor). The Spurs have played better at home and using their home games against the Kings' road games would give me Spurs by 8 points. The Spurs did beat Sacramento here by 19 points in the first week of the season, but the Kings were out-scored by 28 points in that game when Kevin Martin was on the floor, which was 13 points worse than the plus-minus of any of the other starters in that game. The only thing keeping me from making this a Best Bet is the Spurs' 23-6-3 ATS record the last 6 seasons as a double-digit favorite when rested following a loss. Of course, I don't think the Spurs should be favored by double-digits, but the trend does apply and I'll pass for that reason. I'm sure the Spurs will be motivated after 3 straight losses, but it's still unlikely they'll win by more than 12 points against a pretty decent Kings' team. I'll lean with Sacramento plus the points.

Wednesday College Opinion
WISCONSIN GREEN BAY (+5 1/2) over Wisconsin
Rotation #730 - 5 pm Pacific
Wisconsin Green Bay is a good team and this game isn't likely to be a cake walk for the Badgers. In fact, this is a huge game for the Phoenix, as they rarely get to host a big name non-conference opponent. Green Bay lost last year at Wisconsin 57-77, but the Phoenix are 36-16-3 ATS in revenge games the last 7 years and my ratings favor Wisconsin by only 4 points. I'll lean with Wisconsin Green Bay at +5 or +5 1/2 and I'd take Green Bay in a 2-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more.