12-11-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

WUNDERDOG

Game: Atlanta at Toronto (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta -3.5 (-110)

The Atlanta Hawks took a step up a year ago and made the playoffs. They have now elevated off that season to a 15-6 mark through 21 games this year. This team is a real player in the Eastern Conference and already own road wins at Dallas, Portland and Boston. The Raptors play no defense and their last three here vs. winning teams as a home dog, they haven't come close and I don't expect them to tonight either. The Hawks are riding a 22-10-1 ATS mark as a favorite which improves to 8-2 as a favorite of 4.5 or less. The Raptors’ home-dog report card is amongst the worst in the league at 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26. This is a dog with no bite, Atlanta gets this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

DETROIT RED WINGS -170

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the large home favorite:

Anaheim has been struggling defensively lately, allowing at least three goals in each game while losing five of six. The conference-worst Ducks have also been outscored 29-16 during their franchise-record eight-game road losing streak (0-5-3) - a bad omen for a club opening a four game road trip that will play 10 of its next 12 games away from home.

It comes as no surprise to learn that Anaheim is 0-5 its last five on the road. It's also 1-4 its last five vs. the Wings and 1-6 its last seven at Joe Louis.

On the other side of the rink: The Red Wings enter Friday night’s home game trying to avoid their fourth loss in five games; however, Detroit enjoyed one of its best performances this season against the Ducks on Nov. 14 at Joe Louis Arena.

Henrik Zetterberg, who has a team-leading 30 points, had a hat trick and two assists in the 7-4 victory, and Cleary added a goal and two assists. It stands as both the Red Wings’ second-best scoring output of the season and the most goals allowed by the Ducks in 2009-10.

Detroit is 4-2 this season after a division game.

Bottom line: This is a very big opportunity for the WINGS to start to their season around; look for the Ducks to get overwhelmed in this one!

*9* RED WINGS.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Tony George

PHOENIX SUNS -2.5

I lost out on the Magic on TNT last night, blowing a big lead...and off a previous nights game, in the altitude wears you down, and playing the Suns rested at home, I like the Suns here big time at home in this scheduling spot.

Play 1 Unit on Phoenix.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Ron Raymond

Blazers/Cavaliers UNDER 183.5

When ANY NBA Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - with 1 day off - Last 5 years - Total is between 180 to 185 - Allowed 91 - 95 AGAINST in their last game; the UNDER is 43-26-1 for the Home Fave (CLE) in this spot the L5Y. Take the Under.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Marc Lawrence

TORONTO RAPTORS +4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Evan Altemus

PHOENIX SUNS -3

Orlando is coming off of a very disappointing 2nd half in last night's game against Utah. The Magic held a huge lead at halftime, only to get dominated by the Jazz in the 2nd half. Now Orlando has to go on the road again the very next night and play a Phoenix team that will be very motivated for this game. The Suns have lost four out of their last five games, with their four losses coming on the road. Phoenix is well rested coming into this game as well. They had played seven of their last ten games on the road, but they have had two days off since their last game. This game will also be nationally televised on ESPN, so the Suns will be up for this game. Look for Phoenix to come out and get a big home win against a road weary Magic team.

3 UNIT SELECTION SUNS.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Bob Balfe

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Rocketman

GOLEN STATE WARRIORS +5

Golden State is 7-1 ATS this year in non-conference games. Chicago is 5-14 ATS this year in all games. Chicago is 1-5 ATS this year as a favorite. Chicago is 1-5 ATS this year after allowing 105 points or more. Chicago is 1-7 ATS this year after a loss by 10 points or more. Chicago is 1-9 SU their last 10 games. Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central. Warriors are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference. Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Bulls are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Bulls are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss. Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Bulls are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bulls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Bulls are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Bulls are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Bulls are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bulls are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bulls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. Bulls are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. Bulls are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference. Bulls are 0-9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Bulls are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Bulls are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. We'll play Golden State for 5 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Spartan

NEW YORK KNICKS +7

We have made some money going against this New Orleans club as of late and I am going to go against them once more tonight as they welcome in the Knicks. Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni has seemingly settled on his 8 man rotation and the team is now responding and performing well. The Knicks are an impressive 4-1 both straight up and against the number in their last 5 outings. I look for a solid effort from New York again tonight against a Hornets team I just don't hold in real high regard. Take the Knicks.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Lenny Del Genio

SAN ANTONIO SPURS -7.5

We'd like to believe in the Bobcats here, but when we took them 10 days ago at home vs. Boston, they really let us down by getting blown out 108-90. Sure, we came back and cashed them as our Underdog of the Week this past Tuesday, winning outright against the Nuggets, but they were catching Denver in a favorable situation that night (3rd road game in four nights). The Spurs have owned this head to head series, winning nine of 10 meetings, covering the spread in eight of them. That includes a 14-point home win last season. As we've noted before, Charlotte is an excellent defensive club, but they simply lack the scoring punch to compete at a high level. They are also 1-8 SU on the road this season, mainly because they average just 83.2 PPG away from home this season. The Spurs are also scoring more than usual this year, averaging 104.8 PPG at home. Take San Antonio.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Maximus report ccb

No Locks today in college baskets

Selections for NCAA BB 12/11/09
SOLIDS:______________________Projections
Dayton -5.5 vs.Old Dominion______________________Dayton 71-61IDAHO St. +11.5 vs. USC_________________________ USC 59-53


OTHER PROJECTIONS---Home
AWAY------------------------------Spread-----------------------HOME
Middle Tennessee St. 61 ________ -20.5 ______NC ________Tennessee 84
Iowa 56 _____________________ -12.5 _________________ Iowa St. 65
Western Kentucky 59 __________ -11.5 ______NC_________ Vanderbilt 75

NC = Neutral Court Game
Both of these Neutral Court games are being played at the Sommet Center – formerly the Gaylord Center in Nashville, TN

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Dominic Fazzini Friday's play 15 Dime -- Vanderbilt (minus points vs. Western Kentucky)

VANDERBILT

The Commodores return all five starters from last season's 19-12 team, and have started the season 6-2, losing 67-58 to No. 19 Cincinnati in Hawaii on Nov. 23 and 79-68 at Illinois on Tuesday. They also have quality victories over Arizona, Missouri and DePaul this season, so they have been well-tested so far.

Vanderbilt is averaging 75.1 ppg, and has three players scoring at least 13 points per game. Sophomore swingman Jeffery Taylor averages 15 ppg to lead the team, while senior guard Jermaine Beal is averaging 13.4 ppg and has provided consistent outside scoring.

Where the Commodores really have the advantage, however, is with junior center A.J. Ogilvy. The 6-foot-11 Ogilvy started slowly this season after averaging 17 and 15.4 ppg, respectively, his first two seasons, but he has averaged 18 points over his last four games to push his season average up to 13.3 ppg. The Hilltoppers don't have anyone of his size or talent level to contain him in the paint.

Western Kentucky is 1-6 ATS this season, and depends greatly on senior guard A.J. Slaughter, who leads the team in scoring at 14.9 ppg. If Slaughter, who likely will be defended by the tough-nosed Beal, doesn't have a huge game, the Hilltoppers probably will get crushed.

Tonight's game is in Nashville, which greatly benefits Vanderbilt, but it is technically on a neutral court. The Commodores are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games at neutral sites and 8-3 ATS when favored on a neutral court. Vanderbilt also has beaten the Hilltoppers 10 consecutive times, dating to the 1962-63 season. Look for the beat to go on tonight. Take the Commodores to cover the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Savannah Sports

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

NBA Basketball
2 (**) Philadelphia +3
2 (**) Oklahoma City +2.5
2 (**) Cleveland -9.5
2 (**) Phoenix -3

NCAA Basketball
1 (*) Western Kentucky +12

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

IC
4 Unit Play. #723. Dominion +5.5 over Dayton (Friday @ 7pm est).

3-1 This Week (Montana over Loyola Marymount Yesterday)
63% in Nov College Ball: $1980; 62% College Ball 09'.
4 Straight Winning Weeks of College Ball. Yet to have a losing week this season.

Old Dominion is a talented team that I think is finally starting to gel. This team nearly beat Missouri away from losing by just five points, and has crushed their last two opponents by 20+ points as they are getting used to their system far more since the start of the season. No doubt Dayton is a good team as they come off a big win over George Mason, but I like the matchups here in favor of ODU as with Gerald Lee, Darius James and Kent Bazemore, this team should have enough talent to stay in this game and possibly win it outright. Certainly, we will take the 5.5 points as well bear in mind the Flyers of Dayton are 0-4 ATS against the Colonial Athletic Association, 1-5 ATS overall and 3-8 ATS following a straight up win. We always like dogs who can win outright and it is no different for us once again as we take another dog in ODU that we believe can win outright or stay within the number similar to Harvard plus the points the other night at BC who won outright for us.

4 Unit Play. #719. Take the Minnesota TWolves +15.5 over the Los Angeles Lakers (Friday @ 10:30pm est). The Minnesota Timberwolves have quietly covered five straight and two of their three wins this year come in the last five games. This team comes off a nice cover against New Orleans at home and I'm glad I took them as they nearly won that game outright the other night, covered against Toronto on the road as a nice dog, defeated Utah at home as a 7.5 outright dog and beat Denver as an Outright dog as well. I suspect the Lakers who come off an impressive win over Utah will likely put another strong effort today. But, bear in mind that the Lakers were only up by 2 points on the Jazz going into the fourth quarter and a 6 point fourth quarter is why they dominated the Jazz on the final end of the scoreboard. I suspect that the Timberwolves won't score six points in the fourth quarter, and given their improve play of plate with their young guys playing for 48 minutes, I like the Twolves here to hang tough and get inside the number. The Twolves are 4-0 ATS after a straight up loss thus far, 4-0 ATS as a road underdog of late and 6-0 ATS as an Underdog overall.

Good luck,
IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-11-09

Booooj:

10* Western Kentucky