12-12-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-12-09

B r a n d o N L a n G
30 DIME - NAVY MIDSHIPMEN - This is another Navy rout waiting to happen.

Over the last 10 years, Navy has won 9, and all but one of those 9 wins has been by double digits.

You focus on the last 5 years and you will see Navy wins by margins of 29, 19, 12, 35 and 34.

Folks, only 1 game in the last 10 years has been close, and what is even more impressive is in 4 of the last 5 years Navy has been laying double digits.

The only non-cover was 2006 when as a 18 point favorite, Navy won the game 26-14 as Army punched in a touchdown with just 2 seconds on the clock for the backdoor score.

Take a deep breath because the following number is even more alarming.

Navy has won the last 8 meetings by a combined score of 312-74.

They both played 4 bowl teams but as you are about to see, Navy not only played the better of the 4 teams, they were competitive in everyone.

The Midshipmen played Ohio State on the road to start the season putting up 27 points on the Buckeyes defense and were sniffing the outright win before finally losing 31-27. They battled Pitt to a 27-14 game, beat Air Force 16-13 and lost to Temple 27-24.

Conversely, Army lost to Iowa State 31-10, Rutgers 27-10, Air Force 35-7 and Temple 27-13.

So as you can see the Knights were blown out by an average margin of almost 20 points a game, and that will not bode well for them again today facing this Navy squad off a loss to Hawaii which was a homecoming of sorts for head coach Ken Niumatalolo.

You had better believe it's been a long couple of weeks after the embarrassing loss 24-17 in good old Honolulu.

Folks, it's just to much of an uphill battle facing this Army team considering Navy is going to score with the 3rd best rush offense in the country that has really destroyed some people this year.

There is no question Navy is the better team. No question at all, and if Air Force can hammer this team 35-7 I feel sorry for this Army team today facing a Navy squad that destroyed Rice 63-14, andhas margin of victories this year by 18, 16 and 19.

You really look at Army's 5 wins this year and you will see a 13 point win at Eastern Michigan, 7 point win at home over Ball State, 3 point win at home over Vandy, 5 point win at home over VMI, and a 4 point win over North Texas.

The only signature win for Army was Vandy but again, when you struggle to score 17 points at North Texas, who ranks 104th in run defense and in the bottom 20 nationally in total defense, how much of a signature win can that be.

Bottom line is this. Do you really trust Army plus the points in a Rivalry game they have lost 9 of the last 10 years and all but one of those Navy wins has been by double digits? Enough said.

15 DIME - NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS -Sometimes your reputation precedes you, and such is the case with Siena.

Last year they made some noise in the big dance last year advancing to the 2nd round and proceeded to scare #1 seed Louisville. Siena returns 4 starters from that squad but lost top scorer Kenny Hasbrouck.

They have gotten off to a 6-3 start SU and an impressive 5-3 ATS, but now they step up to face the best team in the Missouri Valley conference in Northern Iowa, a team that returns their entire starting 5 from a year ago.

They too have gotten off to a rock solid start going 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS, but bottom line is I am just a lot more impressed with their early body of work than I am Siena.

The Panthers have beaten Iowa State out of the Big 12 by 13 on the road as a 5 1/2 point dog, and Iowa out of the Big 10 by 17 at home as an 11 point favorite.

This is a step up for Siena as their only wins this year are against Albany, Brown, Iona, Delaware, Northeastern and Tennessee State.

Last but not least you throw in Northern Iowa's 8-1 ATS mark when facing a team with a winning SU record and this is great value with the Panthers at home.

Roll with Northern Iowa

5 DIME - UNLV REBELS - Like this Lon ****** squad.

They have gotten off to a fast start going 7-0 SU and covering 3 of their 4 lined games this year.

Now they get the 8-1 Kansas State Wildcats coming to town and you had better believe Lon will have the Rebels ready.

Already on a Saturday this year Unlv took care of Louisville after blowing a 20 point 2nd half lead.

What I like about this squad that returns 2 starters but is more of a "TEAM" than ****** has had in the last couple of years.

Personally, I feel Kansas State is living off the Michael Beasley hype of last year and I really don't think this is value you can pass up with the Rebels at home.

Not only is Unlv 7-3 ATS last 10 Saturday games but you add Kansas State a dismal 8-20 ATS last 28 facing a team with a winning home record and this has a Unlv home win and cover written all over it.

Ride the Running Rebels today.

FREE SELECTION - NEW MEXICO LOBOS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-12-09

Ben Burns | CFB Total Sat, 12/12/09 - 2:30 PM Ô‰

triple-dime bet 103 Army / 104 Navy Under 42.0 Bodog
Analysis: I'm playing on Army and Navy to finish UNDER the total. At first glance, this o/u number appears pretty low. Its climbed above the important 41 mark though and I feel that provides us with plenty of value. Navy's last game was back on 11/28, at Hawaii. Despite Ha‚waii being rather defensively-challenged," the Warriors limited Navy to just 17 points, including 0 in the second half. The Midshipmen did hold the Warriors to 24 points though, the fifth straight time that the held an opponent to less than 28 points. During that span, they allowed an average of 20 points. That includes holding Notre Dame to only 21 and Wake Forest to just 10. The UNDER was 3-1 in those games, the other didn't have a total. For the season, the Midshipmen are allowing a very respectable 21.3 per game.

The Black Knights were also solid defensively this season. They held North Texas to 13 points in their most recent game, a 17-13 victory way back on 11/21. That was the second straight game that they allowed 17 points or less. For the season, they allowed an average of only 22.4 points and just 310 total yards. Unfortunately, for Army fans, the offense wasn't very good. Army averaged only 16.5 points per game, gaining just 283.4 yards per game. Those numbers dip to 14.8 ppg (280 yards) on the road.

With both teams having had an extended break, note that Navy has seen the UNDER go 4-2 the last six times that it was coming off a bye. During the same stretch, Army has seen the UNDER go 5-1 when it was coming off a bye.

Looking at the recent series history and we find that each of the last three meetings finished below the total. Those games had combined scores of 40, 41 and 34 points. On a cool Philadelphia afternoon, with both teams chewing up the clock with frequent running plays, I expect another relatively low-scoring affair. *9

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-12-09

root

veags legend............ navy
cbb game of month.... oklahoma

[wayneschultz]

Re: 12-12-09

Have you seen Root's bill and no limit picks for today?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-12-09

dr bob
3* george mason -2
3* san diego st -3
2* marshall -7
2 wichita state -12

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-12-09

Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns

Game: New Mexico at Texas A&M Dec 12 2009 6:00PM
Prediction: New Mexico
Reason: I'm playing on NEW MEXICO. Not many people are surprised to see the Aggies with a Top-25 ranking and an 8-1 record. However, most didn't expect the Lobos to be a perfect 9-0 to start the season. That's the case though. With this game being played at the Toyota Center in Houston, still not willing to believe, most will likely also expect the Aggies to hand the Lobos their first loss. I expect a different outcome. Yes, the Lobos are young. However, I believe that they're the "real deal" and expect them to play with a chip on their shoulder. As Aggies coach Mark Turgeon said: "They're legit. We've played a lot of really good teams. This will probably be the best offensive team we've faced. ... It'll be our toughest challenge defensively." Indeed, the Lobos rank among the top 25 in the country in scoring, averaging 82.1 points per game. It helps when you hit nearly 40% from beyond the arc! Always tough at The Pit, the Lobos are also already 3-0 on the road. They won 82-78 at San Diego last time out and their previous two road wins both came by double-digits. Having beaten California, the preseason Pac-10 favorite, by double-digits, the Lobos have shown that they can defeat top tier teams. Of course, with wins over the likes of Clemson and Minnesota, the Aggies are certainly worthy of respect. They've been through an exhausting stretch recently though (six games in 12 days, before having a 5-day break before this one) may have exams on the back of their mind, not to mention a big games at Washington in the not too distant future. The well-coached Lobos feel that they deserve a national ranking. This is a huge game for them and I expect them to be fully focused. After all, they already received 35 votes in this week's AP poll. A win here brings the respect that they feel they deserve and a national ranking. Of course, it would also go along way come Tourament time. Yes, the Aggies are tough defensively. The Lobos are 16-5 SU and 15-6 ATS the last 21 times that they faced a team which allows 64 or fewer points per game though. They're also 18-6 ATS the last few seasons when coming off a game in which they scored 80 or more points, including a 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) mark in that situation this season. They're 7-2 ATS this season and are now a highly profitable 47-25-1 ATS in lined games the past few seasons. They're also 10-4 ATS their last 14 against teams from the Big 12, including 3-1 SU/ATS their last four. They've beaten the Aggies four of five all-time meetings (haven't played since 1992) and I look for them to do it again here. *10 GOW