12-13-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

GoodFella
130 DAL -3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 129 SDC Analysis: This is my ONE AND ONLY NFL Game of the Year Release

I'm going to grade this as a 4* (Four-Star) Release- My ONLY 4* Release as a Pregame Pro

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Norm Hitzges
NFL
Double Plays

· New England – vs Carolina

· Cincinnati + vs Minnesota

· Denver + vs Indianapolis

· Houston – vs Seattle

· San Diego + vs Dallas

Single Plays

· Tennessee – vs St. Louis

· Buffalo – vs Kansas City

· Atlanta/New Orleans Over

· Carolina/New England Under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 36-34 –4.50%

3% NY JETS -3
3% BUFFALO PK
3% GREEN BAY -3.5
3% DALLAS -3
3% PHILADELPHIA PK
3% SAN FRANCISCO +3.5
3% NEW ORLEANS/ATLANTA OVER 50

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Pointwise Phone Service

3* jets, denver, washington, over dallas/san diego, under new
england/carolina

2* new orleans, new england, san diego, arizona

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Bob Valentino
Sunday's 40 Dime NFL winner ...
40 DIME: DALLAS COWBOYS

NOTE: If your man has this spread at 3 1/2, I want you to buy the half-point and take the Cowboys at -3. I fully expect a double-digit win for Dallas today, but if I'm wrong and this ends up being a 24-21 or 31-28 nail-biter, we do NOT want to get beat by the hook.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
COSTA RICA CONNECTION

25 DIME RELEASE

Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Teddy covers
Big ticket on Dallas -3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

joyce sterling


10* chicago + 3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Ron Raymond




5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK



Pick # 1 Philadelphia Eagles / New York Giants Under 44 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

King Creole | NFL Total Sun, 12/13/09 - 1:00 PM

triple-dime bet 107 CIN / 108 MIN Under 43.0 betus
Analysis:
3*** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL / Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings . 1:00pm ET

2** UNDER the TOTAL / Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts / 1:00pm ET

2*** UNDER the TOTAL / Miami Dolphins @ Jacksonville Jaguars / 1:00pm ET

I visited our ‘Domer Homer’ set that was created in the Playbook database last night, and it revealed that all all Dome HOME FAVS had gone 3-9 O/U since November 1st. I decided to run a query since there are four indoor games on the week 14 schedule. And it looks like some “UNDER”-whelming results are in order... depending on the point spread and the opponent. 6-21-2 O/U since 1991: All Game 12 or greater Dome Home non-division favorites of 6 > points. If these Indoor HOST are taking on an opponent off a SU win, the results improve to an almost PERFECT 1-11 O/U in the last 18 years. The two teams that are active in this 92% Under Systems are the MINNESOTA VIKINGS and INDIANAPOLIS COLTS.

Game One:
In BOTH of our Best Bets, the OU line is alrea~dy coming down off the opening number. so get in ASAP! Both games also feature GREAT teams (.666 >) squaring off against each other. And that’s where we started our querying this week:

1-8 O/U L10Y (0-4 O/U THIS decade) for all GAME 13 > home favs of 4 > points with a W/L percentage of .800 > (Vikings)... facing an opponent with a W/L percentage of .666 > (Bengals).

Cincinnati comes in off BB wins, but they lost the cash (ATS) in both of em.
1-9 O/U S’2003: All road teams off BB SU wins but BB ATS losses (last vs non-div opp).

In those 2 wins, they rushed the ball an amazing 44 and 45 times respectively.
0-7 O/U last 22 years: All NFL teams off BB wins in which they rushed the ball 44 > times... when the OU line is 36 > points.

The Bengals actually come in on a 3-game ATS losing streak.
0-6 O/U L2Y: All GAME 10 > non-division dogs of 6 > pts playng off BBB ATS losses.

Minnesota’s 4-game winning streak finally came to an end of Sunday night (lost 30-17 to Arizona).
1-9 O/U L3Y: All home favs of 3 > pts playing off a SU loss which broke a 4+ game winning streak.

Vikings laid -3.5 pts on the road in that game, and LOST by double digits.
0-6 O/U L5Y: All favs of 12 < pts playing off a non-div LOSS of 13 > pts in which they were a fav of -3 > pts.

Let’s wrap up this Best Bet with a hot OU pattern that’s gone a PERFECT 0-6 O/U in the last 8 weeks:
All NFC home favs of -5 > points taking on an AFC opponent. Look for a LOT of running plays in this one. Tick.. tick.. tick!


Game Two:
This is the only other game this week that features two OUTSTANDING teams taking on each other. Since we’re on the ‘UNDER’ in the first game, it would be smart to play the other one as well.
0-4 O/U since 2000: Gm 13 > HF’s of 4 > pts with a .800 > winning % (Colts) vs an opponent with a winning % of .666 > (Broncos).

It looks like the Broncos are BACK in business, with wins of 20 and 31 points in their last 2 games. Sunday’s division win over Kansas City featured 245 rushing yards on 45 attempts. That puts them in solid “UNDER” territory.
5-18 O/U s’1988: All non-division road teams off a SU road win in which they ran for 200 > yards. If they were a FAV in that last win, the numbers improve to 2-11 O/U.

So far this year, NFL teams that ran the ball 45 or more times in a ROAD win have gone a PERFECT 0-3 O/U in their next game.

Playing in the 2nd of BB road games off a division win has produced a high percentage of low-scoring results.
1-10 O/U L6Y: All road teams playing off a SUATS divison road favorite win, when the OU lines is 48 < points.

Indianapolis enters this week’s game with their PERFECT record still intact.
0-4 O/U L10Y: All Game 13 > UNDEFEATED home teams against a non-division opponent.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Handicapper: JOE GAFFNEY
Denver Broncos vs. Indianapolis Colts (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 44/-102 Under Play Title: NBA ONE SHOT ONE KILLTOTAL!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
this play is on our big ticket so we need it bad. we go the other way of the public and take under in a game that will be played tight . i do not see den putting up alot of pts on the road. they will try to keep mannning off the field short passes dumps and running it.den defense decent as well as 12-0 indy. good luck joe gaffney world champion!

Handicapper: JOE GAFFNEY
New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3/116 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Play Title: NFL. ONE SHOT ONE KILL!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
this ones on the big tkt so we need it bad. the jets should not lay any pts to anybody that theory won me the hilton 2yrs ago and still stands today tb was killed by turnovers last week.i live in ny i know the jets and they will fall. good luck joe gaffney world champion!

Handicapper: JOE GAFFNEY
Washington Redskins vs. Oakland Raiders (NFL) - 4:05 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1/-104 Washington Redskins Play Title: NFL ONE SHOT ONE KILL!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
we are going against the grain here with travel across country but i think wash will win they should have won last 4 and if they have any pride left they will beat okl./ wash just the better team line move proves it. def is the diferance and wash has it okl does not. good luck joe gaffney world champion!

Handicapper: JOE GAFFNEY
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1/114 Miami Dolphins Play Title: NFL ONE SHOT ONE KILL SUN!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
jacksonville a fav to much weight for them this one is on the big tkt so we need it bad mia is simply the better team and staying in flo to play helps us too. mia fresh off upset of ne and will keep it rolling against jags def thet is a sive. good luck joe gaffney world champion

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

TIM TRUSHEL
Over Tampa /20*
Over Baltimore / regular

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

CAJUN SPORTS

"Total" Selection for Sunday

Game: Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts

Date/Time: Sunday December 13 / 1:00PM EST

Selection: 2* Denver – Indianapolis UNDER 44

Analysis:

Denver is averaging 20.0 points per game while their defense is allowing 16.8 points per game on 17.2 yards per point. Indianapolis is averaging 27.6 points per game and on defense they are giving up only 16.7 points per game on 20.0 yards per point. Both defenses make you work for each scoring opportunity which will benefit us here today as we play the under. Denver has really stepped up when facing teams that average 350 or more yards of offense per game, their last eight games in that situation have all fallen under the posted total. In those eight games Denver averages 17.1 points per game while their opponents average 18.8 points per game. The Colts respond similarly after allowing 375 or more yards of offense in two consecutive games, posting a 7-19 Under mark in those contests. They are also 4-14 Under when playing at home after winning six or more straight games. A check of our systems database reveals four league-wide systems that are active for today’s game. We want to Play UNDER on road underdogs of seven or more points the week after a straight up win on the road as a favorite in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. These teams have gone ‘under’ at a rate of 0-10 under since 1994. Play UNDER on NFL teams who won by seven or more points in each of the last two weeks, these teams have gone ‘under’ at a rate of 18-41 ‘under’ since 2008. If they are installed as an underdog that record improves to 3-21 ‘under’ since 2008. We have two systems that are active for the Colts and they tell us to Play UNDER on a home favorite of seven or more points after a straight up win at home as a touchdown or more favorite in their last game, these teams are 1-16 ‘under’ since 2007. The fact that the Broncos are on a current winning streak of at least two games also favors the under. Play UNDER on home favorites of seven or more points when their opponent is on a two or more game winning streak, these teams are 5-15 ‘under’ since 2007. With solid situational and technical support for the ‘under’ we will play this game to fall well below the posted total.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Denver Broncos – Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-13-09

Kelso:
25 units Texans -7
25 units Colts -6.5
25 units Bills -2
25 units Jets +4
20 units Parlay all four 25 unit plays
10 units Chargers +3.5
5 units Bengals +6.5
4 units Raiders +1
3 units Dolphins/Jags under 43