12-14-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

norm hitzges

Single Play

· Arizona – vs San Francisco

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

Doc's sports

5 Unit Play. #33 Take Arizona -3 ½ n Francisco (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Arizona 34, San Francisco 20.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

3% SAN FRANCISCO +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

Ferringo

Monday Night Football Selection
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 44.5 Arizona at San Francisco (8:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 14)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

Al DeMarco

Monday's Play
20 Dime - Arizona



As you know, I went against San Francisco last Sunday, backing Seattle as a one-point home dog against the Niners, picking up an additional 15 dimes for our bankroll when the Seahawks kicked a game-winning field goal as time expired to escape with the 20-17 triumph. But truth be told, I was lucky to get the win because San Fran outplayed the 'Hawks from start to finish, outgaining them in total yards 356-292, but repeated redzone failures and turnovers resulted in missed scoring opportunities that ultimately cost the Niners the game. The irony is that was only the second time in an eight-game stretch where San Francisco had outgained its opponent.



While the Niners were losing again on the road, Arizona was scoring its most impressive victory of the season in a 30-17 upset of visiting Minnesota as Kurt Warner completed 22-of-32 passes for 285 yards and three touchdowns. In his last 14 quarters of action, Warner has hit 72% of his passes for 1089 yards and 12 TDs with zero interceptions.



Even more impressive than Warner's outing was the performance of the Cardinal defense as it stuffed Minnesota's Adrian Peterson, holding him to a season-low 19 yards on 13 carries. It also picked off Favre twice and sacked him three times.



This is a revenge game for Arizona as it was upset 20-16 as a 5 1/2-point home chalk in the season-opener for both teams. The Cardinals fell behind by 10 early, rebounded to take a 16-13 lead early in the fourth quarter, but watched Shaun Hill direct a 15-play, 80-yard scoring drive with 7 1/2 minutes to play for the game-winning score. Ironically, the Niners went three-and-out in their other five second-half possessions in that contest.



Arizona basically shot itself in its collective foot in the first go-round, committing 12 penalties for 82 yards while offering spotty pass protection for Warner, who was sacked three times and intercepted twice. While the Cardinals have since rebounded and soared as the season progressed, the Niners are a different team that's taking the field in today's rematch. Shaun Hill is out at quarterback; Alex Smith is in. And the Niners are no longer a running team as they've switched to a spread attack rather than rely just on Frank Gore (22 carries, 30 yards in first meeting) to move the chains.



The Cards have been a great play on the road this year - when Warner has been healthy. In those games, they're 4-0 SU and ATS. At St. Louis, they were up big but once Warner left with an injury they held on for the win but failed to cover. At Tennessee, where Warner was sidelined by a concussion, they lost outright. Still, they're on runs of 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS entering this game in a series where the road team has reeled off 10 straight covers.



You know as well as I that the Niners have been a strong dog play under Mike Singletary, but that is generally with them getting more points than what they're getting tonight. And considering how this team has struggled to get into the redzone of late (10 points at home vs. Chicago, 17 at Seattle) - and how well the Arizona defense has played in recent weeks - I think this is a bargain price to be laying with the Cardinals, who are playing with extreme confidence after knocking off the Vikings last week and have excelled all season on the road when Warner has been healthy.



In terms of Monday night trends, the favorite has taken the cash four of the past five weeks, and road teams are on a 5-3 ATS run. On the other hand, many will point out that San Francisco sports one of the best Monday night home pointspread records around at 19-8-3, but I note that most of those victories came with guys named Montana and Young at quarterback, not Smith. And those Niner teams knew how to exploit redzone opportunities while this year's edition does not.



Don't expect a high-scoring game here, but a solid win by the Cardinals, who do just enough to escape with a 24-17 win in revenge.



Strategy Note:



The price of this game has held steady at 3 1/2 all week long as I release it around 6:00 P.M. Eastern Sunday night. Naturally I want you to buy down the 1/2 point on Arizona - even if the line goes to -4 or -4 1/2.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

David Banks

MONDAY DECEMBER 14 - 2009

NFL
8:30 SF 49ers + 3.5 pts Parlay & Tease
8:30 SF 49ers / AZ Cards OVER 45

NBA
8:00 Bost. Celtics - pts.
9:00 Utah Jazz - pts
9:00 Denv. Nuggetts - pts

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

Randle The Handle

Florida +1.33 over NY ISLANDERS (REG) Pinnacle
The Islanders have scored two goals or less in five of its last six game. The Islanders are also the only team to lose to Philadelphia in the last month or so and they didn’t just lose, they were shredded, 6-2. The beat the Bruins on Saturday but it was not the team that beat Boston it was the goaltending of Dwayne Roloson. The Islanders were badly outplayed again. In fact, the Islanders have been held to 27 shots on net or less in seven of its last 10 games and have now dropped three of its last four. The Panthers are coming off a weekend in which they took three out of a possible four points on the road in New Jersey and Pittsburgh. They’re playing good again and because nobody gives a rat’s ass what they do, they’re considered to be a weak team when in fact they’re not. Once again the Panthers offer up some decent value against an improved Islander team but one that is much more appealing in the role of the underdog. Play: Florida +1.33 (Risking 2 units).

Phoenix +1.66 over DETROIT (REG) Pinnacle
Win, lose or draw this is without doubt one of the biggest overlays of the month and thus, it’s a must bet. For one, the Coyotes are among the hottest teams in the league and secondly, Ilya Bryzgalov is the leading candidate for the Vezina trophy. The guy has been lights out all year and those two things alone make the Coyotes very appealing at this price. The Coyotes have picked up 13 of a possible 14 points over its last seven games. Included in there are wins over San Jose and Calgary and an OT loss in Los Angeles. Phoenix is tough to play against because of its strong two-way game and outstanding goaltending. The Red Wings have proven that they casn be beat this year a lot easier than years gone by. They’re definitely playing a better and they’re still one of the league’s elite but they’re no longer dominant and they’ve really struggled offensively. The Coyotes have a significant edge in net too. Big overlay. Play: Phoenix +1.66 (Risking 2 units).

Ottawa +1.14 over TORONTO Pinnacle
The Leafs stock is a little too high right now after beating the Caps on Saturday night, 6-3. Don’t be too swayed by that, as the Caps were playing on fumes and blew a 2-0 first period lead. Washington is also suffering from poor goaltending and that, too, helped the Leafs come back. Playing against the disciplined Senators will be a whole different story. Ottawa will play about as fundamentally sound as anyone and that’s a style the Leafs do not like. Toronto has a huge propensity for falling behind and should that come to pass here the Leafs will have a difficult time coming back. Besides, the Senators are playing well again after a bit of a funk. They’ve won three of four and its only loss over that stretch was to the Habs in which they outshot Montreal 46-27. The Leafs have had trouble all year against tough, defensive minded teams like the Sens, and against Ottawa this season the Leafs are 0-2 with just three goals scored. Play: Ottawa +1.14 (Risking 2 units).

BOSTON -½ +1.13 over Philadelphia (REG) Pinnacle
The Bruins are hot and feeling it while the Flyers are in a deep funk and no end is in sight. Nothing is going right for Philly. They have serious goaltending issues and to make it worse they’re tooth and nails to score even a single goal. Throw out that recent 6-2 win over the Islanders and Philly has scored just four goals in six games. They’ve been shutout in three of its last seven games and they’ve scored more than once just two times over its last seven. It simply does not get much worse and thus, it’s hard to imagine this one turning out any other way. Play: Boston -½ +1.13 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

Dave Malinsky

Top of the Ticket – Side

Boston Celtics (-7.5) over MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

4* #505 BOSTON over MEMPHIS

The Memphis Grizzlies have put a nice little run together, getting upsets over Dallas, Cleveland and Miami over the past 10 days to earn some market respect. But at the same time the markets are raising their power rating, they will also start drawing more respect from the opposition as well, and that can mean some excellent opportunities to fade those market adjustments, particularly with a savvy team like the Celtics as the foil. Forewarned is forearmed, and there is no chance of Boston taking the Grizzlies lightly for this one. The mental focus for Boston is the key, because the physical layout is about as ideal as we will find for this kind of game all season. The Celtics will be playing for only the 4th time in 10 days, and have nothing on deck expect non-descript home affairs vs. Philadelphia on Friday and Minnesota on Sunday. There is nothing standing in the way of their full effort tonight, and with Rajon Rondo the only player that even got to a full 30 minutes in Saturday?s 106-80 rout at Chicago, there are fresh legs galore and a hungry attitude, now that they perceive Memphis to truly bring them a challenge. The Grizzlies can have some moments with their athleticism, of course, but when it comes down to basketball execution these teams are miles apart. We get to lay a short number on the road in a matchup that brings us the #1 Defense vs. #28 on our best set of ratings, and the precision of the Boston offense can break this host down for easy shots throughout the course of the evening. That takes Memphis out of the preferred running game off of the defensive glass, and over the course of the evening we will see frustrations set it for a team that falls down hard when they lose, with 11 of their 13 defeats by more than this pointspread.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

Jim Feist's 15* NBA Blowout - Monday

12/14 05:35 PM PT / 8:35 PM ET

NBA (507) NEW ORLEANS HORNETS at (508) DALLAS MAVERICKS

Take: (508) DALLAS MAVERICKS (15* NBA Blowoout)

Reason: December Game of the Month (Mavericks) : The Maverick's Josh Howard has been hampered by a bad ankle much of the young season. Howard returned to face the Suns last Tuesday but was forced to miss the club's last game against Charlotte, a 98-97 OT win. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Hornets (10-12 SU, 9-13 ATS) are coming off a loss at home to New York, 113-96. Like Howard, New Orleans star Chris Paul has been bothered by a bad ankle. Coach Jeff Bower has been limiting his practice so he will be ready for games. "He was kind of limited today and we'll take the same approach tomorrow (Sunday)," Bower said. "We'll try to give him as much rest as we can." The strain of the games might wear on Paul during second halves, as evidenced by his 4-of-14 shooting performance from the field in the loss to the Knicks. One interesting stat in this matchup is that Dallas is 5-0 ATS the last five times they have been favored over the Hornets at home by 8 to 9 1/2 points. Take Dallas here on Monday as our December Game of the Month.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

charlie
nfl. 49ers+3', cards @ 49ers under 46 & nba warriors @ 76ers over 208 (500* Triple Play 2 of 3 must win or next day is free)
nba. 76ers-3' (30*)
nba. dallas-8 (20*)
nba. utah-13 (20*)
cbb. houston-13' (10*)
nfl. boston-8 (10*) free

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

anthony redd

5-dime play:

cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

craig davis 75 dimer is on the cardinals.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

Steve Budin - CEO

25 Dime

Arizona Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-14-09

PREZ MNF GAME OF THE MONTH

(133) ARIZONA at (134) SAN FRANCISCO 8:35 PM
Pick: CARDINALS -3 (-110)

As long as Kurt Warner is healthy, and his team doesn't have to travel three time zones for a road affair, the Cards are a difficult team to beat. And playing against an average 49ers team that will be home dogs on Monday night is a solid investment. Playing against NFL home dogs that average 18-23 points per game against an offense that averages 23-27 points per game has cashed at a 29-8 (78%) clip over the last five NFL campaigns. And - playing on road favorites that are coming off a win as a dog by 10 points or more - all the while revenging an earlier season loss -- is just as solid - cashing at a 29-8 clip over the last 10 NFL campaigns.

The number won't find any more value that it currently offers, with Arizona being a field goal favorite in San Fran next Monday night. Get your play in now before the juice climbs.

9* Play on Arizona