12-15-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

RAS:

All for 1 Unit

#729 Port St. +15

#722 S. Miss -8'

# 728 LA Tech -2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

Guaranteed Pick: Lenny Del Genio

Game: Wyoming at Tennessee Dec 15 2009 7:00PM
Prediction: Tennessee
Reason: Play on Tennessee at 7:00 ET. While most of the campus in Laramie, Wyoming gets ready for this Saturday's New Mexico Bowl (school's 1st bowl appearance since '04 and just their second since '93), the poor basketball team will be served on a platter to 8th ranked Tennessee Tuesday in Knoxville. The Vols moved up a spot in the latest poll thanks to then third-ranked Villanova falling Sunday at Temple, a game we were unfortunate enough to be on the wrong side on. Oh well, it's been a great season (see promo again for full details) and our pain will be Bruce Pearl's pain. This will be just Wyoming's second road game of the season with their first being an 80-77 loss to another one of our favorite's, Denver. Historically, the Cowboys have not been a good road team, particularly when coming off a SU win. Dating all the way back to the '97 season, they are just 33-57 ATS in this situation and if it was a home win that figure drops to 22-42 vs. the number. If they are off BB home wins, they are 7-18 ATS. Tennessee will be excited for this matchup as it is just their second game in 13 days. Their only game last week saw them destroy in-state rival MTSU 75--54. Even better is the fact the Pearl was able to use his bench liberally, showing off his team's depth, as senior guard J.P. Prince led the way with 17 points. This really shapes up as a total mismatch as both teams like to play at around 75 possessions per game, only UT scores far more. The Cowboys weren't even averaging a point per possession heading into the six-point win over Northern Colorado on Saturday, a game which they shot just 40% from the floor. It was the sixth straight game where the team shot 41% or worse from the floor. Good luck against a Vols team that is averaging nearly 93 PPG on this floor. Making matters worse is the fact the Wyoming has been a bit banged up with leading scorer Muojeke missing time. He plays here, but it won't be nearly enough. Tennessee is our 20* CBB Non-Conference Blowout of the Month.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

MATT FARGO
Sacramento at Portland
Play: Portland

It is pretty safe to say that Portland is struggling this season. After last season’s breakthrough, the Blazers were a strong bet to get even better but it has not gone that way thus far. They are 14-11 to start the season which is good for a tie for sixth place in the Western Conference but things do need to get better and this could be the perfect spot. Portland is coming off a four-game roadtrip out east where it went just 1-3 that included a loss against Cleveland where it blew a big lead and an overtime loss in Milwaukee. Overall, the Blazers are 2-6 over their last eight games which came on the heels of a very solid 10-2 run but could not keep it going. Portland is back in the Rose Garden where it is just 1-2 in its last three games and 8-4 overall. This game starts a short homestand with Phoenix next before the Blazers once again take to the road for a four-game trip that consists of games against Orlando, Miami, Dallas and San Antonio. That makes this game pretty important. Sacramento is definitely a pleasant surprise in the Western Conference and probably one of the biggest surprises in the NBA. The Kings are 10-12 to start the season which is a significant improvement from its 6-16 record through 22 games a season ago. It is not playoff material but it is competitive enough to where we get a break on the lines and that is the case here. The Kings are 9-3 at home but only 1-9 on the road and winning away from home was a huge problem last season when they went only 6-35 in the 41 road games. Sacramento is coming off a win last time out at home against Minnesota by 20 points and that could spell letdown. The Kings took three of the four games in the season series two years ago and Portland returned the favor last season by sweeping all three games by an average of 18 ppg. The Blazers were favored by 12 points in each of the two home games last season and I don’t think the gap has closed this much to nearly cut the line in half in the first meeting this season. The Kings have been a covering machine of late, going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games but this is not a spot for that to continue. Sacramento is only 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games on the road after covering two or more straight games. Also Portland is 22-10 ATS in its last 32 home games after covering two out of its last three games.

3* Portland Trailblazers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

DOC SPORTS NBA

4-Unit Play #704 Take Charlotte -4 ½ Over New York (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

3-Unit Play #705 Take Toronto +7 Over Miami (7:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

4-Unit Play #705 Take Toronto/Miami OVER 207 (7:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

Dave Malinsky

Top of the Ticket

Georgia State Panthers(+18) over FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES
4* #715 GEORGIA STATE over FLORIDA STATE

When we see a Side this high and a Total this low the oddsmakers are calling for extreme dominance by the favorite. We can not put this matchup anywhere near that projection, and in a slowly-paced affair with intense defense from both sides, points are so hard to come by that this pointspread is a mountain to overcome. To view from a different angle, based on the current Side/Total, the oddsmakers are calling for Florida State to score slightly more than 57 percent of all of the game?s points. That is a plateau that we rarely find, and the Seminoles will be hard-pressed to make that happen. They are going to be able to grind out some wins because of their superb defense, but offense is another matter entirely ? they are averaging a hideous 18 turnovers per game, and are -39 in assist to turnover ratio, while only knocking down 64.2 percent of their free throws. In five of six lined games they have failed to reach 65 points. Now that offense will show up out of sync in playing for the first time in nine days, and with bigger games on deck (they host Auburn Thursday, then the A.C.C. opener at Georgia Tech on Sunday) do not look for Leonard Hamilton to be margin-conscious here. Georgia State will have its own struggles on offense, but Rod Barnes has a veteran roster that has had a couple of seasons to buy into his defensive principles, and with four SR?s in the starting lineup, and two more in key spots in the rotation, it shows ? they have yet to allow any team to score more than 70 points, holding the opposition to 37.4 percent from the field and 23.3 from 3-point range. This is also a much easier adjustment than the usual one-off road trip, since they have been in Tallahassee since Saturday, losing a 60-58 heat-breaker to Florida A&M down the street on Sunday afternoon. Having battled F.S.U. to the wire in a 62-57 home loss LY they bring the confidence level of knowing that they can compete against this opponent, and their tenacity on defense keeps this much closer than the market projections.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

R Ferringo NCAABB

2.5-Unit Play. Take #728 Louisiana Tech (-3) over Murray State (8 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #723 New Mexico State (+8) over UCLA (10:30 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #723 New Mexico State (+13) over UCLA (10:30 p.m.) AND Take UL-Lafayette (+13.5) over Southern Miss (8 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #715 Georgia State (+23) over Florida State (7 p.m.) AND Take #719 Northern Illinois (+30) over Minnesota (8 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

charlie

cbb & nba. cbb florida state-17. cbb minnesoa-25 & nba sacramento @ portalnd over 199. (500* Triple Play 2 of 3 must win or next day is free)
nba. chicago+10 (30*)
nba. phoenix-3 (20*)
nba. portland-7 (20*)
cbb. la lafayette+8' (10*)
nba. charlotte-5 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

SPORTS WAGERS

New York +5 over CHARLOTTE

The Knicks are on a four-game winning streak and it’s no fluke. They’re getting better and more confident with each passing week and for the first time since Isiah Thomas ruined them they have some direction. In the Knicks last game in New Orleans they trailed by nine points and came back and once they got the lead down the stretch they buried the Hornets in very impressive fashion. That is a great sign of a team coming together and what’s most impressive about the Knicks is that they battle hard for 48 minutes every game. They started off the win streak by going into Atlanta and beating a highly quality team and followed that up with wins over New Jersey and Portland. The Knicks also have a recent win over the Suns by 27 points. The Bobcats are really not capable of blowing out anyone and they’re just so much more appealing taking back points than they are laying them. Every game you can count on the Bobcats going on a prolonged scoring drought and that’s one of the reasons they’re a very risky favorite. Hell, they were the first team to lose to the Nets and that’s significant. Fact is, they can lose to anyone and a well-rested Knicks team playing with a ton of confidence can absolutely come in here and leave with a win. Play: NY Knicks +5 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).


PHOENIX –2 over San Antonio

The Suns remain undefeated at home and that alone makes them worthy of a look here. We get a decent lay on them here because they’re laboring a bit with just two wins in its last seven games. However, five of those games were on the road and the two home games were both wins including one over Denver. They had a tough road schedule, losing in New York, Cleveland, Lakers, Dallas and Denver. The latter four are four of the leagues best. Steve Nash is so good it’s sick and when you have him on your side you always have a great chance to win. Anyway, the Spurs are warming up a bit with three straight wins. However, the three wins came against the Clip Joint, Charlotte and Sacramento and all I can say to that is big deal. They lost its previous three games to Utah, Denver and Boston and it looks like the Spurs can beat up on weaklings but can’t so much against the stronger clubs. The Spurs have just two road wins in seven tries, one over the aforementioned Clippers and one in Houston. Its five road losses were to Chicago, Utah twice, Portland and Dallas. In fact, of the Spurs 12 total wins, just two of them have come against teams over .500 and one of those teams, the Rockets, is barely above .500. The other one was over Dallas over a month ago. So, yeah, the Spurs have won three in a row and they’re 12-9 on the year. However, they have perhaps one good win on the year and after this one, they’ll likely still have one good win on the year. Spurs getting way too much credit in this one. Play: Phoenix –2 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

A.REDD

from a friend.


40-Dime - Portland State

20-Dime - UL-Lafayette

5-Dime - Wyoming

5-Dime - Georgia State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

Tony George

San Antonio +3

The Spurs won both contests in here last year and despite their overall record, they managed to lose only 3 games in their last 11, and I always go on recent performance. The Spurs are healthy and that is KEY and I see them scoring more across the roster now, and having that team unity, which also translates into better defense for them. If the Suns are favored by only 3 as an undefeated home host, that tells you something, oddsmakers think the Spurs will win and they want action on the home team with a short number in my opinion. Take the points as I you have a live road dog here. This is a trap line, we expose it.

Play 1 Unit on the Spurs.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

Rocketman

LouiSIAna Lafayette +9.5

Ragin' Cajuns are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Ragin' Cajuns are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. Ragin' Cajuns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Ragin' Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Ragin' Cajuns are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog. Ragin' Cajuns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Ragin' Cajuns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Golden Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Golden Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Golden Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. We'll play LouiSIAna Lafayette for 3 units tonight!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

Ron Raymond

Calgary -110

2 Keys to selection

1. When CALGARY played as any home/road team - During Current Season - With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G; the Flames are 8-4 SU in this cycle this year.

2. When ST LOUIS team played as a home team - Coming off vs Western Conference opponent - Total is 5.0 - Coming off vs Northwest division opponent - Coming off a 1 game loss; the Blues are 3-7 SU in this role since ’97.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

Marc Lawrence

Phoenix -3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-15-09

Jason Johnson

Spurs at Suns
Pick: Suns -3

The Suns will be happy to return home from their recent road woes. While they have lost five straight away from home, Phoenix is a perfect 8-0 in the friendly confines. Shooting 51.7% from the field and 47.6% from the arc in the desert heat is the reason for the hot home start.

Look for this trend to continue tonight against a Spurs defense that doesn't seem to hit the glass very hard on the road. Despite their inside advantage, San Antonio is consistantly out-rebounded in road games.

Suns get the check mark at home.