12-21-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Tony George

PHOENIX SUNS -2.5

Cavs on a back to back roadie here, and Suns are UNDFEATED 10-0 at home, they are well rested, the favorite in this series is 10-1 ATS and the Suns are 20-8 ATS their last 28 at home. Strong frontcourt for the Suns at home, better guard play and Shaq may not play again.

Play 1 Unit on Phoenix.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Evan Altemus

Giants/Redskins OVER 43.5

Both of these offenses are playing their best of any time this season, especially Washington. The key to this selection is the Redskins offensive line. They are finally giving quarterback Jason Campbell time to throw, as well as opening up holes for the running game. Washington’s offense has several young players that are finally starting to get in sync with Campbell, and they are motivated to play well, unlike of the banged up veterans that haven’t played recently. Meanwhile, New York’s offense has played very well lately and finally has a healthy Eli Manning. The Giants have scored 31 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games, including a 38 point performance last week against a decent Philadelphia defense. For this game to go over the total each just has to score three touchdowns, which should be easily done for both offenses facing struggling defenses. Look for this game to be high scoring and soar over the total.

4 UNIT SELECTION OVER.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Ron Raymond

EDMONTON OILERS -145

When EDMONTON team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 3 years - Coming off a 3 game Home stand; THE Oilers are 9-1 SU in this spot.

Take Edmonton.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Greg Shaker

YALE +18

This game has been handicapped as a 13.5 point Providence win and with the intangibles of the Friars somewhat in the taking the day off with bigger fish to fry mode, I think we should be able to cover this large spread. Yale is going to slow this contest down and with that, these 18 points look large. Take Yale.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Bob Balfe

NEW YORK GIANTS -3

The formula for breaking down this game is simple. The Giants have to win. This is basically a playoff game for them if they want to make the playoffs in three weeks. The Redskins are already looking towards next year and rumors are swirling about who the next coach will be. If you're looking at the running backs, the advantage goes to the Giants (with Portis and Betts out for the year). The Redskins also might be missing Sellers at fullback, which will hurt Campbell with pass protection as well as Ganther and Cartwright in the running game. The Skins also might be without RT Heyer. If he can't go, they will be starting a guy from the practice squad who has never taken an NFL snap. Playing right next to him is rookie guard Williams. Two rookies on one side will have a tough time stopping this pass rush. When the Redskins shuffle their line, they usually don’t play well. I would have to give the edge to the Giants in the passing game. On defense, the edge does go to the Redskins but again this is a must win for New York. Eli Manning should lead his offense to a big night. The Redskins have too much to overcome with injuries on offense and simply not enough firepower to keep up. Take the Giants.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Andre Gomes

CHICAGO BULLS -4

The Bulls are in a nice roll as of late with consecutive home wins. Although a 2-game winning streak isn’t a motive for great celebrations, the fact is that they are playing better and with heart and this is great news for a struggling team. Note that against the Knicks and the Hawks, the Bulls were trailing by double digits points earlier in the games and they still didn’t quit and they were able to rally back. Joakim Noah is running the show on defense and finally Derrick Rose is returning to the form that earned him the rookie of the year award last season. Rose scored 18 and 32 points in those games, while shooting 52% from the field and he was lethal down the stretch. The Bulls are sharing the ball and this game is coming in a favorable moment for them.

Meanwhile, the Kings are coming from a nice road win against the Bucks last game, but I don’t trust them to make consecutive quality games. The reason is simple: they are one of the worst teams in protecting the ball with 14.9 turnovers per game, they are one of the worst defensive rebounding teams (last game the Bucks grabbed 17 offensive boards!) and they are also the third worst team in protecting the paint by allowing 46.5 points per game. These 3 facets combined isn’t a great mix for a team and naturally the Kings are 2-10 on the road. However, they have a 7-3-2 ATS on the road because they received big lines from the books, as only twice they were dogs by 6 points or less and/or favorites and curiously in both contests, the Kings failed to be competitive. The Kings need to score points in the paint badly and the Bulls have been outstanding as of late in protect the rim. They allowed 36, 24 and 34 points in their last 3 games and I remember that they faced 2 of the best teams in the league in that department: the Hawks and the Lakers. The Kings will be playing their 5th game in just 7 days, with 4 of them on the road and this is a got setup for the Bulls to roll tonight. Take the Bulls in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 706 Chicago Bulls (-4).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Spartan

UTEP +3

There is no way I can support Oklahoma in this spot guys as they have been severely under performing. I will not be the least bit surprised if the Miners win this game outright. I'm posting the release with the points but go ahead and see what kind of money line odds you can get. Take UTEP.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Lenny Del Genio

NEW YORK GIANTS -3

Normally, we don't fall into the trap of "must win" games, but really the Giants "must win" here. If they don't, the NFC playoff picture will essentially be set and the NFL certainly doesn't want that. A lot of folks are buying into how "well" Washington has been playing of late and we will be the first to admit that we were on the Redskins two weeks ago when they should have beaten the then-unbeaten Saints. They have now covered five straight after last week's win over Oakland, who was saddled with JaMarcus Russell at QB for too much of the game. Seven of Washington's nine losses this year have come by single digits, but this line is too low. The Giants have won three straight in this NFC East rivalry, holding the 'Skins to a total of just 31 points. New York is 31-16 ATS on the road under HC Coughlin. Meanwhile, Washington's Head Coach Jim Zorn is just waiting to be fired and instead of game planning is just setting up Mike Shanahan's office for next year. NY Giants are our Monday Night Football Game of the Year.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

CHARLIE SPORTS
500 Redskins
500 Redskins under
500 Jazz over
30 Kings
20 Cavaliers
20 Utep
10 Arizona St
10 Magic

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

WUNDERDOG-NHL

Game: Montreal at Atlanta (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Montreal +120 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4.8)

In many ways the road has not been friendly to the Canadiens, but they hope to build off a 3-0 shutout win over the Islanders. The Thrashers are breaking down defensively, allowing 31 goals in their last eight games, or right about at 4 per contest. History has shown that when the Thrashers cough up 5 or more in their last game, they throw up a lemon in their next contest, going just 22-47 in their last 69 after serving a 5-spot or more. The Canadiens have cashed this situation well as they have posted six wins in their last seven when facing a team that allowed 5+ their last time on the ice. I'll go with Montreal here.

Game: Montreal at Atlanta (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Montreal +1.5 goals -250 (puckline) (risk 5 to win 2)

The Canadiens have roared loud vs. a team allowing five or more goals in their last game as they have taken six of the last seven facing that situation. By the same token, the Thrashers have not been so productive following a five goal or more onslaught by an opponent as they have followed by producing a not so healthy 22-47 in the game following. Getting the plus side of the puckline just sweetens the pot, so I'll go with Montreal on the puckline.

Game: Florida at Philadelphia (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia -170 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.8)

The Florida Panthers have been a break-even hockey team this season. It doesn’t matter whether it’s home or away as the results have been the same. There is evidence that is changing fast as the Panthers, after a robust start on the road, have come out on the right side just twice in their last eight road games. They have also now been horrible as an underdog, going just 2-8 in their last 10 as a dog, and 19-39 in their last 58 when playing their third game in four days. The Flyers have struggled lately themselves, but will be in a favorable situation at home vs. the Panthers. The home team has claimed the win in four of the last five between these clubs. I'm going with Philly in this one.

Game: Buffalo at Toronto (7:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total UNDER 6 -130 (risk 5 to win 3.9)

After going 125 games without recording a shutout, the Toronto Maple Leafs have suddenly recorded two in their last 11 games. Is there something in the water in Toronto? They also ended a 54-game streak without getting shutout in their last November game. The Sabres have been shutout in three of their last 14, and have completed two shutouts of their own, so getting very ominous numbers here to a high total bodes well for the UNDER. Off a game scoring two or less, Buffalo has played 20-9-1 to the UNDER in their next time out. The UNDER has prevailed in seven of the last nine between these clubs as well as four straight UNDER in Toronto. I'll back the UNDER here.

Game: Tampa Bay at New York Islanders (7:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -115 (risk 3 to win 2.6)

The New York Islanders made a run, but have fallen off sharply and the unproductive offense was shutout in their last game. That mark now sets at 13 goals in their last eight games and the Islanders are scoring just 1.6 times a game. The Lightning has been punchless on the offensive end themselves as they have been shutout in four of their last 11 games! That keeps their recent 11-game stretch of offense under two as well. The last game explosion of six goals isn't a sign they are coming out, as after 5+ they have played 13-2-1 to the UNDER in the game following the explosion. The Islanders are now 34-14-4 to the UNDER in their last 52 as home chalk. I don't see this one topping the total, so I’m going UNDER here.
Game: New Jersey at Pittsburgh (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -130 (risk 3 to win 2.3)

The Panthers have it rolling and that means one thing. They are getting strong play behind the net and the proof is in the 27 goals allowed in the last 14 games - fewer than two per contest. That translates to 11 UNDERs and just three OVERs during their last 14 games. The Devils have been even better, allowing two or less in 22 of their last 28 games. Goals should be at a premium in this one especially with Pittsburgh playing 10-1 to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. teams at .600 or better. That is matched by the Devils 31-14-6 mark to the UNDER on the road vs. a home team at .600 or better. Last five in Pittsburgh has also produced four UNDERs, so the only way to go here is UNDER the total.

Game: Colorado at Minnesota (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Minnesota -140 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2.9)

The Avalanche were a disaster a year ago then surprised everyone early with their elevated level of play. That has maintained itself at home, but taking to the road they have fallen off sharply and have been on the right side of just four of the last 12. The Wild has reversed their fate. They started horribly with just three of their first 12 ending favorably, but have rebounded nicely to show nine of their last 12 in the win column. The Avalanche are showing a precursor to their fate as they are a lowly 12-30 after scoring two or less in their last game. The Wild are now 38-18 in their last 56 as home chalk, and the Avalanche have failed to find the win column in their last four in Minnesota. I'll go with Minnesota here.

Game: San Jose at Dallas (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Jose -130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

San Jose gets a lot of ink on how tough they are to take down at home, but this season those results are translating favorably on the road. Through 18 roadies, the Sharks man an 11-6-1 mark, so they are playing excellent on foreign ice as well. The Stars are getting extended at home with just eight wins in 16 tries. They have been woefully inconsistent at just 12-39 in their last 51 following a win. The Sharks’ improved road play shows them at 7-2 as road chalk and four of the last five in Dallas have gone their way. I'll play them here to make it five of six.

Game: Columbus at Phoenix (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Columbus +130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.2)

The Coyotes have been struggling to find the net of late as they managed to hang a 6-spot at defenseless Toronto, but in their six games surrounding that one, they have failed to tally more than 2 in any of them. The Blue Jackets come in riding a six game winless string and will hope to get healthy in this one. The Coyotes may accommodate them as they are 3-8 the last 11 times they squared off with an opponent off of scoring 2 goals or less. The road team has had their way in this series scoring the win in five of the last six. I'll go with Columbus in this one.

Game: Columbus at Phoenix (9:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Columbus +1.5 goals -270 (puckline) (risk 5 to win 1.9)

This has been a road-dominated series. The Coyotes managing to top the 2-goal mark only at defenseless Toronto in their last seven, you have to love the value on the plus side of the puckline here. The Coyotes have trouble scoring, and it has been more pronounced of late, and own just five games this season being able to top the -1.5 puckline at home. I'll go with Columbus here on the

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

4 Unit Play. #721. Take LaSalle +9.5 over Oklahoma State (Monday @ 8:30pm est). This is a game that La Salle can certainly hang in there as they are a top 125 team. Note, that this is not a true away game for La Salle or a true home game for Oklahoma State as this is a semi-away game. La Salle has some talent which has led them to be 7-3 thus far as this team was competitive against South Carolina and their losses come to top tier programs such as Kansas, Villanova and as mentioned earlier in South Carolina. I like the fact that Oklahoma State comes off such a big win over Stanford on the road and I think they have a bit of a let down against LaSalle. Oklahoma State beat a fairly weak North Texas team at home by just fourteen points earlier this year, but more importantly, I like LaSalle here to get up for this game and I wouldn't be surprised if Oklahoma State is still hungover from the big win over Stanford. This is also a decent public fade as well and I like La Salle to stay inside single digits this evening.


Good luck,
IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Scott Rikenbach

*TOP PLAY* MON NT NFL *7-2 (78%) RUN* RICKENBACH!
Scott's NFL Top Plays are on a 7-2 (78%) run despite a tough loss with his big play Sunday. Tenn blew a 24-6 lead against Mia & fell just short of the cover. Scott did cash in his NCAAF Top Play as MTSU +3.5 won OUTRIGHT by double digits in bowl action! His MNF *TOP PLAY* is supported by ATS edges that are on a 31-14 (69%) run!


New York Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Dave Malinsky

Top of the Ticket

New Orleans Privateers(+15.5) over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES

4* #731 NEW ORLEANS over SOUTHERN MISS

Yes, Southern Miss is considered the host of this event. But this is not in Hattiesburg, it is at the Gulfport High School gym, and the crowds will be rather sparse over the course of these three days (especially with so many Southern Miss fans making the trip to New Orleans for last night?s bowl game). Yet the markets are pricing this like a full home court for the Golden Eagles, which is mistake number one. Mistake number two is that we are going to see a tempo that makes this pointspread a mountain to overcome, calling for a degree of dominance that this matchup does not bring. Although Larry Eustachy?s team is off to a 7-1 start, the schedule has been among the weakest for any Division I team, and with so many new faces blending into the rotation it is a prime reason why this three-in-three format was put together. This is to be a chance to learn and develop some more, and without a senior in the playing rotation the building process is only in its early stages. They are not going to do much pressing to create tempo, and with two more games immediately on deck there will also not be much focus ob building a margin in the latter stages. Not that the margin would be available anyway. In John Pasternak? three season the Privateers have gone 10-4 ATS taking double figures, and have already compiled a 4-0 in that category this season, all on the true home courts of the opposition. The methodical pace that they play at is part of the reason why that tally has been put together, but it is not all tempo in this case ? Georgia transfer Billy Humphrey has stepped in an provided just what they were looking for (17.8 ppg), and he is the most explosive scorer on the court for either team. That provides an option through the back door if needed, but we doubt that this game ever gets stretched out that far.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

ATS Football Financial Package

3-unit over 43 skins/giants

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-21-09

Ats lock club

4 nyg -2.5