12-25-09

[Guest]

Bob Balfe
Friday NFL Comp Play (23-12 66% on year!)

Titans -3 over Chargers
There is no doubt these are two of the hottest teams in football. San Diego is have a monster year passing the ball which the Titans cant seem to stop the pass. Tennessee is running the ball well behind Chris Johnson who is a good choice for MVP this year while the Chargers are not too good at stopping the run. Both teams have strengths in this game, but if you look at tonight's conditions of 10-20mph winds and temperatures below freezing then the team with the better running game becomes that more important. Both teams should move the ball, but you have to question the Chargers rhythm on offense. Center Nick Hardwick might return today, but if not the backup is out and they are going to have problems with timing. If your timing is off on the road it is hard to win. Lets go with the team that needs the win to stay in the playoffs on their home turf. Look for the Titans to control the clock with the run. Take Tennessee.

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 16

Friday, December 25

SAN DIEGO (11 - 3) at TENNESSEE (7 - 7) - 12/25/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

Northcoast

MARQUEE OVER 47 San Diego/Tenn

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

DUNKEL

San Diego at Tennessee

The Chargers look to take advantage of a Tennessee team that is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games against teams with a winning record. San Diego is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Chargers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

Game 101-102: San Diego at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 139.610; Tennessee 138.831
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3); Under

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

JB Computer Picks
25 December 2009
7:30 EST Chargers +3

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

PointSpread Pros


Chargers +3

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 16

Friday, 12/25/2009

SAN DIEGO at TENNESSEE, 7:30 PM ET NFL
SAN DIEGO: 13-3 ATS vs. AFC South
TENNESSEE: 8-1 Under after a win by 6 or less points





NFL LONG SHEET

Week 16

Friday, December 25

SAN DIEGO (11 - 3) at TENNESSEE (7 - 7) - 12/25/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons







NFL ADDITIONAL

Week 16

Trend Report

Friday, December 25

7:30 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. TENNESSEE
San Diego is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

Killer sports live


NBA KILLER
20 DIME -- UNDER 193 (CELTICS - MAGIC)
FIRST AND FOREMOST WE WANT TO TAKE THIS OPPORTUNITY TO WISH EACH AND EVERYONE OF OUR PAST AND PRESENT CLIENTS A VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS AND HAPPY HOLIDAY SEASON. WE UNDERSTAND THAT WITHOUT YOUR PATRONAGE THERE WOULD NOT BE A KILLER SPORTS LIVE AND FOR THAT WE APPRECIATE AND VALUE EACH AND EVERY ONE OF OUR CLIENTS. WE HOPE YOU HAVE FOUND OUR SPORTS CONSULTING SERVICE AS REWARDING IN 2009 AS WE HAVE. LETS TAKE THIS WONDERFUL YEAR, THE MOMENTUM, AND MOST IMPORTANTLY THESE PROFITS WE HAVE BULIT INTO 2010 AND DO IT EVEN BIGGER AND BETTER!

THIS IS THE STRONGEST PLAY ON THE CHRISTMAS CARD. THERE IS NO OTHER SERVICE IN THE COUNTRY THAT HAS AS STRONG OF A GRASP ON THE ORLANDO MAGIC THAN KILLER SPORTS LIVE. THE LAST 10 TIMES THESE TWO TEAMS HAVE BATTLED THEY HAVE PLAYED TO THE UNDER IN 8 OF THEM INCLUDING 5 STRAIGHT GAMES. WITH PAUL PIERCE OUT OF THIS GAME AFTER GETTING HIS KNEE DRAINED DUE TO A BACTERIAL INFECTION, THE BOSTON CELTICS HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO BUCKEL DOWN AND PLAY HARD NOSED DEFENSE IF THEY WANT TO KEEP THIS GAME CLOSE. WE SEE NO REASON TO BELIEVE THE CELTICS WILL NOT DO THIS. THESE ARE TWO OF THE TOP TEAMS IN THE EASTERN CONFERENCE AND BOTH WANT TO WIN THE CHAMPIONSHIP THIS YEAR, AND BOTH KNOW IN ORDER TO DO THAT THEY MUST PLAY INTENSE DEFENSE. WITH STAN VAN GUNDY STRESSING THIS POINT REPEATEDLY NIGHT AFTER NIGHT TO HIS MAGIC SQUAD HE WILL HAVE HIS BOYS UP FOR THIS TASK. ORLANDO KNOWS THAT TO WIN THE CHAMPIONSHIP THEY MUST PLAY 48 MINUTES OF DEFENSE. BOSTON KNOWS FIRST HAND (AFTER BEING KNOCKED OUT OF THE 2008 PLAYOFFS IN GAME 7 BY ORLANDO) THEY MUST SHUT DOWN THE 3 POINT BARRAGE THAT ORLANDO WILL THROW AT THEM. THEY WILL DO THIS. THIS HOWEVER WILL FORCE THEM TO NOT RUN DOUBLE TEAMS AT DWIGHT HOWARD AND THUS THEY WILL PUT HIM ON THE CHARITY STRIPE ALL DAY. THIS IS NOT A PROBLEM FOR THE C's AS THEY HAVE MANY ABLED BODIES IN PERKINS, WALLACE, GARNETT, AND SCALABRINE. AS WE ALL KNOW HOWARD IS HORRENDOUS AT THE FOUL LINE. ON TOP OF THIS VINCE CARTER HAS BEEN IN A TERRIBLE SHOOTING SLUMP THE PAST TWO WEEKS OFTEN GOING 6-16, 5-15, AND 1-14 IN THE LAST 3 GAMES TO NAME A FEW. THIS IS A REAL PROBLEM FOR A TEAM THAT HAS PEGGED CARTER AS THEIR GO TO GUY IN THE 4TH QUARTER. ON TOP OF THAT THEY ARE DEALING WITH JAMEER NELSON TRYING TO RE-ACCLIMATE HIMSELF INTO THE STARTING LINEUP AFTER A DEVISTATING MENISCUS TEAR (HIS SECOND KNEE INJURY IN THE LAST YEAR). THE BOTTOM LINE WITH ALL OF THESE VARIABLES THE MAGIC WILL HAVE TO OVERCOME, THEY WILL STRUGGLE, THEY ARE GOING TO HAVE TO BATTLE TO COME OUT WITH THE WIN, AND AGAINST A VETERAN SAVVY TEAM LIKE BOSTON THEY WILL BE IN FOR A REAL DEFENSIVE UGLY SCRAP. IN ORDER TO OVERCOME THESE VARIABLES ORLANDO MUST PLAY DEFENSE, SOMETHING THEY WILL DO! THESE TWO TEAMS WILL STAY IN THE LOW 40%s FOR FIELD GOALS FOR THE GAME. WE SEE THIS AS A MID 80s game with BOSTON COVERING AND MOST LIKELY WINNING THIS GAME AS THEY HAVE REVENGE AFTER ORLANDO CAME TO BOSTON AND BEAT THEM OUTRIGHT 11/20 TO A TUNE OF 83-78. YOU MIGHT BE SAYING WELL PIERCE IS NOT GOING TO PLAY....DOESNT MATTER. YOU DONT HAVE TO LOOK MUCH FURTHER THAN A FEW DAYS AGO WHEN PORTLAND BEAT SAN ANTONIO AT SAN ANTONIO WITHOUT BRANDON ROY, ODEN, PRYZBILLA, WEBSTER, FERNANDEZ ETC AND ALSO WHEN DALLAS BEAT THE CAVS W/OUT NOWITZKI. WHEN STARS DONT PLAY TEAMS HAVE A STRANGE WAY OF COMING TOGETHER TO COME UP WITH A SHOCKING UPSET. WE SEE NO REASON BOSTON WILL NOT BE VERY GAME FOR THIS MATCHUP AND PLAY TO THE UNDER IN A GAME THAT COVERS EASILY. THIS GAME STAYS UNDER WITH A STRONG LEAN ON BOSTON PLUS THE POINTS. MERRY CHRISTMAS.

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

Vegas Hotsheet

Paid Picks - CFB - Ohio / Pitt / BC

Free Pick - Pitt/NC Over 44

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

Sports Advisors 12/25

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NFL

San Diego (11-3, 7-7 ATS) at Tennessee (7-7, 6-8 ATS)

Two of the NFL’s hottest teams – despite their disparate SU records – get together when the red-hot Chargers take on the surging Titans in a Christmas night clash at LP Field.

San Diego squeaked past Cincinnati 27-24 Sunday on a 52-yard Nate Kaeding field goal in the waning seconds, notching its ninth consecutive SU win (6-3 ATS), but falling short of covering as a 6½-point home chalk. QB Philip Rivers (3,891 passing yards, 25 TDs, 9 INTs) continues to lead the league’s fifth-best passing attack (268.9 ypg), and the Chargers are fourth in scoring (27.8 ppg), having put up at least 27 points six times during their current win streak.

Tennessee, which started the year 0-6 (1-5 ATS), has since bounced back with a 7-1 run (5-3 ATS) to actually put itself on the edge of the muddled AFC playoff picture. Last week, the Titans topped Miami 27-24 in overtime, getting another solid day from RB Chris Johnson (104 rushing yards, 55 receiving yards). Johnson has a league-leading 1,730 rushing yards (5.7 ypc, 11 TDs), and he’s logged 2,176 all-purpose yards with 13 combined rushing and receiving touchdowns. Behind Johnson, the Titans’ running game is second in the NFL at 162.6 ypg.

In addition to Johnson’s heroics, once-fragile QB Vince Young has settled down nicely. Since replacing Kerry Collins as starter following the six-game season-opening slide, Young has 10 TD passes and just four INTs. The Titans have scored 27 points or more five times since he entered the lineup, after scoring 17 or less in five of the first six games.

San Diego is on a 5-0 SU and ATS tear in this rivalry, most recently winning 17-6 as a hefty 10½-point home favorite in the wild-card playoff round two years ago. Four weeks prior to that, in regular-season play, the Chargers rallied for a 23-17 overtime road victory as a 1½-point road underdog. During its five-game SU and ATS winning streak in this series, San Diego has cashed three times at home and twice at Tennessee.

The Chargers have now won 17 consecutive games in December (11-6 ATS), having not lost in the final month of the year since the 2005 season finale. Also, despite failing to get the cash against Cincinnati on Sunday, the Bolts remain on a handful of additional ATS upswings, including 5-2 overall, 4-1 after a non-cover, 4-1 on the highway, 20-6-3 as an underdog and 9-3 in December.

The Titans are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 starts as a home chalk of up to three points, but they are otherwise in pointspread ruts of 1-8 against winning teams, 3-7 as a favorite, 2-6 after a non-cover and 3-7 within the AFC.

The under is 3-1-1 in San Diego’s last five roadies, but the Chargers are on “over” runs of 6-1-1 in December, 8-3-1 against AFC foes and 11-5 coming off a SU win. The over for Tennessee is on streaks of 19-9-1 in December and 9-4 with the Titans a home chalk, but the under is on rolls for Tennessee of 14-6-1 against winning teams and 21-10-1 following a SU win.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO


NBA

Boston (22-5, 12-15 ATS) at Orlando (22-7, 16-13 ATS)

The top two teams in the Eastern Conference square off in a nationally televised Christmas Day game inside Amway Arena in Orlando.

The Celtics, winners of 13 of their last 14 overall (7-7 ATS), come in with the conference’s top record but without the services of Paul Pierce, who is out for at least two weeks with a knee infection. Pierce had 16 fourth-quarter points in Tuesday’s 103-94 home win over Indiana, with the Celtics coming up short as 14½-point favorites. Boston has scored 103 points or more in five of its last six games, with the only exception coming in a 98-97 home loss to the Sixers on Dec. 18 as an 11½-point favorite.

The Magic have won three straight (2-1 ATS), including Wednesday’s 102-87 home victory over Houston, with Orlando cashing as an 8 ½-point chalk. The Magic are 12-2 at home (8-6 ATS) this season, averaging 105.4 ppg.

These played a thrilling seven-game playoff series in the Eastern Conference semifinals last season with Orlando winning Game 7 in Boston 101-82 as a 2½-point underdog. Back in November, the Magic went back to Boston and grabbed an 83-73 victory as six-point ‘dogs. Orlando has won and cashed in three straight against the Celtics and is 7-3 SU (6-4 ATS) in the last 10 clashes.

Boston is on pointspread surges of 5-2 on the road,47-19-1 as a road ‘dog and 6-1 on the road against a team with a winning home record, but the Celtics are on ATS slides of 2-5 overall, 1-6-1 after getting two days off, 3-7 after a non-cover and 1-4 against Eastern Conference teams. Orlando is 0-4 ATS in its last four after a spread-cover and 7-19 ATS in its last 26 as a home favorite of less than five points, but it is on positive ATS streaks of 15-3 against Atlantic Division teams, 8-3 after getting a day off and 5-2 on Fridays.

The Celtics have gone “over” the posted number in five of seven after a non-cover, eight of 11 Friday games and 16 of 22 after getting two days off, but they are on “under” streaks of 5-0 against teams with a winning record, 8-2 against Southeast Division teams and 3-1-1 against the Eastern Conference. The Magic have stayed below the total in five of seven overall and five straight against teams with a winning record, but they are on “over” runs of 10-4 at home, 8-3 after a straight-up win and 6-1 after a spread-cover.

Finally, in this rivalry, the “under” is 5-0 in the last five meetings and 5-1 in the last six matchups in Orlando.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO


Cleveland (22-8, 15-15 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (23-4, 12-15 ATS)

The annual Christmas Day marquee matchup has LeBron James and the Cavaliers making the trek to the Hollywood to face Kobe Bryant and the Lakers for national television inside Staples Center.

Cleveland is wrapping up a four-game West Coast road trip today (2-1 SU and ATS) and is coming off Wednesdays 117-104 overtime win in Sacramento, cashing as six-point favorites. The Cavs shut out Kings 13-0 in overtime, getting three straight 3-pointers from center Zydrunas Ilgauskas in overtime to pull away for its seventh win in its last eight games (4-4 ATS). Cleveland is 11-6 SU and ATS on the highway this season.

Los Angeles won its fifth in a row (2-3 ATS) on Tuesday, topping Oklahoma City 111-108 but coming up well short as a 10-point home favorite. Bryant had 40 points and eight rebounds against the Thunder to prepare for his matchup with the Cavs. The Lakers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall, but they are an impressive 16-2 at home this season (8-8 ATS). Also, in addition to winning five in a row, they’re on a 16-1 SU roll.

Los Angeles swept the season series from the Cavaliers last year, getting a 105-88 home win as a five-point favorite and then going to Cleveland in February and scoring a 101-91 road victory as a five-point ‘dog. Prior to last year, the Cavaliers had won five straight (4-1 ATS) over the Lakers. The underdog has gotten the cash in four of the last five series clashes.

Cleveland is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games after getting one day off, but the Cavs are on positive ATS streaks of 4-1 on the road, 17-8 on Fridays and 8-3 on the road against teams with winning home records. The Lakers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five Friday games, but they’re on positive pointspread runs of 7-3 against Central Division teams and 5-2 at home against teams with a winning home record.

The Cavaliers are on several “under” streaks, including 44-19 after a spread-cover, 5-1-1 on Fridays and 4-0 against winning teams, but they’re also on “over” runs of 3-1-1 on the road, 6-2 as ‘dogs and 3-1-1 against Western Conference teams. Los Angeles is on a plethora of “under” runs, including 7-2 overall, 16-7-1 against Eastern Conference teams, 6-2 at home against teams with a winning road record and 23-9 after getting two days off. In this budding rivalry, the “under” is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Denver (20-9, 15-14 ATS) at Portland (19-12, 16-14-1 ATS)

The Trail Blazers return home after a four-game road trip and welcome the Nuggets to the Rose Garden in Portland.

Denver snapped a two-game losing streak on Wednesday with a 124-104 beating of the first-place Hawks, easily cashing as a 3½-point home chalk. The Nuggets had failed to cash in six of the its seven games (3-4 SU) and had only reached triple digits in three of those seven, losing each time they were held in double figures.

After losing in Orlando to open the road trip, Portland rattled off three straight wins (SU and ATS), including Wednesday’s 98-94 upset of the Spurs as a 12-point underdog. Second-year guard Jerryd Bayless led the upset with 31 points and seven assists in his first-career start, filling in for injured All-Star Brandon Roy, who is listed as questionable for tonight’s contest.

The home team won and covered in all four matchups between these two last season, but Denver went to Portland in the season-opener this year and got a 97-94 win, cashing as a 7½-point underdog. The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in the last seven series clashes and 25-10-1 in the last 36 meetings overall, including 12-5-1 in their last 18 trips to Portland.

Denver is on ATS slides of 2-6 overall, 0-4 on the road, 1-5 on Fridays and 1-4 against Western Conference teams, but the Nuggets are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 after a spread-cover and 6-2 in their last eight against winning teams. The Blazers are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six at home, but otherwise on positive pointspread surges of 4-1-1 overall, 8-2 against Northwest Division teams, 9-2 on Fridays and 3-0-1 against Western Conference teams.

It’s been nothing but “unders” for the Nuggets lately, including 19-9 on the road, 5-1 against the Western Conference, 6-2 after a straight-up win, 4-1 after getting a day off and 5-0 against teams with winning records. Portland has stayed “under” the posted number in 15 of 22 against the Western Conference, 15 of 21 against Northwest Division teams and five straight against teams with winning records. Finally, the last five clashes in this rivalry have stayed low, as have five of the last six meetings in Oregon.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

Double Dragon Nfl

Chargers +3

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET

12/25/09 (101)SANDIEGO at (102)TENNESSEE

Which team is playing the best football right now in the NFL? To me, there are just a few teams in consideration: San Diego, Philadelphia, or Indianapolis. One of these teams is an underdog this week, the Chargers, to a 7-7 Tennessee team. Sure the Titans are playing better football and have rallied since their 0-6 start, but this looks like one of those cases where the must-win team may be in over its head and oddsmakers are putting too much stock into the playoff scenarios. If you read this week’s feature NFL piece, you’ll see I reference something called Theoretical Line Value, which takes the teams’ points per game scored and allowed and creates a line based upon it, with 3.5 points built-in for home-field advantage. In this case, San Diego should be favored by a point. The Chargers are rolling in all facets of the game and have beaten Tennessee five straight times. Look for No. 6 here.

Play: San Diego +3

12/25/2009
(501) MIAMI at (502) NEW YORK
If I’ve learned anything about the NBA and its high-profile national TV games, it’s to take the team with the star player in any game be- tween a club with one against another without a marquee player. Didn’t former ref Tim Donaghy say something like this a few weeks ago on “60 Minutes”? As much as New York has improved lately, I simply can’t overlook the presence of Dwyane Wade here. He is ca- pable of taking over this game, and figures to be motivated to do so in this holiday setting. The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 98-98 tie in this one, and I think that could be too low of a count for the Heat considering the Knicks allow opponents to score 105.8 PPG and shoot 50 percent from the floor at the Garden. Miami has a big defensive edge. Look for a small upset.

Play: Miami +2.5

(503) BOSTON at (504) ORLANDO
Orlando seems to be going through the motions lately, and I suspect there is still some internal strife regarding the offseason addition of Vince Carter. Despite their record (20-7 at press time), you can just see that something is amiss with the Magic, and it doesn’t take anything more than looking how far center Dwight Howard’s numbers have tumbled with Carter in the lineup. They were better when Howard was the focus. In any case, they face a tough Christ- mas matchup against the league’s best road team, the Celtics, who will be backed by a significant StatFox System: Play On—All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON)—excellent shooting team (>=47.5 percent) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5 per- cent). (101-58 since 1996.) (63.5 percent, +37.2 units. Rating = 2*). Getting back to Carter, when were the Magic ever an “average defensive team” prior to his arrival? Point made. Celtics get revenge for the Orlando win in Boston last month.

Play: Boston +2.5

(509) DENVER at (510) PORTLAND
Now that I’ve picked two road upsets for Friday’s Christmas NBA ac- tion, I need a solid home team to back, and while the Lakers were close, I have to think that the host with the best chance of getting it done is Portland, which figures to be a small favorite. Can you think of any scheduling situation less comfortable than traveling for the late-night game in Portland? Denver has to spend the whole holi- day away and then take on a team that does solid work at home: PORTLAND is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams—making >=46 percent of their shots over the last three seasons. The average score was PORTLAND 102.3, OPPONENT 96.5—(Rating = 1*). At the same time, Denver struggles on the road versus quality foes: Karl is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games versus good teams—outscoring their opponents by three- plus points/game as the coach of DENVER. The average score was DENVER 97.9, OPPONENT 106.2 - (Rating = 2*). The Blazers are get- ting back in stride. They win comfortably here.

Play: Portland -1.5

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

MARC LAWRENCE'S PLAYBOOK

TENNESSEE over San Diego by 1
Here we are, at the stage of the NFL season when teams that are on easy street start resting the regulars in preparation for the playoffs (that’s San Diego), while teams in the thick of a playoff race are forced to ‘pay the price’ by the linesmaker (that’s Tennessee). With no less than seven teams sitting on a 7-7 fence heading into Week Fifteen of the 2009 season (six in the AFC), it was imperative that we put our database to the test to find out how these dead-even .500 teams perform at this stage of the season. The answer: good as dogs, bad as favorites. That being the case, the ‘must-win’ Titans find themselves laying points into the red-hot Chargers, a situation we won’t be doing. To further complicate matters, Rocky Top finds itself in the last leg of a 3-game home stand, a role in which hosts are just 31-51 ATS since 1990 when playing off a pair of wins. Full deck or not, it would be no surprise to see the Chargers make it 18 straight wins in December while improving to 6-0 ATS in this series here tonight.

Boston over ORLANDO by 7
The Shamrocks spend Christmas Day in the Magic Kingdom looking to unwrap a double-revenge package laid on their doorstep by Orlando. That occurred when the Magic eliminated Boston in last year’s playoffs and then proceeded to upend the Celtics in Beantown last month. The gift-wrap in this is Boston’s 24-9 ATS mark in games when seeking same-season revenge, including 17-6 ATS as a dog. The Christmas bow comes with Orlando’s 8-17-1 ATS record at home off back-to-back home games when hosting an avenging foe. The Magic’s 0-4-1 ATS mark as chalk against .550 or greater opponents this season makes this a present too good to pass.

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

GOLD SHEET

NFL

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 25 *TENNESSEE 26 - San Diego 19—Normally, we wouldn’t be too interested
in bucking a team that has won 17 straight games in December, as has San Diego. But the dynamics are a little different for this Christmas treat in Music City, as the Bolts are locked into the AFC’s No. 2 playoff seed, and Norv Turner will be tempted to limit the minutes for his starters (although more of that usually occurs in Game 16). Meanwhile, Tennessee is still alive in the AFC wildcard fight, and the Titans are 7-1 SU themselves (with the only loss vs. unbeaten Indy) since Vince Young (3 TDP vs. last week) took over at QB. Chris Johnson (1730 YR) has nine straight 100-yard games! TV—NFL NETWORK

NBA

Day Games
Miami 106 - NEW YORK 101—09-MIA -5 115-93 (207); 08-NY -2' 120-115
(208), MIA -6 120-115 (214), MIA -6' 122-105 (212) CABLE TV—ESPN

***Boston 104 - ORLANDO 92—Orlando has won 10 of 12 home games SU, but Magic lost at Amway to Cleveland and Miami, and only 2 of the 10 wins have come against teams with a winning record. Boston owns the best road mark in the NBA and has been at its best when challenged this season, covering all 5 chances when the Celtics were a dog or favorites of less than 6 points. Celtics will remember losing at home in first meeting against Orlando this season, when the Boston bench made just 8 of 31 shots. Look for Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce & Ray Allen to avenge that defeat. 09-Orl +6 83-78 (191); 08- BOS -8' 107-88 (189), Bos +5 90-80 (192), Orl +3 86-79 (197), ORL -3' 84-82 (189), Orl +1' 95-90 (188), BOS -3' 112-94 (189), ORL -4' 117-96 (189), Bos +4' 95-94 (194), BOS -2' 92-88 (192), ORL -7 83-75 (190), Orl +2' 101-82 (186) TV—ABC

LA LAKERS 108 - Cleveland 93—This will be cheapest price thus far on L.A. at Staples (Lakers 15-2 SU 1st 17). 08-LA -5 105-88 (203), La +5 101-91 (205) TV—ABC

PHOENIX 117 - LA Clippers 107—09-Pho -2' 109-107 (217); 08-PHO -12' 106- 98 (199), Ph -9 109-103 (202), PH -8' 140-100 (223), Ph -8 142-119 (227) — ESPN

Night Game
Denver 99 - PORTLAND 98—09-Den +7' 97-94 (200); 08-DEN -2' 97-89 (200),
PORT -8 101-92 (197), DEN -7 106-90 (200), PORT -7 104-76 (198) TV—ESPN

[Guest]

Re: 12-25-09

CTO

*L.A. LAKERS over Cleveland (NBA)...Prime time exposure seems to bring out the best in Kobe Bryant and the Lakers, and ABC has been touting this Christmas Day game for weeks. Last season the LeBron-vs.-Kobe matchup was a wash, but Lakers Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom tipped the scales by combining for 26 rebounds per game in a pair of double-digit L.A. wins. *L.A. LAKERS 109 - Cleveland 92 RATING - 10