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Re: 12-28-09
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Viking/Bears OVER 41
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "over":
The Vikings are sitting at 11-3, already have clinched the NFC North and have a very good chance to grab the second-seed and a first-round bye in the playoffs.
As the Brad Childress-Brett Favre saga continues off-field, I look for Favre and company to play with a concerted effort on the field tonight.
The Vikings will get their third opportunity in a four-week span to prove they can do anything positive in a prime-time appearance.
Running back Adrian Peterson has gone a career-high five games without a 100-yard rushing performance and one reason is because the run blocking hasn't been consistent enough of late.
Peterson and his linemen should get another chance to pound the ball in this game, going against a Bears run defense that is 25th in the NFL and has given up 128.5 yards per game.
It's interesting to note that the Vikes played to an "over" on Monday Night already this season (Week 4 30-23 win over Green Bay). Minnesota has also seen the total go "over" the posted number in three of four games this season when the total is between 35 1/2 and 42 points.
On the other side of the field: The Vikings' domination was nearly complete in the 36-10 blowout on Nov. 29. They had one-sided advantages in total yards, 537-169; time of possession, 40:55-19:05; first downs, 31-8; and offensive plays, 83-38.
It got worse as the game progressed. In the second half, the Bears were outgained 225-2. That's not the kind of humiliation the Bears want to revisit with everyone watching; look for this team to play with "revenge" on its mind.
Bad news for Chicago's defense; it will be without the team's leading sacker, DLE Adewale Ogunleye (fractured fibula).
Bottom line: The Bears are a poor team, no doubt, but for them this game will seem like a playoff with the possibility to make the Vikings' life completely miserable entering their regular-season finale.
These teams have a history of playing to some high-scoring affairs as the total has gone "over" the posted number in four of their last six games overall; when taking the rest of these factors into consideration, the sharp money in this one is on the OVER!
*10* OVER.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Viking/Bears OVER 41
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "over":
The Vikings are sitting at 11-3, already have clinched the NFC North and have a very good chance to grab the second-seed and a first-round bye in the playoffs.
As the Brad Childress-Brett Favre saga continues off-field, I look for Favre and company to play with a concerted effort on the field tonight.
The Vikings will get their third opportunity in a four-week span to prove they can do anything positive in a prime-time appearance.
Running back Adrian Peterson has gone a career-high five games without a 100-yard rushing performance and one reason is because the run blocking hasn't been consistent enough of late.
Peterson and his linemen should get another chance to pound the ball in this game, going against a Bears run defense that is 25th in the NFL and has given up 128.5 yards per game.
It's interesting to note that the Vikes played to an "over" on Monday Night already this season (Week 4 30-23 win over Green Bay). Minnesota has also seen the total go "over" the posted number in three of four games this season when the total is between 35 1/2 and 42 points.
On the other side of the field: The Vikings' domination was nearly complete in the 36-10 blowout on Nov. 29. They had one-sided advantages in total yards, 537-169; time of possession, 40:55-19:05; first downs, 31-8; and offensive plays, 83-38.
It got worse as the game progressed. In the second half, the Bears were outgained 225-2. That's not the kind of humiliation the Bears want to revisit with everyone watching; look for this team to play with "revenge" on its mind.
Bad news for Chicago's defense; it will be without the team's leading sacker, DLE Adewale Ogunleye (fractured fibula).
Bottom line: The Bears are a poor team, no doubt, but for them this game will seem like a playoff with the possibility to make the Vikings' life completely miserable entering their regular-season finale.
These teams have a history of playing to some high-scoring affairs as the total has gone "over" the posted number in four of their last six games overall; when taking the rest of these factors into consideration, the sharp money in this one is on the OVER!
*10* OVER.
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