1-1-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

Fargo’s **10** #1 JANUARY BOWL TOTAL *76% ANGLES*
While 2009 was a TRULY FANTASTIC year, Matt has raised the bar and is expecting even better results in 2010! Last New Years he was nearly flawless and goes for one better this year! He went 4-1 (80%) in New Years Bowls in 2009 and his #1 January Bowl Total (The Rose Bowl) is backed by Two Power Situation that are 93-23 (76.2%)!

Under Ohio St/Oregon

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

Teddy Covers
Northwestern

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

WINNING ANGLE FOOTBALL FOR FRIDAY
NCAA
PLAY LSU (+2) OVER PENN STATE*
Game starts at 1:00 P.M. EST
(TOP NCAA BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR)
LSU has won 14 consecutive non-conference games and they have also won 10 of their last 12 Bowl Games. LSU has won and covered the spread in 4 consecutive games as a neutral field underdog of 7 points or less and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games when playing with two weeks or more rest.


For those interested: The Guarantee on this play is Must Win or 10 Years of All Plays and Information for Free!!

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BONUS NCAA BOWL PLAYS

Play Ohio State (+4.5) over Oregon* (NCAA Bonus Play)
Play Cincinnati (+12.5) over Florida* (NCAA Bonus Play)
Play Northwestern (+8) over Auburn* (NCAA Bonus Play)
Play Florida State (+2.5) over West Virginia* (NCAA Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

Chris Jordan New Year's Day, 3,000* Winner ... 3,000? PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS - Does LSU really believe it is going to "run past" the Nittany Lions in this game today? Do the Tigers honestly believe when the two teams meet at Citrus Bowl Stadium, they'll be able to execute on the poor field conditions today's game offers?

Really Les Miles? With the 107th ranked offense that has the 85th-ranked rushing game and 99th-ranked pass attack in the nation?

Not feeling it. I don't care about the Tigers' defense, heck, I know it's tough. It's been the bread and butter for this program since Nick Saban was at the helm - and before then too.

The fact is, when the Tigers were faced with staunch defensive units this season, they failed miserably. The lost 13-3 to Florida. They lost 24-15 to Alabama. They lost 25-23 to Mississippi. That's an average final of 20.6-13.6 in those losses.

Now, against the eighth-best defense in the nation, a stop unit that is fourth in allowing just 11.8 points per game and ranks ninth against the run and 19th against the pass, the Tigers honestly believe their "speed" will make a difference in crappy weather on a crappy field?

Not to get "texty" on you, but, OMG and LOL ... okay, whatever!

Seriously, I know Penn State doesn't have a player as fast as LSU's Trindon Holliday, who has been labeled as college football's fastest player by some. But it's only going to take one good pop from one of the Nittany Lions' monsters on the line - perhaps Jack Crawford - to slow this kid down. His ability to cutback and juke defenders will be limited in bad field conditions, so the advantage is in my court with the Lions.

Quite frankly, you put this Lions defense in the SEC, I'd be willing to say it can matchup with anyone in that league. If you watch their linebackers on film, and how agile they are, and quick they are, being able to run from sideline to sideline, let me tell you something - these are true ballers, in every sense of the word. And they hit hard.

They not only come out stick, but they're smart. They know how to read offensive sets, they know how to avoid being read themselves. They know how to play football. Take your game vertical, their linebackers can adjust to assist the defensive backers. Move horizontal, again, they'll run sideline to sideline.

Penn State's defense is very similar to Alabama's - fast and athletic.

And You saw the final score of the 'Bama-LSU game, right?

And what about the offense, you ask?

It's much better than LSU's, I can tell you that much.

It ranks 35th overall, and is equally balanced with the 37th-best rushing game and 40th-ranked pass attack. It has scored a minimum of 28 points in nine of its 10 wins, including that 42-14 shellacking of Michigan State in the season finale.

So there is plenty of momentum coming into this New Year's Day battle.

I read a quote from Bruce Marshall, a handicapper from the famed Gold Sheet, as he said: "I don't see why Penn State is favored in this game. It really boggles my mind."

And just like that everyone is following the same theory, which is that LSU is 4-0 straight up and against the spread in bowls under coach Les Miles, and that Penn State a relatively easier schedule than the Tigers because of the difference in schedules.

Please, these are the Bowl Games. If the mystique behind power conferences meant something, would the Mountain West Conference be 4-0 right now? Would the SEC be 1-2?

How bout this, if we're looking at conferences, the Mountain West, Big East, Sun Belt and Independent schools are a collective 8-0 thus far. The Pac 10 and SEC are 3-6 ... explain that Bruce!

Penn State hasn't allowed a 100-yard rusher in 15 straight contests, and since injuries in the backfield have forced one-time fourth-stringer Stevan Ridley into LSU's starting lineup, I don't think the Tigers will be using speed against anyone today. Holliday will get his, he'll have a decent day; but as a whole, the Tigers are in trouble.

And once standouts Navorro Bowman and Sean Lee shut down the A and B gaps, quarterback Jordan Jefferson will be thrust into the spotlight for LSU, as he'll be asked to make plays against the a unit that ranked seventh in the nation in sacks. He'll look for receiver Brandon LaFell, but I doubt he's going to be able to weave his way through Penn State's bend-but-won't-break defense today.

Everything LSU tries today, Penn State will counter.

Happy New Year guys, Penn State is my Bowl Game of the Year - enjoy!!!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

The Rock
BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR---OREGON

Florida St. under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrendS


*200 LSU -1 (NCAAF)

*200 Florida State +3 (NCAAF)

*200 Oregon -4 (NCAAF)

*200 Florida -13 (NCAAF)
*200 Orlando Magic -8 (NBA)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

Trey Scott of HandicappingTrends


*200 Indiana State +1 (CBB)

*200 Purdue -4 (CBB)
*200 New Mexico -7 (CBB)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

FantasySportsGametime

100* Play Northwestern (+8) over Auburn (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Northwestern has covered the spread in 5 consecutive games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points and they have won and covered the spread in 3 consecutive games. Auburn has lost 5 of the last 7 games and they have also lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread coming off a loss by 6 points or less.

100* Play LSU (+2) over Penn State (TOP NCAA PLAY)

LSU has covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games coming off a home win by 3 points or less and they have also won 16 of the last 20 games coming off an OVER the total. LSU has won 4 of the last 5 games vs. Big Ten Conference Opponents and they are only allowing an average of 16 points a game on defense this season.

100* Play Florida State (+2.5) over West Virginia (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Florida State has won and covered the spread in 3 consecutive games as a neutral field underdog and they have also won 4 of the last 5 games coming off a bye week. Florida State has won 12 of the last 14 games after allowing 37 points or more in their last game and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games after allowing 275 or more rushing yards in their last game.

100* Play Ohio State (+4.5) over Oregon (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Ohio State has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games and they have also won 16 of the last 19 games coming off an UNDER the total. Ohio State has won 16 of the last 19 games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in their last game and they are only allowing an average of 12 points a game on defense this season.

100* Play Cincinnati (+12.5) over Florida (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Cincinnati is a perfect 12-0 this season and they have also won 15 of the last 17 games coming off an OVER the total. Cincinnati has won 16 of the last 18 non-conference games and they are averaging over 39 points a game on offense this season.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

ONY GEORGE

West Virginia -2.5

Ironic that washed up coaching dinosaur Bobby Bowden will lose his final game against his old Alma mater West Virginia, where he once was head coach. West Virginia will SHRED a pathetic run defense ranked 108th in the nation, who gives up big plays left and right every game. Look for RB Devine for WV who has had 10 career runs of 50 yards or more to slice and dice the Seminole defense. Emotion plays a part in this game, but sources tell me WV is fired up and well prepared. FSU gave up 31 ppg and 470 yards of offense and a WHOPPING 6.4 yards per rush in their last 3 game, enough said! Play 1 Unit on West Virginia.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

EVAN ALTEMUS

LSU PK

Penn State simply isn’t as good as most people think they are. They were severely outclassed this season when they faced their two toughest teams on the schedule in Iowa and Ohio State. Those teams are even as physical or dominant as LSU either, which makes you wonder about this point spread. Everyone doubted LSU last year in their bowl game against Georgia Tech, but the Tigers came out and completely destroyed an overmatched Yellow Jackets team. Penn State has dearly missed their play making wide receivers this season, as they haven’t been able to open things up as much this year. The Nittany Lions really struggled when they can’t run the football, and they won’t be able to against a stout LSU rush defense. Meanwhile, the Tigers are being disrespected by the oddsmakers here based on how they finished the season. However, they were very competitive in all three losses, including a very close loss to defending national champion Florida. Look for LSU to dominate this game and get the win.

4 UNIT SELECTION LSU

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

RON RAYMOND
Ohio State / Oregon Under 51

When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Road team - Vs Non Division Opponent - During the month of January - During Week 16 to 20 - Coming off 1 under - Scored 10 points or less AGAINST in their last game; the UNDER is 7-3-0 for the Road Team (Ohio State) in this spot.

When the Buckeyes face a Pac 10 team, the UNDER is 7-2-0 and it’s a perfect 4-0-0 if they are an UNDERDOG!

My ATSCalculator numbers have this total landing on 46.38 points.

Take the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

ROCKETMAN-WRITE UP

Florida -12.5

A lot going on in this game. First, Cincinnati Head Coach Brian Kelly took off for Notre Dame and I think this is a HUGE loss for Cincinnati. Then you have the Urban Meyer deal where he was going to step down as Head Coach and then came back and stated he was just going to take an extended leave of absence. Tim Tebow will be playing his final game as a Florida Gator and he will do everything in his power to go out a HUGE winner here tonight. Florida is 17-5 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record. Florida is 25-12 ATS last 3 years in all games. Florida is 5-1 ATS last 3 years when playing with 2 weeks or more rest. Florida is 9-2 ATS last 3 years in non-conference games. Florida is scoring 34.7 points per game overall while allowing only 11.5 points per game overall this season. We'll play Florida for 3 units tonight!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

LENNY DEL GENIO-WRITE UP
Ohio State +4.5

This game is an interesting contrast of styles. It would be easy to look at Oregon's 47-20 win over a USC team that won in Columbus back in September and make the call to lay the short number with the Ducks, but betting is not supposed to be that easy. This has clearly been a bad bowl season for the Pac 10 with Oregon State, California and Arizona all getting blown out in embarrassing fashion, missing the spread by a collossal 70 points. If you want to look at early season results, how about Oregon's 19-8 loss at Boise in the opener? It was the only time all season that the Ducks were held under 24 points all season and just the 2nd time they were held below 30 points. Ohio State brings a great defense to Pasadena. They didn't allow a single opponent to score more than 27 all year and that was in the opener against the difficult to prepare for Navy triple option. They had three shutouts and seven opponents were held to 18 points or less in total. Jim Tressel, who did win a National Title in 2003, has to return to his winning ways in bowl games, no? We cashed the Buckeyes in a 24-21 Fiesta Bowl loss (+8) last year, which made it three BCS bowl losses in a row for the program. That lack of recent success is the only reason why OSU is the underdog here and we like them to win outright against a favorite that was 0-3 ATS on the road vs. bowl teams this year. Take Ohio State.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

Big Slick Bet Flordia -13

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-1-10

EVAN ALTEMUS
from Vegastopdogs

Capper: Evan Altemus
Auburn: Point Spread: -8.5/100
Play Title 5 UNIT TOP PLAY


LSU: Point Spread: -1/-103
Play Title 4 UNIT TOP PLAY

Oregon: Point Spread: -4/-113
Play Title 3 UNIT SELECTION