1-2-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[kar261]

Re: 1-2-10

Anthony Redd
Saturday's Card
75-Dime - Connecticut

40-Dime - South Florida (buy down the 1/2 point if your line is -7 or -7 1/2)

[mikefortino]

Re: 1-2-10 Sebass

Seabass CFB
50 Ark, Miss, N. Ill

The much anticipated 1000 play is now destined to be one of the last 4 bowl games! (Further evidence that the 1000 play is a scam designed to lure in the most buyers of the package.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

Chris Jordan
Big Dog Winner ...




600? NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES - Honestly, I don't understand the line at all. The only thing I make of it is that South Florida hails from the Big East, and the Huskies are coming out of the Mid-American Conference.



But in this game, that doesn't matter one bit.



The Huskies are hungry, and those who remain from last season's run to the postseason, which ended with a loss in the Independence Bowl, 17-10 to Louisiana Tech, it's a game they want to win outright, not just play well in.



I actually wouldn't be surprised if Northern Illinois were able to win this game.



I know South Florida appears to have a sound defense all around, but this is also a Bulls team that lost five of its last seven football games after it lost third-year starting QB Matt Grothe to a season-ending injury in Week 3.



And before you tell me one of those wins came against West Virginia, I'll remind you that has quietly become a nice little budding rivalry in the Big East. And, for whatever reason, the Mountaineers have lost three of five games overall against USF. Just tells me the Bulls got up for that game.



But why couldn't they against Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Miami or U Conn? I know those are powerhouse programs, but they weren't even competitive Their offense were non-existent. Their 90th-ranked passing game was exposed. Their masked 31st-ranked defense was decimated.



And now they catch an NIU team that has taken their lumps during an up-and-down season, in which they've all grown up. It'd be hard for you to show me any kind of intensity from South Florida, that Northern Illinois has demonstrated down the stretch, even in very tough losses to Ohio and Central Michigan.



Well-rested, the Huskies are healed up from the grind-it-out campaign the MAC teams play, and I believe with this one being early - the first game of the day - the Huskies will be the team ready and raring to go.



The Huskies posted 30.8 points and 354.1 total yards per game, including a staggering 202.4 rushing ypg. ON the flipside, the defense yielded a mere 21.2 points and 323.6 yards per contest (119 rushing ypg). I expect their best effort in what will be a much closer game than the oddsmakers think!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

St. Bernadine Sports
Andrew Bucciarelli
Mr. Hockey


36-16 Run (+26.15 Units)

Saturdays Plays

3*** Chicago Blackhawks (-160) over St. Louis Blues
This will mark the second of six meetings between these two teams and the Hawks are the dominant team. The Hawks have had a great first half of hockey and pretty much injury free. Kane is still on fire leading the team with 45 points and has 7 G, 4 A during his six-game point streak. Cristobal Huet has a 1.01 GAA in his last four starts against the Blues and Chicago has scored at least four goals in each of the past four games, while St. Louis has allowed at least four goals in each of its past four games. A very big offensive night will be in store for Chicago coming up tonight.
Take CHICAGO

2** Calgary Flames (-180) over Toronto Maple Leafs

This will be the second time for these two teams to meet this season. Calgary won 5-2 at Toronto and we will likely see the same type of game tonight. Calgary has shown a very organized shutdown kind of defense that is stopping teams left and right. The Leafs continue to struggle offensively and the Flames are healthy in every aspect, which makes for a good showing for the offense of Calgary. Look for a continued dominance for the Flames and Bourque of the Flames to bust out more points
Take CALGARY

2** Colorado Avalanche (+100) over Columbus Blue Jackets
This will be the third of four meetings for these two teams. The Avalanche have won both previous matchups by decisive marks. The Avalanche are playing great hockey, while the Blue Jackets have been struggling tremendously winning only one game in the past 12. The Jackets D have been horrendous and are slowly falling apart. Colorado is 12-8-4 on the road this season, while Columbus is 9-6-5 at Nationwide Arena. This should make for an interesting game tonight especially as main scorers such as Rick Nash and Jakub Voracek are not scoring for the Jackets.
Take COLORADO

2** Pittsburgh Penguins (-145) over Tampa Bay Lightning
This is the second meeting between these teams and Pittsburgh had a commanding defeat in the first matchup. This will be an interesting game as the Pens have not been playing as they should be. I feel that tonight will be the night when Pittsburgh comes out of their funk and opens up some offense. Tampa Bay is missing four key players and are feeling that weight on their shoulders. Big night in store for the Pens.
Take PITTSBURGH

1* Anaheim Ducks (-125) over Nashville Predators
This will mark the second meeting between these two teams as Anaheim won the first in 4-0. I am not going off of that win as to why I am choosing the Ducks. I am going off of their leading scorer Martin Erat being out for the next 7-10 days, Kevin Klein day-to-day, Jerred Smithson (broken hand), Jordin Tootoo (broken foot), and Colin Wilson (groin). They are without many key players and the Ducks have won the last three meetings with the Predators dating back to last season. A great matchup between these two teams and will be very interesting to watch.
Take ANAHEIM

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

Tim Trushel

N.Illinois/Regular

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

BANG THE BOOK ( 11-13-1 THUS FAR )


On one side is South Florida and they have had a decent year but have gone into the usual late season swoon. Unlike other years however they are dealing with allegations. Head coach Jim Leavitt has been accused of grabbing and choking a player during the halftime of the Louisville game, this has to be a distraction for the team. Leavitt was out of town recruiting when the story broke Monday afternoon. The Bulls returned to practice Wednesday after having two days off. A much-larger-than-normal media contingent showed up to interview Leavitt, but the only head coach in the program's 13-year history didn't want to discuss the allegation."I was just so impressed with how they practiced and what they did," Leavitt said. "All of you came out here just to hear that. I'm not going to talk about all the other things that are going on. I'm just not. I don't think that would be fair to the whole deal. So, you can save your questions as far as that goes."Leavitt deflected a question about whether the investigation is a distraction for the team as it prepares to face Northern Illinois in the International Bowl on Jan. 2"You've just got to live every day and enjoy every day," he said. "I'm a blessed guy."This is obviously a distraction. Northern Illinois has the pure stats edge in plenty of categories to include points scored and turnovers. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 and the Bulls are 5-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Huskies to win and pull off a shocker against a distracted Bulls team.

International Bowl Pick: Northern Illinois +7




The Papa John’s.com Bowl is not the most glamorous bowl game that you will see this year but they managed to get some quality teams this year to play in this game. The SEC and the Big East will have two solid representatives in this contest this year.
The Huskies of Connecticut will face the South Carolina Gamecocks. For the Huskies it has been a roller coaster year and they had to deal with plenty of adversity to include the death of one of their defensive players. They responded very well as they finished 7-5 on the season and made plenty of money for bettors finishing at a 10-2 clip against the spread. South Carolina had the tough challenge of playing in the most talented conference in the country but managed to put up a a good fight as they finished 7-5 on the season. Steve Spurrier had his struggles on the offensive side of the ball as his team just averaged 21 points a game and that is not good enough to compete in the SEC. This game should be a good one but the edge is to the Huskies. They averaged 39 points a game in the last three games and played well on the road finishing 6-0 on the year. With the defensive numbers about even look for the gamecocks to be outplayed and out coached. The Huskies are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 non-conference games and 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Gamecocks are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game and will lose this game

Papa Johns Bowl: UConn Huskies +4.5



The Cotton Bowl has put together two exciting teams for one of the most famous bowls on the slate. The Oklahoma St. Cowboys take on the Ole Miss Rebels to see who will emerge the winner of the Cotton Bowl. Oklahoma St put together a 9-3 campaign and had to do it without one of its best players. Dez Bryant was lost for the year due to violations that occurred during the season. The once powerful offense took a hit but they still managed to play well in the Big 12 against tough opposition. When it came to the betting window they finished .500 (5-5-1) against the number. Ole Miss brought in Houston Nutt and he brought the rebels to the Promised Land with big wins in the SEC and being ranked during the season. They finished a respectable 8-4 but just .500 (6-6) against the spread. This game provides us with a unique situation because Oklahoma St is ranked #21 in the country yet they are underdogs to the Ole Miss Rebels and they are not ranked. The non-ranked favorite over a ranked team angles has been very profitable in the past when the favorite is bet on. The Cowboy offense has struggled in the last three outings just averaging 18 points a contest and Jevon Snead and the Rebels offense has been rolling right along. The Rebels are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and will lose another one in the Cotton Bowl.

Cotton Bowl Pick: Ole Miss -3





The Liberty brings in a team from the SEC and Conference USA and this should be good for both of these teams as the locals can travel to this game and provide great support. Not only that but these teams should put on a good show for all to see. Arkansas finished the year at 7-5 and that is pretty good for the tough SEC. They possess a vicious pass attack that averaged over 300 yards a game and came inches away from beating Florida in the swamp. If not for a questionable call the Hogs may be in a different bowl game this year. East Carolina stunned the experts and upset Houston in the Championship game and finished an impressive 9-4 on the season. The Pirates are moving in a positive direction and do it with a balance on offense and a bend don’t break mentality on defense. This game could set up well for the Pirates. They just faced an explosive offense in Houston and now how to defend against it. The Hogs have a great offense but they have been sputtering only scoring 18 points on average in the last three games. The Pirates thrive in the underdog role as they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. This line is close but it is just too many points in the long run to give this scrappy Pirates team.

Liberty Bowl Pick: East Carolina Pirates +7.





The Alamo Bowl will be the night cap on the 4thof January and the last bowl game of the night should provide plenty of fireworks. The explosive offense of the Red Raiders of Texas Tech will match up against the Spartans of Michigan St. The Red Raiders lost some key personnel but still managed to come back and light up the scoreboard while winning some big games. They finished 8-4 on the season and that was good enough to get an invite to the Alamo Bowl. The Spartans of Michigan St got the other invite but it was questionable to some. The Spartans finished just 6-6 on the season and even worse against the number at 4-6-1.They stumbled down the stretch and need to get it together to face Texas Tech. The hype in this game will be all about the offense the Red Raiders bring to the game but don’t sleep on what Michigan St brings to the game. They averaged 30 points game on the season and that number increased when they went on the road. The Red Raiders will have no run game and the pass defense of the Spartans will be up for the challenge. The Spartans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. This game is closer than the experts think and this could be one of the biggest upsets of the bowl season.


Alamo Bowl Pick: Michigan St. +8

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

Teddy Covers bowl game

Arkansas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

Marc Lawrence

Play: Oklahoma St (+3 -110)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: January 1, 2010 @ 8:35:18 PM EST
Play On: Oklahoma State (Game 256)
We recommend a 3-unit play on Oklahoma State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

Bill Marzano

Matchup: Arkansas at East Carolina
Time: 5:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: East Carolina (+7.5 -110)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: January 1, 2010 @ 8:50:41 PM EST
I really like ECU in this game + the points vs Arkansas and in fact I think they pull off the upset...I think both teams matchup well vs one another and expect a close game either way...the public has been hammering the Razorbacks probably because of the SEC team but this ECU team is very well coached and great special teams...I like ECU + the points here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

Jim Kruger


Time: 9:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Texas Tech (-8 -110)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: January 1, 2010 @ 8:53:37 PM EST

Take the Red Raiders.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

Malinsky

GAME: Northern Illinois @ South Florida Jan 2, 2010 12:00PM EST
SPORT: College Football Picks
PICK: South Florida
Offered at: -6.5
REASON FOR PICK: 4* #252 SOUTH FLORIDA over NORTHERN ILLINOIS

The bottom line for the M.A.C. now shows a hideous 13-game losing streak in bowls, and to fully understand that it must be noted that it is not because they are being forced to step all that far up in class – these are losses against mostly teams from their own class, and when they do face a team from a BCS conference it is someone that has had a disappointing season. So far in 2009 they have fallen victim to the likes of Idaho and Marshall, arguably the two weakest teams to earn bowl spots. And the reasons are simple – first, this league just does not have the speed and athleticism to match up against the rest of the nation when the opposition is taking the games seriously (keep in mind that some of those regular-season successes in non-conference games can come from opponents taking M.A.C. teams lightly). Second, most of the schools are based in locations that make December practices awkward and inefficient, at best. Which takes us to this game, which we see as simply more of the same, with a slow Northern Illinois squad subject to being fully exploited in this setting.

This will be the fourth straight season for the Big East to face the M.A.C. in this bowl, and the results so far have been deceptive – although the Big East is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS, the talent gap has been even wider than the scoreboards have been able to show. Two years ago Rutgers nearly pulled off the bowl rarity of a “Double 300”, rushing for 292 yards and passing for 303 in an easy win over Ball State. And LY’s 38-20 scoreboard win for Connecticut over Buffalo did not even come close to measuring the game on the field, with the Huskies out-rushing the Bulls by a 358-24 count, one of the widest gaps ever for that category in a bowl game.

So now we fast forward to this season and what is different? Not all that much. If anything the matchup becomes even more awkward, for while South Florida does have issues in terms of discipline year-in and year-out, the Bulls bring as much speed and athleticism as any team in the Big East, and that provides a tough challenge for a Northern Illinois team that is severely challenged in those areas. The Huskies play smart football and when in against their own class have been able to control the line of scrimmage, but they went 0-4 against bowl teams this season, including losses to light-weights Idaho and Ohio, and in what should have been their step-up game, that regular-season finale at Central Michigan, they were beaten by much worse than the 45-31 final score, allowing the Chippewas to roll to a 38-10 lead after three quarters, and over 200 yards both running and passing. Now they find the running lanes closed here, and a passing attack that produced only 151.7 yards per game, #109 in the nation, can not pick up the slack.

South Florida has played twice since the last time Northern was on the field, and practicing in Tampa in December is much more pleasant than what the Huskies have had to do. The time off provides the opportunity to finally tweak the offense around B. J. Daniels, who had to go right into the mix when Matt Grothe went down, and Daniels had to learn under real pressure, with seven of his nine starts coming against bowl opponents. In throwing for 1,766 yards and 12 TD’s, and running for 798 yards and two more scores, he brings an explosiveness this defense rarely faces, and the added practice time means a chance to get more comfortable in the offense, creating the opportunity for a lot of big plays.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

SuperSportsGroup

Saturday Jan 2nd

International Bowl 12pm
PICK: No Illinois +7 Game (9*) Best Bet of the day
PICK: UNDER 48.5 Game (5*)


Papa Johns Bowl 2pm
PICK: UConn +3.5 Game (7*)


Liberty Bowl 5:30pm
PICK: OVER 63.5 Game (8*)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

MREAST NBA SATURDAY PLAY OF THE DAY

This is yet another in a series of games that are part of a huge system I have discovered. This system has beaten the spread continuously and is based on just a single condition, and has now over 2,000 games in the data set. This is one of very few plays I make blindly on systems, but with over 2,000 games in the data and just one condition, it is a blind play. This is a play on the OVER in this game, as it clearly continues to thrive.

#507 MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES @ #508 INDIANA PACERS 7PM EST

PLAY ON #507 MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES @ #508 INDIANA PACERS OVER 207.5 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-2-10

R.A.W. FOOTBALL
No Best Bets
3* = Arkansas
2* = South Florida
2* = Connecticut