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Indian Cowboy's stuff today:
4 Unit Play. #706. Take the Charlotte Bobcats -6.5 over the Chicago Bulls (Tuesday @ 7pm est).
4-0 in NBA in January ($+1600)
Winning 7 of 8 CBB Weeks
Winning 3 Straight NBA Weeks
Winning Back to Back Football Weeks
Daily Youtube video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZw24p8fDQ8
Comp: Nets vs. Bucks
You have to give the Bulls front office some credit for putting heat on the coaching staff and they are shaping up as the Bulls are 14-18 now. Chicago has covered 4 of 5 and 7 of 10 but they do come off a home loss to the Thunder and look to bounce-back here. Having said that, the Bobcats have revenge against the Bulls from an earlier loss and come off a huge victory over the Cavs and the Heat on the road. This team has consistently begin to play better as Jordan has made some quality personnel moves of late. Yes, Michael Jordan has actually pulled some right strings of late and that could just be because he is getting better at the gig after making some horrendous mistakes such as Kwame Brown and believing that Sean May can actually play. This team has brought in veteran talent such as Stephen Jackson and Boris Diaw over the last two seasons and it has added a defensive toughness to this team. Charlotte has played well at home all year as they are 11-4 at home and have covered their last four straight ballgames themselves. I like the Bobcats here with revenge and note that the Bulls are 0-8 ATS when they are an underdog by this margin and the Bobcats are 6-0 ATS against the NBA Central of late.
4 Unit Play. #728. Take South Florida +1.5 over Notre Dame (Tuesday @ 7pm est). This is not going to be an easy game to win. But, it is a game that we can pull out here as keep in mind this is a conference game for both teams. South Florida is a much improved team this year as they have several key starters back and this team is the same team that beat Virginia at home earlier this year holding to less than 50 points at home. They ended up beating them by double-digits and Virginia is considered a top 50 squad in the nation. Notre Dame is a top 75 squad in the country and they are similarly ranked to South Florida. Both of these teams come off tough conference losses as Notre Dame fell short to UConn and South Florida fell short to Louisville on the highway. Nevertheless, South Florida is 8-4 ATS this year, 4-1 ATS when coming off a straight up loss of 20 points or more and the Irish are 3-10 ATS over their last 13 road games. I like the Bulls here with the home court, likely getting some home cooking calls in a close game, this team has played well at home beating the likes of Virginia, Kent State, Davidson on neutral court and nearly beating South Carolina on the road. This is also a solid public fade on the day as well as nearly 70% are riding Notre Dame here.
Daily Research: NBA, SEC, ACC, Big10, Big12, Ivy
Orlando vs. Indiana: Orlando beat this team by 8 earlier this year, they come off a road loss to the Bulls and look to bounce-back while the Pacers have been miserable and come off getting crushed by the Knicks and Nate Robinson on the road. A lean on the Magic off the loss here but the Pacers do have some revenge and might show some heart after the ugly loss in MSG.
Washington vs. Philadelphia: Washington has beat this team twice already this year so this is a big revenge game for the Sixers who come back home after a pretty good road trip. The Sixers won at Denver in a big road game and I like them here with the revenge as the Wizards just have not been able to win despite having some quality talent. Gilbert Arenas btw is a douche due to pulling out a handgun over a 25k gambling dispute with J.Crittenton.
Milwaukee vs. New Jersey: NJ has revenge from an earlier loss coming into this game, this is a great public fade and I wouldn't be a bit surprised if NJ wins this game at home as they did play very well against Cleveland before falling short in the end. I like Jersey here.
Detroit vs. Dallas: Dallas here comes off getting romped by the Lakers at home. Detroit has revenge coming into this gam and I don't like how Dallas is favored by 71% of the public despite coming off the loss. Detroit has failed to cover their last nine contests however. I'm just staying away from this game.
Golden State vs. Denver: Denver has been great this year coming off an ATS loss but GS does have revenge losing to this team by 28 last time. GS has covered four of their last five here as well and that includes with wins over Boston, Phoenix and being very competitive against the Lake Show in Staples. Nevertheless, with Denver off a loss and laying the big number, no thanks.
Memphis vs. Portland: This is a tough call here. These two teams have split the regular season ballgames with Memphis recently winning on the road by ten points as a double-digit dog. However, Memphis is 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games including going 7-3 SU over their last 10 games as they are back to .500 despite having AI nearly crush this team's chemistry earlier this year. Portland comes off a loss to the Clips though, and has revenge, so no thanks.
Phoenix vs. Sacramento: Sac is the huge public dog here and Phoenix is the 70% public fav on the short line. Note that Sac comes off a loss to Dallas and Phoenix comes off a loss to Grizzlies at home after beating the Celtics and Lakers at home recently. With not wanting to go against Phoenix against a loss as well as not wagering on the big public fav, or going against Sac with revenge, I'm staying away from this game.
Houston vs. LA Lakers: Lakers come off a huge win over the Mavs here and they lay the big number here. Houston did win at LA earlier this year and they have split the regular season. But, the Lakers are a type of team that loves to get big revenge like they did against the Mavs recently at home. Houston does come off a loss however and I hate laying the big number, so no thanks.
Georgia vs. Georgia Tech: I would like to take GT here but Georgia comes off an embarrassing loss to Missouri on the road and coach Fox obviously will look to get his team to bounce-back. Plus, I don't like the 5.5 line as that is typically indicative of an underdog likely to do well.
Illinois vs. Iowa: Illinois comes off the nationally televised loss to Gonzaga at home in overtime in a thriller and they look to bounce-back. They did beat Northwestern at home and have some big wins including over Vandy as well. I can see Illinois taking out some frustration off that loss to the Zags at home on Iowa here.
Minnesota vs. Purdue: Minnesota comes off a win over Iowa on the road by double-digits and prior to that defeating Penn State at home to open conference play at 2-0. Purdue crushed WVU at home recently and they swept this team last year and coverd both spreads as well. I lean on Minny here plus the points, but I can't go against the Boilermakers here.
Texas vs. Arkansas: Texas has only had one road game this year and that was against Rice. Granted, they did win that game by about 20 or so points and Arkansas is not that much better than Rice. Arkansas has lost to UAB and Baylor at home and frankly, they are not all that impressive this year. I can see Texas covering the big number here despite being on the road.
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado: Miami of Ohio is 3-9 but their SOS has been insane. This team lost by a buzzer beater to Kentucky in Rupp Arena, Cincy by just four and to Xavier by just three on the road. I can see Miami of Ohio hanging tough here and likely staying inside the number. This team comes off an ugly loss to Tulsa on the road though so I have to respect Colorado for that, but this is not a gimme game for Colorado. Look for Miami of Ohio to be solid in conference play when it starts for them as this brutal non-conference SOS will help them in the long run.
Central Florida vs. Ole Miss: Central Florida should have tough given that they hung tough against UConn on the road losing by just 9, they come off a shocking loss to Jacksonville at hom as a likely look-ahead to this game and to lost to Big East South Florida by just four on the road. Nevertheless, Ole Miss is a very talented team that is making noise in the SEC West as they are 11-2 and top 20 in the country. I'm just staying away here.
Tuesday's winner... 1,000-Unit College Bowl Max Bet Game of the Year - GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS
OK guys, this has been a game I’ve been looking forward to since the bowl matchups were announced. This game is so one-sided, it’s time to jump on it and hammer the man.
Iowa was living a charmed life this season, winning with absolutely no offense and with some miracles at the end. Then that caught up to them with a home loss to Northwestern on Nov. 7, falling 17-10 as a 14-point favorite. Then the following week they went to Ohio State and lost in overtime, 27-24, with the Buckeyes dominating them with the rushing game, running for 229 yards to just 67 for Iowa.
The Buckeyes’ Brandon Saine ran for 103 yards on 11 carries with two TDs and Daniel Herron ran for 97 yards and a score. That was an average rushing attack, what is the potent attack of Georgia Tech going to do to this Iowa defense?
The Yellow Jackets averaged 35.3 points a game this season, 442.7 yards per game and 307.2 yards per game on the ground. This is the second-ranked rushing attack in the country and they completely dominate the time of possession, averaging more than 34 minutes of possession per contest.
Georgia Tech QB Josh Nesbitt has progressed in this offense and he looked like a master in the ACC title game against Clemson, leading the ‘Jackets to a 39-34 win as a one-point favorite. He threw for 136 yards and a touchdown and ran for 103 more yards and another score. This season Nesbitt has thrown for 1,689 yards, 10 TDs and just four INTs and rushed for 991 yards and 16 scores.
Iowa has scored just 15.3 points a game over its last three and managed just 250.7 yards of total offense. They have scored 21 points or less in five of their last nine games and managed more than 30 points just once.
The Yellow Jackets have scored 30 points or more in seven of their last nine contests. They are on ATS streaks of 8-2 overall, 6-2 as a favorite, 4-1 against winning teams and 5-2 following a spread-cover.
Iowa will have no idea how to stop the triple-option rushing attack of Georgia Tech. Go ahead and lay the chalk with the Jackets
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