1-7-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

Teddy Covers

Alabama

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

Invictus Sports
Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide


It is finally the BCS National Championship Game! The Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California will host the much anticipated battle between the Texas Longhorns and the Alabama Crimson Tide. This will be ninth meeting between these two schools, the first since the 1982 Cotton Bowl Classic. The first time these two schools met was over a 100 years ago in 1902. The Texas Longhorns are 7-0-1 against Alabama in those previous meetings. This game brings a lot of rich tradition with it, as the Crimson Tide has 6 National Championship Titles, and even if Texas wins this game tonight, they will still trail the Tide by one. So let’s break this puppy down…

Let’s take a quick second to look at the officials for this game. Cincinnati was not invited to the National Championship game this year, but the Big East will still be represented at least, by the officials. The six automatic-qualifying BCS conferences are the only leagues that officiate the five BCS bowl games. Whichever conference works the BCS National Championship Game misses a BCS bowl the next season. Because the SEC and Big 12 are in this year's championship game, those conferences couldn't officiate it. The ACC was eliminated because it officiated last season's BCS title game. That left the Big East, Big Ten and Pac-10. Big East officials got the nod because this will be their second national championship game in 12 years, leaving all six BCS conferences with two national title games in a 12-year period. Interestingly enough, the last time the Big East officiated this game in January 2004, was when Nick Saban's LSU team defeated Oklahoma for the BCS national championship. On to more important pieces to the puzzle…
The coaches are equals. Both Texas and Alabama’s Programs were struggling before Mack Brown and Nick Saban both respectfully came in and restored their perspective teams programs. After Texas slumped its way through the 1990s, Brown came in and restored the Longhorns to greatness. Mack Brown has won at least 10 games for nine consecutive seasons. After Alabama slumped its way through this decade, Saban arrived and over the last two seasons has restored the Crimson Tide to greatness. After going 6-6 in the 2007 regular season, Saban's first year, Alabama has gone 25-2. Nick Saban looks to become the first coach in the modern era to win national championships at two different schools.

Let’s not forget a very important and interesting piece to this game on the coaching side. The Texas Longhorns defensive coordinator is Will Muschamp. Will Muschamp was just coming off his first season as the defensive coordinator at Division II Valdosta State when Nick Saban hired him in the same capacity at LSU. Together they won the 2004 National Championship. Nick Saban then decided to take his coaching box to the NFL, as the Miami Dolphins Head Coach. And would you believe it, Saban had enough confidence in Muschamp that he too went to the NFL and served as Saban’s defensive coordinator at the NFL level. One year later Muschamp decided to go back to college and was the defensive coordinator at Auburn. Nick Saban took the job at Alabama, and they met head to head for the first time in 2007. Let’s not forget that Will Muschamp won that battle, so the scorecard in their rivalry is Muschamp 1, Saban 0. Interesting enough, Alabama’s current defensive coordinator, Kirby Smart, and Will Muschamp worked together on the LSU staff together. So it comes as no surprise that the Longhorns and the Crimson Tide are ranked #1 and #2 in rushing defense. Alabama is second in total defense and Texas is third. Both defenses strive on the turnover, and the Tide’s plus 16 turnover ratio is evident, as is the Longhorn’s plus 12 ratio. I would like to call the coaching staff pretty much an equal wash, but I will actually give the Longhorn’s lead by Will Muschamp as the defensive coordinator the edge here.

Let’s take a closer look at the Longhorn’s offense. No surprise the Longhorn’ attack begins with Senior QB Colt McCoy, the all-time winningest QB in NCAAF History. McCoy posted a 45-7 record as the starting QB at Texas en route to the only QB to lead his team to four 10 win seasons. McCoy has uncanny accuracy both in the pocket and outside of it, and his 71% completion percentage is evident of that accuracy. But not only is he a threat to throw the ball, he is not afraid to tuck the ball and take off and run with it. But you don’t score more than 40 points in 8 of your 13 games with only one player, McCoy has benefited from a very good supporting cast. One of those weapons is WR Jordan Shipley, his favorite WR’s. Shipley is not the biggest WR, but he makes up with that lack of height with his precise routes and great hands, as well as some good separation speed that all adds up to balance out his average size. He will go down as one of the greatest WR’s at Texas. I think we also have to note Junior James Kirkendoll who had 48 grabs and 6 of those were for TD’s. Also, Sophomore WR Malcom Williams was second on the team in receiving yards. Texas has a number of high profile players at the skill positions. Of course when it comes to rushing the ball, the Longhorns are not bum-steers. This year they have been lead by talented redshirt freshman Tre Newton. I also think that Cody Johnson will be able to another change of pace back that will be able to really pound the ball between the tackles when they need to do so. Keep in mind that the Longhorns will give it to you from different places. They had 4 rushers with over 300 yards on the ground this year. Up front Texas is as good as anyone, even though Suh made some people question that. They are lead by two All-Americans, Center Chris Hall, and Adam Ulatoski.

Defensively the Longhorns have given up a trifling 15.2 points per game and are anchored on all three layers of their defense. Up front Defensive End Sam Acho and DT Lamarr Houston have caused absolute havoc. Acho is one the nations best pass rushers and led the Horns with 9 sacks and 4 recovered fumbles. He presents a lot of speed that will being coming off the edge. He should have plenty of chances to rush the passer in long down in distances as Houston should plug up the middle pretty good. Roaming behind these defensive lineman are two backers that bring a lot of experience and a lot of athleticism. In fact I love these two guys, Sergio Kindle, and Rodderick Muckelroy. These guys are loaded with athletic ability and are almost hybrid players. Look for them to play a huge impact in stopping the run game and adding some pressure in this game. On the third layer and in the backfield is Earl Thomas. Not only is the guy one of the best ball hawks, if not the best ball hawk safety, he is not afraid to come up and hit some people. He will need to come up and help stopping Heisman trophy winner Mark Ingram. But don’t be fooled, Thomas is up for that challenge. He is not just a one-dimensional player. He is second on the team in tackles, so he is use to coming up and helping in the run game. In all, the Longhorns have given up a measly 808 rushing yards on the season. That is only 62.2 yards per game, and only 2.6 yards per carry. They can matchup with potent rushing attack that Bama presents. Through the air they have given up 188 yards per game, but when you outscore your opponents 529 to 197, they are bound to throw the ball a little more against you.

On to Alabama now. Lets take a look at their offense first. The Crimson Tide were a machine that dominated the time of possession. They held the ball almost 34 minutes per game. That ranks 3rd in the nation. Not to mention they take care of the football, with only 10 turnovers this year. Offensively they present a very balanced attack. They rush for 216 per game on the ground, and 198 through the air. Their big weapon is not secret, and his name is RB Mark Ingram, the Heisman Trophy Winner. Over 1,500 yards rushing, and 15 rushing TD’s (18 total). Alabama holds a pretty good edge in my opinion in the running game. Mark Ingram comes to play against the best. Keep in mind that he played in 5 games against top 25 teams, including 3 top 10 teams. In those games he accounted for just over 1,000 total yards, and 6 TD’s. He averaged over 165 yards per game in those games on the ground alone. He will be up for the challenge. No doubt the rushing attack will be tested by Texas and their number 1 ranked rush defense, but their passing offense has improved each and every week. First year starter Greg McElroy completed 61% of his passes this year, and I still have question marks about his ability to make plays if Texas can put Bama in some long down and distances. Fact of the matter is this…passing got easier for Bama because he got more comfortable as a first year starter, but their rushing offense also took a lot of pressure off of him, as the ground game got better too as the year went on. Julio Jones is his main weapon and he presents some serious size, 6’4, 215 pounds. He was injured at the beginning of the year and sat out a few games so lets not read too much into his stats. He is a big time player and finished the year extremely strong. McElroy has a deep receiving corps besides Jones though…8 different guys caught at least 10 catches this year. The offensive line is their biggest strength and they are lead by Mike Johnson upfront. They have only given up 15 sacks this year, and that will be a huge focus in this game against Muschamp and the Texas defense. One of their biggest strengths was keeping drives alive this year…they were successful on 41% of their 3rd downs this year and 63% on fourth downs. This stat is key in this game, and if Texas can get Bama in long down and distances this number will be a lot lower. The only real weakness I see with Bama is their lack of a successful offense in the red zone. This was not a problem against Florida, but if Texas can make them kick FG’s instead of TD’s this game is going to be close, and the Horns might even win this game Straight up.

On to their defense led by Kirby Smart. Smart’s unit was first in the country in scoring defense this year. They were second in rush defense behind only Texas, and their total defense was only second behind TCU. Their heart and soul is linebacker Rolando McClain. Like Texas, he has a big tackle that takes up blockers in front of him so he can roam and make plays all over the field. For Bama, that guy is Terrence Cody. “Mt. Cody” takes on double teams all the time, and in some cases even triple teams. Texas will have to find an answer for this guy, and I think being dominated by Suh in the Big 12 Championship will help them realize this. Not only is Cody very, very big, but he has some very good feet. He is quick and agile. Texas will try and run the ball, but Bama gives up only 78 yards per game this year on the ground. They have not given up a 100 yard rusher in 32 straight games now. The Tide’s passing defense is where I think Texas will be able to gain an advantage. They had31 sacks this year, and that will be a very important piece to this game. If Texas can protect McCoy, which I think they can, they will be able to exploit a pass defense that I think is weaker than Texas. Bama has a talented Safety in Mark Barron as well. He too is not afraid to come up and help in the run game. He too was second on his team in tackles this year. The Tide are best when it matters most. They are 4th in the nation in 3rd down defense. They only allow opponents to move the chains 29% of the time. In the red zone they are 2nd in the country, and have only allowed teams to score 65% of the time. The defense seems to get stronger as the game plays on as well. They have only allowed 10 points in the 2nd half of their last 4 games. They too live by the turnover, and they were 5th in the nation in that category with a plus 16 ratio.

On to what I feel is going to make or break the game for the two teams…special teams. Texas has a place kicker in Hunter Lawrence that has shown on the national stage that he is one the most clutch kickers ever. His .839 FG % ranks #1 all-time in Texas history. Justin Tucker handles the punting and is averaging 40.6 yards per punt. Jordan Shipley returns punts and is averaging 13.3 yards per return this year. Not to mention he has returned 2 for TD’s.

For Bama their place kicker is Leigh Tiffin. He is the school’s all-time leader in FG’s. He too is a very, very good kicker. He is 38 of 41 this year on his FG attempts. Handling the punting duties is P.J. Fitzgerald. He is averaging 42.1 yards per punt. In the return game is another stud, Javier Arenas. He averages 16.3 yards per punt return. He also averages 29.0 yard per kick return. He is only 29 yards short of becoming the NCAA’s All-time leader in punt return yards. With another punt return for a TD he will also be the all-time NCAA career leader.

With all of the broken down I feel that this game is going to become an instant classic. I feel whoever has the ball last is going to kick the game winning FG. I believe that Texas can matchup against Alabama in the run game. I give Texas a big edge in the passing game. I give Alabama the edge in the running game. Both sides of the ball have players that can make plays. Both coaching staffs are brilliant, and both special teams are explosive. This game will come down to turnovers…who can protect the ball better and who can move the chains on 3rd down. I expect that Texas will be the one that can do that better. I am going to take Texas and the points in this game.

Texas +4.5 (10 Units) (Very Rare to be this high)
Texas +174 Moneyline (4 Units)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

St.Bernadine Sports
Andrew Bucciarelli
Wednesday 1-2 (-1.66 unit)
Week to Date 9-7 (+4.68 units)
Current RUN 44-24 (+25.14 Units)

4**** Vancouver Canucks (-168) over Phoenix Coyotes The teams are meeting for only the second time this season, and the Coyotes are visiting GM Place for the first time this season. The Canucks will continue to try to bank points at home as they prepare for their 14 game Olympic induced road trip. The combo of Sedin and Burrows has proven to be advantageous as Burrow has 10 goals and 18 points in 22 games. The Coyotes will be without Martin Havlat and Scottie Upshall, which is two big hits for them. At 17-6-0, the Canucks have more home victories than any team other than Chicago. At the GM Place versus the Coyotes, Vancouver is 12-2-1 in their last 15 meetings and 17-4-1 with two ties since moving from Winnipeg to the Desert. (phoenix)
Take VANCOUVER.

3*** Nashville Predators (-172) over Carolina Hurricanes

The Hurricanes will be without center Eric Staal tonight as they try for their third consecutive road win. They also will be without Erik Cole, Chad LaRose, Scott Walker, Joe Corvo, and possibly Sergei Samsonov. Cam Ward is the most likely starter for the Canes and is 6-14-5 with 3.03 GAA on the season and 0-2-0 with 3.02 GAA against the Predators. The Canes are 1-4-0 all-time at Nashville and the Preds have won 2 in a row and three of the last four in the series. Look for a strong outing from the Preds against injury plagued Carolina.
Take NASHVILLE

2** Detroit Red Wings (+115) over Los Angeles Kings
This is the second of four meetings this season as Detroit won the first matchup, 5-2. The Red Wings have held the upper hand over LA recently, winning five in a row overall against the Kings and four straight at Staples Center. Detroit has only lost twice in its last 21 contests against the Kings. Todd Bertuzzi has four points and is a plus-3 in his last five games for the Wings. Zetterberg and Cleary are aiming for their returns tonight. Detroit is second in the Western Conference with an average of 33.3 shots per game. Detroit looks to continue its domination of the Kings tonight.
Take DETROIT.

2** Montreal Canadiens (-140) over Florida Panthers

A tight matchup tonight occurs between two teams that are doing the same exact thing but differently. The Canadiens are 7-3-1 in games away from home in their last 11 as the Panthers are doing great at home and poorly on the road, as they have dropped the last 8 of 11. Canadiens will be looking to start Jaroslav Halak as he is 5-1-0 with 2.15 GAA in his last six starts overall and is 3-0-0 with a 3.25 GAA in three career games against the Panthers. The Canadiens also have the league’s top power-play unit in which they convert 25.0% in the man advantage and will look to take huge advantage of the Panthers low ranked penalty kill. (bottom third of NHL, 79.0%) Look for Stephen Weiss to step up and score in this game as Montreal has won six of seven meetings with Florida.
Take MONTREAL.


1* Edmonton Oilers (-130) over Columbus Blue Jackets

The worst two teams of the Western Conference head to war tonight as the Oilers look to extend the Jackets record road skid to 14 games. The teams have split the season series 1 a piece. Both clubs have just one win since December 10. There is not much to say other than poor performances all around. The Edmonton Oilers seem to be the more productive of the two and have been taking advantage of scoring opportunities unlike Columbus.
Take EDMONTON.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR
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This is a rare money making opportunity from 2 of the Biggest Names in the Sports Betting industry join myself and Vegas Runner for this Big Game and bet the same game as Marco D'Angelo & Vegas Runner.
This should be available early Thursday!!

Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

NICK PARSONS
**CODE RED** BOWL BLOWOUT "GAME OF YEAR"!

Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

RAS No.Az-4..East Kentucky-2..

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

anthony redd:

15-Dime - La Salle



15-Dime - New Orleans



15-Dime - UC Irvine



5-Dime - Tennessee Martin



5-Dime - Tennessee State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

booooooooooooooooooooooooooooj


alabama -4


75 units

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

Ryan’s top rated 25* BCS Championship TITAN
Join Ryan for a the culmination of his 2-year run in bowl games that have produced a 26-10-2 ATS run. This is a play that ranks among the strongest 25 plays ever produced by his Ai Simulator spanning 15+ seasons. Plus, TWO remarkable systems, angles, and game analysis you will dominate this game.


Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

garrett

30 DIMER - ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE

They call Alabama the Crimson Tide, call me Deacon Blues! Ahhh, just wanted to work in a little Steely for ya there.

Willing to lay a few points with the favorite, as I think ALL AROUND, Alabama is the better team, and the fact Mark Ingram gives Bama the decided edge in the running department will make a difference before this game is concluded.

Both teams feature dominant defenses, but playing in the SEC, the Tide faced the much tougher schedule. Let's face it, the Big 12 definitely was not up to par this season competition-wise, which is going to hurt the Horns tonight.

The way Texas struggled to move the ball against Nebraska is a definite red-flag to me going up against the best defense in the land, and you can assume Colt McCoy won't be doing much business against this smash-mouth stop unit.

The Tide were favored by single-digits 3 times this year, and they covered ALL 3, beating bowl teams in Virginia Tech, Ole Miss, and LSU.

This is Saban's year. Roll Tide!

10 DIMER - TEXAS-ALABAMA UNDER

After watching both defenses numerous times this season, it seems clear to me that this game is not going to be a shoot-out.

I feel the total on this game is right around where it should be, as I can see this one getting quite close to heading Over, but I do feel there will be enough defense flexed by both sides that will keep this title game Under the posted total.

Texas comes into this game having played low in 6 of their last 8 games played at a neutral site, while Alabama is on a 5-2-1 Under run their last 8 games played.

For the season, Alabama has held 10 of their 13 foes to 15 points or less, while Texas held 9 of their 13 opponents to 14 points or less.

Points at a premium tonight boys, play the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

Chris Jordan Thursday night winner ...

2010 BCS TITLE GAME WINNER
600? ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE



I will get to your analysis by 2 p.m. eastern. But for those of you who have been subscribing to Chris Jordan for the past half-dozen years, I want you to think back to when I delivered an easy winner on LSU against Oklahoma when Nick Saban was coaching the Tigers.

Get ready for the same type of reasoning, as Saban is a mastermind with his blitzing schemes and I am counting on the defensive pressure to get it done.


- - - - - -
NOTE - With this line tonight, you're going to be seeing it anywhere from 4 to 4-1/2; right now the majority of lines I am seeing is at 4, but in the event you do have a 4-1/2 with your book, absolutely buy the half-point and lay the flat number.

Why do this with a game I am so confident is going to win by at least a touchdown? Cause this is still G-A-M-B-L-I-N-G, and anything can happen - just as you saw last night. I cannot predict injuries or late calls by game officials - you saw them work in my favor last night.

So with this line, FOR SURE we're buying down to -4. And when you see the line drop to 3-1/2 purchase it down to -3 ... why not? Let's insure this game even further for all the same reasons!!!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

VR. 5* GOY. Texas +4 Bodog is using +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

Doc's NCAAB

4 Unit Play. #715 Take Michigan +2 ½ over Penn State (7 pm ESPN 2)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-7-10

TOMMY GUNN
College Football
Alabama - 4
Texas/Alabama: Under 46

College Hoops
Michigan/Penn St: Under 127.5
Western Kentucky - 1.5 over South Alabama

Pro Hoops
Charlotte +3.5 over New York

Pro Hockey
Chicago/Boston: Over 5