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Re: 1-7-10
Howie Feiner
Alabama/Texas Under
Howie Feiner
Alabama/Texas Under
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Re: 1-7-10
Wunderdog
I rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units). Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Texas vs. Alabama (Thursday 1/07 8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Texas +4 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)Comment
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Re: 1-7-10
Black Widow
6* W ido w W iseg uy Texas/Bama B C S Ch ampio nshi p ATS "BL OOD BA TH" on Alabama -3.5(-105 at 5dimes)
Simply put, the Crimson Tide are a better team. It would take a lot to go wrong for Alabama not to dominate Texas in this match-up. Texas only has two weapons on offense, and that's QB Colt McCoy and WR Jordan Shipley. Alabama has set up a perfect game plan to take Shipley out of this game, and to try and make others beat them. It's that simple. Meanwhile, Alabama can do it all offensively. They have Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram in the backfield, and his backup Richardson offers a great change-of-pace back when he goes in there. They have star WR Julio Jones, who, in a spread offense, would be putting up stupid numbers. Instead, he's been a team player and is a great blocker downfield, along with an unbelievable playmaker. They also have Maze on the outside who will have a big game with Jones getting a lot of attention. Both teams have excellent defenses, but Alabama's numbers are much more impressive considering the schedule they have played. The Crimson Tide give up just 11.0 points/game and 243 total yards/game. Texas nearly lost to Texas A&M and Nebraska to close out their season, while Alabama crushed Florida, who are probably the second-best team in the country in our opinion. Alabama has come too far to let Texas steal the glory. Alabama is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. You are looking at one of the best teams in the history of college football, and they prove it Thursday. Take Alabama and lay the points.Comment
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Re: 1-7-10
bryant
Thursday 1.7.2010
BCS National Championship - Texas vs. Alabama - 8:35 p.m. ET on ABC
Bet: UNDER 46
I have dissected this game every which way possible. I've looked at each team's stats in exactly 37 different categories. And after that extensive research, I'm completely convinced that the absolute best possible play on this game is on the UNDER.
We've seen a trend in these bowl games, and it's that a great defense will seriously limit an explosive offense. We saw it in the Rose Bowl, where Ohio State's defense limited Oregon's potent offense to just 17 points. We saw it again in the Fiesta Bowl, where TCU and Boise State (two teams averaging over 40 points per game) were held to a combined 27 points (and seven of those points came on an INT return). And we saw it yet again in the Orange Bowl, where Iowa's tough defense held the explosive Georgia Tech offense to seven points (the other TD came on an INT return). I see no reason why we won't see the same scenario unfold tonight.
Texas comes in with the 3rd-ranked scoring offense (40.7 ppg), while Alabama brings the #25 scoring offense (31.7 ppg) into the contest. But these two have some VERY tough defenses. Alabama ranks #2 in the nation, allowing just 11 points per game. Texas is not far behind at #8, giving up just 15.2 points per game. And these defenses don't give much against top competition either. Against bowl opponents, Texas allowed 15 points per game on 18.6 yards per point. Alabama gave up just 13 points per game on 21.1 yards per point against bowl opponents.Comment
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Re: 1-7-10
Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NHL Hockey
Game: Ottawa Senators @ Washington Capitals - Thursday January 7, 2010 7:05 pm
Pick: 3 units MONEYLINE: Ottawa Senators +170
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Ottawa as they take on Washington in NHL action set to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 63-54 making 36.7 units since 1996. Play on road dogs of +100 to +200 against the money line off a home loss against a division rival and with a victorious percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season. Ottawa is also a resounding 11-3 against the money line (+11.3 Units) when playing against a marginal victorious team posting a win percentage of 51% to 60% in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Washington is a very good team, but their biggest weakness is killing power plays. They rank 21st killing 79.8% so Ottawa’s game plan will still be to play quite physical, but to be smart and not draw foolish penalties. If they can equal PP opportunities with Washington they have an excellent chance to win. Take Ottawa.Comment
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Re: 1-7-10
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* W iseg uy C B B G am e of the N igh t on Troy -1(-108 at 5dimes)
Troy has too much offensive firepower for Florida Atlanta to keep up Thursday. Troy scores 81.1 points/game and shoots 48.9% from the floor. Meanwhile, FAU is shooting just 39.7% this season which is a big reason for their 5-9 start. They also give up 78.0 points/game. Troy is 15-6 in their last 21 meetings with FAU overall, and 7-3 in their last 10 road meetings. FAU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Take Troy and lay the points.Comment
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Re: 1-7-10
Wunderdog
NHL
Game: Chicago at Boston (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Chicago -140 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2.9)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 5 +120 (risk 4 to win 4.8)
The Blackhawks are starting to look like the team to beat in the NHL
with 30 wins 10 losses and three shootout losses. They are coming out
on the right side of games 70% of the time and are certainly offering
some value here. The Bruins have not been the same team they were a
year ago on home ice as they have already suffered as many losses at
home as they did all of last season. The Blackhawks have cashed 38 of
their last 52 as a favorite, while the Bruins are just 1-6 in their
last seven as a dog of +110 to +150, where the UNDER is also 12-3-1,
as well as 25-9 when the Bruins face a team with a winning percentage
of .600 or higher. I'll go with Chicago, and the UNDER in this one.
Game: Florida at Montreal (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Florida +125 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)
The Montreal Canadiens are a very streaky team. They are unbeatable
when they’re streaking, but winless when they are struggling. They
already have six multiple-game winning streaks on the season, but
unfortunately, they have matched that with six multiple-game losing
streaks. They are in one of their losing funks now and to make matters
worse, their home winless streak has now reached four games. This
series has been dominated by the road team who has won eight of the
last 11, and the dog has won seven of the last 10. This is not a good
spot of the up-and-down Canadiens who are down right now. Florida gets
the call here.
Game: Columbus at Edmonton (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Columbus +105 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4.2)
The Blue Jackets looked like a potential playoff team early, but
coming out on the wrong side of 21 of their last 24 has changed that
thinking. Signs point to things starting to change after eight of 11
scoring just 1 goal or less. The Blue Jackets produced 2 vs. Colorado,
and 3 in their last game vs. Vancouver, so the offense has come out of
the slump. As futile as it has been for the Blue Jackets, the Oilers
have claimed the right side in just 1 of their last 11, allowing 4
goals per game. The ledger vs. the West is an uninviting 0-9 in their
last nine games. I will trust that the Jackets can continue to build
on offensive success vs. a team allowing 4 per game, and come away
with the win here. Columbus gets this one.
Game: Phoenix at Vancouver (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 5 +120 (risk 4 to win 4.8)
The Canucks are allowing exactly 2 goals against them at home through
23 home games. As a dog, the Coyotes have had a lot of low-scoring
games resulting in a 33-16-3 mark to the UNDER. They have also
stepped-up the defense when facing an opponent who scored 5 or more in
their last game as none of the last eight have topped the total. The
Canucks are stingy vs. losing teams at home where they have played
12-4 to the UNDER in their last 16. This is a good spot to take
advantage of an excess on the total as we get significant odds in a
good situation. I'll go with the UNDER here.Comment
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