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Re: 1-13-10
ras
all 1 unit
utep +2.5
tex tech +3.5
nev -3.5
ras
all 1 unit
utep +2.5
tex tech +3.5
nev -3.5
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Re: 1-13-10
lefty
NCAABB
1* on these totals
UGLY game system
1* C. Michigan/Ball st o-114.5(7pm) - Ball st is prone to some abysmal shooting nights when facing solid defensive teams. C.Michigan isn't one of them. They have allowed teams to top 125 in points per possession(PPP) which translates to 55-60 pts. as you will see with my pick of C Michigan in the game also, that if Ball st can get to 55, then this game should get to 120 based on C.Mich getting to at least 65.
1* George Mason/Georgia st o-117.5(7pm) - What gets this game over is the mason defense isn't strong. They allow teams a top 100 in PPP and while Geo st isn't an up tempo team by any stretch of the imagination, they should be able to top the 60 pts barrier here. Georgia st also has allowed 60+ points to 7 of their last 8 opponents so they don't exactly shut you down either as their PPP is slightly lower but they allow more possessions in total.
1* Syracuse/Rutgers over 144(7:30 pm) - I have this hitting 158. Syracuse in top 15 in pace and they put up in the 70's vs Pitt and Memphis, 2 slower teams. They should easily reach their 85 pts season avg here. Does Rutgers hit 60? Since I think the spread is about right, that would put the Knights around 70 putting this one well about 10-15 pts over the posted total.
2* Virginia -2 over Georgia tech(7pm) - Another unranked opponent favored over a ranked opponent angle here. Plus we also have the sandwich game angle to look at. Georgia tech is off of a big win at Duke and next up is another big game at N.Carolina. That makes this a classic look ahead spot for Tech. Virginia is playing with confidence right now as they have won 5 in a row over some questionable competition but still those wins give them momentum here. .
1* Central Michigan -9 over Ball st - The Chippewas have lived on the road for the last month and now get to play only their 2nd home game since 11/18/09. Look for them to come out with a renewed enthusiasm. It is amazing what sleeping in your own dorms for a couple of days in a row will do for you. They have played well since getting some rest(this is only their 3rd game in 23 days) and I look for them to come out and put 70 on Ball st.
1* Michigan st -6.5 over Minnesota(6:30 pm) - This is one I like to play every year. Michigan st just owns Minnesota. They have lost just once in the last 5 years to the Gophers. The style that the 2 schools play just create bad match ups for Minny. Kind of like BC vs N.Carolina. Every team has that team they just have success with. Spartans are always tough at home as they just get after the boards better at home. That is the one area where they will make hay tonight.Comment
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Re: 1-13-10
Rocketman
Boston College +17
Boston College travels to Durham, NC tonight to take on the Duke Blue Devils in an ACC matchup. Boston College is now 10-6 overall on the season while Duke comes in with a 13-2 record this year. Boston College has been a solid road underdog team as they are 74-45 ATS on the road since 1997. Boston College is allowing only 63.7 points per game overall this year. That defense alone gives us a solid chance of covering the high number here tonight. Boston College has covered 6 of 8 games against Duke since 1997. Duke is 0-5 ATS their last 5 games after a SU loss. The last 3 meetings between these two teams has resulted in Duke winning by 1 point, 10 points and Boston College winning outright by 6 points. I'm expecting another close game here tonight. We'll play Boston College for 4 units tonight!Comment
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Re: 1-13-10
Tony George
Pittsburgh +6
DEFENSE. U Conn has lost to common opponents while Pitt has won, even on the road. U Conn has allowed 70 ppg their last 5 games, while Pitt has allowed 58 ppg. I like the depth of Pit here, in what should be a very tight game and Pitt has won and covered 4 out of the last 5 in this heated series. Pitt 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 in conference action. Too many points, 3 pointer one way or the other. Play 1 Unit on PittComment
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Re: 1-13-10
Lenny Del Genio
New Orleans -5.5
We feel that all the right factors are in place for a Hornets blowout here. For starters, going back to April of '07, they have absolutely dominated the Clippers, winning and covering all 11 meetings. Six of those wins have come by double-digits, including the first meeting of this year, a 112-84 decision at Staples Center. Eight days later they would beat LA again, this time at home by a score of 110-102 and that was without Chris Paul. The Hornets PG is back and playing well, posting four straight double-doubles and is averaging 17.3 PPG and 12.8 APG in the month of January, a stretch that has seen the team go 5-1 straight up. Off their first loss of the new year, to Philadelphia no less, New Orleans isn't going to take the Clippers lightly here, especially considering their opponents come in having covered the number in each of their last seven games. Furthermore, they catch Los Angeles in a great spot as the Clips played last night in Memphis, losing 104-102, a game that was delayed 36 minutes to due a fire alarm malfunction and saw them blow a double-digit lead. We expect a flat effort from the visitors tonight. Also worth pointing out is how good the Hornets have been at home recently while how poorly the Clippers have played on the road during that same stretch. New Orleans checks in with a 14-3 home record, third best in the conference (behind only the Lakers and Denver, who have both played more home games) and have won six straight on their own floor. LA, meanwhile, has now lost its last five road games to fall to 5-11 SU in away games this season. The Clippers are not an effective team when playing with revenge (37-53 ATS last two seasons) and are even worse in double revenge spots going 28-41 ATS. We don't have the numbers when they play with revenge for 11 straight losses! New Orleans, meanwhile, is 35-14 ATS in this building when off BB non-conference games. Playing in the second night of back to backs has not been kind to LA this year as they are 2-4-1 ATS in said scenario. New Orleans is our #1 NBA Blowout of the Month.Comment
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Re: 1-13-10
Dwayne Bryant
Bet: #756 Virginia -2
Love this game for a couple reasons. First, despite a majority of the bets coming in on Tech, this line has moved from Virginia -1 to -2. That's a pretty good indicator of where the "smart money" is going. Second, this is a very tough spot for Tech. They're coming off a huge upset win over Duke, and they have a visit to North Carolina to take on the Tar Heels up next. So this is a definite look-ahead and/or flat spot for Georgia Tech. Virginia has reeled off five straight wins and they're playing with great confidence right now, so looking past the Cavaliers will be a big mistake. Virginia has shot the 3-pointer very well, especially at home (45.7%), but Tech hasn't defended it all that well on the road (37.7%). The Cavs have also defended very well at home (56.1 points allowed per game on 39.2% shooting) and they rebound well there also (+8.5 boards per game). The line move and the huge possibility of a look-ahead/letdown tell me that there's only one way to go here. Take Virginia.Comment
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