1-13-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-13-10

BRANDON LANG

Brandon Lang Wednesday's Selection ... 25 DIME - NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS - Huge flat spot for the Badgers.

Off a huge home win over undefeated Purdue, Wisconsin now takes to the road as a small favorite at Northwestern.

I like what the Wildcats showed me with the big road win at Michigan, and now back home catching points is good value.

Off a straight up win Northwestern has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS next game out, and they couldn't ask for a better spot in which to get this Wisconsin team tonight.

Some terrible numbers for the Badgers in this spot tonight:

They are just 2-5 ATS last 7 on the road and 3-8-1 ATS last 12 when facing a team with a winning home record, 1-4 ATS last 5 at Northwestern and 1-4 ATS last 5 and 2-5 ATS last 7 versus the Wildcats overall.

With an outstanding 8-2 home mark with the two losses being to Michigan State and Butler, I really feel this is a great spot for the home dog.

25 dime - Northwestern

FREE SELECTION - TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-13-10

Big Al McMordie

Vanderbilt at Alabama
Prediction: Alabama

At 9 pm, our member selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide over Vanderbilt, as we will fade the Commodores, who have won six straight following two losses in early December (against Illinois and Western Kentucky). But each of Vanderbilt's last six games have come at home, in Nashville, and Vandy is a super 9-0 at home this season. However, it is a mediocre 3-3 away from home, and that's been Vandy's downfall over the years. Indeed, since 1990, the Commodores are an awful 15-43 ATS on the road off a home win, provided they are not favored by more than two points in the current game. Alabama comes into tonight's contest off an upset win, 66-49, at LSU as a 2-point underdog. And the Crimson Tide are 67% (26-13 ATS) since 1997 off an upset win. Bama has covered each of the three meetings between these two clubs over the past two seasons, and we'll back the Crimson Tide tonight

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-13-10

WAYNE ROOT

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

6*Virginia Tech (-3½) over MiamiFlorida (BILLIONAIRE CLUB)
7:00 PM -- Cassell Coliseum


3*Utah State (+3½) over Nevada (VEGAS LEGEND CLUB)
11:00 PM -- Lawlor Events Center

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-13-10

BURNS


Burns' ESPN ANNIHILATOR! (7:00 ET) *1st CBB Total!
Under Total: 132.5/-108

I'm playing on UConn and Pittsburgh to finish UNDER the total. The Huskies blew a 19-point lead in their last game and Coach Calhoun wasn't at all happy. He was quoted as saying: "It's the most heartbreaking loss this year. It's not even close..." I expect him to have his team ready to crank up the defensive intensity here. While this year's lineups have a much different look than last year's, its still worth noting that this has traditionally been a low-scoring series. The UNDER is 3-1 the last four meetings. The three games that stayed below the total had combined scores of 130, 113 and 117. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at 8-4 the last 12 times that these teams faced each other. Both teams can still be tough to score against. The Huskies allow opponents to shoot a mere 37.3%. The Panthers allow opponents to shoot only 38.1%. They're allowing just 58 points per game. The last time that the Huskies were a favorite of this size was their last home game. They held Seton Hall to 35.5% shooting and the game stayed below the total by 20 points. Pittsburgh scores a lot less points than Seton Hall and is also much better defensively. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair. *8 Annihilator


Burns' *10* BEST BET ATS ROUT (7:00 ET) *26-14 L40
Indiana +3.5

I'm taking the points with INDIANA. The Suns are favored largely because they've got the better overall record. However, the Pacers' home record is actually slightly better than the Suns' road record. Indiana is 9-9 at home, Phoenix is 9-10 on the road. Both teams won their last game by identical 105-101 scores. However, the Pacers win was arguably more impressive and was of the "momentum-building" variety. The same can't be said of the Suns victory. That said, I feel the Pacers have an excellent shot at scoring the upset. I say that the Pacers last win was the type a team can build momentum from because they rallied from a 23-point deficit. That came against a Toronto team which had been red hot, too. Prior to that, the Raptors had won eight of 10. With that win, the Pacers are now a perfect 3-0 here at home in 2010. That's got them back to .500 here and they're hungry to climb above the mark tonight. Prior to the win over the Raptors, they'd beaten a very good Orlando team. In other words, if they're capable of defeating the defending Eastern Conf. champs here, they're capable of beating just about anyone. (They also beat the Celtics here earlier in the season - the Celts and Magic are a combined 27-13 on the road) While the Pacers rallied from a big deficit in their last game, the Suns blew a big lead. Facing a Milwaukee team which is now just 4-13 on the road, they Suns squandered a 24-point deficit, fell behind by a point, and hung on to win by only four points. That wasn't anything new for the Suns, either. In their previous three games, they'd blown leads of 13, 16 and 20 points. With the likes of Steve Nash and Amare Stoudemire on the floor, we know that the Suns can score. They also allow the second most points in the league though - only Golden St. allows more - and I believe the Pacers match up well against them. The Pacers, who recently got leading scorer Danny Granger (24.1, 5.9, 2.Cool back, have five players averaging in double-digits and seven players who average nine or more points per game. The Pacers did have some trouble with the Suns in recent years. However, they beat them outright in the last meeting and are 3-1 ATS the last four meetings. They're also a profitable 7-4 ATS the last 11 times that they were coming off a game in which they scored 105 or more points. I expect them to build off the Toronto win and improve on those stats this evening. *10 Best Bet

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-13-10

dr bob
Wednesday College Opinions
Pittsburgh (+6 1/2) over CONNECTICUT
Rotation #725 - 4 pm Pacific
Pittsburgh has improved with Jermaine Dixon and Gilbert Brown now able to contribute (Dixon has played 7 games and Brown 4) and my rating favor the Huskies by only 4 1/2 points in this game with current personnel for each team. That's pretty solid line value and Pitt is 19-7 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points in conference play under coach Jamie Dixon (4-1 ATS versus U Conn), including 2-0 ATS already this season with upset wins over Syracuse and Cincy. I'll lean with Pitt plus the points and I'll take Pittsburgh in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more.

Delaware (+16) over NORTHEASTERN
Rotation #733 - 4 pm Pacific
Both of these teams have picked up their level of play recently, with Delaware having covered in 4 straight games while Northeastern is riding a 7 game win and cover streak. It is Delaware that is likely to continue their spread winning streak tonight, as the Blue Hens apply to a 72-22-1 ATS big underdog situation that is based on their recent spread success. Delaware has actually lost their last 3 games, despite covering in all 3, and the Hens are 20-4 ATS in their last 24 lined games following a loss. The line opened at 17 points and has since gone down, but I'll lean with Delaware plus the points and I'd take Delaware in a 2-Star Best Bet at +17 points or more.

INDIANA STATE (+4) over Wichita State
Rotation #744 - 4 pm Pacific
Indiana State will likely be without leading scorer Dwayne Lathan again tonight, but they Sycamores played well without him on Saturday in a 69-55 win over Evansville and they apply to a very strong 71-19-2 ATS situation tonight that in part is based on Wichita State's winning streak. My ratings favor Wichita State by 4.8 points with Lathan out for the Sycamores, so the line is not quite high enough for me to make this a Best Bet. I'll lean with the Sycamores at +4 points based on the strong situation and I'd take Indiana State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +5 or more.

ALABAMA (-1 1/2) over Vanderbilt
Rotation #800 - 6 pm Pacific
Alabama applies to a very strong 62-13-2 ATS subset of a 130-49-5 ATS home momentum situation while Vanderbilt applies to a negative 75-153-9 ATS road letdown situation that is based on the Commodores' 6 game win streak. Unfortunately, the line is not fair enough to make Bama a Best Bet here, as the Tide should be a 1 point dog rather than a 1 1/2 point favorite. I'll still lean with Alabama at -2 or less based on the strong technical analysis.