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Re: 10-4-08
Asa 5* ....
Okie State -25
Asa 5* ....
Okie State -25
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Re: 10-4-08
ASA
OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS -vs- Texas A&M Aggies
ASA 5-Star Oklahoma State –25
MIAMI (FL) HURRICANES -vs- Florida State Seminoles
ASA 4-Star Miami Fl -2
ARIZONA WILDCATS -vs- Washington Huskies
ASA 3-Star Arizona –22
OHIO STATE BUCKEYES -vs-Wisconsin Badgers
ASA 3-Star Ohio State –2Comment
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Re: 10-4-08
Saturday College Football Comp Play
Colorado +13 over Texas
Texas is in a tough spot. Next week they are in Oklahoma. Could they perhaps be looking ahead? Colorado was embarrassed by Texas 3 seasons ago and some of the Colorado Seniors will never forget that brutal game as they were blown out. Colorado is a better team at home and should keep this close. All of the money is on Texas and they are a perfect 4-0 against the spread this year. Vegas does not make it this easy for Texas backers. Take Colorado.Comment
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Re: 10-4-08
Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 04, 2008
4* Texas Tech/Kansas State over the total: So, are both teams going to score 30? They need to for this total to go over. The answer is "Yes," and I think one team will score 50. These are two talented, uptempo offenses, while Kansas State has an awful defense. Texas Tech (4-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) is off a bye week and coach Mike Leach has quite a system in place, averaging 45 points and 426 yards passing. The high-flying offense has senior QB Graham Harrell (12 TDs, 3 picks) and a ton of experienced receivers led by junior WR Michael Crabtree and sophomore Detron Lewis. Kansas State is led by junior QB Josh Freeman, a terrific passer and runner (11 TDs, 2 interceptions), but this defense is horrible. In a 38-29 loss at Louisville the defense gave up 577 yards, 303 rushing! Kansas State topped Louisiana Lafayette, 45-37, but allowed 509 yards, including 335 yards rushing! It was the second consecutive game an opponent had rushed for more than 300 yards. K-State is on a 25-13 run over the total, and that run continues here. Play Texas Tech/Kansas State over the total.Comment
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Re: 10-4-08
ASA
10/4/2008
2:30:00 PM -2,MIAMI (FL) HURRICANES
-vs-Florida State Seminoles
ASA 4-Star @ Miami Fl (-2) over Florida State - 2:30 pm CST A few years ago, this game rivalry was all the experts could talk about as it usually meant ACC supremacy, but now it’s merely just another game on the schedule. Miami thinks they have found something special in freshmen quarterback Robert Marve. Marve has looked very good considering his first three starts of his career were at Florida, at Texas A&M, and vs. North Carolina. Marve has completed 65% of his passes for 416 yards and 5 touchdowns against some pretty talented defenses. On the other side, Florida St. still hasn’t found a legitimate consistent quarterback, they have split time between sophomores Ponder and Richardson, but both turn the ball over far too often. Expect the Seminoles to struggle against a great Hurricane defense, and Miami to get the easy win at home. Miami is 7-2 in the last 9 games vs. the Seminoles and the Seminoles are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Florida St. struggled earlier this season with their only real test so far, losing 3-12 to Wake Forest. In that game, the quarterbacks were combined 12-36 for only 118 yards and 5 interceptions! They gained only 220 yards and lost 2 more fumbles for a total of 7 turnovers! We see that as a very similar match-up to this game and we see Miami taking advantage of Florida St. mistakes. Take Miami minus the points.
10/4/2008
6:00:00 PM OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (-25)
over Texas A&M Aggies
ASA 5-Star @ Oklahoma State –25 vs. Texas A&M - 6:00 pm CST
This is a classic match up of strength vs. weakness. The strength is the Cowboys rushing offense while the weakness in the Aggie run defense. Okie State is averaging a whopping 340 YPG rushing on almost 6.5 yards per carry which is good for 1st in the country. The A&M defense is allowing 228 YPG and 5 YPC which is 115th nationally (last in the Big 12). We look for OSU to get ahead at home and pound TAMU into submission in the second half. Not only will the A&M defense not be able to slow down the Okie State offense, they simply will not be able to “keep up” on offense either. While Oklahoma State is fourth nationally in offensive yards per game at 562 and 3rd in the country in scoring at 52 PPG, the Aggies are the polar opposite. New head coach Mike Sherman has watched his TAMU team average just 297 total yards per game which ranks them last in the league and 107 among the country’s 120 Division 1A teams. The Cowboys will move the ball up and down the field and score at will. A&M will not as they lost QB Stephen McGee to a shoulder injury last week. While his back up Jerrod Johnson has played a lot this year, he is not nearly the passing threat that McGee is. Remarkably, as bad as the Aggies have been (last in the Big 12 in total offense and last in rushing defense), they have a 2-2 record. Texas A&M has been out gained by a total of 246 yards in their four games and they only team they have “barely” out played was Army who we consider one of the worst three teams in the nation. The Cadets brought their 0-3 record (beaten badly by the likes of Temple, New Hampshire and Akron) and almost pulled out a win. Army lost the game 21-17 but rolled the Aggie stop unit for 280 yards on the ground. If Army can do that what do you think Oklahoma State will do on Saturday? The Cadets simply were one- dimensional throwing the ball only 4 times the entire game. The problem for A&M in this one is, OSU can pass. Cowboy QB Zac Robinson hits on 70% of his pass attempts and they average 228 through the air as a team. The TAMU defense is in big trouble on Saturday. Oklahoma State has all the motivation in the world and they have actually had this one circled for a while. They have lost each of the last two games with A&M by just one point. Last year was the kicker as Okie State had a 17-point lead and blew it. This year the Boys will roll to a big lead and NOT blow it. They will continue to roll it up and Texas A&M simply doesn’t have the offensive firepower to come from way behind. This one gets really ugly!
10/4/2008
6:30:00 PM ARIZONA WILDCATS (-21)
over Washington Huskies
ASA 3-Star @ Arizona –22 over Washington - 6:30 pm CST
The Huskies are now officially toast. Don’t be surprised if they “pack it in” for the season. Their tank for this trip will absolutely be on low both physically and emotionally. When those two things happen and their opponent is high scoring and focused, the ingredients for a blow out are there. We know for a fact that Washington put EVERYTHING they had both physically and emotionally into last week’s home game vs. Stanford. We had the Huskies as a big play because we knew what went into last week’s game. They started 0-3 but played the likes of Oregon, BYU and Oklahoma. Last Saturday’s home game was a MUST WIN coming off a bye week vs. an average Stanford team. With the score tied at 14 in the second quarter, UW’s all everything QB Jake Locker broke his thumb and was sidelined the rest of the game. That pretty much took the wind out of the Huskies sails and they lost 35-28. Now for them to travel on the road with an 0-4 record and without their leader Locker, who is out for at least 6 weeks, will make it nearly impossible for Washington to play well. What was the most disturbing situation in last week’s game was the UW defense. They could be forgiven a bit for allowing Oregon, BYU and Oklahoma to put up big numbers, however with a week off to get ready for a slow scoring Stanford offense we expected much better results. The fact is, Washington’s defense is just bad. They are now allowing 40 PPG and 505 YPG. Even Stanford, who has scored a total of 31 points in their first two road games, put up 35 points. Cardinal QB Tavita Pritchard, who had just 469 yards passing on the year in four games, lit the Huskies up for 222 yards and 3 TD’s. This is a QB who had ONE TD pass this year and four picks coming into the game. Washington’s pass defense made Pritchard look like the next coming of John Elway. Now they go on the road to face Willie Tuitama who already has over 1,000 passing and 10 TD’s for Zona. Uh oh! QB Ronnie Fouch will be making his FIRST career start for the Huskies on the road none the less. While he played OK last week in relief, this is a totally different scenario. His top RB David Freeman, who had 64 yards in just 7 carries last week, sprained his ankle vs. Stanford and has not practiced this week. That will really hurt the UW rushing attack. However, not as much as Locker’s absence as he was their leading rusher this year and accounted for 70% of their entire offense. With Arizona putting up big numbers on offense (42 PPG) and Washington now being severely limited on offense, the Cats will pull away here. Zona head coach Mike Stoops has reminded his team of the letdown they had earlier this year @ New Mexico and they are squarely focused on Washington. Big time win here for Arizona.
10/4/2008
7:00:00 PM -2,OHIO STATE BUCKEYES
-vs-Wisconsin Badgers
ASA 3-Star Ohio State (-2) @ Wisconsin - 7:00 pm CST Ohio State –2 over Wisconsin We are getting great value with the Buckeyes here. This team, believe it or not, is still very undervalued. Remember, they have been in the National Championship game two straight years. They return a whopping 20 starters from last year’s team that beat the Badgers 38-17. The problem for the Bucks is, everyone watched them get dominated by USC in the Coliseum three weeks ago which seriously dropped their “public value”. The fact is, they are still the best team in the Big Ten and until someone proves otherwise, we have to side with them at this low number which basically means they simply have to win the game. Wisconsin put up huge offensive numbers against the likes of Akron and Marshall to start the season. However, ever since then, teams with good defenses have thwarted the Badgers offensive attack. They put up just 13 points at Fresno and 25 points at Michigan mainly because the Wolverines turned the ball over 5 times in the first half alone. Now Wisconsin faces the best defense they have seen this year by far. The vaunted Badger rushing attack has only put up 3.6 yard per carry and 3.9 yards per carry the last two weeks when facing off against teams that actually have a semblance of a defense. Their offensive coordinator, Paul Chryst, has admitted this team is really inconsistent on offense. He’s had problems calling plays because of this. One play QB Allan Evridge looks great one throw and terrible the next. His receivers make great catches at times only to drop easy ones later in the game. They cannot continue that trend and expect to beat the best team they’ve faced BY FAR this year. OSU only allows 95 YPG rushing and expect them to take that away in this game. That forces Evridge to make plays and we feel he’s not equipped to win a game vs. a top notch opponent with his arm which he may have to do here. Ohio State’s new QB Terrelle Pryor now has a start under his belt vs. Minnesota last week. He also played a big role @ USC so don’t expect him to be in awe here. The Badgers have always had trouble with dual threat QB’s who can run and pass with equal effectiveness and Pryor can do just that. Beanie Wells (missed the USC game) is also back at full strength after rushing for 106 yards last week vs. Minnesota on just 14 carries. The Bucks were ripping the Gophs 34-6 in the fourth quarter last week before allowing two meaningless TD’s late. They dominated that game much more than final indicated. Ohio State is now 22-1 SU their last 23 Big Ten games which makes them the king of the hill in this conference. We don’t see anything changing here. Just because their public perception has wavered, they still have better players at nearly every position in this game. We have to take the Buckeyes at this low number.Comment
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Re: 10-4-08
Bob Balfe
College Football
Rutgers +14 over West Virginia
Both teams are underachieving this season. Rutgers has been horrible on offense, but today will go against a very young secondary. Mike Teel is still a good QB however he has yet to light up the scoreboard like he has done in the past. WVU also is having trouble scoring. White and Devine are their only two playmakers and do not look like last years superstars. This is a very important BIG East game which should go down to the wire. Take Rutgers.
Colorado +13 over Texas
Texas is in a tough spot. Next week they are in Oklahoma. Could they perhaps be looking ahead? Colorado was embarrassed by Texas 3 seasons ago and some of the Colorado Seniors will never forget that brutal game as they were blown out. Colorado is a better team at home and should keep this close. All of the money is on Texas and they are a perfect 4-0 against the spread this year. Vegas does not make it this easy for Texas backers. Take Colorado.
Nebraska +11 over Missouri
The Nebraska players wont forget last years loss as some say Missouri "ran up the score". Nebraska is coming off a tough loss last week at home to VTech which had some controversy late in the game and was blown by the refs. Lincoln is a very tough place to play and this team will be up for the challenge today. Take Nebraska.
Kansas State +7 over Texas Tech
KState opens BIG 12 conference play against a very good Tech team. We all know Tech has a good offense, but I think the rare bye week will slow them down a bit. Football is all about timing. If you are not sharp you cant execute of offense. KState is 13-4 at home under Ron Prince. This will be a great game. Take the home dog in KState.
Major League Baseball
Cubs -130 over Dodgers
Harden/KurodaComment
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Re: 10-4-08
Kelso 50*
COLLEGE BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK
50 Units
UCLA (-17) over Washington State
Prediction: UCLA by 35-42
Starting Time: 10:15
TV: FSN
Weather in Los Angeles: Slight chance of rain, game-time temperature of 60%, relative humidity of 80% and wind out of the SW at 7 MPH
Comments: If one looks at the statistical data on both these teams, one would have to take the position this is a dead-even game, but it is hardly that. These teams have much in common and all of it is deceiving. UCLA is 1-3; Washington State is 1-4. On offense UCLA averages just 19 points and gives up 40.5. On offense Washington State scores 19 and gives up 44. Both defenses are a disaster. But the figures lie as to the quality of these teams. UCLA opened the season with a 27-24 upset of Tennessee, then lost at undefeated BYU 59-0, lost at home to Arizona 31-10 and last week took a very good Fresno State team to the money before losing, 36-31. As for Washington State, the Cougars have beaten only I-AA Portland State and in their two games against PAC-10 teams have lost 66-34 at home to California and 63-14 at home to Oregon. My figures say UCLA woke up against Fresno, even though it lost, and is now ready to play its best game. I simply do not believe there is any “best” anywhere for Washington State. The Cougars will again start at quarterback red-shirt freshman Marshall Lobbestael who is getting on-the-job training after injuries forced him into the starting lineup. Now for the icing on the cake, Washington State is -13 in the turnover department this season—and this is a revenge game for UCLA which lost in Pullman last year, 27-7. One can dig as deep as one wishes and find it difficult to see anything but a UCLA blowout in this one.Comment
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