1-17-10

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 09:58 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Teddy Covers Big Ticket Minnesota

Baltimore
Jets-chargers over

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 09:59 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Steven Budin-CEO
Saturday's Play NEW YORK CREW

50 DIME RELEASE

2-Team Teaser - Indianapolis & San Diego

Reduce the price you are laying with both favorites.

At the time of this release, Indy (-6') and San Diego (-7) were both home favorites. Using the traditional 6 points you receive in a two-team teaser, make the Colts an...d Chargers approximately -1 in their respective games against visiting Baltimore and New York.

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 09:59 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Special K

5* Vikings
5* Jets

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 09:59 AM

Re: 1-17-10

HOWIE FEINER
5,000 Dime GOY
DALLAS/MINNESOTA Under

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 09:59 AM

Re: 1-17-10

NFL Game of the Year

Handicapper: Joe Gaffney of VegasTD

8 Unit Play.
The Jets got a couple of breaks to close out the regular season by facing teams that had nothing to play for. Their luck will run out on Sunday against one of the best teams in the NFL. The Chargers go into the playoffs as one of them dangerous teams in the group. They are white hot right now and haven't even peaked yet. Look for Chargers to not only cover the spread, but to win by 2 touchdowns or more.

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:00 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Deano's 5* Selection

HRC NFL PREMIUM-Sunday, January 17th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB NFL ACTION=-

========================
Follow Units Posted
*Figure In Juice*
========================
RATINGS: 2* 5* 8* 10*
*******************************

[116] San Diego |5*|-6.5|B+1/2]NBC|@ 4:40 pm EST

I LOVE this line movement. I really like this matchup and I've been waiting for it.
Take the Chargers here guys as they look to route the rookie and the Jets. The Jets
have a solid run game for sure, but SD and Rivers are hungry. They will stop the run
and its going to come down to the rookie Sanchez to carry this team on in the playoffs.
I just don't trust this QB at all right here. Chargers have too many weapons on both sides
of the ball. If the Jets cover, then Sanchaz will have to have a career highlight day.

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:00 AM

Re: 1-17-10

STREET ROSENTHAL
HandicappingTrends

*300 Minn Vikings -2.5

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:00 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Al DeMarco Sunday's Play 15 Dime - Minnesota Vikings

My Best Bet last Saturday was Dallas and part of the reason why was because I thought the Eagles were simply a bad team, one that the Cowboys had trounced a week earlier and I thought a repeat performance was on the docket. And, as you saw, that's exactly what happened as the Pokes, who won the regular season finale 24-0, scored 27 unanswered points in the second quarter en route to a 34-14 blowout.

How ironic that the Cowboys, coming off a win over the Eagles, now carry a four-game winning streak into a road game with an NFC North squad. Don't tell me that you don't recall the exact same scenario played out earlier this season. Remember? The 'Boys followed their road upset of the Birds in Philly with a trip to Lambeau and got upset themselves the next week by the Packers 17-7.

A couple of things play into my choice of Minnesota in this contest. First, the oddsmakers - and betting public - are giving the Cowboys way too much credit for consecutive routs of the Eagles, who as I've told you repeatedly, simply aren't any good. And let's back-up a moment. Three weeks ago they shutout the Redskins 17-0. Big deal. And the 24-17 win at New Orleans against the then-unbeaten Saints, who were crippled injury-wise both defensively and at running back, should have been expected with the benefit of hindsight.

Listen, I was on New Orleans against Dallas that day and obviously lost. But keep in mind what the Cowboys had done the previous two weeks before meeting the Saints. They were outplayed at home in a 20-17 loss to San Diego in a game that wasn't as close as the final score indicated. And a week earlier they blew a 10-0 early lead in a 31-24 loss to the Giants on the road.

It's great to take a hot team in the playoffs, but you've still got to consider the body of work they compiled in the season's latter stages. And pricing Dallas as such a competitive dog means Minnesota is an undervalued favorite in my book.

You know how I loved backing the Vikings this season, especially at home where they were 8-0 SU, winning on average 33-16, outgaining their opponents 426-273 in total yards. That's a 153-yard differential per game.

Sure, Minny struggled down the stretch, but starting with the second half of the Monday night loss at Chicago through the regular season home finale blowout of the Giants, look at the numbers Brett Favre put up: 46-for-62....601 yards....6 TDs.

Unlike the Eagles, the Vikings have a strong ground game to complement Favre. And their offensive line protection, although spotty at times, is far superior to anything Philadelphia was able to bring to the table this entire season.

These teams shared four common opponents this year: Green Bay, Seattle, Carolina and the Giants. The Vikings went 4-1 both SU and ATS against that quartet, winning on average 31-18. On the other hand, Dallas went 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS against them with a three-point average margin of victory (24-21).

This has been a series dominated by the Vikings over the years as they've won and covered five of the last six meetings. And although Tony Romo and the Cowboys have exorcised some late-season and playoff demons in recent weeks, it's still worth noting that Dallas is 2-10 SU (3-9 ATS) in its last 12 postseason highway outings, including 1-6 SU and ATS when coming off a win such as last week's versus Philly. Plus, Wade Phillips is 0-3 SU and ATS when catching points in the playoffs.

This game's price - which has been -3 practically all week - represents value for Minnesota backers like myself because I feel the Vikings should be laying at least 4 1/2 points in this contest, if not 6. But again, the oddsmakers have overreacted - as has the public - to the Cowboys' back-to-back routs of the Eagles. And, in this case, that's okay because that gives me exceptional value backing a team that's 8-0 at home, that's coming off a much-needed bye week that was preceded by a 44-7 rout of the Giants a week earlier.

Oh, and by the way, I would be remiss if I didn't point out that Dallas lost both games against the Giants this season, 33-31 at home and 31-24 on the road. And in those two games, Eli Manning passed for 571 yards and four touchdowns. My money is on Favre having a big day against the Dallas "D," unlike Philly's Donovan McNabb, who didn't have the ground support or protection the past two Sundays needed to be successful.

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:01 AM

Re: 1-17-10

john fina/winningwaysports GOY
Chargers

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:02 AM

Re: 1-17-10

BILL HILTON GAMEDAY SPORTS

RARE 5* PLAY*************

Sunday:
"Lean" to Minnesota vs Dallas
5*SAN DIEGO-7 vs NY Jets

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:02 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Kelso

50 UnitsChargers (-7) over Ny Jets
4:40 PM -- AFC Divisional Playoffs - Qualcomm Stadium
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (13-3) -7.0 over New York Jets (10-7) Prediction: San Diego by 14-17 Starting Time: 4:40 TV: CBS Comments: This is a game that features a high-octane passing team with blue-chip talent facing a team that starts a rookie quarterback and because of it lives and dies by the run. My analysis says San Diego and quarterback Philip Rivers, and his outstanding receiving corps, will put the Chargers on the lead and then keep the pedal to the metal and make the Jets rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez beat them. I just don’t think a rookie playing in the biggest game of his career—and one the road, to boot—is up to the task. Much has been made of the fact San Diego has not been overly effective in stopping the run this season and will be vulnerable against the Jets 1-2 punch of tailbacks Thomas Jones and Shonn Green. That’s a hard argument for me to buy, since the Chargers come into this game standing 11-0 in their last 11 games and in those wins have certainly faced running games far more potent than that of the Jets. Passing trumps running in this one.
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:03 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Nick “The BookieKiller” Parsons

Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings
PICK: Dallas Cowboys +3

For a number of different reasons I believe the Cowboys are the prudent wager in this situation:

The Cowboys won their first playoff game since Dec. 28, 1996 last weekend vs. the Eagles, 34-14, ending a 4,760-day drought, easily the longest in the club’s proud history. The skid included six losses; a seventh would’ve set an NFL futility record.

Dallas has dominated its last four games, with both the defense and offense playing equal rolls in the outcome of those contests.

Tony Romo finished 23 of 35 for 244 yards with two TD's and no turnovers last week. He got deep into Philadelphia territory on nine of his first 10 drives, hitting eight receivers.

Not only is Dallas both 4-1 ATS and SU its last five overall, its also 4-2 SU its last six on the road.

On the other side of the field: The Vikings looked unstoppable to begin the year; then faltered, but seemed to turn it around in the end with a 44-7 crushing of the Giants on January 3rd.

However, I believe the week off will be detrimental, not beneficial for this squad as I look for the time off to "mess with the rhythm/momentum" this team built in its season finale.

Minnesota though has been extremely dominant in almost every ATS statistical category this year, however its interesting to note that its already 0-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less.

Bottom line: I believe the Vikings have questions with their offensive line and secondary that Romo is going to be able to exploit.

Dallas comes into this game as the overall hotter team, with both its offensive and defensive lines being the more dominant at the moment.

So with the Cowboys having the advantage in the "trenches", expect DALLAS to improve to 11-4 ATS this season vs. conference opponents and for Minnesota to fall to 4-4 ATS this year when playing against a team with a winning record.

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:03 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Gregg Price

5* Jets - We are going with the Jets here. We know the line isn't 9, I put this out as soon as the line came out because I knew the sharp money was going on the Jets. No one is taking this team seriously. We had the Jets last week, and knew it wouldn't be hard to beat Cinci. Well these Chargers aren't Cinci, they are good. I think SD's only weakness is there lack of running game. But come playoff time you need a running game. And it won't be as easy for Sanchez this week, he is going to have to do more. You know what else hurts SD? Good old Norv Turner, reminds me a lot of Marty Schottenheimer, great regular season coach but can't get it done in the playoffs. We are going to ride the Jets D in this game. Grab the points.

**Mr. IWS** · 01-17-2010, 10:04 AM

Re: 1-17-10

Ron Raymond

NYJ +7.5 vs SDC

When NEW YORK JETS team played as Road team as a Underdog - During Week 16 to 20 - Allowed 14 points or less AGAINST in their last game; the Jets are 9-1-0 ATS in this role.