1-17-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Karl Garrett

50 DIMER - SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

I am sorry, but I am not putting all of my eggs in this Jets basket just because they beat a Cincinnati team that was absolutely HORRID last week. Yeah, I did back the Bengals big last weekend, and Cincy did their business on the ground, but the Bengals couldn't do much else right, as Carson Palmer, Shayne Graham, and Marvin Lewis looked like they were playing and coaching in a preseason game!

Now 2nd week on the road, and on the west coast no less, and AGAIN with the rookie QB! This is not a good spot for the Jets, but it is a GREAT spot for the Chargers who I feel are more than ready to take that next step in the postseason.

The last 2 years they did not have a bye, yet were able to win and cover their opening playoff games. The bye week, the home field, and an extremely confident sqaud that has won 11 straight football games is ready to advance to the AFC Championship Game in resounding fashion.

"Revis Island" is just that, a one-man island, and Rivers and company will find a way to exploit this "vaunted" defense.

This one is set up for a big Chargers win and cover. If not, I may personally hunt Norv Turner down if he blows this SLAM DUNK.

Lay it!

10 DIMER - MINNESOTA VIKINGS

The biggest reason I like the Vikings today is a man named Adrian Peterson. Dallas has benefitted the last 3 weeks from playing divisional rivals who were not able to run the ball. That allowed the Cowboys - who are quite familiar with the NFC East to begin with - to key on pass defense. That just isn't the case today, as Dallas must respect the Vikings running game, which will allow the Silver Fox - Brett Favre to do his thing though the air.

This is a bad spot for Dallas, as they will struggle in the Vikings lair today.

Minnesota went 8-0 straight up at home this season, and they also went 6-2 against the spread in those 8 wins, outscoring the opposition by a double-digits average in those wins.

You just get the feeling that if this game were in Dallas it might be a different story, but ALL of Minnesota's struggles at the end of the year came away from home. The Vikes are right as rain, PURPLE REIGN on their home turf, and they will be once again on Sunday.

Lay the small wood with Minnesota.

10 DIMER - MARQUETTE GOLDEN EAGLES

Both schools sport near identical records, but for my money this is a good spot for Marquette to get their ship righted so to speak.

Marquette has lost 3 of their last 4, but they have played some Big East "heavy hitters" - Villanova twice, West Virginia, and Georgetown in that span!

Providence is solid, but not in the class of the other schools just mentioned.

The Friars are 5-1 against the spread away from Rhode Island this season, a mark that seems a little unreal to me. It is about time that 5-1 mark took a hit.

Marquette has won the last 3 series meetings, and 4 of the last 5 with a 3-2 spread mark. I like the Golden Eagles to up those marks.

Take Marquette minus the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

GREAT LAKES SPORTS

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, January 17, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed: Let's get down & dirty today with a Huge 4* College Basketball Best Bet Winner that will KO your man today as we are coming off an outstanding day yesterday in College Basketball, and do yourself a favor and checkout all of Great Lakes Sports award winning selections and cash in Big today with Great Lakes Sports. 1/17/2010

Great Lakes Sports rates their selections 3*, 4*, & 5* with 5* being our highest rated selection. College Basketball Selection: Illinois State at Drake 8:00PM EST Play on: 4* (823) Illinois State Red Birds The Illinois State Red Birds are a stunning 4-1 ATS when playing in their last five road games, and the Red Birds are a very solid 5-2 ATS when playing in their last seven games overall. The Drake Bulldogs are a terrible 4-10-1 when playing in their last fifteen home games, and the Bulldogs are a dismal 0-4 ATS when playing in their last four Sunday games. We look for the Illinois State Red Birds to grab the road ATS Win & Cover tonight

4* (823) Illinois State Red Birds

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

BRIAN GRAVES
Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, January 17, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed: I had a GREAT SATURDAY as my five card went 4-1 with the lone loser being a tight on Nebraska. I had easy winners with Northeastern, Northern Illinois, Arizona St and Virginia. Today I have one last College Hoops game this week and it will surely to bring the curtain in style!! 1/16/2010

Game 821 UConn -1 over Michigan 1:30

The Huskies have had their problems lately in the Big East getting off to a 2-3 start, but they have an excellent matchup today against Michigan. The Wolverines just don't have the firepower to hang with UConn and Stanley Robinson and Dyson should have their way with the Michigan defense. The Huskies jump out early and build a comfortable lead as they cruise in the 2nd half to a 79-65 win!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Al DeMarco Sunday's Play 15 Dime - Minnesota Vikings

My Best Bet last Saturday was Dallas and part of the reason why was because I thought the Eagles were simply a bad team, one that the Cowboys had trounced a week earlier and I thought a repeat performance was on the docket. And, as you saw, that's exactly what happened as the Pokes, who won the regular season finale 24-0, scored 27 unanswered points in the second quarter en route to a 34-14 blowout.

How ironic that the Cowboys, coming off a win over the Eagles, now carry a four-game winning streak into a road game with an NFC North squad. Don't tell me that you don't recall the exact same scenario played out earlier this season. Remember? The 'Boys followed their road upset of the Birds in Philly with a trip to Lambeau and got upset themselves the next week by the Packers 17-7.

A couple of things play into my choice of Minnesota in this contest. First, the oddsmakers - and betting public - are giving the Cowboys way too much credit for consecutive routs of the Eagles, who as I've told you repeatedly, simply aren't any good. And let's back-up a moment. Three weeks ago they shutout the Redskins 17-0. Big deal. And the 24-17 win at New Orleans against the then-unbeaten Saints, who were crippled injury-wise both defensively and at running back, should have been expected with the benefit of hindsight.

Listen, I was on New Orleans against Dallas that day and obviously lost. But keep in mind what the Cowboys had done the previous two weeks before meeting the Saints. They were outplayed at home in a 20-17 loss to San Diego in a game that wasn't as close as the final score indicated. And a week earlier they blew a 10-0 early lead in a 31-24 loss to the Giants on the road.

It's great to take a hot team in the playoffs, but you've still got to consider the body of work they compiled in the season's latter stages. And pricing Dallas as such a competitive dog means Minnesota is an undervalued favorite in my book.

You know how I loved backing the Vikings this season, especially at home where they were 8-0 SU, winning on average 33-16, outgaining their opponents 426-273 in total yards. That's a 153-yard differential per game.

Sure, Minny struggled down the stretch, but starting with the second half of the Monday night loss at Chicago through the regular season home finale blowout of the Giants, look at the numbers Brett Favre put up: 46-for-62....601 yards....6 TDs.

Unlike the Eagles, the Vikings have a strong ground game to complement Favre. And their offensive line protection, although spotty at times, is far superior to anything Philadelphia was able to bring to the table this entire season.

These teams shared four common opponents this year: Green Bay, Seattle, Carolina and the Giants. The Vikings went 4-1 both SU and ATS against that quartet, winning on average 31-18. On the other hand, Dallas went 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS against them with a three-point average margin of victory (24-21).

This has been a series dominated by the Vikings over the years as they've won and covered five of the last six meetings. And although Tony Romo and the Cowboys have exorcised some late-season and playoff demons in recent weeks, it's still worth noting that Dallas is 2-10 SU (3-9 ATS) in its last 12 postseason highway outings, including 1-6 SU and ATS when coming off a win such as last week's versus Philly. Plus, Wade Phillips is 0-3 SU and ATS when catching points in the playoffs.

This game's price - which has been -3 practically all week - represents value for Minnesota backers like myself because I feel the Vikings should be laying at least 4 1/2 points in this contest, if not 6. But again, the oddsmakers have overreacted - as has the public - to the Cowboys' back-to-back routs of the Eagles. And, in this case, that's okay because that gives me exceptional value backing a team that's 8-0 at home, that's coming off a much-needed bye week that was preceded by a 44-7 rout of the Giants a week earlier.

Oh, and by the way, I would be remiss if I didn't point out that Dallas lost both games against the Giants this season, 33-31 at home and 31-24 on the road. And in those two games, Eli Manning passed for 571 yards and four touchdowns. My money is on Favre having a big day against the Dallas "D," unlike Philly's Donovan McNabb, who didn't have the ground support or protection the past two Sundays needed to be successful.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Stu Feiner

Sunday NFL 100,000,000-Dime Private Plays!
Dallas @ Minnesota 1:00 PM EST
NY Jets @ San Diego 4:40 PM EST

Vikes -2.5
Chargers -7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

goodfella

2* NFC Playoff GOM

Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

SPORTS WAGERS

Dallas +1.29 over MINNESOTA

I’ll skip the pregame preliminaries on this one, as my hatred for Favre-gushing by announcers and analysts is at the point where I’m yelling at the TV screen to shut the f**k up already. Yeah, Favre has had an outstanding career and his 40,000 or so consecutive starts is incredible. We all get it and the more the media talks about how great he is the better because the Cowboys will completely disregard “the elephant in the room” and play a sound, methodical and great game just like they’ve been doing for over a month. When the Saints looked like they couldn’t be beat the Boys walked into New Orleans and ended the Saints dream for a perfect season. They followed that up with a 17-0 win over Washington and subsequently, when everyone said they couldn’t beat the Eagles three times in a season, they not only did that, they buried Philly in back-to-back games. The Boys are playing great defense, great offense and they’re on a big time roll. Meanwhile, the Vikes have not had a big game in about eight weeks. They stumbled into the playoffs by losing three of its last five and that includes a loss to the Bears. The Vikes last five wins came against the Giants, Cinci, Chicago, Seattle and Detroit. They have a history of coming up lame when the chips are down and you can be damn sure Dallas will be coming at the immobile Favre early and often. So yeah, Favre won a Super Bowl about 12 years ago with a great Packer team in his prime. Problem is, this is not a great Viking team and Favre isn’t in his prime. The Cowboys are a great team and Tony Romo is in his prime. You do the math. Keep the points. Play: Dallas +1.29 (Risking 2 units).


NY Jets +7 over SAN DIEGO

The Jets play great defense and the offense is gaining steam with each passing week. When the Jets have needed a score they’ve gotten one and when you combine a great defense with a great running game in the playoffs, it usually results in a win. Still, one cannot overlook the roll the Chargers have been on since week 4. Over that stretch they’ve beaten every bad team they’ve played and they also have wins over Dallas, Cincinnati, Philly, Denver and Tennessee. Philip Rivers is confident, precise and extremely talented and he has the personnel around him to do some serious damage. The Jets will blitz often, as they know they can’t give him time. They also know they can’t get into a shootout with this host, as they can’t win one. Having said that, these wildcard teams that get it going have been so dangerous over the years and these Jets look as dangerous as any of those. The Jets defense has kept them in games all season long. When the Jets lose they don’t lose by much and in fact, of its seven losses this season only two of them were by more than the points offered here and one of those losses occurred in New Orleans. The Jets have now won six of its last seven games and they’ve scored 90 points over its last three games. Sure, two of those wins came against teams that apparently “laid down” but they scored 24 last week on a brutally cold day in Cincinnati against what was supposed to be a tough defensive Bengal team. The Jets have momentum and that’s something that can’t be measured in yards or any other stat. Yes, San Diego is very dangerous and they, too, have momentum. However, they’re not the team getting seven points, the Jets are and they’ve proven over and over again all year that defense still wins football games. Play: NY Jets +7 (No bets).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Craig Davis

Sunday's Lineup


50 Dime – Cowboys-Vikings UNDER



20 Dime – COWBOYS (absolutely advise you to buy the 1/2 point up to +3 or +3 1/2)



10 Dime – JETS (buy the half point if your line is +7 or if it drops down to +6 1/2)



COWBOYS/VIKINGS UNDER --- Top play of the weekend on the Cowboys/Vikings NFC Divisional matchup to go under a ridiculously high total. I think Vegas set this number just low enough for people to go nuts on the over... and they have... and the number has gone in the wrong direction. Reverse line movement if I've ever seen it. This total opened up at around 48 and has been recently seen as low as 45 in some places, yet as of the time of this writing, over 80% of the wagers are coming in on the OVER. It appears to me, at least on the surface, that Vegas is begging you to take the over.



But before I even looked at those numbers, I looked at these two defenses and the fact that both teams still want to establish the run. Think about it... if you're either offensive coordinator today, would you rather throw the ball or keep it on the ground so the other offense is sitting on the sidelines? Since both teams are built to run the ball (huge offensive lines and workhorse backs), it's only common sense to think both teams will try to rely on their ground game, especially early, in an attempt to soften the opposing defense before they really open up the passing game.



Let's first look at Dallas, defensively. Has there been a better defense in the last 10 weeks than the Dallas Cowboys? Forget the fact they held Philadelphia to just 14 points in the last two games (and 7 of those came in garbage time). Forget the fact they held the vauted New Orleans offense to just 17 points (3 at halftime). Let's look at the fact the Cowboys have allowed over 20 points just once in the last 11 games and only four times all season. On the road they allow just over 17 PPG and have proven to be one of the best run defenses in the league. Having the ability to stop the run combined with a pass rush that comes from the front three or four allows the secondary and linebackers to drop back in coverage. This will make it extra tough on Brett Favre today because he's used to having an extraordinary amount of time in the pocket behind this huge offensive line.



As for Minnesota's defense, let's just say they are happy to be playing at home. Yes, I realize they've been a little suspect in some recent road games, but it's almost as if they were going through the motions. For whatever reason, this defense thrives off its crowd more than most teams do and it's going to cause problems for Tony Romo and the Dallas defense. Listen to these numbers... 7, 10, 9, 10, and 10. Those are the points allowed by Minnesota's defense in its last five home games. And again, that's why I think the Cowboys would love nothing more than to keep the ball on the ground, keep everything in front of the Minnesota defense and play somewhat conservative. I can promise you Dallas doesn't want to get into a shootout with Brett Favre in the Metrodome. On the other hand, I don't believe Minnesota wants to get into a shootout with Dallas either.



The last 10 meetings between these two teams have seen an average of 37 PPG between them and seven of those ten games saw totals finish with less than 45 points. I'm telling you right now, the only way this game goes over the total is if some crazy, fluky things like kick returns for TDs or silly turnovers that result in touchdowns or phenomenal field position. Otherwise, I think we're looking at a final score in the neighborhood of 20-17. Top play of the day on the UNDER.



DALLAS COWBOYS (absolutely advise you to buy the 1/2 point up to +3 or +3 1/2) --- Two fairly evenly matched teams here, but I'm just a little more confident in Dallas' defense than I am Minnesota's. Yes, I realize that in my above analysis I stated how well the Vikings defense has played at home... and they do... but they are missing a HUGE piece to that defensive puzzle that I believe will hurt the Vikings in the running department. EJ Henderson broke his leg in the Vikings Monday night loss to the Bears a few weeks back and have since tried to piece things together in their linebacking corps. And I'm still not 100% sold on this secondary with the injury to Antoine Winfield. Granted, he's doing better in practice this week, healthwise, but for those of you who watched him in that Monday night loss to Chicago, you know he wasn't close to healthy and was beaten on numerous occasions... including the game winner.



Though Brett Favre has the advantage over Tony Romo in terms of seasons played and playoff games won, but one thing that continues to haunt him is the 0-3 record, all-time, vs. the Cowboys in the playoffs. And let's also not forget that Favre only plays as well as Adrian Peterson plays. If the running game gets going, Favre looks a lot better. If Peterson and Taylor struggle early, Favre struggles. I'm putting my money on the Dallas run defense to keep A.D. in check and forcing Brett Favre to beat them. Field position and penalties will be the key, and I know for a fact that Wade Phillips and Jason Garrett have preached penalty control all week in practice. I think you'll see a focused Cowboys team come out and win this game outright today, 20-17.



NY JETS (buy the half point if your line is +7 or if it drops down to +6 1/2) --- To be honest with you, this selection has as much to do with picking the underdog as it does picking the Jets because of their defense. What you have to understand in handicapping is that it's not always about backing the better team or the hotter team, it's more about getting a feel about how things are going in Vegas and hopping on a side because they fit a spot and not necessarily because they're the better team. This game is a prime example of that scenario.



Let's not kid ourselves... the Jets aren't as good as San Diego as a whole. You know it and I know it. But we've all heard about backdoor covers and upsets, right? In a perfect world I'd probably select San Diego minus the number because I believe they are 7 points (or more) better than the Jets. But with both favorites covering yesterday by a comfortable margin the underdogs are due. I've never seen in all my years of sports betting/capping where all four favorites covered in the Divisional Weekend. And since both favs covered Saturday, I know the average bettor will be ALL OVER the Chargers today.



The Jets do two things quite well that will keep them within the 7-point line today. First, they run the ball better than any team in the NFL and their o-line is built to do just that. Faneca, Mangold, Ferguson, etc. These guys are the best in the business at opening holes for the backs in the run game which should soften the Chargers up just enough for Sanchez to be effective in the short passing game. Secondly, aside from Dallas, the Jets might be the most complete defense in the league and they absolutely will not allow Philip Rivers and company to treat them like a hand puppet. San Diego doesn't need to prove anything today and although I'm not saying they won't try their hardest, I do believe they'll do whatever they can to "just get by" without showing anything to the Colts. Take the Jets and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Chris Jordan

SUNDAY TRIFECTA
400? DALLAS COWBOYS
400? UNDER Cowboys/Vikings
400? ILLINOIS STATE

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Bob Balfe

NFL

Cowboys +2.5 over Vikings
Jets +7 over Chargers

NBA
Raptors +2 over Mavericks

NCAA Basketball

Villanova -5.5 over Georgetown

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

DOC

4 Minnesota

4 San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Tom Freese Blue Line Club NHL 10* SIDE WINNER GOES SUNDAY NIGHT!

Two teams headed in opposite directions here as Anaheim has won 5 of their last 6 games while Calgary has lost 5 of their last 6 games. Anaheim is led in goals by Bobby Ryan with 20. Corey Perry has 18 goals and leads the team in points with 46 points. Ryan Getzlaf has 12 goals and 33 assits for 45 points. Goaltender Jonas Hiller has a 91.6 save percentage. The home team is 22-5 the last 27 meetings. As always Calgary is led by Jerome Iginla and his 21 goals 21 assits Goaltender Miikka Kiprosoff has a 2.15 Goals against average. Rene Bourque 17 goals and 21 assits. The Flames are 1-6 their last 7 meetings with the Ducks. 10* PLAY ON ANAHEIM -

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Trushel
under villanova/ regular

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Ryan’s AFC 25* Titan Game of the Year
This is the Mother Play from Ryan, who is 5-2 ATS w/ 10* Titans + 2-0 ATS w/ 15* Titans + you can only imagine how confident Ryan is w/ this 25* Game of the Year release. His research includes a 27-year proven money making system, angles supporting his analysis hitting 80% ATS for an 89-22 mark, + the matchups you will see DOMINATE this game.


New York Jets

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-17-10

Northcoast
GOY
Vikings