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Re: 1-17-10
Vegas Runner
3* best bet. Duke -14
Vegas Runner
3* best bet. Duke -14
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Re: 1-17-10
Stan Sharp
115 NYJ 8.0 (-110) Bodog vs 116 SDC
Analysis: Stan is Betting NY JETS. Stan notes that after the 2 Big Favorites won yesterday the public is jumping all Over the Chargers today driving this line back up. The value is with the Jets here getting the inflated number. The Jets defense can keep them in this game and if Sanchez just makes a few plays the Jets cover this number easily. People are forgetting that before Favre's arm injury last year the Jets were going to be a Playoff Team last year. Grab the inflated number here as this comes down to a late score in the 4th. TAKE NY JETS as STAN'S TRIPLE DIME PLAYOFF WISE GUY GAME and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.Comment
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Re: 1-17-10
Stephen Nover Sunday's winners:
200-Dime Chargers
MAKE NOTE: The line on this game is either 7 or 7.5 right now, with a majority of the books holding firm on -7. My suggestion is you purchase the half point down to either 6.5 or 7, depending on what your book is offering. If the line is -7, then you're only to lay 6.5 points, and by the rare occurrence your line is 7.5, then you're to only lay the flat -7 points.
ANALYSIS: It's time for the Jets to get a dose of reality. The Chargers are the hottest team in football with 11 straight wins.
San Diego is rested and presents a far stronger challenge to the Jets than the heavily flawed Bengals did.
The betting line is manageable because the Jets are on a roll, led the NFL in defense and in rushing. The Chargers were 20th in stopping the run and 31st in rushing.
Judging by those overall numbers the game should be close.
But it won't be.
The Charges' run defense improved a great deal during the final two months. No team has held the Jets to fewer yards on the ground over the past two seasons than the Chargers have. San Diego limited New York to 41 yards rushing in a 49-29 win at home on Sept. 22, 2008
The Jets are going to need Mark Sanchez to make plays. I don't see that happening versus a San Diego defense than ranked 11th in pass defense. Antonio Cromartie and Quentin Jammer gave up the fifth-fewest yards (1,142) of any cornerback duo that started a combined 28 games or more this season. The Chargers’ defense allowed just 34 passes of 20 yards or more, third-fewest in the NFL.
San Diego's ground attack isn't as bad as it numbers may indicate either. Darren Sproles is one of the most dangerous change-of-pace backs and LaDainian Tomlinson still has something left in the tank when healthy. He's healthy now with fresh legs following two weeks of rest.
Philip Rivers, though, is the Chargers' big key. He has emerged as an upper echelon quarterback giving San Diego a huge edge at the most important position.
Rivers ranked third in the NFL with a 104.4 passer rating, while completing 65.2 percent of his attempts for 4,254 yards and 28 touchdowns. He has a number of big targets to go to, including Vincent Jackson, Antonio Gates and underrated Malcom Floyd. Jets Pro Bowl cornerback Darrelle Revis can only cover one, probably Jackson.
San Diego has playoff pedigree and experience. This is the Chargers' fourth straight year in the playoffs. They are 4-1 against the spread in postseason action under Norv Turner.
This isn't an accident. Turner may not be the sharpest overall head coach, but the Chargers play more relaxed in the playoffs under him. This is a huge difference from when the Chargers reached the postseason under Marty Schottenheimer where they constantly wilted under the pressure playing too tight and suffering from Schottenheimer's frequent playoff brain cramps.
San Diego was one-and-done in the playoffs in 2004 and 2006 under Schottenheimer despite having strong teams and home-field advantage.
Only the Giants have won more playoff games during the two previous seasons than the Chargers have under Turner.
The Jets are going to find San Diego far more difficult to defend than a shot Carson Palmer with his pedestrian offense.Comment
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Re: 1-17-10
Evan Altemus
3 Units Dallas +3
The Vikings have several important players banged up heading into this game, most notably their star cornerback Antoine Winfield. He was clearly not the same at the end of the season due to his foot injury. Minnesota also has injuries to Pat Williams, Visanthe Shiancoe, Steve Hutchinson, and their starting middle line backer E.J. Henderson. I expect every one of the previously listed players except Henderson to play, but they are still not at 100%. The defense in this game will be the difference. Minnesota’s defense simply hasn’t played as well since Winfield and Henderson haven’t been healthy and in the line-up together. Wade Phillips is also a great defensive game planner, and I expect him to come up with looks to limit Brett Favre and the Vikings running game. Look for Dallas to get the outright win but take the three points for an added bonus.Comment
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Re: 1-17-10
Vernon Croy
5* NFL Playoff Smash of the Month (100% NFL Run)
5* Minnesota Vikings
This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Vikings are the better overall team coming into this game with the extra weeks rest. The Cowboys are just 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played on turf and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games. The Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against the Cowboys. The Vikings are better defensively with opponents averaging just 273 ypg against them at home this season. The Vikings are also better offensively than the Cowboys averaging 32.7 ppg at home this season while the Cowboys are only averaging 20.2 ppg on the road. Take Minnesota as my NFL Playoff Smash of the Month.Comment
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Re: 1-17-10
James Patrick Sports
Cowboys vs. Vikings
The most defining moment in the season for the Dallas Cowboys was their total domination in December of the New Orleans Saints. Since that game they have displayed a style of football that has Momentum written all over it with a pair of Blow-outs against their rival Philadelphia Eagles and they have shown that they can compete in any style of game and win. The Cowboys look complete on Offense, Defense and Special Teams and their road record this season was a solid (5-3) straight-up. The Vikings are a tough opponent at home with an undefeated (8-0) record straight-up but their Offensive Line is banged up and this may cause problems for their protection of QB Brett Farve or the opening of holes for RB Adrian Peterson. Minnesota was actually playing their best football before Thanksgiving and Dallas looks to be the team that Jerry Jones' money bought with their power running attack and effective passing game in tune behind a strong offensive line and their dominating defense that features a great pass rush and solid pass coverage hitting on all cylanders. NFC East Underdogs have been a favorite target of ours all season as we felt this was the toughest division in the NFC and we'll grab another NFC Puppy here with "The Boys" from Big "D". 5* Pot of Gold Dallas Cowboys
Jets vs. Chargers
To win on the road in the NFL requires an offensive line that can control the line of scrimmage and the Jets have done just that all season to date. New York has cashed winning tickets in (4) of the past (5) meetings in this series and boasts a solid (9-3) ATS mark when installed as road underdogs. The Jets have held (6) of their past (7) opponents to season low's on offense and have not allowed (31) points in a single game all season. When San Diego fails to score (31) points they are (4-12-1) ATS. All you need is to do the math and then catch your flight. Jets - Jets - Jets! 3* New York JetsComment
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Re: 1-17-10
Vic Monte Sports
2000* Max Out Playoff GOY - Vikings -2.5 (pay only after you WIN)
I am backing the Vikings as my 2000* Max Out NFC Playoff Game of the Year. While all the Suckers & Squares are handicapping this game like a true square. Dallas is Hot and the Vikings are falling apart, Not so fast Public Joe! Dallas beat the Saints and that was a great win, they were desperate for a win coming off a home loss to the Chargers. Then they beat the Hideous Redskins (Only 17-0) & beat the Eagles Twice including last weeks playoff game. I am not going to put too much stock in those Eagles wins because Dallas just owned Philly this year! This Vikings team is a different team. They will actually run the ball. I am not too impressed with Dallas is so called hot streak! The Vikings, lost 2 road games in December against two hungry and hot teams, Carolina & Chicago. The Vikings showed heart and rallied a big 2nd half comeback and almost beat the Bears on National TV. That game proved to me that Minnesota had fight left in them. A Great Running Back, An Awesome Defense & A Hall of Fame Superbowl Champion QB, inside one of the loudest Domes in the World! Mix in the fact that Dallas is a Money Burning 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Road Playoff Games & you got yourself One Huge Play! 2000* MAX OUT NFC PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR - VIKINGS -2.5Comment
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Re: 1-17-10
Ferringo
0.5-Unit Play. Take #815 Minnesota (-11) over Indiana (4:30 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #820 Charlotte (-8) over St. Louis (4 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #827 San Jose State (+4) over Hawaii (11:59 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #817 Providence (+10) over Marquette (4 p.m.)
These are 5-point teasers:
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #815 Minnesota (-6) over Indiana (4:30 p.m.) AND Take #826 Duke (-10.5) over Wake Forest (8 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #827 San Jose State (+9) over Hawaii (11:59 p.m.) AND Take #820 Charlotte (-3) over St. Louis (4 p.m.)Comment
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