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Re: 1-17-10
DUEMIG
Sunday's Winners
30 Dime - Chargers
This line opened at SD - 9 and was quickly bet down to it's current level of a TD. Sharp money? Most likely but the books know that the public will not have any problem laying a TD with the home team. And neither will we because the value is now on SD. The books have also exposed themselves to a middle of 8 if it were to land on 8 it would crush the books, but it is such a dead number they are really not worried. I also think that as soon as the number went down a half to -8.5 they moved the line not by money but by the fear of teasers. Therefore we are benefited by this most gracious line move down. You want to be on the minus 7 as soon as possible. Why? Here goes. Number one is the absolutely huge edge at the QB position between Rivers and the rookie Sanchez. He made some nice plays last week but that was last week. Rivers is a play making machine and he has the all the weapons to get it done. Yes the Jets have a great defense but teams have beaten them this year. They haven't gone undefeated. Look for SD to take advantage of the Jets aggressiveness and use it against them. The Chargers are one of the best screen teams in the league and that's how you slow down aggressive defenses. They can also run the ball with LT, who is finally healthy for a playoff game, and Sproles. They also have one of the best pass catching TE's in Gates, who the Jets do not have an answer for. Reavis may be able to handle Vincent Jackson but Gates is the killer here.
The Jets can run the ball but look for the Chargers to learn from the Bengal mistakes last week. The Jets used a lot of counters in their run game to gash an over pursuing defense and they did a good job of it. Chargers are better defensively. They will pressure Sanchez as well and force him into mistakes. If the Chargers get a lead they will make the Jets throw it and that is something they do not want to do is put it into a rookies hands. I look for a double digit win here by the Chargers. In my best Arnold imitation it's GO CHARGUHS GO!!
10 Dime - Cowboys
Everyone is trying to explain why the Vikings have become such a passing team and I have yet to hear what I think is the real reason. Not because they are putting it in the hands of Favre, who if they fall behind will be more of a liability than an asset. I think they have taken the air out of Petersen because he is a turnover machine with his fumbling problem. Now you have the Dalls rush D which is extremely good and this basically removes Petersen anyway. Dallas has not allowed a 100 yd rusher all year, so why start now. The Cowboys also have the edge in rushing the passer with their two bookends Ware and Spencer. Jared Allen is a hulk at home but look for Dallas to chip him all day and take him away. I don't think that either team will run it successfully but if someone were to I think it would be Dallas. The number one factor in determining playoff winners from this round forward is not offense, like it is all season. It's the ability of a defense to stop the run the best, and I think that edge has to go to the team who has not allowed the century mark to be hit by a rusher. The Dallas Cowboys. The linesmakers have been reluctant to move this game off of the -2.5 for Minny and that usually is a sign of lack of support for the favorite. The sharp money which we will be will be looking for the public to come out and bet Favre and get the best number possible. That's what we will do as well. We should get the 3 without a problem and if we don't then you may have to buy onto the +3.Sunday's Winners
30 Dime - Chargers
This line opened at SD - 9 and was quickly bet down to it's current level of a TD. Sharp money? Most likely but the books know that the public will not have any problem laying a TD with the home team. And neither will we because the value is now on SD. The books have also exposed themselves to a middle of 8 if it were to land on 8 it would crush the books, but it is such a dead number they are really not worried. I also think that as soon as the number went down a half to -8.5 they moved the line not by money but by the fear of teasers. Therefore we are benefited by this most gracious line move down. You want to be on the minus 7 as soon as possible. Why? Here goes. Number one is the absolutely huge edge at the QB position between Rivers and the rookie Sanchez. He made some nice plays last week but that was last week. Rivers is a play making machine and he has the all the weapons to get it done. Yes the Jets have a great defense but teams have beaten them this year. They haven't gone undefeated. Look for SD to take advantage of the Jets aggressiveness and use it against them. The Chargers are one of the best screen teams in the league and that's how you slow down aggressive defenses. They can also run the ball with LT, who is finally healthy for a playoff game, and Sproles. They also have one of the best pass catching TE's in Gates, who the Jets do not have an answer for. Reavis may be able to handle Vincent Jackson but Gates is the killer here.
The Jets can run the ball but look for the Chargers to learn from the Bengal mistakes last week. The Jets used a lot of counters in their run game to gash an over pursuing defense and they did a good job of it. Chargers are better defensively. They will pressure Sanchez as well and force him into mistakes. If the Chargers get a lead they will make the Jets throw it and that is something they do not want to do is put it into a rookies hands. I look for a double digit win here by the Chargers. In my best Arnold imitation it's GO CHARGUHS GO!!
10 Dime - Cowboys
Everyone is trying to explain why the Vikings have become such a passing team and I have yet to hear what I think is the real reason. Not because they are putting it in the hands of Favre, who if they fall behind will be more of a liability than an asset. I think they have taken the air out of Petersen because he is a turnover machine with his fumbling problem. Now you have the Dalls rush D which is extremely good and this basically removes Petersen anyway. Dallas has not allowed a 100 yd rusher all year, so why start now. The Cowboys also have the edge in rushing the passer with their two bookends Ware and Spencer. Jared Allen is a hulk at home but look for Dallas to chip him all day and take him away. I don't think that either team will run it successfully but if someone were to I think it would be Dallas. The number one factor in determining playoff winners from this round forward is not offense, like it is all season. It's the ability of a defense to stop the run the best, and I think that edge has to go to the team who has not allowed the century mark to be hit by a rusher. The Dallas Cowboys. The linesmakers have been reluctant to move this game off of the -2.5 for Minny and that usually is a sign of lack of support for the favorite. The sharp money which we will be will be looking for the public to come out and bet Favre and get the best number possible. That's what we will do as well. We should get the 3 without a problem and if we don't then you may have to buy onto the +3.
DUEMIG
Sunday's Winners
30 Dime - Chargers
This line opened at SD - 9 and was quickly bet down to it's current level of a TD. Sharp money? Most likely but the books know that the public will not have any problem laying a TD with the home team. And neither will we because the value is now on SD. The books have also exposed themselves to a middle of 8 if it were to land on 8 it would crush the books, but it is such a dead number they are really not worried. I also think that as soon as the number went down a half to -8.5 they moved the line not by money but by the fear of teasers. Therefore we are benefited by this most gracious line move down. You want to be on the minus 7 as soon as possible. Why? Here goes. Number one is the absolutely huge edge at the QB position between Rivers and the rookie Sanchez. He made some nice plays last week but that was last week. Rivers is a play making machine and he has the all the weapons to get it done. Yes the Jets have a great defense but teams have beaten them this year. They haven't gone undefeated. Look for SD to take advantage of the Jets aggressiveness and use it against them. The Chargers are one of the best screen teams in the league and that's how you slow down aggressive defenses. They can also run the ball with LT, who is finally healthy for a playoff game, and Sproles. They also have one of the best pass catching TE's in Gates, who the Jets do not have an answer for. Reavis may be able to handle Vincent Jackson but Gates is the killer here.
The Jets can run the ball but look for the Chargers to learn from the Bengal mistakes last week. The Jets used a lot of counters in their run game to gash an over pursuing defense and they did a good job of it. Chargers are better defensively. They will pressure Sanchez as well and force him into mistakes. If the Chargers get a lead they will make the Jets throw it and that is something they do not want to do is put it into a rookies hands. I look for a double digit win here by the Chargers. In my best Arnold imitation it's GO CHARGUHS GO!!
10 Dime - Cowboys
Everyone is trying to explain why the Vikings have become such a passing team and I have yet to hear what I think is the real reason. Not because they are putting it in the hands of Favre, who if they fall behind will be more of a liability than an asset. I think they have taken the air out of Petersen because he is a turnover machine with his fumbling problem. Now you have the Dalls rush D which is extremely good and this basically removes Petersen anyway. Dallas has not allowed a 100 yd rusher all year, so why start now. The Cowboys also have the edge in rushing the passer with their two bookends Ware and Spencer. Jared Allen is a hulk at home but look for Dallas to chip him all day and take him away. I don't think that either team will run it successfully but if someone were to I think it would be Dallas. The number one factor in determining playoff winners from this round forward is not offense, like it is all season. It's the ability of a defense to stop the run the best, and I think that edge has to go to the team who has not allowed the century mark to be hit by a rusher. The Dallas Cowboys. The linesmakers have been reluctant to move this game off of the -2.5 for Minny and that usually is a sign of lack of support for the favorite. The sharp money which we will be will be looking for the public to come out and bet Favre and get the best number possible. That's what we will do as well. We should get the 3 without a problem and if we don't then you may have to buy onto the +3.Sunday's Winners
30 Dime - Chargers
This line opened at SD - 9 and was quickly bet down to it's current level of a TD. Sharp money? Most likely but the books know that the public will not have any problem laying a TD with the home team. And neither will we because the value is now on SD. The books have also exposed themselves to a middle of 8 if it were to land on 8 it would crush the books, but it is such a dead number they are really not worried. I also think that as soon as the number went down a half to -8.5 they moved the line not by money but by the fear of teasers. Therefore we are benefited by this most gracious line move down. You want to be on the minus 7 as soon as possible. Why? Here goes. Number one is the absolutely huge edge at the QB position between Rivers and the rookie Sanchez. He made some nice plays last week but that was last week. Rivers is a play making machine and he has the all the weapons to get it done. Yes the Jets have a great defense but teams have beaten them this year. They haven't gone undefeated. Look for SD to take advantage of the Jets aggressiveness and use it against them. The Chargers are one of the best screen teams in the league and that's how you slow down aggressive defenses. They can also run the ball with LT, who is finally healthy for a playoff game, and Sproles. They also have one of the best pass catching TE's in Gates, who the Jets do not have an answer for. Reavis may be able to handle Vincent Jackson but Gates is the killer here.
The Jets can run the ball but look for the Chargers to learn from the Bengal mistakes last week. The Jets used a lot of counters in their run game to gash an over pursuing defense and they did a good job of it. Chargers are better defensively. They will pressure Sanchez as well and force him into mistakes. If the Chargers get a lead they will make the Jets throw it and that is something they do not want to do is put it into a rookies hands. I look for a double digit win here by the Chargers. In my best Arnold imitation it's GO CHARGUHS GO!!
10 Dime - Cowboys
Everyone is trying to explain why the Vikings have become such a passing team and I have yet to hear what I think is the real reason. Not because they are putting it in the hands of Favre, who if they fall behind will be more of a liability than an asset. I think they have taken the air out of Petersen because he is a turnover machine with his fumbling problem. Now you have the Dalls rush D which is extremely good and this basically removes Petersen anyway. Dallas has not allowed a 100 yd rusher all year, so why start now. The Cowboys also have the edge in rushing the passer with their two bookends Ware and Spencer. Jared Allen is a hulk at home but look for Dallas to chip him all day and take him away. I don't think that either team will run it successfully but if someone were to I think it would be Dallas. The number one factor in determining playoff winners from this round forward is not offense, like it is all season. It's the ability of a defense to stop the run the best, and I think that edge has to go to the team who has not allowed the century mark to be hit by a rusher. The Dallas Cowboys. The linesmakers have been reluctant to move this game off of the -2.5 for Minny and that usually is a sign of lack of support for the favorite. The sharp money which we will be will be looking for the public to come out and bet Favre and get the best number possible. That's what we will do as well. We should get the 3 without a problem and if we don't then you may have to buy onto the +3.
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