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722 BOS -5.0 (-110) Sportbet vs 721 DAL Analysis: Œ ** NBA on TNT 2* PERSONAL PLAY OF THE DAY **
BETUS is Using -4.5...VR
713 NJN 8.5 (-110) Bodog vs 714 LAC
Analysis: ** NBA 2* "LATE STEAM" **
723 ORL 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 724 LAL
Analysis: *** NBA on TNT 3* BEST BET OˆF THE DAY ***
727 Towson / 728 St. Joseph's Over 149.0 Sportbet
Analysis: ** CBB 2* "LATE STEAM" **
For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value "under" in this situation:
The Sabres (29-11-6) narrowly missed the playoffs the last two seasons, but with a 10-point lead atop the Northeast Division, they are in excellent position to end that drought.
They have been especially sharp lately, going 7-0-3 since Christmas and 17-4-4 since Thanksgiving with Ryan Miller leading the way. The likely starter for the United States at the Vancouver Olympics ranks second in the NHL with a career-best 2.01 goals-against average.
Miller made 36 saves to help Buffalo earn a point in a 3-2 shootout road loss to the New York Islanders on Saturday night.
Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of Buffalo's six overall and in five of its last seven on the road.
On the other side of the rink: Miller is 2-0-0 with a 0.50 GAA in two career starts against the Coyotes, making 23 saves in a 2-1 home win Oct. 8 after stopping 28 shots in a 2-0 victory in his only visit to Glendale on Jan. 31.
Ilya Bryzgalov, who still ranks among the NHL’s top five in wins and is three shy of matching his career high, struggled in making 18 saves against Minnesota on Saturday night, but his teammates helped him out in a 6-4 win.
Keep in mind though, Phoenix has seen the total go "under" the posted number in a whopping 10 of 11 games this year after a win by 2 goals or more.
Bottom line: Five out of the last six times these teams have tangled at the Jobing.com Arena, the total has gone "under" the posted number.
I think when you take into account all of the above factors, that the sharp money in this one is on the UNDER!
The bottom line is that HOME COURT in the Big 12 headed into Saturday, with all Big 12 teams had an overall record of 114-4 SU! Take into account that Texas struggled in an OT win with Texas AM this weekend, and that their scoring showed only 1 starter in double digits (James) on Saturday while K State is a team of above average players that spread it around, play GREAT defense, allowing just 61 ppg their last 5 on a strong home court to a sold out house tonight, and I like the Wildcats to pull the upset, although it is a pick’em game. No team is safe in the Big 12 on the road, and not Texas tonight. This is only Texas’s third road game in 12 games.
Play 1 Unit on Kansas St..thanks and good luck. Tony George.
I went against Texas on the road last week with a Triple Star against Iowa State and prevailed and am fully prepared to do it once again here. Kansas State might be only the second best team in the state of Kansas but I assure you they are good enough to get this done tonight. We've seen already how treacherous it is to play on the road in the Big 12 and tonight will be a classic example. If you have not seen this Wildcat squad you are in for a treat. Denis Clemente is one of the most unheralded players in the country and distributes the ball well, defends well and oh yes, shoots the rock. I've been anxiously awaiting this match up and caught the number I was hoping for, this is all Wildcats at home guys! Triple Star on Kansas State minus the 1.5!
The Irish are like an NBA Western Conference team. Great at home, not so much on the road. Still, they impressed us on Saturday, a game we went against them, losing by just two at Cincinnati while turning the ball over just five times. The return home tonight for big Big East battle with 5th ranked Syracuse. Notre Dame is 12-1 SU this year in South Bend, making them very attractive at this price. Last week, they upset West Virginia here as five-point pups, winning 70-68. Syracuse just played that same WVU win team, winning by one on the road. But they had to hold off a furious Mountaineers rally in that game as a nine-point lead very nearly evaporated over the final two minutes. Playing two Big East road games over a three-day span is a tough chore and note that this is actually the Orange's third straight game away from the Carrier Dome. They are 9-21 ATS when coming off BB road games. Syracuse is good, but they're not deep with HC Boeheim giving only eight players regular playing time. That's going to be an issue in a second straight difficult road game. So too is the fact that the Orange had 20 turnovers vs. WVU. Notre Dame and Big East leading scorer Luke Harangody should bounce back from an off-shooting night vs. Cincy as the team averages 86+ points per game at home and he was averaging 30+ in his three previous games. The Irish offense has fared well vs. the patented Syracuse zone recently, shooting 45% and making more than 12 three-pointers per game the last five meetings. Notre Dame is our College Hoops **UNDERDOG** Winner.
2010-01-18
LOCK 4*: Carolina Hurricanes -125
Tampa is in trouble, evidenced by the beating Florida put on them. I was at one of the games and they looked horrible. Carolina is not much better, but at home and with the trend factor, it is my LOCK OF THE DAY. CAROLINA is 8-1 (+5.7 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
triple-dime bet 741 N.C.-Wilmington 17.5 (-110) Bodog vs 742 Virginia
Analysis: Yup, we are going with the BIG DOG tonight, backing the NC Wilmington Seahawks tonight. Most people aren't going to like this play, simply because we are going against a team in Virginia that is playing really good basketball right now. Of course i like being liked, but i like winning even more, as i feel that solves everything.
Don't let the name fool you, Wilmington has some talent. At first gance, you see a record of 6-11. That certainly isn't good, but look a bit further and realize who they've played. They've played against Miami, South Florida, George Washington, George Mason, Richmond, Northeastern, Old Dominion, and Wake Forest. That is simply murderers row, without a shadow of a doubt. This doesn't even include games against both Penn St. and William and Mary. I mention those games last because they won both of those games OUTRIGHT. Those were both very impressive wins, especially considering their opponent has already lost to Penn St. this year. My point is this, Wilmington is not going to be intimidated in the least when facing off against the Cavaliers tonight.
How good is Virginia playing right now? Clearly they have bought in to what Coach Bennett is teaching. I'm not going to try to pick apart anything with Virginia, because they are playing really well right now. The Cavaliers have won 7 straight games after starting the season at 4-4. In this current 7 game winning streak, 3 of those teams are considered top 30 teams while 3 others are considered 3 of the WORST teams in D1. In the middle would be an improved NC State team. Their past two games against Georgia Tech and Miami were really impressive, so i will give them their props one last time.
So what's going to happen today? I seriously wonder what motivation Virginia has coming into their game today. They come off of 2 winning league games in the national spotlight against two high caliber clubs. Their next game¡ is on the road at Wake Forest. I seriously doubt this Cavaliers team is going to be motivated to beat a pesky Wilmington team today. This team is still getting used to playing in Coach Bennett's system, and this defensive system can wear on you. Is this going to be that game where they take a night off? Based on their scheduling you would certainly think so.
I bring up scheduling because this seems like a "weird" spot to play a non league game right? Well let's not forget this is a makeup game from December 19th, when the game was originally postponed. This game being postponed actually hurts Virginia in my opinion, because now they have to play a game just 2 days removed from 2 hard fought league wins. Again, i think Virginia struggles to stay motivated today. Wilmington has played tougher teams than Virginia, and played them close. Lastly, because i remember everything, i specifically remembered that point spread between these two teams on December 19th. That spread was:
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725 Syracuse -2.5 7:00 EST
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