1-19-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

MREAST NCAAB TUESDAY UNDER THE RADAR SPECIAL

Wichita St. has been one of the biggest surprises this season at 16-3, which includes a flawless 11-0 at home. The problem the Shockers face here is they have 16 wins, but none stand out as a big win, so the schedule has been very soft to date. Panthers are not a shock at 16-1 as they returned everyone from a good team a year ago. They aren't only winning they are playing over the line at 10-1 ATS in their last 11. This team is huge inside with Koch and Eglseder, and very deep. Panthers are 56-24 ATS in their last 80 as a dog, and 28-10 ATS in their last 38 overall, well under the radar, and have covered 5 of the last 6 here. I'll go with Northern Iowa in this one.

#519 NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS @ #520 WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS 9PM EST

PLAY ON #519 NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS +3 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Randall the Handle NHL

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games include OT unless stated otherwise

Toronto +1.26 over ATLANTA (REG) Pinnacle
The Leafs had to have left the building last night in a very good frame of mind after a late goal bailed them out from blowing a 3-0 lead. The Leafs were very strong for the first two periods against what was a hot Nashville squad and now they’ll take a step down in class when facing the reeling Thrashers. The Leafs have two good wins in its last three, which aside from last night includes a 4-0 win over the Flyers. The Leafs are 6-2 vs the Southeast and that’s where the Thrashers reside, in the NHL’s worst division. The Thrashers lost again last night, this time 1-0 in Florida. They’ve now lost 12 of its last 15 games with only wins over that stretch coming against the Canes, the then decimated Sens and the Rangers in OT. The Thrashers have been held to two goals or less in five of its last seven and the only teams they scored on were Carolina and Ottawa, whom at the time were in a horrible funk. Both teams will play three in four and back-to-back but the difference is the frame of mind of these two, as the Thrashers are reeling and will return home to a half empty arena while the Leafs are gaining steam once again. Play: Toronto +1.26 (Risking 2 units).

NY Islanders +1.30 Over PITTSBURGH (REG) Pinnacle
There was no line (goaltending situation) at the time of this writing but one thing is certain and that is the Pens will be favored. Based on that, and I can certainly guess that the Pens will be about –1.40 to -1.50 favorite, the play here is the Islanders. The Islanders are red-hot with four wins in a row and six wins in seven games. They played yesterday but it was an afternoon game and they completely dominated the Devils for three periods. The Islanders are scoring goals, their determination and work ethic is second to nobody and they can’t wait to get back on the ice. This team is feeling it right now. Meanwhile, the Pens return home from a very tough five game trip that took them through Toronto, Minnesota and Western Canada for three games. That’s always a tough excursion and they’ll play tonight with a third string goaltender that was rocked in his only start in Vancouver in the last game of said trip. The Pens really haven’t been playing well for over a month now and absolutely have no advantage in this one. The Pens are beating up on struggling teams and in fact, its last four wins have come against the reeling Thrashers, Flames, Oilers and the Leafs playing its fourth game in five nights. That’s four wins in its last 12 contests and none of them were noteworthy. Play: NY Islanders +1.30 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Randall the Handle NBA

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

Indiana +6/+2.22 over MIAMI
I’m going to split this up and play one unit each on the money-line and point-spread. The problem with the Heat is that you just never know which team you’re going to get. You’re either going to get the team that is capable of competing with anyone or the team that doesn’t give a damn if they win, lose or draw. What should be concerning to Heat backers is that they’re coming home from a tough six-game trip that began on Jan 8 and ended on the 16th. This line suggests they won’t be too sharp tonight because if the books thought otherwise they’d be about a 7 or 7½-point favorite. After all, the Pacers instill fear in nobody and own a 4-16 road record. Having said that, the Pacers are quietly getting a whole lot more dangerous. Danny Granger is a marquee player and suddenly Roy Hibbert is making a huge impact. Throw in a healthy Mike Dunleavy and Troy Murphy and a very decent bench and the Pacers are a team that could be way undervalued now because of its slow start. This is a vulnerable situation for the Heat, as they return home and they take way too many nights off to trust them in this spot. Play: Indiana +6 (Risking 1.03 units to win 1) Play: Indiana +2.22 (Risking 1 unit).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Malinsky
-74 units NBA
-30 Units College Baskets

4* #501 TORONTO over CLEVELAND ( and lang )

Toronto is flying far beneath the radar screens right now, despite a current 10-3 run in which none of the losses have come by more than seven points. That is what happens when you get off to a slow start, and the markets downgrade accordingly. But there were some prime reasons why the season began so poorly, and those early results now carry too much weight going forward, especially when we see tonight’s line reach double figures.The Raptors started with an awkward opening salvo that saw them play their first 30 games in only 53 days, a headache for a team breaking in so many new faces, and at the midway point their difficult of opposition rates #4 in the NBA. The following from Jay Triano deals with that well - "We knew it was going to be tough, we had nine new guys. Now we're starting to feel better about each other, we're starting to get it. We're starting to play better defence and our stats over the last few games have been good. We've adjusted, as coaches, our defensive philosophy a little bit and it's turning out better. We're playing more to our strengths, we have guys who are starting to get healthy. Here is the real key to that statement – it came before Toronto waxed Dallas 110-88 on Sunday in what might have been their best single game of the season, which takes the confidence to an even higher level. And with this game being only their third in eight days there is a physical energy to match that confidence – they are going to be a tough team to get a margin against in this setting.Not that Cleveland will be margin conscious anyway. The Cavaliers face the usual issues in returning home after a long Western Coast swing (this will be the first home game in 13 days), and tonight’s matchup is clouded even more because of that showdown vs. the Lakers looming on national television Thursday night. Their season is all about winning games for playoff positioning and managing the minutes of LeBron and the key cogs, and as such it is no surprise to find that they are 4-8 ATS when favored in double figures, a run that extends to 7-15 since the All Star break last February. Mike Brown would be more than happy to simply stamp a “W” and move on here, and given the current Toronto form that is all that his team is likely to get.

4* #506 GEORGIA TECH over CLEMSON

In what will be a high energy game in which both teams will run and press the length of the floor, PG play becomes the key factor in terms of dictating the game flow. And the markets have missed their mark in evaluating that key element.Despite a 13-4 record, and owning wins over Duke and North Carolina, Georgia Tech is not being rated properly because PG Iman Shumpert had to miss a half dozen games, one of them an O.T. loss to Florida State that would have likely been reversed had he played. Now he is back to full health, and in Saturday’s win at North Carolina showed what he is capable of, scoring 30 points and adding six assists, four rebounds and three steals. His veteran presence takes pressure off of those young talents on the roster, and makes the Yellow Jackets awfully difficult to match up against physically – not only is the front court among the most talented in the nation, but at 6-5 Shumpert creates particular problems at his position (from Paul Hewitt - ”He is bigger, stronger and faster than a lot of the other guards he is going to face, which forces them to contract on defense and makes it easier for us to run our offense.”).That becomes magnified tonight because we fully expect Shumpert’s direct matchup to be against 5-9 SO Andre Young, who will likely be making his first college start while Demontez Stitt sits out with a sprained foot. Stitt had been having an outstanding season, and was a catalyst for the Clemson uptempo tactics on both ends of the floor, but he went down with 13:37 to play and the Tigers up by 13 at N. C. State on Saturday, and his absence became an issue immediately – the lead was shaved all the way to a single point before they finally escaped. And while his official listing is “Questionable”, Oliver Purnell seems resigned to not having him around - ”“We’ve probably got to play a bit different offensively – ball ahead, more motion, more movement by everybody. It’s his slicing to the basket, it’s him pushing the ball that won’t be there.” Now a lot is being put in the hands of Young, who is also not 100 percent, having to receive at IV after practice yesterday because of a bout with a stomach virus. That exacerbates the size and experience that he already gives up against Shumpert, and with no one behind him that can carry the load there are going to be some awkward stretches against a tenacious Georgia Tech defense. Even if Stitt can make an appearance (he could only job on the sidelines at practice yesterday), he will be far from 100 percent.The Yellow Jackets are 7th in the nation in FG defense, allowing 37.0 percent, and in those key early A.C.C. wins they held Duke to 19 below the Blue Devil scoring average, and North Carolina to 12 below. That defense sets the tone here, and the Tigers lack the polish offensively to hang in for the full 40 minutes. With the marketplace now only asking for the home team to win the game, we have tremendous line value.
__________________

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Sam Martin’s NBA NO-BRAINER WINNER!!
Sam Martin GOT ROBBED ON THE LAKERS LAST NIGHT, as LA blew a 10-point lead with 30 seconds to play, but he still managed a 1-1-1 split yesterday (HUGE WIN ON DALLAS OUTRIGHT!). There’s only two games on Tuesday’s NBA card, but Sam ABSOLUTELY LOVES ONE OF THEM, and is releasing his NBA NO-BRAINER WINNER!! Go get it!


Raptors

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Fargo’s **10** NBA “ENFORCER” ***45-23 NBA RUN***
Matt ended Monday at 1-0-1 with Premium NBA and is a SIZZLING 57-37-1 ATS (60.6%) YTD while bringing home a MASSIVE 131.7 Units in Profit! Further back, he is 158-107-4 ATS (59.6%) his L269 TOP PLAYS and the card may be small Tuesday but he is unleashing a MONSTER backed by a FANTASTIC 29-7 ATS (80.6%) Power Situation


Cavs

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

ScoresOddsPicks on OffshoreInsiders.com is 24-14 since inception:

Clemson (15-3) vs Georgia Tech (13-4)
Big game and tough choice for bettors since these two teams have alternated wins seven straight times. GT hasn’t shown the ability to win the big one on the road but is 8-1 at home and 12-4 in its last 16 against the spread. I like the Yellow Jackets.
Pick: Georgia Tech

Tennessee (14-2) vs Alabama (11-6)
Few bandwagons are picking up steam quicker than Tennessee’s. After all, the Vols slew Kansas. We can expect a tight, low-scoring game; the under is 21-7 for Tennessee’s last 28 games and 6-2 in Alabama’s last eight home games. The Vols are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings with Alabama but they’re flying high, having won six straight and riding the hot play of Wayne Chism. Alabama, on the other hand, has lost two straight.

Pick: Tennessee

Purdue (14-3) vs Illinois (12-6)
What to make of Purdue? Three straight losses after a 14-0 start. Ouch. Now it faces Illinois, who is undefeated at home this season. Purdue is 2-6 in its last eight ATS but Illinois is tempting fate, even at home, going 4-9 in the last 13 ATS. Purdue has to wake up sooner or later. I say it happens Tuesday.

College basketball betting oddsPick: Purdue

Northern Iowa (16-1) vs Wichita St. (16-3)
Look out for the road warrior known as Northern Iowa. It’s 15-3 in its last 18 road games and 6-0 straight up on the road this year. The road team is also 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Ride the (very) hot hand.

Premium free picks: Northern Iowa.

Adding NBA

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers (-9.5) - 7:00 p.m. ET
Dating back to mid-December, the Raptors (21-20, 20-21 ATS) have been one of the NBA’s hottest teams. Not only has Toronto come out on top of 10 of its last 13 games, it has rewarded NBA betting fans playing the point spread, covering five of its last seven outings.
Chris Bosh leads the team in scoring and rebounding (23.8 PPG, 11.2 RPG), while Andrea Bargnani and Hedo Turkoglu are second and third in scoring, respectively. The Raptors are actually the NBA’s fifth-ranked team in points scored this season, but their defense has held the team from moving to the next level by surrendering an awful 104.9 points per game.
Cleveland (31-11, 20-21-1 ATS) just wrapped up a five-game road trip on the West Coast. It was modestly successful with three wins, though if you’re an NBA betting fan playing the spread you’re a little bitter—the Cavs were 1-3-1 during that stretch. The Cavaliers are 5-3 overall in their last eight outings.
LeBron James was sensational during the road swing, averaging 36.2 points on 55.3 percent shooting. James has actually performed better on the road this season, at least statistically speaking; his scoring average is 4.4 points higher away from home. But, considering the defense Cleveland plays, James doesn’t have to drop 40 points every night; the Cavs are fourth in defense.
The Cavaliers have won eight of their last 10 games against the Raptors, including a 7-3 record against the spread but Toronto is extremely competitive and will continue that tonight.
Free premium picks: Toronto
Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-5.5) – 7:30 p.m. ET
If you bet on NBA odds , being an Indiana fan hasn’t been such a bad thing lately. Although the Pacers (14-26, 17-23 against the spread) are among the league’s worst teams, they’ve won three of their last four games while covering four of their last five. Indiana lost to New Orleans on Saturday, but at least it’s playing competitive basketball.
Danny Granger has developed into a very good player (24.1 points, 5.8 rebounds per game), and the Pacers may have found another young gem in Roy Hibbert. The former Georgetown star has raised his numbers across the board, and he’s proven capable of very big games on occasion—like Saturday’s 27-point, 10-rebound effort. Until Indiana improves its 23rd-ranked defense, though, nice little runs like the one its enjoying will be few and far between.
Miami (20-19, 19-20 against the spread) has burned bettors at the sportsbook. The Heat just finished 3-3 on their six-game road trip. They haven’t been much better at home, where they’ve racked up a brutal 5-11 record against the spread in their last 16 contests.
After Dwyane Wade (27.1 PPG), scoring is tough to find in Miami. Second-year forward Michael Beasley has shown some nice progress while improving his numbers from a year ago, but Miami could use more efforts like the one he put up Saturday, when he dropped 28 points on Oklahoma. While the Heat’s offense is failing to get the job done, the “D” is has been pretty good and ranks 12th in the NBA.
This series has played out very evenly over the past few years, with Indiana and Miami splitting their last 10 games both straight up and against the spread. The total has hit the under in three straight games.
Sports betting pick: Indiana

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Joey Torelli

5* Ohio State -10.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Malinsky

4* #518 ILLINOIS over PURDUE

We can understand part of the market
surge form Purdue -2.5 up to -4.5 here – it is not unusual to see such
play on a quality team off of a loss, especially with the Boilermakers
looking to many like a veteran side with Final Four potential. But we have
a different take on their current level and it gets us in play - what if
they simply are not that good?Here is the market perception – with Chris
Kramer, Keaton Grant, E’Twaun Moore, Robbie Hummel and JaJuan Johnson now
having played together for several seasons, this is a savvy and
chemistry-rich team that can go to a special level. That is logical, but
there is a flaw in the thinking, and the flaw is that while the chemistry
really is there, there is not an NBA lottery pick in that group. As such
they may already be near their ceiling, and it is not quite a cathedral.
They are being projected to get better when there may not be all that much
upside remaining, and having lost PG Lewis Jackson back in mid-November
they are also precariously short on depth. So in reality the current 0-3
SU and ATS run in Big 10 play should not come as a shock, and the past two
seasons they are only 2-10 ATS on the conference road, with five outright
losses in the role of the favorite. In losing at home to Ohio State and on
the road at Northwestern last week they were out-rebounded by an ugly -15,
and the bench produced just seven points and seven rebounds in those two
defeats combined.You do not gat a margin on a court like this one without
the ability to control the boards and depth, and in fact Purdue may not
win this game at all. Illinois gives nothing away in terms of size or
quickness, and while the Illini did lose the battle of the boards in that
loss at Michigan State on Saturday, note how much of that flow was because
of foul trouble to Mike Tisdale (12.2 ppg and 6.1 rpg), who was 0-1 from
the field with only one rebound over 19 minutes. They bring plenty of
confidence to the table against this opponent, out-scoring Purdue by a +12
count over 125 head-to-head floor minutes LY, and we will call for them to
take this one to the final possession at worst, with a very live chance of
getting the outright upset

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

mark lawrence


3 unit play on Alabama

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Indian Cowboy:


NBA: 4 Unit Play. #502. Take Cleveland Cavaliers -10 over Toronto Raptors (Tuesday @ 7pm est). The Cavs have a good deal of revenge as they come into this game and face the Raps. Bear in mind the Raptors are playing well but Cleveland has a way of showing up against teams that has recently beat them in a big way. Remember, the Cavs are 31-11 so they certainly remember which teams they have lost to. I like their chances here against the Raptors for a double-digit win here as this game will likely be close early on but the Cavs will do what they usually do and will pull away in the end. Remember, the Cavs are coming off a seven day road trip as well and they are 4-1 ATS when they return home after such a long road trip. The Raps are just 2-5 ATS as an underdog of this margin and I think at the end of the day, the appealing points are just what they are - a trap and the Cavs get it done on at home with revenge.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Ic's 5* is on Bama

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

doc nba


3 units Indiana/Miami UNDER 205

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

R Ferringo NCAAB

1 unit Boston College
1/2 Purdue

1 unit teaser Missouri State and George Mason
1 1/2 unit teaser Boston College Texas A&M
1/2 unit teaser Alabama and Northern Iowa