1-21-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

MR EAST

NCAAB THURSDAY THRILLER

CAL ST. FULLERTON @ PACIFIC
3 UNITS: CAL ST. FULLERTON +7.5

Tigers have been cruising at home entering tonight's action with a stellar 7-1 mark. It must be noted however against teams where they were from +6 to -6 at home, the competitive games, they show 4 games with the largest margin of victory being 8, and a negative scoring margin. UC Fullerton has been disappointing this season, until recently, as they have won 3 of their last 4, and are starting to get hot from long range. They have 6 bobafide scorers, and have the ability to win here or at the very least hang close. I'll go with Cal Fullerton in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

RAS

1.5 Long Beach State -1
1.0 Cal Poly SLO -2
1.0 Fresno St +4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Randall the Handle NHL

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games include OT unless stated otherwise



NY Rangers +1.20 over PHILADELPHIA (REG)
Play: NY Rangers +1.20 (Risking 2 units).


Columbus +1.88 over BOSTON (REG)
Play: Columbus +1.88 (Risking 2 units).


St. Louis +1.59 over OTTAWA (REG)
Play: St. Louis +1.59 (Risking 2 units).


ATLANTA -½ +1.07 over Carolina (REG)
Play: Atlanta -½ +1.07 (Risking 2 units).


NY ISLANDERS -½ +1.15 over Florida (REG)
Play: NY Islanders -½ +1.15 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Malinsky
5* #501 L.A. LAKERS over CLEVELAND

Many times we use the phrase ?Tough Out? when talking about the
characteristics that a particular road underdog brings to the table
that put them in the hunt to win in a hostile environment, and to at
least stay within the pointspread. Tonight we may have the epitome of
that category. Rarely do we ever get to take a team as good as the
Lakers plus this many points in a regular season game, and rarely
does a team of this class bring the level of chip on their shoulder
that they have tonight.

The humbling 102-87 loss that Los Angeles suffered at home on
Christmas day vs. Cleveland may have been an even more bitter pill to
swallow than the scoreboard could show. It was the kind of meltdown
across the board that can bring a special focus from each individual
member of the rotation. Kobe Bryant? 11-33 from the field with four
TO?s. Ron Artest was brought in largely to defend guys like LeBron
James and Paul Pierce come playoff time, but he fouled out in only
30:31 of court time. Lamar Odom was tossed after drawing a pair of
technical fouls, two of the five that the Lakers had that afternoon.
But the true elite respond well to such defeats, especially with
ample time off to prepare a game plan for this setting, and in terms
of talent, experience and moxie Los Angeles brings the ideal package.

There is nothing special about the Cleveland form right now to be
favored in this range. Over the last eight games the Cavaliers have
been in the right place at the right time against depleted opponents,
missing the likes of Gilbert Arenas, Carmelo Anthony, Brandon Roy,
Chris Kaman and several Warriors when they escaped by three at Golden
State. But they lost three times outright in that stretch, and went
just 2-5-1 ATS, continuing to show an awkward floor game that still
does not flow well when Shaq is on the court. And when ?A vs. A?
match up during the regular season there simply is not much of a home
court advantage ? if anything the true ?A? teams relish playing in a
hostile environment during the long and sometimes monotonous slog of
a schedule. As such it should come as no surprise that the road team
is 7-2 ATS in this series the last five seasons, including a 101-91
Laker win on this court LY, and tonight we call for more of the same.

4* #504 DENVER/L.A. CLIPPERS Under

Yesterday we wrote about the Clippers being priced improperly from a
Totals standpoint, with both their true pace and true defense not
fully recognized because of the number of injuries they have had to
play through. But what had been a solid ride throughout the evening
on our 4* Under ticket turned into one of those awkward end-games
that are an NBA hazard, as a 160 with 6:40 remaining saw 41 points
scored the rest of the way, including 13 in the final 1:37. That
stings, but as always the silver lining to the dark cloud is that it
leaves the value in place to play again. And there is more than just
that value working for us here.

As we have written often in the past, playing the second game of a
back-to-back night in Denver is the toughest thing that the NBA
schedule maker can throw out there, especially coming from the
Pacific time zone. The altitude of the Mile High City takes an
absolute toll on the legs. Now we have the most rare setting in which
both the Nuggets and their opponents are off of Wednesday games, and
it is particularly difficult for George Karl?s crew, with the
Warriors taking them to O.T. in Oakland last night. Carmelo Anthony
turned in a season-high of 46:04 to salvage that win, with Kenyon
Martin (41:16), Nene (39:31) and Chauncey Billups (38:00) also
putting in major workloads.

How often does Denver play on the West Coast, and then return home
for a night game the next evening? It has not happened yet this
season, and there were only two such instances LY, both playing Under
the Total. We expect to see a pair of fatigued teams here, with
neither looking to push the pace and the perimeter shooting a
question mark, the latter magnified by the fact that both teams are
playing good defense around the basket. That leads to an easy Under
call at the high line that has been set.

4* #302 INDIANAPOLIS/NY JETS Under

Here is what we saw in the AFC Playoffs last week ? the Jets came out
with a conservative plan to hang in the game at San Diego, hoping to
keep it close enough to make a few plays to win as the afternoon
progressed. Meanwhile the Colts played a methodical game against an
opponent that lacked offensive punch, focusing more on avoiding
mistakes that could give points away than attacking, and forcing the
opposition to have to execute their way down the field to score. It
ultimately led to a pair of easy Under?s, with neither game coming
within 11 points of the Total.

Here is what we are going to see in the AFC Playoffs this week ? the
same thing.

Rex Ryan gutted out that win at San Diego by doing what he had to do
? run the football and rely on his defense. 39 of the 63 snaps were
running plays, and there were only two first-down passes the entire
game. They produced precious little, with only 14 first downs and 262
yards, but a key interception set up a short field for a TD early in
the 4th quarter, and then Shonn Greene broke that 53-yard TD run
midway through the final stanza. Take away that burst from Greene and
the offense generated an anemic 3.4 yards per snap. And that was
after only coming up with 15 first downs at Cincinnati the prior
week, when 41 of 56 snaps were running plays. It is partially a
tribute to conservative play, but also the blunt fact that the
passing game was 31st in the NFL in yardage this season, and with
rookie QB Mark Sanchez having far more INT?s than TD passes they
simply can not rely on that part of their arsenal to make plays. If
anything the focus here is even more devoted to slowing the tempo,
running the football, and reducing the game to as few possessions as
possible. We always like to look to an Under when a quality underdog
brings that kind of game plan.

What is even better is when the favorite does not mind that same
flow, and will go out of their way to take the air out of the ball
with a lead in the second half. That is the Indianapolis way, and in
Peyton Manning the Colts may have the best clock manager with a lead
that the NFL has ever produced. While the defense was indeed solid in
last week?s win over Baltimore, helping their cause was the fact that
the clock management of the offense limited the Ravens to just 55
offensive snaps, making it even more difficult for Joe Flacco & Co.
to ever find a rhythm.

Clinching this for us is that the Colts do not necessarily get to a
lead all that easily anyway ? for as much as we respect the work of
Manning this season, the bottom line is that this offense drew a most
favorable schedule, only having two games all season against teams
that finished in the league?s Top 190 in Total Defense. The running
game never developed, and outside of Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark
the receiving corps lacks playmakers. Given the way that Darrelle
Revis can shadow Wayne, and with the Jets among the NFL?s best at
defending TE?s this season, Manning?s best options are taken away.
That turns this into a battle for field position from the Colts as
well ? instead of going on the attack against those New York blitzes
look for the focus to be on ball security, forcing the Jet offense to
make plays to earn their points. It adds up to pace and efficiency
levels that make points very hard to come by, and the risk of
turnovers creating easy scores is low, since avoiding those mistakes
will be a big part of the conservative game plans.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

7* Indiana +9.5
special k

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

OffshoreInsiders.com service ScoresOddsPicks
Louisville (12-6) vs Seton Hall (10-6)
Louisville is just 1-3 on the road this season but two of those losses came against Pittsburgh and Kentucky. Louisville is 27-10-1 in its last 38 road games and has won its last three trips to Seton Hall.
Pick: Louisville
Butler (14-4) vs Loyola-Chicago (12-5)
We can at least predict scoring in this matchup; the over is 9-3 in their last 12 meetings. Loyola lost its last home game by 17 points and Butler’s 5-1 road record is impressive.
Pick: Butler
Murray St. (16-3) vs Eastern Illinois (10-8)
We can expect a low-scoring contest here; the under is 9-2 in Eastern Illinois’ last 11 home games and 22-5 in Eastern Illinois’ last 27 games. Murray State’s road record (5-3) is the same as Eastern Illinois’ home record; Eastern Illinois is 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight home games. Everything points to a Murray State win.
Free pick premium: Murray St.
Washington St. (13-5) vs USC (11-6)
Washington State has the better record but isn’t a spread team this year – just 6-10 ATS and 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 road games. USC is 8-6-2 ATS on the year and has five players averaging at least nine points per game. That should be enough at home.
Best Bet college basketball picks: USC
Oregon (10-7) vs California (11-6)
This would be a better game if it was college football but we’ll take it. It actually looks like a pretty easy pick on paper; Oregon is just 4-14 ATS in its last 18 road games. Cal is 9-1 straight up at home this season. Golden Bear Patrick Christopher has topped 20 points six times in his last 10 games; he should do it again on Thursday night.
Pick: California
There are only two games on the schedule, but it’s certainly not a slow night on NBA odds with Kobe and LeBron going head-to-head. Here’s the ins-and-outs of tonight’s action.
Los Angeles Lakers at Cleveland Cavaliers (-3.5): 8:00 p.m. ET
The Lakers (32-9, 18-23 ATS) have won three straight games and four of their past five—although they are 3-2 against the point spread during that stretch. The run is all-the-more impressive considering Kobe Bryant has, quite frankly, stunk lately. The man who once scored 82 points in a game is averaging just 15.8 points per game in his last five outings, and he’s cracked the 20-point mark only once during that slump.
Thankfully, Pau Gasol returned from an injury this week after missing half a dozen games. Gasol is second on the team in scoring and first in rebounding (17.0 and 11.2 per game, respectively). He dropped 17 points and 10 boards on the Magic in Monday’s 98-92 win, which helped cover up the struggling Bryant.
The Cavaliers (32-11, 20-22-1 ATS), on the other hand, have been able to lean heavily on their superstar lately. LeBron James is averaging over 32 points per game in January and he flirted with a triple-double in Tuesday’s victory over Toronto. The win gave Cleveland four victories in its last five games, although the team is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six. The Cavaliers remain one of the NBA’s best teams in the defensive end, holding opponents to 94.6 points per game (fourth in the league).
NBA betting fans have watched these teams trade victories over the last few seasons. They split their last four meetings straight up and against the spread while going under the total in all of those games. Without Bryant playing up to his potential, though, the hometown Cavs have a big edge.
Live odds for the NBA pick: Cleveland
Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets (-10): 10:30 p.m. ET
Denver (27-14, 18-20-1 ATS) has been one of the league’s hottest teams with six wins in seven games, including four straight victories. Wagering on the Nuggets’ point spread at home hasn’t been especially prosperous, though; Denver is 2-4-1 against the spread in its last seven home games.
The team’s four-game win streak has coincided with Carmelo Anthony’s return from injury. He’s averaging 27.8 points per game since getting back onto the floor, but he hasn’t had to do it alone; point guard Chauncey Billups is averaging 26.3 points per game in his last five starts, including a 37-8-8 explosion in Wednesday’s win over Golden State.
The Clippers (19-22, 19-21) are streaky, to say the least. They’ve won two consecutive games to snuff out a four straight losses—which followed a four-game winning streak. Point guard Baron Davis is crucial to the Clippers’ success, and he broke out with a big game in yesterday’s win over the Bulls by dropping 25 points and six assists. Center Chris Kaman is enjoying his most productive season, though, averaging 20.4 points and 9.3 rebounds per game.
The Clips are decent enough on defense, ranking 15th in the league at 99.1 points per game. Sports betting fans can’t trust their offense to get the job done, though; it’s fifth-worst in the NBA at just 96.6 points per game.
Not surprisingly, Denver has dominated the head-to-head series, winning eight of the last 10 matchups. However, the Clippers won the last time they faced each other and has managed to steal four of the past 10 against the spread. Considering they’re each headed in opposite directions right now, though, you have to like Denver’s NBA odds much better. Nuggets win but Clippers cover.
NBA handicapper pick: Denver

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

The Boooj

50 Units Cleveland (-3) over LA Lakers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Wunderdog NCAAB

Game: Penn State + U S C at Parlay (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Parlay -195 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2.1)

Game: South Alabama at North Texas (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on South Alabama +5 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

Game: Oregon State at Stanford (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Oregon State +7.5 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

Game: Oregon State at Stanford (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Oregon State +260 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 5.2)

Game: Loyola Marymount at Portland (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Loyola Marymount +13 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Matt Farrgo

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, January 21, 2010
$35.00 Guaranteed: Matt easily brought home Texas Tech as his TOP Report Wednesday which WON going away! He continues to pound the books on the college hardcourts and that win brought his 10* Reports in college hoops to a STAGGERING 8-1 ATS (88.9%) YTD! He extends it tonight with a TOP Report from the WAC that results in yet another ATS BLOWOUT! Hop on another big Winner from *****! Guaranteed! 1/21/2010

LouiSIAna Tech enters the week on a 10-game winning streak and is in first place in the WAC with a 5-0 record. No one saw this coming. The Bulldogs were expected to be a good team this season but it has raced out to a start that is the best in 25 years of the program. With over half of the season done, LouiSIAna Tech is starting to finally get some recognition but it may be too late. The public loves riding these streaks and the betting market needs to adjust and in this case, LouiSIAna Tech is a rather overpriced road favorite. Taking a look at its last two road games which were just 10 and 12 days ago, the Bulldogs were favorites on the road by one and two points and now it has substantially jumped. The linesmakers had to make this number this high yet the public is still on board. For a team that is 17-2, there are some problems. First off, the schedule has been light as the Bulldogs have played the 222nd ranked schedule in the nation which is nothing to brag about. Despite the easy slate, LouiSIAna Tech has an assist/turnover ratio blow the breakeven point at 0.91 and that falls to 0.85 in road games. The Bulldogs are also having trouble from behind the arc especially on the road where they are hitting just 28.7 percent from long range. San Jose St. was thought to possibly be the team in the Bulldogs position right now. The Spartans were picked as a middle of the pack WAC team and expectations were that this was one of the most talented teams in a while here and there was the possibility of a big breakout season. It has not happened but it has not been bad. Of the eight losses, four have been by single-digits with another coming at Washington by just 10 points. San Jose St. has lost only once at home this season and that was against a very good St. Mary’s team early in the season. As mentioned, the Bulldogs do not shoot the long ball well and it is the opposite for the Spartans who are hitting 40 percent from three-point land on the season, 23rd in the nation, including a solid 45.8 percent at home. The long range shooting margin is +13.6 percent at home for the Spartans and -14.5 percent for LouiSIAna Tech. Also, the Spartans have a 0.97 assist/turnover ratio, which is below breakeven, but it is better than the opposition and also with playing a tougher schedule on the season. San Jose St. is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games in the second half of the season against teams that are outscoring opponents by eight or more ppg and it is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games following a loss. Do not be surprised with an outright win here. 10* San Jose St. Spartans

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Erin Rynning

NBA Playmaker: LA Lakers +4 (501)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Teddy Covers

Oregon State
New Mexico State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Dwayne Bryant

Penn State -10 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs. Indiana

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Wunderdog NHL

Game: New York Rangers at Philadelphia (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on New York Rangers +130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.2)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total OVER 5.5 +100 (risk 4 to win 4)

Game: New York Rangers at Philadelphia (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on New York Rangers +1.5 goals -235 (puckline) (risk 5 to win 2.1)

Game: St. Louis at Ottawa (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -140 (risk 5 to win 3.6)

Game: Nashville at Phoenix (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Nashville +100 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 5 -145 (risk 3 to win 2.1)

Game: Dallas at Vancouver (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -105 (risk 3 to win 2.9)

Game: Buffalo at Los Angeles (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Los Angeles -110 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Game: Anaheim at San Jose (10:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -110 (risk 5 to win 4.6)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-21-10

Tim Trushel

San Jose State/ regular