Tweet
Re: 1-27-10
RAS
Illinois ov 143.5
RAS
Illinois ov 143.5
-
Re: 1-27-10
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Tampa Bay -125
Analysis: For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on the home side in this situation:
Montreal (25-24-5), which has won six of nine at St. Pete Times Forum since the beginning of the 2005-06 season, posted a 2-1 overtime victory in Tampa on Dec. 30 on Tomas Plekanec’s game-winner.
Plekanec, who leads the Canadiens with 39 assists and 52 points, scored a second-period power-play goal Tuesday, but Montreal allowed two unanswered goals in the third and fell to Florida 2-1 to open its three-game trip.
After making 27 saves versus the Panthers, Jaroslav Halak will likely get his fourth straight start. Halak, who is 8-3-1 with a 1.99 goals-against average in his last 12 starts, is 0-1-0 with a 3.08 GAA lifetime versus the Lightning.
Remember, the Habs are just 2-4 their last six overall.
On the other side of the ice: Tampa Bay (21-20-10) has finished last in the Southeast Division each of the last two seasons, but with a 10-6-1 record since a 1-8-2 stretch from Nov. 28-Dec. 17, the Lightning have improved their playoff chances.
Saturday’s 2-1 shootout victory over Atlanta was Tampa Bay’s third win in four games. The Lightning are 6-1-1 in their last eight at St. Pete Times Forum and among a number of teams vying for the final playoff spots in the Eastern Conference.
Antero Niittymaki will likely need to be a major contributor if that’s going to happen. Since Mike Smith strained his neck against Washington on Jan. 12, Niittymaki has started six straight games, going 3-1-0 in his last four after making 37 saves and five stops in the tiebreaker against the Thrashers.
Bottom line: Niittymaki made 36 saves in a 3-1 victory in Montreal on Nov. 7 to snap a personal seven-game losing streak to the Canadiens.
The well rested Lightning have the advantage over a team that played just 24 hours previous; look for TAMPA BAY to improve to 4-1 (+3.5 units) when playing with 3 or more days of rest and for Montreal to drop to 4-7 its last 11 overall!
7* TAMPA BAYComment
-
Re: 1-27-10
Tony George
Bradley -3
Creighton, oh how the mighty have fallen this year in the Mo Valley with the Blue Jays and Salukies both having bad years, and Bradley at home is a BRUTAL road game for any team coming in here. Adding to that is Creighton’s 1-6 SU road record. The Blue Jays are also just 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 road games. The Braves have already defeated Mo Valley Power Wichita State in here and Southern Illinois and are avenging 4 straight losses to Creighton and the Blue Gays starting guard Stinnett is out for suspension and the Jays lack depth and scoring from the forward position. Creighton only 24% from the arc in their last 5 games and with a starting guard out who averages 10 ppg and a weak frontcourt, on the road in a tough place to play against a team avenging 4 losses dating back 2 years, I like the Braves to kick the Blue Jays here when they are down. Play 1 Unit on Bradley.Comment
-
Re: 1-27-10
Lenny Del Genio
Houston -1.5
We simply cannot see the Rockets losing a third straight game at home, even if they are hosting the red-hot Denver Nuggets, winners of seven in a row. Houston has started the current six-game home stand by losing outright to Chicago and then Atlanta. This is pretty strange considering that the Rockets started the year 11-4 ATS at the Toyota Center. They come into tonight's game riding a five-game ATS home losing streak. Consider that since '96, the Rockets are 23-9 ATS when coming off back to back losses as a favorite. That includes 6-1 ATS the last three years. They catch the Nuggets in a good spot as leading scorer Carmello Anthony is listed as questionable and did not play last game. Even with all the winning, several Nuggets players are behaving erratically with JR Smith whining about playing time and Kenyon Martin getting ejected last game. Denver has lost four straight in Houston. Take Houston.Comment
-
Re: 1-27-10
Mike Hook
768 Marshall 2.5 (-115) Bodog vs 767 Memphis
Analysis: First off, let me state that this line is hovering between +2 and +2.5 as of this writing. I see 2 of the more popular books, including Bodog using +2.5 for -115, as you see stated in the heading of this writeup. I see a few -2's out there at -109 and -110 out there. I still really like this play at +2, but i think you can wait a bit and get this across the board at +2.5. For the record, i think Marshall wins this game OUTRIGHT. I just wanted to confirm any questions regarding this line so that we can all cash this winner.
Let me start by saying the WRONG team is favored here. We faded Memphis a few weeks back, as we rode UTEP to the outright victory to snap the 64 conference game winning streak for Memphis. We had no fear then, and we have no fear now. Tonight, Marshall will beat Memphis OUTRIGHT, and snap a 3 year conference road winning streak that the Tigers have accumulated. The reason why we are fading Memphis is because they aren't nearly as good as what the general public thinks they are. This isn't your old Memphis Tigers team, and the fact that so many people still adore this team creates value on the other side. A perfect example of this is the ga me tonight. In my personal power rankings, i have Marshall as a top 53 team at home, while Memphis is only a top 95 team on the road. That's a huge difference here, ESPECIALLY with Marshall GETTING POINTS. The wrong team is favored here, as their is no reason why Memphis should be favored on the road in this spot.
Memphis has only covered 1 game since December 9th, a span of 12 games. Away from home, the Tigers are only 1-5 ATS, so clearly this team isn't as good as even oddsmakers think, or is that even true? I think oddsmakers know they are going to get public money on Memphis, so they keep inflating lines to start, and more often than not, the books have a true position on the Tigers opponents, and they end up being on the right side. After all, Memphis is only 4-10 ATS this season, giving you statistical proof of what i said earlier in that this Memphis team is OVERRATED.
Marshall is having a great year as they are 15-4 overall, and an impressive 11-1 at home this season. This team is much improved, as they are very well coached and have consistent performers up and down their roster. They also have a great young center who is a defensive machine, as he can impact the game in several different ways. I mentioned earlier that Marshall is 11-1 at home this season. Their lone home loss was in their last game against nationally ranked UAB. Marshall lost that game 59-61 in a heartbreaker. I like that Marshall is coming off that loss, as they will clearly be focused to play tonight at home. I've been reading the local media outlets in West Virginia, and all indications are this team is ready and eager to bounceback in a big way. The reason why i've been watching this team closely the past few days is because i knew that Memphis was coming into town. I've already talked about how Memphis is a great fade team this year, and with Marshall coming off back to back losses, this is a perfect opportunity that screams VALUE. Marshall had been getting some "additional votes" in the Top 25 polls before losing their past 2 games. But what most don't realize is just how competitive Marshall was in those games against nationally ranked UAB and West Virginia. BOTH of those teams are better than the OVERRATED Memphis Tigers.
The key to this game tonight is going to be the depth of Marshall and their rebounding ability. No doubt Marshall is going to be exicted for this game tonight, as they will be playing in front of a sold out arena that is so excited about this game. I think Marshall is going to look to push the pace tonight, as they will be playing with high energy. Memphis doesn't have the depth of talent that they have grown accustomed to, and that's going to cost them tonight. I think C Hassan Whiteside will be a force in the middle, likely blockingComment
-
Re: 1-27-10
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, January 27, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today we are featuring our COLLEGE HOOPS CONSENSUS PERFECT PLAY OF WINNER! You can get this HUGE WINNER for only $25 GUARANTEED! ALL FIVE of our handicappers are on this game and ALL FIVE of them are making this game a BEST BET!! The Computer Simulator gives our team an 86% chance of covering the spread for us. We are currently on a 71-32 guaranteed run! 1/27/2010
COLLEGE HOOPS CONSENSUS PERFECT PLAY OF WINNER
731 St Louis +5 7:00 ESTComment
Comment