1-28-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

Savannah Sports

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

Todays Selections

NBA Basketball

Pass

NCAA Basketball

2 (**) Georgia Tech -5.5

2 (**) USC -3.5

2 (**) UCLA +4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

PURDUE -8

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on Purdue:

Purdue (16-3, 4-3) was 14-0 and ranked fourth in the AP poll when it entered Madison on Jan. 9 looking to set a school record for consecutive wins to start the season. Instead, the team lost 73-66 to the Badgers (16-4, 6-2), then dropped its next two as well.

The Badgers have won four of their last five but have averaged 21.7 points in the first half of the last three contests.

Wisconsin trailed 33-25 going into the break against Penn State on Sunday before rallying for a 79-71 overtime win. The Badgers came back from an eight-point deficit in the final two minutes of regulation, led by Jordan Taylor, who added 10 points in overtime and finished with 20; I expect a letdown this evening though.

Wisconsin was 10 of 33 from 3-point range in the win and is shooting 26.5 % beyond the arc over the last six contests; its shoddy play catches up with it tonight.

Non only is Wisconsin 2-4 ATS its last six overall, its also 2-4 ATS its last six on the road.

On the other side of the court: Purdue has exploded after those losses with consecutive victories against Illinois on the road and then recording a 69-59 win against Michigan on Saturday.

Purdue, which is giving up 62.6 points per game this season, had one of its better defensive games against the Wolverines, holding an opponent below 70 points for the first time in five games.

JaJuan Johnson scored seven points against the Badgers earlier this month, but he had 20 points and 10 rebounds in Purdue’s last home game against Wisconsin.

Purdue may be just 1-4 ATS its last five, but its 16-3 SU this season; dating back to last year its 16-1 SU its last 17 in front of the hometown crowd and always plays the Badgers tough; 6-1 ATS its last seven vs. Wisconsin.

Bottom line: The Boilermakers own a 35-2 home record against Wisconsin; look for PURDUE to get revenge from the loss and to move to 9-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record and for Wisconsin to fall to 7-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record!

*7* PURDUE.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

Rocketman

DALLAS MAVERICKS +2

Dallas is 30-15 overall this year while Phoenix comes in with a 26-21 overall record on the season. Dallas us 217-159 ATS since 1996 after a non-conference game. Dallas is 7-1 SU this year after allowing 105 points or more. Phoenix is allowing 107.9 points per game overall this season. Dallas has won 4 of their last 5 games overall while Phoenix has lost 7 of their last 9 overall. Dallas has won 6 of 8 meetings against Phoenix past 3 years. Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Mavericks are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5. Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. We'll play Dallas for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

Marc Lawrence

ORLANDO MAGIC -3.5

We recommend a 3-unit play on Orlando.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

Lenny Del Genio

Celtics/Magic OVER 189.5

Lenny spent years working on an NBA "totals system" and began using it in January '07 on the net, with great success. It's based on numerous factors, some of them listed here. Anticipated pace and style of both teams' play. Days of rest for teams or lack of it. Number of points scored by starters as compared to subs in recent outings (plus season-long averages). It also factors in point and rebounding differentials of the two teams. With all these factors (and many more), it's not possible to provide Lenny's "typical analysis" with his NBA totals selections. However, after last year's success, he anticipates another banner year. Play are rated 10* (Game of Day), 15* (Game of Week), 20* (Game of Month) and some rare 25* plays. Good luck. Over Boston/Orlando is our 10* TNT Total.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

The Duke's Sports

UCLA (+4) for 2 Units

Oregon padded their stats early vs a lightweight schedule, then caught the unsuspecting Washington teams napping around the New Year. The Ducks are now showing their true colors as they are in the midst of a 5 game slide. We don't see them snapping out of it here. Oregon is a mere 6-22 ATS following a SU loss, 6-20-1 ATS on Thursdays, and a poor 1-9 SU in this series. The Ducks are defensively soft, and when their shots don't fall, big trouble ensues. The young Bruins have gradually built momentum (6-3 SU run) after a 3-7 SU start. Their defense and shot selection has improved over their winning stretch; consequently, we'll look for the Bruins to continue to disrupt the Ducks who continue to blame each other for repeated mistakes. UCLA is a sweet 21-8 ATS following 3 or more home games and we'll grab the points here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

Bill Marzano

St. Mary's at Pepperdine
Pick: St. Mary's -12

I really like St.Mary's in this game vs Pepperdine...the Gaels have a lot of matchup advantages in this game I don't know where to start...St.Mary's is ranked 11th in FG% while the Green Wave are ranked 264th...St.Mary's owns this series and most of the games aren't even close...over the last 10 meetings, the Gaels have outscored the Green Wave by 18 ppg...St.Mary's wins going away

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

MR EAST

NCAAB THURSDAY WRECKING CREW

ST. JOHN'S @ PITT
3 UNITS: PITT -8.5

The St. John;s Red Storm are an improved team for sure, but are young and have not learned to play on the road yet. The Pitt Panthers took several key player losses, but this is a stable program that reloads, and doesn't skip a beat. They have lost 2 straight games, and saw their long homecourt winning streak come to an end vs Georgetown, and will be playing with an edge in this one. Red Storm at 1-8 ATS as a road dog of 7-12.5, while Pitt is 9-3 ATS as a home favorite in the same range. I'll go with Pitt in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

Mike Lineback

Raptors/Knicks Under 217

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

TEDDY COVERS:
10 Dallas Mavs
10 VA
10 Seton Hall

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

ALATEX
15* Wake +5
ore st under 112
az st under 136

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

Erin Rynning

1/28/10 NBA Playmaker: Orlando Under 189.5 -110 (504)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

MIKE HOOK

CBB Sides Thu, 01/28/10 - 7:00 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 527 Loyola, Chicago 10.0 (-120) BetUS vs 528 Detroit
Analysis: Two disclaimers before we even get started on this play. Very early this morning, like 5:30 PACIFIC i was having a text conversation with my buddy SacLunch. As you know, today is a HUGE college basketball card. We talk often when faced with a big betting card, as we respect each other greatly with regards to CBB. In a very rare instance, we both had the same team as one of our top leans of the day. That team is the team we are now backing, LOYOLA CHICAGO.

Secondly, you might notice that this play is being given out at +10. I'm doing this just because of what's happened the past few days where we've been beaten by the hook. For the next 3-5 plays, i will buy the hook if necessary. I don't think we will need it, but i'll be honest, i sure as hell don't want to be beaten by the hook AGAIN.

I believe Loyola Chicago has a better than 35% chance of winning this game OUTRIGHT. I'm 100% confident that they keep this a single digit game tonight. There are 2 major reasons why i think this game is going to be close throughout. Loyola Chicago has all the motivation in the world to play well tonight, considering they lost by 17 points earlier this season to Detroit. The 2nd half of that game in particular was dismal for Loyola Chicago, as they couldn't make anything. Considering that game was played on January 2nd, i can't help but think they were hung over or something, as no other explanation fits the bill with this team. They've played 5 games since then, and against top level competition. They were competitive on the road against Cleveland St and Youngstown St, and they played Butler down to the bitter end. Earlier this season, Loyola was playing great, so clearly this team has some talent. They were able to beat both Wisconsin Milwaukee and Bradley away from home. This team has a way of bouncing back, as they have followed up brutal losses with sweet ATS wins. In their last game, they were beaten soundly by a very underrated Valpo team. The players and the coaching staff for Loyola Chicago were embarrassed in that defeat, and even admitted so publicly. Bouncing back from that loss and the revenge angle from earlier this season against Detroit, i expect Loyola Chicago to play with pride and passion tonight.

Detroit has lost 3 of their past 4 games themselves, so they will be looking to play well too. I have nothing against this team at all, as this is an underrated team too. With regards to power rankings, i have Detroit as a top 165 team with a strength of schedule ranking of 220. For what it's worth, i have Loyola Chicago as a top 155 team with a strength of schedule ranking of 225. As you can see, both teams are very similar to each other with respect to my rankings. So why then should Detroit be a double digit favorite?? The short answer is that they SHOULDN'T be! The reason they shouldn't be favored by this much is because of their lack of offensive firepower. Of the teams that know Detroit best, 4 of their past 7 games they've been held to 62 points or fewer. This team absolutely can play defense, as they lead their conference in several defensive categories. But for them to be favored by this many points is rather significant, and i don't see them being able to do so. This team was scoring more points earlier in the season, but they have slowed down. Keep in mind that this is a young team, so they could be getting worn down due to the college grind. Also, this team has been careless with the ball of late, turning the ball over nearly 17 times a game which is the most in the Horizon league¢.

This is going to be a rather low scoring game, considering the defensive prowess of each team. I believe Loyola Chicago is going to bring their best effort tonight, as they surely won't be intimidated to play Detroit. In a hard fought battle, i always look to the bench to play a role in the end result. In this specific case, Loyola Chicago has the better bench. The bench play of Loyola Chicago has been a bright sp

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

PAUL LEINER

1000* CBB Over 111 USC/Oregon State

50* NBA Over 216 Phx/Dal

25* NBA Over 217 NYK/Tor

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-28-10

RAS

Davidson ov 147