10-5-08

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

BILLY COLEMAN
nfl
4*tenn
4*philly
4*dallas over
3*carolina under
3*n.e under

mlb
4*wsox

wnba
3*detroit
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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

Dr Bob update

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I’ll take Atlanta in a 2-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more with Rodgers playing (since he’s likely to be less than 100% and my not finish the game) and for 2-Stars at +3 or more if Rodgers does not start. I’d consider Atlanta a Strong Opinion from +3 to +5 1/2 with Rodgers starting and at +1 to +2 ½ if he is not.

ESPN reports that Rodgers will start, so Atlanta is a Strong Opinion in this game.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

ATS Lock Club
6 units on the Indianapolis Colts (-3) over the Houston Texans, 1:00
5 units on the Baltimore Ravens (+2 1/2) over the Tennessee Titans, 1:00
5 units on the Seattle Seahawks (+7) over the New York Giants, 1:00
4 units on the San Francisco 49'ers (+3 1/2) over the New England Patriots, 4:00
__________________

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

ASA

Pro Football Picks
10/5/2008
12:00:00 PM HOUSTON TEXANS(+3)
over Indianapolis Colts
ASA 3-Star #406 @ Houston (+3) over Indianapolis - 12:00 pm CST

Nearly 80% of the people wagering at the off shores are on Houston here. The line, however has not budged off 3. We’ll almost always side with the “other” team and this situation and we will again. We like Houston here. For whatever reason, it seems as if everyone is still enamored with the Colts. Until we see it on the field in 2008, we’re not going to fall for the Indy hoopla. This team is just 1-2 and their only win was a come from behind situation @ Minnesota. The Vikes led 15-0 with under 2:00 minutes left in the third quarter. Minny blew a number of chances to get into the end zone and kicked 5 field goals. Anyone with a semblance of a balanced offense would have gone on to win that game at home. Indy is REALLY lucky they are not sitting at 0-3. Peyton Manning is simply not in synch to start the season hitting “just” 59% of his passes and throwing 4 picks compared to just 3 TD’s. The offense is averaging only 313 yards and 17 PPG. That’s way down from last year when they put up 358 total yards and 28 PPG. The Colt defense can’t stop anyone from running right through them. Chicago put up 183 yards on the ground vs. Indy. Minnesota rolled for 180. The Jags acted as if the Colt defense wasn’t on the field putting up 263 yards rushing. Indy has now been out gained by a total of 407 yards on the ground in their three games. Their strong safety Bob Sanders is the key to stopping their opponents running game and he remains out. The Texans FINALLY get to play a home game. Because of Hurricane Ike a few weeks ago, this team is 0-3 but they have played the toughest schedule in the NFL to date. Not only have all three games been on the road, but all three have been against top notch opponents. Houston’s losses have come @ Pittsburgh, @ Tennessee and @ Jacksonville. We sided with them last week as 7-point dogs @ Jacksonville. The Texans deserved better as they lost by 3 in OT but out played the Jags for much of the game. One of the Jax TD’s came on a 41-yard fake punt. QB Matt Schaub looked really good completing 29 of his 40 attempts with 3 TD’s and no turnovers. Rookie RB Steve Slaton performed well both running and receiving and now the Texans get Ahman Green back to help take advantage of a poor Indy run defense. The overall offensive and defensive numbers are nearly identical for these two teams and Houston has played the much tougher schedule. The Texans were a decent team last year at 8-8 and they need this win very badly after starting the year 0-3. We’ll call for Houston to win this game outright.


10/5/2008
12:00:00 PM PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-6.5)
over Washington Redskins
ASA 3-Star #414 @ Philadelphia (-6.5) over Washington - 12:00 pm CST

Handicapping is as much about picking "spots" as it is anything else. Last week, we grabbed Washington +11 in a great spot to give Dallas a run for their money. They did just that and won the game outright by 2 points. The Cowboys were off two HUGE prime time games beating both the Eagles and the Packers on back to back weeks. A letdown had to be in order and was quite obvious as Washington dominated. The Skins match up very well with the Boys and have now beaten them 3 of the last 4 meetings. In fact, with Tony Romo at QB, the Cowboys are 1-3 against the Skins and 22-6 against everyone else. That was a great "spot" to take Washington. Now the reverse is true. This game @ Philly becomes a great "spot" to play against the Skins and ON the Eagles. Washington is now on the road for the second straight week off a huge upset win. Philly, on the other hand, was beaten on Sunday night in Chicago 24-20. The Eagles were held at the Chicago 1-yard line late in the game part in fact because RB Brian Westbrook was injured and didn't play. He's expected back here given the Eagles their most important weapon. The Chicago trip was a bad "spot" for Philly as they were off huge games vs. Dallas and Pittsburgh. Now at 2-2, the Eagles are calling this a must-win game at home. Another loss to a division rival, they already lost a thriller in Dallas, would be very tough even this early in the season. The NFC East is so difficult, you can't fall too far behind in the race. Philadelphia knows that and is viewing this as a gigantic game. The Birds seem to "own" Washington just as the Skins "own" Dallas. Philly has now won 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two. Despite the fact they have one more loss than Washington, the Eagles own better numbers on BOTH sides of the ball. Their defense is possibly the most improved unit in the league allowing just 18 PPG and 245 total yards per game. On offense Andy Reid's troops average 22 more yards per game and 6 more points per game than Washington. While Washington is playing well, we expect an "average" performance here with a young QB and new head coach in a tough situation. We side with a veteran Philly team that is now back into a corner after last week's loss @ Chicago.


10/5/2008
3:15:00 PM ARIZONA CARDINALS (-1)
over Buffalo Bills
ASA 5-Star @ Arizona Cardinals (-1) over Buffalo Bills - 3:15 pm CST Sunday.

PLAY THIS GAME BEFORE THE LINE MOVES! The Cards were embarrassed last week at New York allowing the Jets to put up an incredible 56 points. It was a tough spot for Arizona as they were on the east coast for the second straight week after playing at Washington the previous Sunday. Turnovers were the key culprit on Sunday as Arizona coughed it up SEVEN times. Those seven turnovers led to 34 POINTS for the Jets. Believe it or not the stats were actually quite one sided in favor of the losing team. Arizona had 10 more first downs and almost 100 more total yards. However, you have absolutely no chance to win in the NFL if you give the ball away that many times. Expect the Redbirds to clean that up this weekend at home. The Bills are the “surprise” of the league with a record of 4-0. However, they have to show us a bit more before we jump on the bandwagon. We give them credit for winning all of their games to date, however their schedule has been less than daunting, especially the last two weeks. Two weeks ago the Bills came from behind to beat the 1-3 Raiders 24-23. Buffalo was down by 9-points with under seven minutes to go in the game and they were able to hit a field goal at the buzzer to win. Last Sunday they played the now 0-4 Rams and were behind in the second half. The Bills finally grabbed a 20-14 lead early in the fourth quarter but it took a 33-yard interception return for a TD to do it. The terrible St. Louis offense, 30th in total yards per game, actually had 103 more yards in the contest. Therefore, in the last two weeks, the now all of the sudden mighty Bills, have had to make second half rallies against two teams that are now a combined 1-7. We’re not quite sold on Buffalo. Now Buffalo is on the road again this week and must travel across the country to an angry Arizona team. That’s not a great mix for Buffalo success this weekend. This team has historically struggled on the road (just 14-30 SU since November of 2002), and with such a short number on the Cards here, we’ll grab the home favorite.


10/5/2008
7:15:00 PM JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (-4.5)
over Pittsburgh Steelers
ASA 3-Star #430 @ Jacksonville (-4.5) over Pittsburgh - 7:15 pm CST

These two teams look like M.A.S.H units as both have suffered from multiple major injuries. The big difference is that the Jaguars have had time to adjust to their injuries as they came early on while Pittsburgh continues to get dinged up every weekend. Last Monday night the Steelers lost backup running back Mendenhall who was filling in for Willie Parker, they then lost Mendenhall’s backup Davis which forced them to go out and sign Najeh Davenport who they recently released. Getting the start this week will be Mewelde Moore their 3rd string tailback who had just 13 yards last week on 8 carries versus the Ravens. The biggest loss in my opinion though is Pro Bowl guard Kendall Simmons. Simmons injured his ankle last week and is now on the IR. The Steelers offensive line has been a sieve in passing situations this season as they have allowed 15 sacks which is second most in the NFL. The beating Ben Roethlisberger has endured is starting to take its toll. Big Ben has a bad shoulder right now and is listed as questionable for this game which would mean ex-Jag Leftwich would get the start. The Steelers offense has struggled this season and currently rank 29th in the league in total ‘O’ and 24th in points scored per game. Now without a running game, their best lineman and a less than 100% QB we can’t see them competing in this game. Defensively the Steelers aren’t much better off as they are without Brett Keisel, Casey Hampton and Nick Eason which also leaves their D-line very thin. The Jaguars will exploit this weakness with their potent two-headed rushing attack with Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones Drew. Last season the Jags were 2nd in the NFL in rushing averaging 149.2 yards per game on 4.57 yards per carry. This season the Jags are currently 12th in the league in rushing at 126 ypg and they’ll get the ground game going Sunday night at home versus the Steelers. Jacksonville QB David Garrard has found a rhythm after the first two losses of the season by engineering a game-winning drive over the Colts in Indianapolis two weeks ago and then leading the Jags to an overtime victory last weekend over the Texans. The Jaguars have won 18 of their last 24 home games and four straight in this series going back to 2005. The home team has been a moneymaking 15-5 ATS the last 20 meetings and we feel that trend continues here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

ATS Horses

Belmont Race 9 - 3,2,4,1
Woodbine Race 6 - 4,6,1,2
Woodbine Race 8 - 8,7,3,10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

sebass
20 teaser miami and houston
50 seattle +7
50 carolina
50 cincy over
100 tampa over
300 arizona

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

vegas-runner | NFL Total Double-Dime Bet
410 MIA / 409 SDC Under 45.0 Bodog
Analysis: ** 2* TOTAL **

Sun, 10/05/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Total Single-Dime Bet
420 NYG / 419 SEA Under 44.0 Bodog
Analysis: * 1* TOTAL *


Sun, 10/05/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
408 BAL 3.0 (-125) Bodog vs 407 TEN
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER ** (-125 @ Bodog)


Sun, 10/05/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Double-Dime Bet
412 CAR (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 411 KAN
Analysis: ** 2* TEASER BET **


PANTHERS -2.5 & BEARS +4 (2*) Teaser...


Sun, 10/05/08 - 4:15 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
428 DAL -16.0 (-110) BetUS vs 427 CIN
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **


Sun, 10/05/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
414 PHI (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 413 WAS
Analysis: *** NFL 3* TEASER PLAY of the DAY ***

EAGLES +1/2 & NY GIANTS pk (3*) Teaser Bet...

Yesterday we used the Teaser of the Day effectively by taking 2 Home Favs down to where they only need to Win SU for us to Cash...We will use the same appraoch today in the NFL...VR


Sun, 10/05/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
414 PHI -6.0 (-120) SportBet vs 413 WAS
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **
(Buy the 1/2 Point to -6)


Sun, 10/05/08 - 4:15 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
424 SFX 3.5 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 423 NEP
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **
(Buy the 1/2 Pt to +3.5...Patriots are -3 and -125 at most shops so it should cost you less than usual)


Sun, 10/05/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
406 HOU 4.0 (-120) BetUS vs 405 IND
Analysis: ** 2* WAGER **
(Buy the 1/2 Point to +4)


Sun, 10/05/08 - 4:15 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet
425 BUF 2.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 426 ARI
Analysis: *** NFL 3* GAME of the WEEK ***

PLEASE WAIT TO MAKE THIS BET BECAUSE WE ARE HOPING ARZ GETS to -2.5 SO WE CAN BUY IT TO +3...Like Wisconsin Last Night...VR

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

Heisman Club
20* detroit
10*houston
10*tampa bay

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

ATS Financial

4 units Baltimore over
4 units Baltimore
4 units Atlanta
4 units La Angels over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

THE REAL ATS PLAYS

SPECIALS
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October 5, 2008

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7 units on San Diego (-6) over Miami, 1:00
7 units on Jacksonville (-5) over Pittsburgh, 8:00
6 units on the OVER 44 1/2 Buffalo/Arizona, 4:00
6 units on Philadelphia (-6) over Washington, 1:00
6 units on Arizona (-1 1/2) over Buffalo, 4:00

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

Scott Rickenbach

NHL 1* (Regular Play) Ottawa Senators Money Line (-) vs Pittsburgh @ 2:30 PM ET in Stockholm, Sweden –

I have pasted in my write-up from yesterday below. The reason of this is because this is the same match-up, same place. The only difference today is that the Penguins are considered the home teams so they do get the last line change. However, I watched this game yesterday and it was simply unfortunate that the Senators blew a 3-2 third period and then lost in OT on a turnover. The Sens actually were very impressive on the penalty kill and, overall, Martin Gerber looked pretty comfortable between the pipes. With Ray Emery now out of the NHL, look for Gerber to have a big season. The Senators played well in most aspects of their game yesterday and they got done in by a key turnover in the overtime, plus a rare, fluke goal from a Pens defenseman yesterday. The Senators will bounce back today to earn the split after blowing yesterday’s game late!

Keys to this game include: 1) The Senators have big-time revenge on their minds after getting swept out of the playoffs by the Penguins last season. Pittsburgh outscored them 16-5 in that series; 2) The Senators improved in the offseason. There is a new attitude on this team with a new coach, Craig Hartsburg, and the addition of grizzled veterans Jarkko Ruutu (a former Penguin) and Jason Smith (he was Philadelphia’s captain). The move of Daniel Alfredsson to the second line will also help give the Senators offense more balance; 3) The Senators should enjoy success against a Penguins defense suffering with some significant injury issues. Two of their top four defensemen are out for this game. Sergei Gonchar is one of the top power play “quarterbacks” in the league and he’s out for a long time after shoulder surgery. Ryan Whitney has a bright future as one of the most talented up and coming two way defenseman in the league but he’s still out after having left foot surgery in the off-season; 4) The Penguins did have their roster raided in the off-season. They lost Ruutu (as noted above) plus Marian Hossa (big loss for Sidney Crosby), as well as Ryan Malone, Gary Roberts, Georges Laraque, and Adam Hall. Included in that group is some tough hard-nosed players and this really hurts the make-up of this team entering the season; 5) The Penguins were only 11-11-2 in the first two months of the season last year. The Senators raced out of the gate last season with a 9-1 October. This shows that Ottawa certainly has the capability to get off to a strong start and, the fact that they finished last season so poorly, absolutely insures that the Sens are fully focused entering the new season. They want this first game badly and are much hungrier in terms of comparing the state of minds of these two teams entering their season opener in Stockholm, Sweden. By the way, even though these first two games for these teams are being played overseas Ottawa is the home team for this

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

NSA

20* Ravens

10*
Eagles
Bears
Broncos
Patriots
Seahawks

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

Seabass added

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100* Steam Denver -3 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

Analyst: Eddie Roman
Never Lost 24-0 NFL Super System Crusher


Never Lost 24-0 NFL Super System Crusher

Denver Broncos -3 vs. Tampa Bay

Denver wins by 17 minimum. Trust me.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-08

Charlies

500* Kansas City/Carolina Under
30* Indianapolis
20* San Diego
20* Detroit
10* NY Giants
10* San Francisco