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Re: 2-5-10
Mike Lineback
Pistons/Pacers Over 199.5
Mike Lineback
Pistons/Pacers Over 199.5
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Re: 2-5-10
DREW GORDON
Today's Game... 1. 300,000? Kings
1. Kings- Oh are Suns-backers going to get slaughtered here! Phoenix wins four games in a row, and all of a sudden the public is ready to forget about the last 3 months of incredibly inconsistent play?! Quite frankly, the Suns may be the most overrated team in the pros this season, and if you need any proof, notice 90% of the public is on them in this contest! That should immediately be sending up red flags, because as I've said before: "If it looks to good to be true, it probably is!"
Why back the Suns now? They're in the midst of a winning streak, so you know there's going to be little value, AND despite the public being ALL OVER Phoenix, the line is actually shrinking (opened at -3', now at 2')! That reverse line movement is one of the best indicators of where the smart money is going, and in this case, its clearly going on Sacramento! Also of note, the home team is 9-3 ATS in their L12 games in this series!
So why Sacramento, and how do they do it? Well, first off, the return of a healthy Kevin Martin gives the Kings one of the most explosive backcourts in the NBA. Stud rookie, Tyreke Evans is coming off a 32-point, 8 assist, 7 board effort vs the Spurs. While we all know how good Martin can be when healthy, having 33 and 31 point games earlier this week! Nash and Richardson may be talented, but the veterans simply cannot keep up with the quicker Kings guards. Make no mistake, the Kings backcourt will do anything they want against this piss-poor Suns road defense (allowing 109 ppg on 46% shooting away this season).
In the frontcourt, we give the edge to the Suns, but not by as much as you'd think. Yes, Thompson is out, but Donte Green has stepped up nicely in his stead, and I like 6'9 sharpshooter Omri Casspi, making for a good 1-2 punch. Hawes is no juggernaut, but he's big, averaging 20.5 ppg over his L2 games, and is a better player at this point than the Suns' Robin Lopez. Amare will get his points, but after that, I like the Kings frontline match ups better.
Finally, motivation is a big factor here, or should I say lack of motivation on the Suns part. Why? This is the final game of a winnig road trip that saw them beat the Rockets, Hornets, and Nuggets... Do you really think the Suns care what happens tonight at Arco? They've already secured a winning road trip, and beat Sacramento twice this season... So, if any team is going to come in unfocused and overconfident, it'll be Phoenix. In the end, I'm not about perception, I'm about reality, and the reality is the Suns are overrated and VERY vulnerable in this spot. A healthy Kings team is NO bottom-dweller, and they'll prove it tonight. I'm going to advocate taking the points, but don't be surprised to see the Kings win outright in this spot.
Take the Kings plus the points over the Suns as your top-rated play of the day.Comment
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Re: 2-5-10
Lenny Del Genio
15* Detroit +4
Look for a big game from Pistons PG Rodney Stuckey here. He is averaging 16 PPG and 6.6 assists over his last five games and will be facing a rookie point guard here in A.J. Price for the Pacers. Prior to last month, Price was not playing much, averaging only four points per game. Even averaging more minutes per game in January, he saw his numbers only rise to 9.9 PPG and 2.4 APG. He has yet to play more than 25 minutes in any game this season. Detroit has revenge from a 12-point home loss to their division rivals two weeks ago, which was just their third SU loss in the last nine games in this head to head series. Both teams are off a rare SU win and are now seperated by just one game at the bottom of the Central Division. Indiana has won back-to-back games just three times since November 17th (one 2-game win streak, one 3-game win streak), making them impossible to back as a favorite in this role.
15* Detroit +4 NBA Game of the Week.Comment
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Re: 2-5-10
The Duke's Sports
Milwaukee (+2) for 2 Units
The Bucks have had success in this series (4-1 ATS) and have covered 5 of their last 7 at MSG. The Bucks dispatched the Knicks back on November 7th in a 102-87 route. The Bucks are on a nice 8-1 ATS run but coming off a road loss at Orlando where they were playing unrested. Brandon Jennings, who was horrible that night,had a few days rest to regain his stroke. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS on 2 days rest and 5-0 ATS off a SU loss. The Knicks, on the other hand, are just 1-5 ATS off a SU win of 10+ points and 3-8 ATS as a small home favorite. Bucks the call.Comment
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Re: 2-5-10
Atskings
Sal Devito Picks Page
2/5 - 4* NBA TOW - OVER CHICAGO/ATLANTA
This is Sal Devito. For my 4* NBA TOW I am playing for the Chicago Bulls and Atlanta Hawks to finish "Over" the total. Please buy half point accordingly if necessary. This should be a high scoring affair as Atlanta comes in off rest and is averaging 99 ppg their L8 Games and 102.2 ppg on the year and in home games 106.5. Atlanta is 6-0 this year on the "Over" when installed as a favorite of 6.5-9pts. Chicago comes in averaging 101.2 ppg over their L10 and is coming off rest as well. I expect am Up-Tempo shootout in tonights battle in Atlanta as these two young teams will showcase their offensive talents and lack of defense. The Last 3 Seasons these teams have played 7 of 9 games have gone "Over" the total, and I will follow that stat up with an even better one which is 4 of 4 games have gone over the total in all games played AT Atlanta the L 3 Seasons!! This game SAILS over the Number.
As a bonus play I previously stated that the Bulls will continue to be brought down to reality tonight, and Atlanta is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS vs Chicago over the L3 years, so I am also recommending between a .5 and 1 Unit 2-team Parlay on Atlanta minus the points and Over the total - Best of Luck - Sal DevitoComment
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Re: 2-5-10
Andrew Bucciarelli
Mr.Hockey
3* Toronto Maple Leafs+170 over New Jersey Devils
Three games in eight days against the Toronto Maple Leafs figured to give the New Jersey Devils a good chance to emerge from a mediocre stretch. After winning the first one, New Jersey faced a much different Maple Leafs team. Based on that first impression, it's also a much better one, but now the Devils hope their newest acquisition will provide a much-needed boost on offense. The Devils are in a 3-7-1 slump and with the new additions for Toronto showing aggression and physicality, watch out New Jersey, because here come the Leafs. The Devils should have Martin Brodeur back in net Friday after backup Yann Danis played Tuesday, breaking the four-time Vezina Trophy winner's streak of 40 consecutive starts. Brodeur hasn't exactly posted Vezina-worthy numbers at home against Toronto, however, going 4-3-2 with a 3.88 GAA in his last nine starts. Ride the momentum here with the underdog.
TAKE TORONTO.Comment
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Re: 2-5-10
GoodFella | NBA Sides Fri, 02/05/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 810 ATL -7.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 809 CHI
Analysis:
((NBA GOW play))
I really like how this game sets up for the Hawks tonight. First off they are AT HOME & on ESPN toni‹ght & that will only make the fans louder tonight. The Hawks are a VERY GOOD HOME team- as their (20-5 SU & 17-8 ATS)) records shows & this team can just be flat out dominating on their own floor. Tonights game is the 3rd meeting between these two clubs this year tonight--as the Hawks blewout the Bulls AT Atlanta (118-83) as 10.5 pt favs back on Dec. 9th--however the Bulls won the last meeting AT Chicago (101-98) in overtime as 4 pt dogs, on Dec. 19th. I believe the Hawks remember that loss & will be looking to atone for the O.T. loss here at HOME tonight. Atlanta has been at home the L/3 days & are coming off a 6 pt HOME win over the Clippers as 9.5 pt favorites on Wednesday, & tonight's game concludes their 2 game homstand. The Bulls are coming off a 3 pt overtime loss AT Philly on Wednesday as 2 pt dogs & tonight's game is the Bulls 9th ROAD game in their L/10 games overall--and that's just in a 16 day span!! Talk about TRAVEL WEARY-and having to face the Hawks AT HOME on ESPN & with a little payback on their minds over the Ovetime loss AT Chicago in their last meeting. The Hawks are (11-5 ATS L/16) HOME games as a favorite of -5 to -10.5 & definitely see that trend continuing tonight. It also should be noted that the Bulls team leader, top rebounder & defender--Noah is NOT playing--as he has been shut down until after the all-star break, due to his foot injury. Bottom line for me here--I love how this game sets up motivaionally, & situationally tonight & I fully expect a double digit win from the HAWKS at HOME tonight.Comment
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Re: 2-5-10
Mike Hook | CBB Sides Fri, 02/05/10 - 7:30 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 835 St. Peter's 6.0 (-110) BetUS vs 836 Fairfield
Analysis: I'm riding the Peacocks yet again toŒnight. I like the makeup of this St. Peters team, and it's no surprise that i'm backing them again. St. Peters has a few MANDATORY charecteristics i look for when backing a team multiple times in a season. They are very well coached, making them quite disciplined. They are a hungry team, that is quietly making a name for themselves. This specific situation leaves us in the enviable position of backing a team that is truly better than the public perception that they are saddled with. Lastly, they play great team defense, which makes them a very gritty team that NEVER gives up.
St. Peters will need all of these factors and more when they play Fairfield tonight. Fairfield is a good team, as they are 15-7 on the season, including an 8-4 record. Fairfield also OWNS St. Peters, as they've won the past 9 meetings against the Peacocks. In fact, Fairfield has already beaten St Peters this season, 61-48 IN St. Peters home gym. So you might be asking yourself what the heck am i doing backing St. Peters tonight. Valid question, and i hope the following helps you understand why.
Despite having the better overall record, the bigger named school, and playing at home, this line ONLY opened at -5.5 for Fairfield. The -5.5 number is only one of the shadiest opening lines in all of sports, and certainly right at the top in Basketball. This opening line quickly got my attention. But as i dug deeper into this game, i see some terrible things happening with this Fairfield team. First off, they think they are far better than they really are. And i can even argue that they really aren't that good, as they are only 6-10 ATS this season. Fairfield has played 7 games at home this season that featured betting lines. ALL 7 times they lost ATS. That's right, 0-7 at home. 6 of those 7 games they were the listed favorite, and all 6 times they LOST ATS. So now i must ask you is Farfield that good, or are people just not realizing that this team is vastly overrated with regards to the betting line?? As mentioned earlier, this Fairfield team thinks they are far better than they really are. This team isn't playing defense, as evident by their 88 points they allowed Rider to score in their last game. Those 88 points they allowed to Rider is only the tip of the iceberg at home for Fairfield. In their 3 home games prior to that they allowed 74, 81, and 85 points respectively. I believe this team Stags team is playing with a sense of entitlement, that's simply not deserved.
St. Peters is just the absolute complete opposite of Fairfield. This Peacocks team works for every bit of success that they earn. This is a gritty team that is on the rise, and is plenty hungry along the way. St. Peters relishes the underdog role, especially in league play. This season alone they are 5-1 ATS as the listed underdog in league play. Better yet, the past 3 times they were the listed underdog on the road in league play, they won the game OUTRIGHT. +4.5, +10.5, and +6 were the last 3 lines they faced on the road, with all 3 ending up as OUTRIGHT wins. So why should they fear Fairfield today? They shouldn't, because the Peacocks are playing the better basketball right now. Over their past 11 games, St. Peters has only lost to 2 teams. They've lost to league power Sienna, which is no shame considering Sienna hasn't lost to anyone in league play. Their only other loss was a bad loss at Manhattan. However, St. Peters avenged that loss in their last game, as they beat Manhattan 72-44. Speaking of avenging losses, i know the Peacocks would like nothing more than to beat Fairfield on their home court tonight. These two teams squared off on December 6th, and let's just say alot has changed since then. St. Peters is a much improved team, and they will show that tonight. Call it a hunch, but i think St. Peters will make more than 15 field goals tonight, as opposed to what they did in the first meeting. St. Peters shot the ball terriblyComment
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Re: 2-5-10
Erin Rynning
2/5/10 NBA Playmaker: Indiana Over 200 -110 (804)
2/5/10 NBA Boston Under 190 -110 (806)
2/5/10 NBA Milwaukee +2 -110 (807)
2/5/10 NBA Chicago +8.5 -110 (809)
2/5/10 NBA Memphis Under 204 -110 (812)
2/5/10 NBA LA Lakers Over 199.5 -110 (820)Comment
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